Iran War Day 4 -- March 03 | Yaron Brook Show

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Oh, hey, everybody. Welcome to your own book show on this Tuesday. March 3rd. I think this

will go down as an historic day. I'll get to that in a minute. Day 4 of the war in Iran.

This will be a quick update. I don't know how much time I have because I've got to give

a talk later tonight. I'm meeting the students for dinner a little while. So, but events in

Iran, there were enough events in Iran and actually in Lebanon as well that justify me giving

you a quick update and a quick rundown of at least what I think are the most important

events as a lot going on. I mean, a lot going on in Iran and Europe in terms of the real

alignment of NATO. NATO is realigning itself to support the mission now that they see

the overall success of the Israelis and the Americans. But I think the most important

thing that's happened today, and let me just see if you guys are there. My face is shadowed,

the lighting sucks. Who knows if the internet will hold. I'm doing this from a hotel room

in Durham, North England. Forget about the light. Forget about all that stuff. I thought

of not doing a show because the logistics here is just not good. But I decided to do one

anyway. I can probably improve the light a little bit. I decided to do one anyway because

I got excited about something in the news and I thought I would share it with you guys.

Let's do this. I think that'll improve the lighting a little bit.

One second. Let me just do one more thing. Again, this is kind of quick and ad hoc. So,

it is what it is. All right. I mean, Israel today, or just a little while ago, how to tell

exactly when this happened. But Israel today bombed the building, housing Iran's assembly of

experts in KOM. Now, I told you a few shows ago that I thought that if they were serious,

then what needs to happen is KOM needs to be bombed. KOM is the spiritual capital of the

Iranian Islamic regime. It's where the madrasas, it's where the supreme, the ayatulahs, this is the

spiritual house. This is the spiritual center of Iran to recognize that this is a country ruled

by mullahs. This is a country ruled by religious authorities. And that if you really wanted to

undermine the Islamic regime, you have to undermine the mullahs. You have to undermine the

religious authorities. Now, let's think about how the Iranian government, how it kind of

functions. According to the constitution, there is a supreme leader. That supreme leader is

appointed by an assembly of experts, which functions as if you were a type of supra

parliament. The assembly of experts are elected positions by the people of Iran. But in order to

run for the assembly of experts, you have to be vetted and approved by the Guardian Council.

The Guardian Council is appointed by the supreme leader. So notice the circularity here.

You've got a supreme leader appoints a guardian council who then vets the people in an assembly of

experts, who then when the supreme leader dies appoint a new supreme leader. And there's no way to

elect an assembly of experts without them being first vetted by a guardian council. But that depends on

the existence of supreme leader, because he's the one who appoints them. So here's what happened

today. Today, the assembly of experts, this is 88 cleverics, 88, I had told

us, Mullahs, whatever you want to call them, 88 Islamist barbarians, met in a building in

Qum in Iran to elect a new supreme leader, because the supreme leader of Iran was killed by

these Israelis a few days ago. As they were telling up the votes, the 88 of these people,

in the assembly of experts, basically, this is the entire leadership, religious leadership of

Iran. These are the most important clerics, the important Ayatollahs. These are the people who

run the country. They dictate what happens in this country. Beyond the Islamic revolution

we have a revolutionary god. But these are the people who have the, who protect the

constitution, these are the people who are basically the Islamic regime. It's an Islamic

regime because of them. Anyway, 88 of them met today in order to vote, the votes were being

tallied as Israeli bombs hit the building, destroying it, and killing, we don't know. We don't

know how many of them were killed. We don't know, you know, if all of them were killed, but

this is a massive, unprecedented, hard to believe, blow to the Islamic regime. This is

bigger than just killing, harmony, the supreme leader, because this is killing his ears. This

is killing the entire Islamist leadership of this regime, in one blow.

Takaqasun is already upset about this, and called this Israel's attacking Iranian, the

Iranian constitution. I mean, Iranian democracy, because they were voting, so it's democracy.

I never thought they would have it in them. I really did not think they would have it in them.

This is what it means to be serious. This is what it means to win. This is what it means to

actually take regime change seriously. It means destroying the regime, and this was the

regime. These religious leaders, Israel just attacked an assembly of 88 religious leaders,

the most revered religious leaders, anyone, and has wiped them up. I mean, that takes

balls, that takes courage, that basically says Israel doesn't give a shit about what the

world is going to say. It doesn't care about what anybody says. It is in this to win.

