NFL Week 1 Best Prop Bets | Old-Fashioned Football (Ep. 246)

0:00old fashioned football in the sports coming podcast never gets brought to by the SGPN app get all of our picks and Podcasts with the free SGPN app Hey, what's up? This is Sam. I'm showing your listening to old fashioned football You Come welcome to old fashioned football you can't see my face if you're on YouTube Now you can see my face little technical difficulty or just something that I forgot to do

1:02We want to think about that. I'm just too excited because it is week one of the NFL We got football tomorrow before I keep going though. Got to let you know. This is Jay Mark You can find me on the exit Jay Mark football. We are old fashioned football. That's an old fashioned FB And it's another episode of wife's boot beds and to have a wife's boot beds I got to introduce my co host on the pot in in life. You can find her on the exit the nerve mark. Where are you doing today? I'm doing good. How are you? I'm tired Moved a lot of foam insulation today. I did too. Very hot. You know, it's easy. Yeah, but you did too and it was tiring and it's hot out but yeah We're ready for are you ready for week one for week one? Yeah Yeah, and it fell the first games tomorrow. I'm ready. It's like I'm so ready for football season It feels good. Yeah, it's crazy that we're here already, but I'm ready for it. What are you most looking forward to this year with football season? Just the bear is winning the Super Bowl. Yeah, yeah

2:03All the way And I mean, this is if you're new to the show. This is wife group bets where I give my best bets It's a six pack. You know, we are whiskey people. It's a pick six six pack. That's just what we're doing And you say If you agree or disagree with them about me putting our harder and cash on them. Yeah, I'm sure it makes you nervous. You know, I I'm really surprised we're doing this. I'm surprised you're letting me tear apart your bets That's fun. It's fun And I feel like people can relate to me. I'm sure I'm sure some some people You know, I just think of even our friends that I know bad. I bet they don't share every bet that they take you to every bet that you take with me So now you're gonna open my eyes to how much you're really Putting up there. I hear about the good ones. I hear about the ones like that miss my one Well, I hear about those are the ones where you're winning and stuff, but I have no idea

3:05What like you put money out like, you know, I don't know But now you I don't you don't really want my opinions on these, but you're getting them. I'm getting them And I'm a lot more conservative with Like gambling for me is like if I think it can be a sure thing It's no sure thing gambling. I know You did agree with four of my six picks last year. Yeah, I surprised myself there But it made sense you get like it made sense. Yeah, just to recap those real quick Coleson level and eight plus touchdowns this year at two to one Packers one and a half A point dogs. I like that one You did like my alt parlay which was Pukiniku is 70 plus yards struggling 15 plus a dunes a 40 plus Colston level and four receptions and the ETN 50 plus Russian yards at plus 472 Because it made sense to me like I can see all that Happening. Yeah, I feel like it should happen. It will I don't like parlay as though, you know, I feel about them

4:10You also liked my pick of top two any order in the NFC North to be Bears lions at plus 350 you did not like Travian Henderson first touchdown at 50 no one good call because he's out see Speaking about Aaron Donald also not playing week one. He did not travel to Australia with the Rams You also you said you kind of liked my teaser But then you didn't Which this is the one that I had already placed. I did not place any bets tonight Because I was gonna say if you're doing these I thought we're doing these before you put the money on you And I'd say I don't like you know like I already did it That's like that one I Yeah, and I was Niners Bears lions You're gonna Seek your only on these bets that you bring here You're only gonna do it if I say yes. Yeah, so don't screw me over here if you think it can hit you've got to say take it You can't argue with me just because you want to argue with me That looks like you want to We're gonna get to the first bet but real quick don't forget about the SGPN free roll football contest

5:13It's back pick every game against the spread for a chance to win up to $4,000 and or today it sports giving podcast.com Sleece free roll and don't forget as well The SGPN gives back we continue to help the I'm going after to build Columbia I mean, we're giving away $4,000. So go to sportsgaming.com. Sleece relief So sorry sportsgamingpodcast.com Sleece relief to help today and give a little back Then I have to be a ton of money just a little bit, you know, yeah Should we start? Yeah, what's your first bet for me first bet Drake May Over one and a half passing touchdowns. You can find this on they call it the blue book At plus 134 look these two teams just played last year in the Super Bowl And he had two touchdowns in Be through two plus touchdowns and 65% of his regular season games last year He's going to get two touchdowns. I also may have started with this because I know The electric I was just going to say I feel like you're trying to appeal to me and I wanted to start with the winner

6:16But I feel really good about this one. I did an article. Sorry to not to get you up I did an article patreon Ceeox best bets go check that out But this was one of them that I circled like oh, yeah, I really like this And I kind of like this one like right out of the gate. You're like giving me one that I feel like it's going to be hard for me to argue against because you know how big I am on Drake May. Yeah this season and One second real quick got some feedback that the sound maybe off. Did you know you did not tell me to test us? It is fixed now Let me know if that sounds better. Jassy. So many are tech guys getting fired tech guys You graph it guy was already fired now the tech guys going anyways drake my two plus touchdown touchdown passing touchdown Like a dog. You like that one. I do And I had already said Drake, you know how high on Drake May I am this season and

