March 09-12 | Ledger Recap

It is May 22, 2024, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.

On today’s Ledger Recap, we grade 28 different positions and dive into the math of the settlement. Despite a 75% win rate, the team discusses why the return on investment lagged and how systemic failures in the THUNDER and SUNS games left money on the table. We take a deep dive into the BULLS and LAKERS matchup to explain why moving into alt-total contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket provides a better risk-to-reward ratio for high-conviction plays.

The episode also introduces the 'Pace Inflation Hypothesis' to help listeners navigate the shifting totals in the NBA. By analyzing defensive transition recovery and possessions-per-48 metrics, we show you how to find better odds and capture missed alpha in volatile prediction markets.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

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"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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