Unequivocally, Trump who knows, but Israel is in this to win, and it will not back down.

It has now taken a step, there's no going back. Of course, what this also does, is it basically

shows the Iranian people that Israel is in it to win. It basically shows the Iranian people

that their government is impotent. It's gone. It's finished. I mean, Israel basically just blew

up Congress. Imagine Congress being an autocratic, theocratic, they blew up Congress.

Now, yesterday, they were going to convene this session to vote for the new Supreme Leader in Tehran.

Israel blew up that building, so they all convened today in comb to do the voting.

And now Israel has blown that up, hopefully, and I assume, again, these early reports,

hard to tell, that I assume with them all is inside. There's nobody to vote for Supreme Leader.

There's nobody to appoint a Supreme Leader. The Constitution of Iran is now null and void.

There is no guardian council, and there's nobody to appoint a guardian council, because there's no Supreme Leader.

And there's nobody to elect a Supreme Leader, because you can't run elections without the guardian council.

It's a perfect catch-22 that works against the Iranian regime and works to undermine,

it makes it impossible now for a new government to rise out of the ashes.

It means that the only alternative is real regime change, an actual revolution, an actual change.

This is what we've been wanting. I've been wanting. This is what was needed.

This is what's been needed for 40 years. I think it now is the perfect time, because Iran is ready for it,

and Israel is ready for it in a sense that finally Israel is willing to do what is necessary.

And it looks like Trump is just going to let them get away with it. Just going to let them do what they want.

So, you know, this is a huge step. I can't take of any more important target.

I can't think of an act more courageous politically than this.

Again, I think it's more courageous than even knocking off the political leader of the country.

Everybody hated harmony, but this is again, like destroying houses of parliament, and everybody inside them.

Now, this is not parliament, so I don't want to give these are morally evil people functioning within a morally evil system,

but what Israel has done is basically destroyed the system. The regime is finished.

Whatever comes next, it will not be an Islamist, theocratic, supreme leader. That is all gone.

You might get a military dictatorship. You might still have an Islamic type government, but it is going to be a different structure, a different regime, something completely new.

And I think this all emboldened the Iranian people more than anything to, you know, going to the streets could do whatever they need in order to get rid of all of this, to get rid of the existing regime and replace it.

Now again, we got the problem of who to replace it with and who's going to rise up, and that's still out there.

But on day four, this is huge. This is huge. It basically got rid if they all died, the entire Islamist leadership of Iran. And that is huge.

All right. Beyond that, you know, bombing is continuing. I saw the entire, the entire Navy base of the Iranian fleet on the Gulf has been destroyed.

It's up in smoke. It's up in flames. It's being destroyed. Israel continues to bomb targets all over Tehran and all over the rest of Iran.

That is ongoing and it's getting more sort of the French, the British and NATO countries generally are becoming much more sympathetic to the war, sending aircraft, the French are not flying over the UAE, trying to down the drones, help down the drones and help down the missiles that are being sent there.

The British are sending ships to a ship, military ship to Cyprus, to protect Cyprus. Generally, the mood has changed and the mood has changed because people like winners.

And it's clear that Israel and the United States are serious about this, that they have any, every intention to follow through with this.

Especially the rest of the world is just going to align. It's also clear that the Sunni Arab nations, at least all those except maybe Iraq and Syria, the Gulf nations are all supporting the American and Israeli efforts, UAE, Bahrain, even Qatar, Qatar supposedly attack targets in Iran today.

Qatar has joined the fighting, Saudi Arabia is supposed to join the fighting soon. Oman, all of these countries which are being now attacked many times by the Iranians are now clearly positioning themselves on the side of the Israelis and Americans.

And that is huge, that is huge, nobody could have predicted that would happen so fast. But I think that's Iran's strategic era in choosing to attack all those countries.

And thinking that by attacking all those countries, they will all put pressure on Trump to back down and to stop the fighting.

And instead, what it's done is emboldened them to become more aggressive and to support the Americans and the Israelis. I think I think what you're going to see here when this is all over is much higher likelihood of the Abraham Accords being expanded to Saudi Arabia and other countries because of what Iran has done.

And of course, if Iran has a new regime, maybe Abraham Accords have expanded to include Iran, the new regime in Iran, who knows.

