Full Interview w/ Dexter Filkins - America’s Military is NOT READY For The Next War

Pulitzer Prize winning war correspondent Dexter Filkins joins Chuck Todd to explore whether the U.S. military is prepared for the realities of modern warfare. From Ukraine’s innovative battlefield tactics to Israel’s use of AI, militaries around the world are embracing cheap, agile technologies that challenge America’s reliance on massive, legacy weapons systems. They examine how Congress’s instinct to protect jobs keeps outdated systems alive, why the Pentagon is scrambling to produce affordable drones, and how America’s vast defense supply chain quietly runs through China. The conversation turns to Taiwan—home to 90% of the world’s advanced microchip production—and whether the U.S. and its allies are truly ready to defend it in the event of a conflict with China.

The discussion also delves into the vulnerabilities of low-earth orbit satellites, the role of companies like Palantir in military tech, and whether autonomous targeting and video game–like interfaces are desensitizing the nature of war. Beyond weapons, Filkins and Todd confront America’s recruiting crisis, where three-quarters of young adults aren’t eligible for service, forcing the military to experiment with “pre-boot camps.” They close with reflections on fractured alliances, Trump’s effect on European defense spending, Putin’s ambitions to reconstitute the Soviet Union, and Filkins’s own harrowing experiences covering war zones—from Taliban executions in Kabul to jihadi training camps before 9/11.

Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Dexter Filkins joins the Chuck ToddCast

02:00 Is the U.S. military vulnerable to small tech innovation?

02:30 U.S. military is studying Ukraine and Israel’s innovations

04:00 U.S. military relies on few, very expensive weapons

05:30 Legacy weapon systems get updated, rarely replaced

06:45 Congress defends status quo to protect jobs in their district

08:15 America spends huge money, doesn’t get bang for buck

09:30 Pentagon has new program making cheap, accurate drones

10:45 50,000 American defense supply chains lead back to China

13:00 Defending Taiwan is a massive logistical challenge

13:45 Is America ready to help Taiwan survive war with China?

14:45 Taiwan produces 90% of the world’s advanced microchips

15:45 If Taiwan falls, the world economy would grind to a halt

17:00 The Asian-Pacific alliance isn’t rock solid

18:30 War between the U.S. and China would be ugly

19:15 Low-earth orbit satellites are vulnerable to attack

20:15 Destroying the satellite network is mutually assured destruction

21:30 China is watching the U.S. response to Ukraine war

23:45 Would Japan jump into a war between the U.S. and China?

24:45 Israel’s military is using AI for targeting

27:45 What is Palantir’s role with military applications?

29:15 Military systems aren’t interconnected for cybersecurity safety

30:45 Modern warfare will require a rapid decision making process

32:00 Autonomous targeting required to avoid jamming

33:30 Modern targeting systems are incredibly advanced

35:15 How much is war desensitized by its video game nature?

37:15 Recruiting problems for the U.S. military

38:30 75% of prime age military recruits don’t quality for service

40:00 Military has set up a pre-boot camp for recruits to lose weight

41:30 What size of military force do we need?

43:00 The fracturing of U.S. alliances in an era of nationalism

44:30 Trump scared the Europeans into increasing defense spending

46:15 Putin has been clear he wants to reconstitute the Soviet Union

46:45 Would Trump defend/liberate the Baltics in an article 5 scenario?

47:45 If Europe gets serious about defense, Trump did a good thing

49:00 How did defense/military become your beat?

50:30 Surviving close calls when covering a war zone

51:45 Watching a live execution at the Kabul sports stadium in the 90s

52:45 Seeing the jihadi training camps in Afghanistan prior to 9/11

53:45 Any desire to cover an active war zone again?

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