MLB Saturday Betting Picks 9/5/26 | MLB Gambling Podcast (Ep. 1048)

0:00This September the 5th picks edition of the MLB Gamblin podcast. On the Sports Gambling Podcast Network is brought to you by the SGPN app. Get all of our picks and podcasts for free. With the SGPN app. Welcome everybody to the MLB Gambling Podcast on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network. My name is Malcolm Bamford. Coming to you from Newcastle upon Tyne and the Northeast of England today is Friday September the 4th. We are here to handicap a full slate for Saturday September the 5th joining me for our Friday night special is Mr. London Smith. London, what's happening? Good Friday, man. Good Friday here. Squat your heart with her. But we'll get through it. Nice man. We got we got to get some winners out. We had a good show the last the last show we had together. We did. Yeah, we had a pretty good show. So that's been a consistent thing here. So hopefully we can keep it going man. It's been windy today.

1:00The wind just caused chaos with my tomorrow. It was a lot of day. Oh man, you got a garden. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I like my garden. That's great. I've gone I've turned into a little bit of a weird plant guy. Which I like it. It's like it's a Gambling Mentally. Once you get into something it's about a one day. So I started growing a few plants and now I am crazy plant guy. But yeah, the winds caused chaos with my tomatoes. Me I've been fighting the losing battle today. Yeah, me and Dylan picked a few and this is well the athletics. Every night plus one 63. I mean, just keep riding it. So I've enjoyed all of that. We've got a bit of a wild one. Detroit and Cleveland. Discurrently six six. I have just live taking just for the crack. Just for the next 45 minutes while I'm chatting to you. Over 15 and a half. I thought we might get some mad extras. I've been. I've been stitched up by mad extras a few times this week. So I had the with this being six six through six. I thought we might get mad extras.

2:01And I'm due a winner in extra innings. So for the purposes of live watch alone. I've taken the over 15 and a half. And we will stop. I'm going to be a little bit more. I'm going to be a little bit more. Half and. We will start on. I haven't even got the right. Page open. Sadie. Starts with a. I am loading it up. I promise. Come on. Oh, sorry about this. I'll prepare. I have just come off calling an Italian. C. R. R. game. So I have been working hard. Four ten eastern is the answer. First pitch between San Francisco Giants and the New York mitts. We have. Anthony Maline going for the Giants left handed picture. Zach Thornton is going for the mitts who are minus one seventy seven.

3:01The Giants are plus one sixty two. Toils of seven and a half and eight. I found this card quite tricky. There's loads of games that are like minus one or five both ways. I can say at least four. Quite a lot of tight. First thing that jumped out in this one was that the Giants road record is horrific, which is a massive black mark twenty five and forty seven on the road. Malino Malina is pitch seventeen and a third. It's got decent command. There's not enough in his game log really to analyze. You can just have to use this metrics metrics are positive. The swing and strike rate is over thirty percent. The three thirty four X. R. A. is all fine. Thornton has got better split at home. Three yearns. Over eleven in into this last two starts is okay.

4:02I do prefer the mitts that Giants road record of Paulin. There's not much to split them. I would take the met's put it's an ugly price. I don't mind the under eight like I say you see lines of seven and a half or eight. Yeah, I take the under I think Malina can go okay neither offence terrifies you particularly. So I expect both are okay. We might get a met's fall to or something. Yeah, I agree with you only under this was a tough game for me. The handicap I feel like the same. I feel like San Francisco can sneak out of win here. I would look at them first five though. You talk about the role record you know Malina missed all of July three combined runs in one start. And I want to relieve appearance so I mean he's been okay Thornton's just four straight home start so you know a little little bit of comfort there. He's been solid but his hit rate has been an issue now can San Francisco take advantage of that that's. TBD but. Devers has been hot. I mean I think that he could single handedly will them to a first five here with the first five.

5:02Here with maybe a two run shot so I'm going to take the giant's first five but I do agree with you on the under I thought the score three two you know two. One type of game I think it'll be really low scoring. Yeah you called that Devers JT back in the chat is on the table base as well with a little bit of so to three and welcome JT nice to have you. Anybody else wants to say hello it's always quite a Friday night people are doing stuff on the. But what's that we can take the back burner that is fair enough got no issue with that for tennis in Chicago cups are at the Miami Marlins. The cups are TBD I think it's clay homes. Going for the cubbies with Ryan. Goose Stowe is Ryan goo still I always get confused because. Yeah there's a Malo goo still plays for Chelsea so I always get confused which goo still is it Ryan goo still. For the Marlins and this is the one the first one with no lines on with the cubbies TBD long tape you got much on this.