Alright, so that's what else did I want to talk about? Yeah, I want to talk about Lebanon. Another historic event is happening in Lebanon. I mean, real historic, real significance.

You know, at the end of this war, it is very possible that Israel will have vanquished basically all of its enemies. Yeah, Hamas will still be around with nobody to support them.

But the Lebanese, the Lebanese today uniformly across all political parties, including the Shiite political party that has always supported Kisbalah, the Amal, Amal is a political Shiite movement that is not Islamist like Kisbalah is, it's a Shiite Muslim.

They have generally supported Kisbalah over the last few decades. Today, the head of Amal came out against Kisbalah.

Parliament in Lebanon voted that the military wing of Kisbalah was a terrorist organization that needs to be dismantled immediately. Everybody, pretty much everybody in parliament voted for it, not just the government, but the opposition as well.

Not just the Christians and the Jews, the Jews who have been allies of Kisbalah recently shifted away from Kisbalah.

So you've got the Jews, you've got the Christians, and you've got the Sunni Muslims, and now you've even got the Shiite non-Kisbalah Muslims voting against Kisbalah.

So the entire country, the entire political class of Lebanon has basically shifted against Kisbalah.

This kind of unity has not happened in Lebanon, maybe ever, since the Civil War in the 1970s. This is the Civil War started.

This is an amazing development. I think this suggests the end of Kisbalah's military capabilities.

I think that with Israel's help, the Lebanese army now will be emboldened to take on Kisbalah. Israel is bombing Kisbalah in Beirut, in southern Lebanon.

As far as I can tell, the Lebanese government has basically given a thumbs up to Israel, as long as they don't hurt Lebanese civilians, to take out as much of Kisbalah's infrastructure as many as Kisbalah's leaders as they want to.

They've got a complete green light. And so I think, and I think if Kisbalah's military wing is ended, I expect Lebanon to negotiate a peace deal with Israel.

Lebanon has no qualms with Israel. It has no real disagreements with Israel. Whatever the disagreements are, they can be taken care of. But you could see Lebanon signing a peace deal with Israel. You could see Saudi Arabia, Bahrain.

I don't know about Quaid, but certainly the big fish here is Saudi Arabia. And who knows about Kata? Because they have lost the Iranians.

You know, the next step needs to, oh, Kata has lost Takaqasin. I don't know if you saw this. Takaqasin today, because the Qataris attacked Iran, Takaqasin today accused the Qataris of being infiltrated by the Mossad and being manipulated by Mossad.

Again, it's the Jews, the Jews are behind everything according to Takaqasin.

The Qataris came out with a strong disclaimer and told Takaqasin to mind his own businesses and what he's talking about.

So Takaqas losing his support and interestingly, Takaqasin today came out basically saying, look, the only reasonable political power in the world today of the Chinese.

See, he's looking for somebody to support God forbid it be America that that he will not do.

See, yes, this is even Takaqasin, you know, is losing Qatar, Qatar is lost Takaqasin.

The next step would be for the Americans and the Israelis to basically take Takaqasin to end its relationship with the Muslim Brotherhood, to shut down a dramatically reformed Al-Jazeera and to join the embankments.

Otherwise, it will be left in isolation.

In the Middle East, there's the only place, the only place that is not, you know, engaged.

Okay, what is this?

Yeah, I mean, you know, just in addition to everybody else that there has been a wife just sent me this link to something where it's all infosy.

I can't, I can't, I can't tell.

By the way, the defense secretary, there was appointed yesterday has been killed, the Iranian defense secretary.

So, anybody's appointed to a new position, Israel will eliminate them if they can as soon as possible.

So, slowly but systematically, the entire leadership of Iran is being decimated, destroyed, you know, doesn't exist.

So, we will see how many of these 88 assembly of experts are dead.

But look, there's a revolution happening in Lebanon.

There's going to be a revolution in Iran. There's no other way for this to end, but some kind of revolution.

And yeah, I mean, there's tons of video coming out of the building in assembly.

There's also pictures of the people in the inside.

These are the real mistakes, right? And Israel killed, hopefully, from the sky killed them all in one one shot, one shot.

Amazing, amazing. You know, just, anyway, anyway, I wanted to comment on those, there's other stuff to talk about.

There's Rubio's discussion with the press yesterday about about about the attacks about the war.

