How Many Upsets Should You Pick in March Madness Bracket Pools?

How many upsets should you pick in your March Madness bracket?

Too few and you leave points on the table. Too many and you're out in the first weekend.

In this video, we break down the optimal upset-picking strategy based on real bracket pool data so you can make smarter picks and increase your chances of winning.

00:00 — Intro

00:54 — Why Do People Pick Upsets?

03:33 — What the Research Shows

06:27 — What Happened in 2025?

11:09 — What About Crazy Upset Years?

18:38 — When Upsets DO Make Sense

23:25 — How to Pick the Right Upsets

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🏀 We studied 21,709 pools. Here's what wins: https://poolgenius.teamrankings.com/ncaa-bracket-picks/articles/what-makes-best-ncaa-bracket-picks/?trk=rs_tr_mm26_yt