6:08Yeah I would look at an under if it is clay homes goos to us had a really good August two or less and what six starts he's got no real length though so you might want to look at the taking my first five but. One combined earn run is last three homes if it is him he's got one combined is last three 13 school is in his pitch street after missing two months so he's been in good form. Me and Scott like the mayor like the Marlins today I think if the price is good enough here I'll probably take them again here cups coming off of that emotional series with the with the division rival the brewers Scott was talking about a let down spot for both sides I can kind of see. That especially for Chicago's baby they blew like I think they blew like six out of last eight games I think lost so that'll be intriguing Marlins really good to home team I think you're 47 and 25 at home or something like that so. I would depend on the price I would look at the Marlins but. I'm more intrigued with the un I think blood picture can go well here if it is the clay homes. I actually thought there was a run or two more for the Cubs in this and but it is tricky we homes just got the 209 ERA is metrics are slightly worse but is recent forms outstanding is last four starts he's thrown 25 in ins only one earned run giving up so you can't argue with that.

7:24You mentioned the shorter starts with gooster that's definitely something to factor in for five in ins serviceable metrics are okay. My army are only really better but at home so if you want to get them this is the kind of spot to do it. But the Cubs to me I'll say push is still second in MLB the bullpen's are comparable. I just thought there was a run or two early in the game homes over gooster and that was a two not a strong handicap and obviously I haven't seen the lines I might take the Cubs at minus one 30 or something but certainly not for getting up to 151 60 kind of thing would be my angle in that one. The Atlanta Braves are at the Philadelphia Phillies which is a 6 or 5 Eastern first pitch between left under pitch and Martin Perez and Zach Wheeler for the Phillies so our minus one 53 at land plus one 43 with tools of eight or eight and a half.

8:25This is a good series the big series four game gap between the two both are in form both teams Perez metrics of who are the 484 XERA on the road 10% war create is too high last time start okay and is recent forms okay but he's face soft opposition I'm not convinced Colorado the next. My amy at home where they're poor. And what Miami on the road at land return wheelers good wheelers better at home XERA of two fifty nine yet a blow but see that which is forgivable. The main handicap here is a preferable but the Philadelphia home offense outstrips the Atlanta road offense quite considerably I just a little bit disappointed at the price minus one 53 surprise me but my picks going to be full of Delphi Atlantic.

9:26Yeah you know what I'm going to the other side it's not a strong it's not a strong play but I just feel like we it is periasing Wheeler right me I'm just making sure it. Perez versus Wheeler yeah so yeah I mean yeah Wheeler's been a little bit inconsistent 12 walks in this last three a bit up and down at home four plus earned in three of his last five. And you know Atlanta's four games ahead of Philly so like you said is a monster series. I like Perez got to clean up the walk so but he's been really good in August I mean one earn or less in five is last six in August in five of the six starts in August. He's keeping his contact down one home run allowed in that span so you know I thought the number was just a tad too high Wheeler I mean I get it at home big game I do think that he is better than Perez but in current form I think plus one thirty five on paris is pretty good. I think that's pretty good for in Atlanta team typically plays up to their competition so I'll take a stab with the I'll take a stab with the braids on the road.

10:26I've got a plus one forty three long tape you want it. Oh yeah I probably take that when I put my notes it was 135. Give me shoes is in give you shoes is confident about his diamond backs play off stick it was to 80 by preseason handicap the diamond backs was slow burn at sneak in at the end so yeah that's very much on brand. I'm going to count me in give me I am with you. The free roll football contest is back pick every game against the spread for a chance to win up to four thousand dollars and if you say it sports gambling podcast.com slash free roll and SGP and give us back we're continuing to help the ongoing effort to rebuild Columbia go to sports gambling podcast.com slash relief to help today. Six ten eastern is the continuation of the live series I am watching right now between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland guardians we got two lefties going in from the Valdez for Detroit and park and Messick for the guardians no lines I think with this game in play.