I just haven't had time to prepare for that. So, I'm not going to talk about it. We'll talk about it at a later date when I have time to look at all the video and analyze it.

All right.

Somebody is saying, you on, are you now pro preemptive war?

We're going to be the last 20-something years. We have been advocating for preemptive war against Iran.

I was like, God, people are funny out there. I guess I'm going to lose a bunch of my libertarian followers who didn't realize who I was.

But, oh, there's a good, there's a good, let me find this, there's a good Babylon B.

Tucker interviews Sauron to talk about Rohan's war mongering.

So, yes, Tucker's interviewing the devil wherever he may be.

Yeah, somebody writes, this is next level regime change decapitation strike by Israel.

Yes, this is next level. No new supreme leader elected today, and if the assembly of experts are dead, it's going to be pretty much impossible for the Islamic Republic to appropriately select the new supreme leader according to constitution.

That's it.

Pretty, pretty amazing. I'm not sure who is left over there that they can tap to do this.

Just a few stats for those of you interested in stats, according to the latest data provided by the US Central Command, since the start operation epic fury on Saturday over 1700 targets have been struck across Iran, including command control centers, IRGC joined headquarters, IRGC aerospace forces headquarters, integrated defense systems, ballistic missile sites,

Iranian Navy ships, Iranian Navy submarines, interesting anti ship missile sites, excellent military communication capabilities.

Utilizing hundreds of strikes and support assets from US Air Force Army Marine Corps and Navy, and then they have a whole list of all the weapons systems and the and the stuff that they have used, which is pretty impressive.

So that is from Sencom. Let me see what else we have here.

All right.

Iran is still lobbying ballistic missiles, so they still work to be done in order to get rid of those missiles and get rid of those launches.

But the work is getting done. You know, the one thing that wasn't on the list of targets from Sencom was nuclear facilities.

They might not be reporting it. And of course, you know, it's also not on the list of Sencom were all the government offices that are being destroyed because that wasn't the US that was Israel.

So notice how Americans are keeping their distance from attacks like this on the council of experts, because they don't want the political fallout of attacking political institutions.

The US is focused only in military institutions, only in military targets. It's Israel that is doing the dismantling of the regime.

It's like the bombing, the international airport in Tehran, certain installations there.

All right. I think we're good. Let's see.

What else? Yeah, I mean, they're looking for mobile launches and trying to try to destroy them, whether they can find them.

And Iran by the way continues to attack oil installations, ports of the UAE, of the Saudis, of others.

They're making a lot of friends in the Middle East as we speak, which is as it should be, as it should be.

All right.

All right. What else? What else they want to say? Let's check out to see what your questions are. Okay. We've got a few questions.

Thank you, guys. Really appreciate it. A molten splendor. $50. Thank you. Your updates, research and timely information are so important to me. Thanks for all you do. I appreciate that molten splendor. Really appreciate it. All the support.

Matthew says, if you assume change in Iran is the goal, must we take a heavy-handed approach, like post-World War II, to Japan to succeed?

Simply eliminating the threat is short-sighted. How involved should we be in building the new regime?

I don't think we can be very involved in building the new regime. We do not have boots on the ground. That is the difference between this and Japan.

We have not flattened cities. We have not killed hundreds of thousands of civilians. We are not doing that. We do not have boots on the ground to enforce our constitution.

I don't think it's necessary in this case. I think because Iran has a real opposition, an opposition that is pro-Western and opposition, this pro-colored liberal democracy for lack of a different world right now.

I do not think it's necessary for the United States to impose a constitution. It's also true that it might be that Iran never becomes Japan.

That is, Iran does not develop into the kind of friend and support that Japan has. But what is true is that whatever threat Iran poses to the world is being eviscerated and will be eliminated and whatever regime comes after this will not pose a threat to the world.

That's the purpose of this operation.

Now, I'm hopeful that because, as I said, because Iran has these pro-Western opposition that they can form their own government that will be friendly to the West and we won't have to impose our will like we did in Japan.

But imposing our will comes at a huge cost. It means boots on the ground and it means really crushing Iran and ways that I don't think we're willing to do. And I don't think it's necessary.

So I think they need to be given a chance. They're given given the opportunity to reform their own government and to create a government that is pro-Western and pro-American and beyond that, you know, beyond that.