11:28I think it's going to be a great opportunity to make sense the old off for an hour or so. Yeah you know and they got you know this a double header today so that's probably a this probably why we don't see anything at all but I run it. If you talk about the you took the over the live over I take the under in that game and I'll come right back with it here. I mean I'm assuming it's going to be Messick and in Valdez if everything stays the same then you mess it's been incredible post all stars got two runs to less and eight straight. You got six plus K's and six of his last eight. Valdez you know it's kind of a tale of like he's it's hard to predict I will say that. He's really good when he's good but he's really bad when he's bad and that's that's something you kind of got to catch a hold of but his handbrake's been an issue walk rate is high as well. It's got two plus walks and six of his last seven if you look at his last four is in between three and four runs but I think Cleveland Cleveland is having trouble scoring outside of today. I know to run that game against Toronto thing only score two runs they didn't get a lot of base runners as well but these these games typically go under I think three to last five have went under so I'm going to go with the under mal probably as long as this price right and depending on the price I might just go with whoever is a dog in the game because I think that I like Messick over Valdez but I don't want to lay a substantial price because I think if all this is own he can match Messick you know any for any.

12:50The only thing that put me off Cleveland here is their home form which is poor met you can't knock Messick's line at all 10 starts in a row with two and runs or fewer and the Cleveland offense can let him down but Valdez 3 3 4 4 in runs in his last four might even do it and the Detroit offense actually let him down is often is Cleveland let park a message down again if it's like. It's not an insane price and I did prefer Messick to Valdez and I'll take Cleveland in this one 640 is the L.A. Angels at the Pittsburgh pirates it is left handed picture you say Kucchi for the angels who take on Braxton ash craft of the pirates pirates minus 172 angels plus 157 and the total is seven and a half.

13:50Angels are hard to make a case for quite a lot of times but particularly in this spot 1 9 in the last 10 23 and 43 on the road a third start back for Kucchi from the I L is giving up to home as in each of the first two. I'm pinched okay actually like the metrics are all right but it's been getting away from him I you can't trust him right now. Ascraft 3 22 X a. 3 0 5 X home you're a recent form is spot on is that's what we start 28 innings just 5 in runs. Pittsburgh one all of those by an aggregate of 25 to 8 I just think Pittsburgh winning 6 to take Pittsburgh on the run line on the. Yeah hopefully it's 5 to the other I like under 7 and a half on K 5 to yeah I just think I mean I just think that you can't be at the angels right now now I will say this the price for the price for Pittsburgh today was way too hot means got thought but it was like pushing 200 as way too hot

14:58out of the way with with Pittsburgh I don't care who to play and they can be playing SGP in baseball team this is not. I don't think I don't think 200 is a way to go but you know ascraft's been good I mean to a lesson in 4 straight you right off the rest of those numbers. If he can keep his you know he's he doesn't have a lot of swinging miss stuff is kind of a ground ball picture so you can keep the ball on the ground let the defense play well behind them. I think we can limit the runs for the angels now on the opposite side I think Pittsburgh's been playing better offensively but I think that they can maybe just be settling for 4 or 5 runs and be done here so 4 to 2 5 to 2 mile both both both of us. I'll take it long day and then it's in welcome nice to have you pirates run line for him as well. Co-signs my pick and miss yellow is made it for the Friday night. Hello mate. How are you doing? We move on. Let me know in fact we will move on 640 Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds just in May for the brew crew will take on left handed picture Andrew Abbott of the Cincinnati Reds

16:05so I'll plus 143. Brewers minus 153 the total is 9 or 9 and a half if you want it lunatic. Yeah give me that now I think this is one of my strongest plays on board I like I love the over if I'm looking at both pictures if you look at May 404071 is last 4 run was he's 1 and 1 and 5 stars with with been walking 5.87 ERA not really trustworthy to me. Abbott on the other side has been core as well as got 4 plus earned and 4 and 3 of his last 5 2 plus walks and 10 straight so if you mix both of those together I think you get this is a recipe for a lot of runs I mean he's also allow 7 plus hits and 4 of his last 5 and all we know that Milwaukee doesn't play with a ton of power but. They can manufacture runs with the way that they're off and set up so I expect this to be a high scoring game out if you can find a if you can find a book that lets you bet highest like scoring game but yeah I think this is going to be one of those but both of these pictures being as erratic as they can now with me saying it watch it'll probably end up being 1 0 but that's that's what I like I think this is I think this is set up for both teams to have success especially Milwaukee so I'm going to go with the over.