I don't think the United States has to be heavily involved other than, you know, what we want is a relatively free one.

And I hope the United States insist on that. We'll see.

Mary Aliens says, your coverage analysis of the situation in Iran is being a huge value.

To coverage, I can't get anywhere else. It's incredible how you keep up with everything while you're giving lectures debating, traveling. Thank you.

I applied yesterday. I did a debate at Exeter on tariffs and trade. It was a lot of fun. You know, there were, there was a small group of students, about 25, 30 students.

But they were very engaged, great Q&A.

I hope some of them apply for scholarships to ARC in Porto.

And yeah, it was really good. And it was, I think, I think quite interesting. And I think that the students really enjoyed it.

Tonight, I'm doing a talk on individualism in the digital age.

We'll see how I spend that one. Here at Durham University, this is a audience of yesterday was run by the economics club and the freedom club at Exeter University.

It's the Durham Union. So this would be a broader base of students. It'll be a larger group I expect. I've spoken at the union before.

It's always good. The smart kids, they ask great questions.

So I'm looking forward to that. And tomorrow, I'm doing a debate about the welfare state, the morality of the welfare state at Oxford University, for the Mises Society at Oxford University.

So the, and then in Zurich, I am doing a talk on the morality of war, which would be relevant to this at the University of Zurich.

That'll be on Thursday and Friday, I fly home.

Again, I'm not sure about shows in the next few days. Today, I kind of am sneaking one in quickly.

I've got to go soon.

And luckily, the internet seems to be holding. It seems to be a good internet connection here.

But I don't know about tomorrow and I don't know about Thursday. It's, we'll see.

And also because of this news, this particular news about the, the, the, you know, council of, of experts I thought, I thought this, I had to, I had a comment on this.

I just think, think about the moral backbone you have to have to be willing to go after the, the, the entire political leadership of, of an enemy country.

I mean, I don't think the United States would ever do it. I don't think any European country will do it. Literally, there's no country in the world that would do this except Israel.

And whatever, whatever qualms I have about Israel, whatever qualms I have about Netanyahu, whatever qualms I have about lots of things related to Israel.

This is amazing. You know, the, this really should be really proud of themselves.

The political leadership, you know, again, across the board, the opposition completely supports this.

As shown in men's amount of moral fortitude and courage, and I compliment them, they, you know, they, they royally screwed up on October 7th.

And I think the Gaza operation was very mixed. But since then, you know, you have to say, this is, this has been amazing.

Right. There's been all this talk about Israel forcing the hand of Trump that Israel is behind this world that Israel made Trump do it.

And he was asked about it today. And this is a response. No, no, this is Trump. No, no, I might have forced their hand.

You see, we were having negotiations with these lunatics. And it was my opinion that they were going to attack first.

They were going to attack. If we didn't do it, they were going to attack first.

I felt strongly about that. This is all feelings by the way, because the intelligence agencies all say there's no way one would have attacked first.

Anyway, they were going to attack. If we didn't do it, they were going to attack first. I felt strongly about that.

Great negotiators, great people, people that do this very successfully and have done it all their lives very successfully.

Based on the way the negotiation was going, I think they were going to attack first. And I didn't want that to happen.

So if anything, I might have forced Israel's hand, but Israel was ready. And we were ready.

And we've had a very, very powerful impact because virtually everything they have has been knocked out now.

So that is Trump knocking down the accusation that he was manipulated by these ladies.

All right, let's see back to the super chat. Paul Cohen for Total Victory. Thank you, Paul. I appreciate it.

But you know, you say you and he have been advocating for a regime change in around four over 20 years. Yeah, since 9-11 for me.

But if you look at Leonard, if you look at Iron Man Institute since 1989, and if you look at Iron Man, really since 1979.

Leonard put out the Iron Man Institute put out a full page ad written by Leonard also in 1989 when Solomon, when the fatwag in Solomon was, was delivered.

And Leonard was advocating for a regime change land then. So yes, I hope that Leonard is very, very happy.

I'm sure he've used this as just, you know, this is enough to justify any any vote he might have any any any vote he voted for for Trump.

I think he would probably argue this justifies it.

All right, with the agree or not, it's different question, but, but I think he, he feels like this, this validates that vote.

Mike Dael, thank you.

Rooddowns, thank you. These are stickers nature, Odyssey, thank you.