17:17My instinct when I first start handicapped in it was exactly the same but the more I looked at it the more I just wanted to take the brewers and I think I'll just take them on the team tool I felt like I needed to take me out of the equation is game log is all over the place which is what made me look more and more into it and you've got a 4 and a 3rd start you've got a 1 out start you've got a 2 innings pit start and the brewers lost 3 of his last 4. What is metrics are okay and he could be going to short leash if he runs into trouble the brewers pen is the second best in the league on the season it's 5th best over the last dozen games so I only think the two options are May pitch as well or he doesn't in the bullpen can take over and pitch well so I think the brewers are fine. Andrew Abbott is in that pile mate I have got the biggest portfolio of dog shit saw young bets in the world this year I've had some absolute beauties David Peterson in Andrew Abbott the top of the list 7 425 3 years runs 689 August ERA I didn't have to go too much further into that so I do like the brewers but I think in a better price the brewers team tool which will be 4

18:40and a half baby in this game so we take the brewers to score some runs we all brought you by clutch parlies clutch parlies as you covered with data backed predictions predictions are updated live during the games which means you'll get updated on to every pitch basket and possession so highlight the best sports books to place their highest edge plays compete against others in weekly monthly and all time profit leader boards and most importantly clutch parlies is easy to use with a simple and clean dashboard clutch parlies is the one stop shop for research and plus evening opportunities the best part is you get one month free with the promo code SGP and that's clutch parlies dot com promo code SGP and it wants to be a millionaire this football season download under dog and jump into keep your million start with the million books and hedge your bets across 20 player projections questions by splitting the cash on higher all over keep whatever lands on the one inside if you'd see you were your out make it through all 20 rounds and walk away with whatever's left in born as funds trade and involves risk including total loss on positions content is promotional not a recommendation to trade promotion issued by affiliate terms apply new customers in select states get a 50% deposit match up to a thousand dollars in bonus

19:49bonus funds underdog promo code SGP and the NFL is right around the corner in the sports gambling podcast is back with our 32 NFL team previews and of course your chance to win $8,000 NFL future with the the 705 Eastern Boston Red Sox are at the Baltimore Orioles sunny grave for the Red Sox will take on Chris a lot of money to the state of the old Baltimore plus one 25 to Boston minus one 35 to lunch eight or eight now I struggle with this one to now I struggled a lot I struggled with this one because on one hand you know Boston hasn't been playing well they yeah I was on Baltimore. I'm sorry I was on Baltimore yesterday and they kind of let me down but I thought was a good game was a good back and forth game. I think both Boston started out really good early and then Baltimore

20:53came back I think they actually took the lead and then they could kind of let go to rope boot and kind of let go to rope at the end. I think that's something that we're going to see here as well. Gray's been you know more of a mixed bag over his last eight got to or less in six of his last seven on the road though so that's a positive. Bassett high hit rate mixed bag three one three one last four at home. I went my first whenever I first handicapped the game I circled I circled Boston and then I saw the price and I'm like maybe a ten bit to half for me so I'm going to take the home dog is nothing in our love but if I if you gave me what if you gave me a hundred pounds now I put it I put it on the orbs. I circled Boston I've stuck with Boston but I don't like it this is like sliding right down my list there's just every time you sort of found a strong trend there was something on the other side of offset it. But like the 16 and 4 record 282 for sunny grey works and Boston and much better on the road that works but he hasn't been in his sharpness lately there's a 386 XERA and that tells me the regression just might continue a little bit for sunny grey.

22:03There's not enough in Bassett's game log to trust him so I didn't particularly want the Orioles the last two game totals for him have been 13 and 14 so I was looking at it and over and then you look at sunny grey's game totals and that's a good thing. I was looking at the game totals and the 4 4 3 and 4 so it just was offset all over the place. Baltimore keep losing and Bassett's poor was my final conclusion which led me to circle in Boston but yeah minus 135 isn't the most appeal in play. Is the Tampa Bay raise at the Texas Rangers this one is a 705 Eastern first pitch with Drew Rasmussen going for the raise the Rangers will throw Jacob DeGrom this one is a match on the books it's minus 105 each of two with a total of seven. The main issue here that causes you a problem is the raised road form in the Texas home form brings them much closer together there are very close match if you use the splits I think we know the raise a generally better but using the splits makes them almost the same team.