Jean, thank you.

Let's see.

Greg, thank you, Ryan Wood, thank you. These are all stickers. Any one of you could do a sticker as well, anonymous user, and cold savage. Thank you.

Mary Alene, thank you. Jeremy, Jeremy, thank you. Thanks, guys. Really appreciate the support.

You know, anybody listening right now, if you're on then, you'd like to show appreciation for what I do.

You can jump in and and put your money where your appreciation is by doing a sticker in support.

Okay, Jacob says, how can we encourage Iranian leaders to continue meeting in person?

Are they this arrogant or does their consultation requires person meetings?

I guess you can't vote, not in person. It's like, you know, when the Pope dies and they go into this enclave and they all vote in person, I think it's something similar to that.

That took at the Constitution demands. They probably couldn't do it right zoom.

But also, yeah, they're arrogant. They're religious leaders. They can't imagine Israel would strike them.

They can't imagine Israel would do it. Nobody would, I mean, we're religious leaders. We're parliament. Nobody attacks us.

They're religious fanatics, so they're not exactly rational about these things and not exactly risk assessors.

And yeah, that, you know, that's, they are pretty dumb and they keep meeting the generals in Iran, keep meeting and keep getting bombed and killed.

It's pretty amazing. I don't think they fully even now appreciate the extent to which Israel has hacked their intelligence.

Israel knows where they are. Israel knows who they are. Israel knows where they go.

According to financial times yesterday in a story, Israel hacked all the cameras in the, all the cameras in the, what do you call it, traffic lights.

So Tehran has cameras on all the traffic lights in Tehran. It's part of the internal monitoring of people.

Well, Israel hacked it. Israel could follow everybody and where they went through the traffic lights.

Now, if you watch the show Tehran on, on Apple TV, you get a sense of the Mossad's capabilities on that show.

And it turns out absolutely everything they do in that show, they actually do in real life.

It's truly stunning. It's truly stunning. And I don't think it's completely sunk in with the Iranians.

They have no way to, they can't run. There's no way to hide. There really is no way to hide.

Mary Aliin says, maybe Tucker should move to China. I'm willing to buy him an airplane ticket. I'm that generous.

I'm really willing from, from, I think if we do a little auction here on the super chat, I think we could get enough money to buy him, buy him a first class airplane ticket to China one way, one way.

Sylvanos, thank you for the $50. Really appreciate that. Jeffrey, thank you for the support. Really appreciate it.

All right, Paul says, what role will took you play in the future attempts to implement an empire?

I don't think they have any chance to implement an empire. You know, Erdogan is, is delusional.

He's a religious nut and he's delusional. He's got, Toki, he's got Syria. Maybe he's not going to be able to exert influence on Iraq. He's not going to be able to exert influence on Iran.

The Saudis are not going to bend the knee to Erdogan. You know, right now, they're more likely to bend the knee to the Israelis.

It's just, it's just not going to happen. You know, there's Toki, Toki's ambitions. Plus, Toki depends exclusively on weapon systems from the United States.

It has to do with the Americans to tell them to, at the end of the day.

Otherwise, they get no, we supplies of any of the ammo, any of the, any spare parts of the planes of the tank, so anything like that, they depend on the US.

One of the great advantages of the United States being a Hegaman, being a dominant Hegaman is everybody relies on it and therefore nobody can fight against it.

Toki being a good example of that. Matt says, devil's advocate. This isn't in America's self-interest because we're circumventing the Constitution for non-emergency with no real strategy thoughts.

I mean, there is no question that the Constitution is being circumvented here, but the reality is that the Constitution is irrelevant at this point for these kind of issues.

I get it, but the Constitution is so circumvented pretty much every day in America today. And there is an existential threat that Iran poses.

And to sit around saying, we're not going to take care of the existential threat, we're going to let them develop nuclear weapons, we're going to let them develop ICBMs.

And whatever timescale that happens to be because the Constitution, when the Constitution is in many respects irrelevant at this point, right?

I mean, most of the government regulations are by proper reading of the Constitution, unconstitutional.

Much of what Trump has done, executive orders, 90% of them are ultimately in a proper reading of the Constitution, unconstitutional.

He just imposed Section 122 tariffs, unconstitutional. So there's so much in America right now that's unconstitutional to insist on continuing a suicidal practice

in the name of preserving some small part of the Constitution is suicide, and it's crazy.

I mean, it might not be an emergency in terms of tomorrow, but it's been an emergency since 1979. Americans have died because of this.

So we Twitter left arms because they have the Constitution. I mean, that, that, so the Constitution is actually working to kill Americans.

Then, I mean, sticking to the Constitution is actually going to come resulting killing Americans.

Now, look, we should all be criticizing Trump for not going by the Constitution. Congress should be meeting tomorrow today.

Declay, to make a declaration of one Iran and to a demonic Trump for doing this. But none of that is going to happen.

So we can wish for a better Congress, we can wish for somebody to align themselves with the Constitution.

But my view is that it is completely wrong to make that the sole standard for whether

we act or not when something is clearly in our self-interest, and somebody is really

killing Americans, and it's necessary to do. Look, if we waited, if we only supported

those things that the government did, if they followed the lead of the Constitution,

this very little that would happen. I mean, is doge was doge constitutional? No. I mean,

the power of the process is completely, completely congresses. They fired a lot of people.

They shrunk up in a little bit. I'll take it. I'll take it. I mean, it turned out to

be a waste of time and how much happened, but you know, it's something. And look, I know

that the objectives out there who disagree, the objectives out there, think that this is

an immoral war because it's not constitutional. And I get that and I understand and all

the stuff. And look, there's going to be disagreements about application of objectives

in the realm of politics. I think this is not a, this is, I think this is pretty straightforward,

but there, there's always going to be some disagreements. Fine. Hopefully, we can ask

they within the realm of being respectful disagreements and arguing respectfully, although

I doubt it. Let's see. I saw a super chat come in. Jennifer says, thank you everything

you're on. You're the man. Thank you, Jennifer. I appreciate that. Stephen, talk about

the necessary validity of this. God, what do you talk about the necessary validity of

the census? I just read that part of Opa. I don't really get it. He says the census

are necessarily valid without defining necessarily or valid. Is there a better way? No, because

you know, the census are a means of loving reality. There is no other. We wouldn't be, we wouldn't

survive as a species. We wouldn't exist as a species if they, if they didn't give us information

about the true information about the world. And that any, I mean, part of what he's arguing

is that any argument against the validity of the census is so killer because you can't

make the argument without reference to the census. The census are the standard by which

we determine truth. So I'm claiming the census is invalid. How do I know that? How would

I know that? What would the knowledge of that come from other than from ultimately

sense? The, you know, every concept has to come from somewhere. This is where epistemologically

we disagree completely with the impermanence. We start with reality and we start with the

census. So the validity census is, you know, is, you can't dispute it because it biologically

can't dispute it because otherwise we'd be a dead species. But philosophically, you cannot

invalidate that statement without reference to the, to the census and without reference

to the validity. It is self-contradictive to try to invalidate the census. You'll have

to take my study group on OPA, which we'll get, we'll talk more in depth of these kind

of things. Jamie, if USUK can help overthrow Mossade, would we still have arrived at 79

Islamic takeover? Was a tool to take over because people turned on Shah, USUK 1953 seems

to still be point of blame for some leftists. Yeah, I mean, I think that's ridiculous.

I think it's ridiculous because look, Mossadeg, the prime minister of Iran at the time,

was not a good guy. He was a bad guy. And he was going to align with the Soviet

Union, given that that was the trend that the government of Iran was taking. If he isn't

killed, if he isn't killed, then Islamism rises in Iran anyway. The religious leaders

are still persecuted in the name of secular communism instead of in the name of the Shah. And

by the way, the Shah still existed, right? The Shah was still running things. He was

still the constitutional head of the government. And he appointed the prime minister. And the

reason the United States and what the United States and Britain actually supported was they

supported the Shah in opposition to his prime minister, but the origins of the opposition

Mossadeg, we're not the Americans and Brits, it was the Shah who didn't want him. But even if he'd

survived, Islamism would have probably been successful in Iran anyway. Because, you know, they

would have rebelled against the secular nature of his kind of Kami leftist socialist regime.

And given that he was violating property rights and stealing the oil from the Brits and the

Americans and all of that, knocking him out was completely justified by the Brits and Americans.

Adam, catching up on these on the replays, thanks for providing such comprehensive updates.