23:15The home road splits for both pitches look good towards the under but surprisingly or surprisingly to me at least the Texas offense grades out really well over the last two weeks so we're not much to split them I thought Texas behind the grommow I do like but this Texas offense is live here I'll take Texas minus one or fact. Yeah you know what now I got some trivia for you we haven't had a trivia in a while let's see this is a small it's a small sample this small sample size so it shouldn't be this shouldn't be too bad so and let me see what how many games do I have it right here let me count let me count them up so I don't give you the wrong information okay I have. Okay and 10 games between Tampa when Tampa is being you know traveling to Texas to play the Rangers what is their record what do you think their record is last 10 games one and nine oh and 10 you're close oh really oh and 10 yeah they lost 10 straight they lost 10 straight and Tampa's you know this is the thing with Tampa so they're 15 and five the last 20 on the road just overall the last 20 games in the world of 15 and five but right now I'm going to get a little bit more.

24:27Right now they're nine and 11 last 20 so like it's kind of just conflicting with like you don't know like I agree with you what you said like we know I think it's not debatable that Tampa is a better team but the gromm is been lights out like he's been really really good he bounced back from that horrible start seven squirt as much the athletics he scored he's on a 13 score this any speech street five hits in his last three at home and his last 23 any speech at home out to two earned runs 31 K so like he's looking like the older gromm with a lot of velocity back from whenever he was pitching for the mits I like under I couldn't split I couldn't split the teams I wanted to get plus money on one of them but I could I couldn't get it so I'm going under I would be surprised this goes like to one one zero like this this should be a really good like pitching match up because rastensin has been really good he's got two runs of less in four straight on the road so I feel really confident about an under you next is a 710 Eastern between the Toronto blue jays and the Kansas City roads and his Mac shares for the blue jays against South Lugo of the royals the books can't split these two either

25:36minus 1.05 each or two total nine and a half long take and you split them yeah love to run on this is that this is the easy one for me that I didn't have a ton of ones that I was just kind of a snap call but when I saw the price I saw who was pitching I thought that sure there's been amazing as a plate I mean he's he's not getting the credit for how good he's looking me two are runs of less than six of his last seven if you look on the other side with Lugo 5 plus on runs in three of his last four his hit rate is high I think that since the all start break Toronto is 27 and 12 something like that the second best record in the majors so they're playing well we look can't see these down from that that hot that they had early on I mean if you look at shares as row record he's just as good to earn runs of less in three of his last four I think this is a I think this should have been like minus 120 minus 125 for Toronto to where they've been playing if we can just get Vlad actually hit the ball a little bit they'd be cooking with maybe kicking a grease now but I like the I like the blue J's they get it done right I'm not happy about that because I've came

26:38to the royals but I'm not sure why you can tell I go back through my notes here yeah you like Lugo don't of likes the wrong back I thought shares that might just be over egg because it was a last time I got everyone's because it was a throwback when it in it made the headlines everyone's saying oh what a classic at like old Mac shares of performance in blue up at Tampa Bay raise but loads of good starts in there seven in his school us for 10 strikeouts is the one against the that we're talking about Lugo at a pro last time is August the hour it was eight thirty one so yeah right so mouth oh by the way he finished August the day thirty one Kansas City one four of his five stars there was so hard I'll be there was so hard yeah shoot out game totals of twelve eight sixteen thirteen nine and nine both a six and four in the last ten heart displayed do you know what it was I've been doing okay on the royals I think

27:39we both have been giving up on the royals this week and that was like the coin flip for me this was slide down made above Boston but it'll be down the bottom half of my plays for Saturday but I will take the Kansas City Royals move on let me tell you we are brought you by Calchi on Calchi can trade spreads money lines tolls futures and much more Calchi's great prices for college and pro football you can trade almost anything on Calchi and they're available in terms of state terms and conditions do apply $225 get $25 over on Calchi use the promo code SGPN KAL S H I promo code SGPN and second sports because given away at least 30 million dollars and prizes in this year's handicapped contest sign up and have a lot of play from anywhere if you're going to play you need a proxy head to football contest.com the promo code is SGPN that'll get you $50 off your proxy fees 710 Easton Minnesota twins Chicago White Sox Tars Bradley for the twins will take on left-handed

28:42picture Anthony K of the White Sox so our minus one 21 favorites Minnesota plus 110 total of 8.5 didn't really fancy the White Sox as a favorite here but I couldn't quite get to the twins as a dog either. Bradley's big home road split is the issue he's a whole run worse on the road this last year road start is given up 3 3 and 4 he's pretty steady in his output 90 odd pitches you kind of know what you're going to get from him but K has to go on the no bet list 9 earned in his last two starts you've got a home run problem the whips too high the Minnesota offense is 9th over the last two weeks with 130 WRC plus which isn't terrifying but it's good enough to get picks off K who is struggling I don't mind the twins Bradley put me off I'm going to take a twins team tool I think which will be probably four over three and a half maybe four to push yeah twins

29:45to score some runs on to yeah I looked at the overman I was going to take the twins but I look at the numbers before you know case he'd like you say the 9 earned in his last two part of today he's been pretty solid and he's been decent at home I like the way that Tristan Peters has been hitting the ball now he got he's got rookie in a month in August but lately you know if you look at another trivia for you now six games at home for the light socks what is their record versus been a soda well it's going to be six or no isn't it five and one five and I'm missing by one you'll make sure you do that twice love to you just because enough that's close enough but yeah I think you hit it you hit it on the head but we're Bradley like you just kind of hard to gauge and another thing that I didn't really like about him his hit rate is kind of fluctuating he's also got some walking issues a lot of three plus walks and seven of his last nine so with that being said I thought 125 was maybe a tad high maybe 115 probably it's the right price but I can look at an over think both pictures can maybe give up a couple runs here you

30:47talk about the success that the twins have been having lately even without Bucsden so I think that that's a good that's a good uh sense of direction for an overview so I'm going to go with the over 715 Easton we have gubis use Arizona Diamondbacks taking on the Houston Astros Brandon Fart for Arizona will take on Ethan Peckle for the Houston Astros this is another one minus one over five each of two tolonte eight and half yes not call for me love love the Astros at home I mean this was just I it's nothing against thought it's just that the Astros have been playing really well they're 62 at the last eight starter the IRA is around 208 in that span I mean they're just playing this is typically what the Astros do latent latent this season this is this is what they do the Arizona's you know their offense has been kind of hit or miss nothing I got another one for you now last trivia I got for you Corbin Carrow last 10 games batting average what is it

31:48can you get within all 83 0.08 oh when they're on with 0.083 Corbin Carrow's batting average last 10 so obviously they won't be doing a ton without him you know at least providing some kind of production but it just brought down to it's a bet on on Houston for me they've been a bet on team for me for you know the past you know two or three weeks so I'm gonna keep betting on them I like I like the price I feel like that you know five can go okay but I just think Houston and a bullpen will be able to handle some of what Arizona's lack of offense has been producing lately me some of the other side of this just well you know something's but people people the good thing about this is people were either fed me and bet yours or bet mine and VG so we know I know which one it'll be loved to show good luck everyone so what was my problem here far it's dropped off a little bit um two bad stars but then it was okay against Philly last time

32:53bounce back I just think you have to trust his metrics over the game log the game log is a little bit messy but the metrics are still holding up 331 XERA in his last five starts that's fine so you can run into a little bit of bad look but he's not pitching no it's simply worse this is now a fourth start from Peckle he's building up three innings of two four innings to five innings but he's walked eleven in those and he's been hit double how much preferred the pitcher you know our resultant get the Peckle looking at it again Lonte I'm happy with the side up I'll take the Arizona Diamondbacks 715 Eastern is the New York Yankees at the San Diego Padres two lefty's going here Carlos Rodeon for the Yankees the Padres through Robby Ray minus one of five each of two again with a total of seven and a half really tricky Rodeon to okay short starts from him maximum

34:01five innings he's giving up them I know more than two in drums four in a row not sure about Robby Ray he's still way outperforming his metrics with his game log looks rock solid they're both two and two soon up in the last four that didn't help neither offends home Rode splits changed anything but both bullpen's are top four so if neither pitcher has a disaster that extra half run could be crucial you know we've got a total year of seven and a half that might just be the the business to get us under seven and a half runs Lonte completely agree man we want to say I don't know I like the under we took the under today me and Scott to the under today I think it's gonna be under series I mean both of these teams you know San Diego's doing that to that thing where they you know not playing well and then they'll probably end the season winning like seven or eight straight game to play off and get smacked that's just I mean that's just what the Padres do every every year both of the pictures I mean you you laid it out pretty perfectly I just think that

35:02the offenses for both teams are kind of the same to me and that's singing a lot because the Yankees I suppose they have the better offense so to speak but I think in this matchup both teams should be able to you know get things done I mean the book pitcher should be able to get things done here you look at Rodon's got less than four hits and four straight right raise you know his watch was still a concern low K rate but again if the Yankees can't make a factor runs without hitting the home run I think they'll be fine so under seven and a half I look at the under first five as well now I split a unit on that Joe Donnell has joined us Joe welcome nice to have you under the bottom line four and eight ten Eastern first pitch between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Colorado Rockies left handed pitcher Matthew Liberator for the Cardinals will take on Mason Adams of the Rockies Rockies are plus one ten Cardinals minus one twenty one and the two long tee is eleven now I love the Rockies in this spot love them I love the Rockies in this spot