My pleasure, thanks for the support. Adam, Jamie, has Iran hit Saudi oil fields and does this

all but guarantee Saudi strike back if true? They hit their affinities. They haven't hit the

fields. They've hit their affinities and Saudis are very upset. And they've said they now have

the right to retaliate. Whether the Saudis will actually engage militarily, I don't know, whether

they want to put their pilots in a position of attacking Iran, I don't know, but they might.

But yes, the facilities, the oil facilities in Saudi Arabia will hit yesterday,

before I can't keep track anymore. Okay, one last point. I remember I talked a lot about the

Straits of Formos. They are crucial and really, really important. It turns out China is putting

immense pressure on the Iranian to keep the Straits of Formos open. Right now, Iran does not have a

navy. Basically, the United States are sunk, the Iranian navy. It chips are gone. It's submarine

is gone. They can't mind the Straits. They don't have the capacity. The United States is destroying

their ports, their navy, and their anti-ship missiles. But in addition to that,

they need the Chinese. It's the only ally they have to the extent that it's even an ally. I mean,

one of the things that's happened to Iran is it's completely isolated. The Russians have told

them that you're on your own. And China's basically told them you're on your own, but keep the

States of Formos open. The reason ships are not traversing the Straits of Formos is not because

of Iran mining it or closing it or trying to destroy them, although that might happen.

It's because the insurance companies in London are basically assessing the risk and are basically

increased insurance premiums through the roof, I think, 4x for any ship that wants to travel

through the Straits of Formos. And the ships are basically saying that those insurance prices

we're just going to think anchor and wait this up. So it's the risk. The risk borne by insurance

companies by Millie and London that is basically minimized the travel through the Straits of Formos.

Now maybe if the US Navy goes in there and provides protection for those ships and they start

traveling out insurance rates would drop. But for now at least, the Strait of Formos are closed

not because the Iranians have succeeded in closing them. It sounds like they're not going to even try.

But because it's too expensive insurance-wise to travel through the Straits.

Interesting. I didn't know that. That was an interesting read. So we will see.

We will see what the next three days bring us. I do think today, if indeed the Israelis

really killed the entire membership in the Council of Experts, if that really happened,

then I think we're much, much, much closer to the end of this war. And we're much, much closer to

regime change in Iran. In Iran. There's now pretty official now that the newly appointed

defense minister was killed two days after he took office. So the first one was killed.

On the first day, and this guy two days later was killed. So happened very, very quickly.

All right. All right. And here's an hour before the Israeli bomb assembly headquarters in Iran

where they were choosing company successor, the Mossad Persian account posted this.

This is a video. It says, no matter who gets chosen today, his fate is already sealed.

This is the Israeli Mossad posting in Persian. And it's pictures of all the potential candidates

for the Supreme Leader on dominoes. And the dominoes are falling one by one. Perfect.

So this is the Mossad playing mind games with the regime. I love it. I think this is perfect.

So good.

All right. I think we're closer to the regime change than we ever have given what happened today.

So we'll see, given the computation strikes, this is amazing. Again, we'll see if there's an

opposition. Who is the opposition? And can it rise up?

Interesting. This is unrelated to Iran completely.

The US Supreme Court, just rule 63, the California school policy, keeping secrets from parents

about their children's gender transitions is unconstitutional. I think that's right.

I think that's right. Given what transitioning actually means,

I think that's absolutely right. All right, guys. Thank you. I have to run. I'm meeting the leaders of

the Doom Union Club for dinner in just a few minutes. Thanks to all the superchatters. As I

said, I'll keep you informed about where they can do a show tomorrow. And then next few days,

definitely back on Saturday, tomorrow's Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, no show. I'll be in

airplanes. Can't do one for an airplane. Thursday is going to be tough. Wednesday is going to be

tough, but I will try. All right. Roman says, weapons handouts to Iranians should require an oath

to a constitution of a free republic based on objective law and individual rights. Ideally,

but that won't happen. And you know it won't happen. Let's just get rid of these guys and let them

establish a decent government in Iran. That would be a huge step forward in terms of the security

of the United States, of Israel, and of the West. So we'll take one step at a time. You know,

even in America, we don't have a government committed to the protection, the full protection

of individual rights. It's hard to expect it from anywhere else. All right.

Thank you, guys. I will see you guys. I will see you guys. I will see you guys. I will see you guys.

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