36:08I like the the kid that's pitching Adams he's three combined in two starts ten Ks and nine innings pitch she's he's been okay St. Louis the reason why I love it is because I like Adams number one but St. Louis is coming off like a really good series against the Dodgers where they probably should have swept him and I think they're going to come down a little bit play to the level of Colorado and Colorado is going to exceed that with the with way Adams has been playing so it's been a mix bag in August for Liberator he allowed five earned and nine hits versus Colorado a few weeks ago so there you go you have a little bit of familiarity there they already have you know some type of of rhythm with facing him he's also allowed five home runs is last three but he's also got twenty five Ks in his last three so you got a really weird number so I like Colorado here um I disagree with is that Joe I disagree with Joe I think it's going to go under I think that Adams is going to be able to shut the car knows down I think car knows when five three male so I factored the Rockies in here let's go the price is horrible whether the Rockies never plus one

37:13ten yeah that figures like take in the Dodgers that mind is four hundred it that's like how constricted a price it is on the Rockies um let's say you know it's the right side yeah yeah yeah you're right like um Liberator was five forty one of your year four thirty nine x your year three three two five and ruins and Lewis have lost his last five starts there's something on your side uh Adams yeah Adams has pitched thirty one and a third but this will be his first start he's been all been out the bullpen um so it's kind of been a lot of over a long relief stuff um conflicting things all over the only thing that I could trust was the fate of Liberator so I've gone for a Colorado team tool um so kind of same play but different I will take some Colorado runs the penultimate game is a nine ten eastern between the Washington Nationals and the

38:16L.A. Dodgers Kade Guevalley for the Nets will take on uh Tyler Glasner for the Dodgers Dodgers are minus two sixteen the Nationals are plus one ninety six with tools of nine and a half sorry seven and a half or eight two good DRAs face off three twelve Fikavali plays two seventy nine for Glasner Guevalley is picked it up again yeah little bump uh Lonnie is smiling already you know he knows where this is good no no I'm a smile and I'm smiling at Joe's score Joe put ten seven Rocky's exact score okay uh yeah he's got he's got a book you um so yeah tell him a little bump Kevalley but picked it up again the metrics agreed the key for him is obviously it's sound just keeping it in the yard which can't be an issue against the Dodgers but I think he's going to be all right Glasner said a wee edge edge you in the only one of his last six starts have been at home and that was

39:16an absolute mess against Miami walked six um so you might just take him a little bit time to set lean his home numbers aren't as good the Dodgers are four and six in the last ten Washington is six and four in the last ten that just one game under five hundred on the road you've got to give Washington good this price is not enough in it Lonnie I love it I love it all those big dogs set so Washington plus one ninety six yeah I love it now I'm I'm gonna watch there will I'm on the I'm on the under as well I think you laid out the foundation for the under um you know last time I think it's gonna be fine I mean he's you know outside of the walks like he's only allowed over three hits once in his last six starts so like I have no issue with with him but I do think if you take a little bit of that first five like you said that make it and maybe take him you know a little bit to get going but Kevalley has been I mean flawless almost I mean eighteen of his last 24 endings pitch for scoreless he's got ten straight games with two iron runs or less like he's been been really good now the Dodgers have been open now we saw them struggle back to back series like eight well even if you want to go

40:18even further back like since that Atlanta series they struggled offensively especially so I really I really like the under here was it eight yeah I like the under eight and then we're almost getting two to one on Kevalley I love it now that's that's gonna be that's gonna be in a running from my dog at the end of the night you better hope it's your turn to go first then here's my it is my turn oh is he yeah okay well to the athletics I can't take the athletics one more game left which is the athletics nine forties to the athletics right the Mariners TBD but I think it's Jeffrey Springs for the athletics who will take on George Kirby of the Seattle Mariners this once off the board with it the athletic spin not having declared springs officially a lot to finish yourself with the winner yeah I was gonna look over now depending on what the price is I'm assuming we make it a eight because Kirby's home row splits are just so drastic he's a lot Kirby's a lot of five plus and three of his last four but if you look at his home

41:19numbers they're pretty much flawless springs on the other side if it is him eleven earned his last two six home runs in his last four eleven walks in that span I do think that Seattle's offense has been a little bit better we I took Julio on a show with when our last show I took Julio to hit a home run he gets three stolen bases instead of in the home room so that was that was something but I think the offense will be fine against springs depending on what the number is I would be interested in Seattle minus one and a half but I do like the over in the game I just went with a big trend here the athletics of lost springs last five starts all via the run line with game total is long take get this 13 15 16 14 19 Jesus I mean well that was eight stop Seattle in the over sometimes sometimes you've just got a rule with a trend like you like the over we can't take the athletics as much as we'd like to so therefore the Seattle in the over it's the obvious

42:23case that would be too short to play by themselves anyway best if you follow that strong trend behind Jeffrey springs lunty sounds like it's your turn to go face so you could have called the Washer Nationals and what is your look now I'm gonna let you have the nationals I'm going with it with the with the luck I'm going with Toronto I think I like Shurser I think we're going to head to head in that game as well so I like Shurser I like the way Toronto's playing it is more so I can understand what you were saying which Shurser as far as like waiting on a blow up because he's been so good lately and that's totally fine I think you'll be good here he's been good his last four starts or three of his last four starts on the road so I like to run away at this price so I'm gonna take them for the dog man I'm going to take I'm going to take the Colorado Rockies talk about I got a bet I got to put my money more on mouth is plus one team in Colorado Rockies get it done in course okay love it I will take the nationals then plus one 96 why the hell no being on good form with the dogs this week some big old prices I'm going to lock up Texas I was the

43:29more I looked at this the more and more I like Texas minus 105 against the race their offense has been surprisingly competent well I say surprisingly just to me maybe everyone else was away but I wasn't they've been going along okay and there's not enough between Rasmussen and to Graham so I'm going to take Texas Lonte who runs have been a few and far between this week so let's get a Friday night a Saturday night winner for everyone yeah let's hope so we can get one so I was you know what I was honestly I was gonna go back to to Julio but I'm gonna go with another one I'm going with Randy Arosa Rainer he's been hitting the ball really really well I think he's on a four game hit streak he said six games where he's had a hit and in his last eight two home runs in that span I think he's going to I think he's going to have a big series here at the end of middle of that lineup so give me Randy Arosa Rainer to go deep tomorrow against Jeffrey Springs who's allowed a lot of contact

44:32a lot of home runs as a late don't mind it at all I'm going to take a player that's going to help you out because I'm going to take Colorado Rocky here oh yeah because I don't want anything to do with Matthew Liberator we said he has a home a problem lately yep um now then oh there's an obvious one as well well I've just fallen in love with oh me oh there's two shit why this always happens I always get to um the tilde medal is Jake McCarthy um our Seacone Barclay defeating run and back um the winner is going to be TJ Rumfield there you go okay that is definitely the first time that's the winner in 2026 TJ Rumfield for the Rockies Lonte I ask you this every Friday party time what's happening go a night club and then things I don't do I don't do a lot of club with me but we're I think we're going to go to dinner and watch some football now it's football this football

45:35season well I know it's your football but it's going to be American football season so um I'm a USC fan so you know USC plays tonight uh oh cool hopefully I get some winners man that's what I was hoping for some winners I won't hit I probably won't hit a 12-1 first half like like uh like the T-Cee I was just going to ask you that I feel like I was the only person at the network you didn't get why woke up this morning and everyone I just received a world of celebration did you don't get involved I have plus 29 and a half I did have that I mean and I thought it was a good bit but I mean no no form or fashion that I think they were going to win the game no no or I mean that was like wired a wire rean it was it was like no sweat like they were up 27 to 7 it's like it's just no sweat but you I didn't have any bit of the money line I wish I if I had some now I wouldn't be on the show today I'd be out party um I wrote a NFL betting guide for British people today to go on this sports gambling post sports gambling podcast website so I don't know why what the call for that is uh but I think it's that next Sunday then NFL no when next Wednesday

46:40Wednesday Thursday Friday incident in a way loaded loading out ex-sign I need to go and find some survivor pools and stuff to get involved yeah I've got two fantasy teams but I need just to round out a few survivor pools and things well that's exciting brilliant thanks Lonty and everybody enjoy your weekend um back on Sunday night Lonty and Dylan I think with the Sunday night special and we'll see you all time in the road cheers