7:17looking at Seattle they lost some key pieces on their defense Um, there's also I was just thinking about this like super bowl hangover if you believe in that so that could be Yeah, you know, I do believe in that. Yeah, and then AJ Brown they have AJ Brown now and I feel like I don't know if this is when you've given out if it's this is one that's out there But I really think we coin AJ Brown anytime touchdown. Yeah, I feel like Put on this list and you told me I couldn't because Last week you said you liked him a lot better to score touchdown than Henderson Yeah, yes. Oh, yeah, we did talk about okay, so we talked about it, but you couldn't Yeah, plus 160 right now, but I like I think that he's gonna get a touchdown. Yeah, that's already won right So he just has to throw another touchdown. I think it could happen I'm okay on this one about that other one goes to Yeah So so okay, but you throw through a bet in there that you

8:18You were betting on me like banking on me liking it. Yeah, well, I like that like I think that that'll happen Yeah, I really like it Want to know so far. I'm so far. What else you got for me bet number two you're ready for bears bet always really Are you gonna have a bears bet every week you can't help yourself? I will What is this one? Who is this around like what is this one? So for those that don't bet there's such thing Called ladder bets and that's where you I don't think I even know what a ladder bet is okay. Well here you go You take the base of somebody's yardage Okay, and then you bet above it and above it and about like runs on a ladder and so This one I'll always the yardage are you going for here Caleb Williams rushing Is rushing is set at 20 plus yards at minus 114 which I like Then I'm going 25 plus would grow in up one run just five more yards at plus one 42 Now if he runs for 25 plus yards, we win both of those. Okay, if he only runs for 20

9:22We win the first lose the second 30 plus yards is plus 220 and 40 plus is plus 450 I like all four of those play the ladder. He's running for 50 yards Fit okay hold on yeah His base is 20 his base is 20 I'm starting in 40 you're stopping up for it. You see Yes, but the base is 20 but the base is 20 Justin hey hold on I'm pulling I got the game logs. I'm pulling up game logs I have a little bit more to say to this though real quick He was clocked as the league's fastest quarterback last year And we know he can take off and run I think this banter's defensive lines a little bit better which means he could get pressure and take off Okay Okay, of the 17 games last season. Yes, nine of them were under 20 yards. He had under 20 yards for nine of them and then He had around 27 and under so kind of what you have week one last year

10:28If he ate against Minnesota. Well, they have a good defense I Can't take a lot of third rank defense Oh, I don't like this. I don't like this ladder. You don't like it. You're against it Just looking at it Justin he only goes over 40 yards three he only went over that three times last season So you like the 20 you just don't like my last I don't even know if I like the 20 whoa Okay, I don't know over 50% of his games are under 20 My bet it is I think okay Realistically, I think you could get I think you can get 20 rushing yards. Yeah, I don't like the rest of this ladder. I think it's So we're gonna mess out on really you have two units plus 220 Okay, just because of we are you basing this off of week one like no, I think that defense in for Carolina is gonna be better I think our offensive line It's a little bit new they named Braxton Braxton Jones the starting left tackle. We have a new center

11:30So I think it may take him a little bit to gel and so I think he's gonna get pressured and take off as as he does You're mixing the games where he got over 40 yards or even got to 40 last season was week one against Minnesota week nine against Angles week 10 against the Giants You don't think he's gonna be better this year No, three games where he got 40 or over That's it. Don't you think I yes of course I do, but I don't like this. He's like frisky He will be better. It's gonna be it's gonna be a great season for the Bears like Not going on with it, but it is I just think that this ladder is risky and I think it's risky. So you're nix in this one I do the first rung and then I'd hop off the ladder about some of my bet That's not my bet my bet's the ladder. Okay, but I it's a no for me. It's a no for me dog

12:35One in one that's fine. Okay, see if I can sway you on some Not that it's not that I don't have faith in Caleb Williams. I just think that There's we've got all there's a lot going on in our offense We've got so many options to make good plays. Yeah, I understand that That's fair. I mean trust me. I you know, I'm a big statistics person like the stats speak for themselves That's risky and sometimes I don't want him to run. I don't want him to take the hit. Yeah, though He's very good at sliding. I will say that organ out of bounds, but All right, well, we'll see if you if I can sway you on any of these others because I'm one and one right now But before we do, I want to let you know that we're brought to you by edge boost the visa debit card Built for online gambling Earned up to half percent cashback on eligible gaming spend zero dollar deposit fees zero plus instant 24 7 365 access to deposits that clear in minutes No maintenance charges minimum balance or hidden costs if you ever had trouble depositing or withdrawing on an online gambling site

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14:37Clutch par lays is the one stop shop for research and plus EV opportunities and Here's what they got going for you today Little baseball action at 910 central tonight 82% edge on LA data crews to have more than a half hit So go ahead and take that they also like Tommy Edmond. Sorry Tommy under half a hit plus 195 They're giving money away the best part is you get one month free with promo code sgpn that's clutch par lays.com promo code sgpn All right, I'm one in one you've liked one you've not liked one So we're here on bet three. I'm a little nervous Because I know how you feel about the individual in this bet But you asked me to bring you a tight-end bet every are you doing Kyle pits you asked me In our pick six to have one tight-end bet you thought I did you already tied in specialist in fantasy football So I got Kyle pits over four and a half receptions. It's plus 100. It's even money

15:39He went over this in five the last six games last year I know he's got a new quarterback in two of but we've been saying that two is an accurate quarterback despite popular belief This is a smash spot right You did this on purpose You did this on purpose. Did you look for it specifically for Kyle pits? I was just looking at you wanted to round me up no you will use every opportunity possible to talk about Kyle pits No, I was just I was looking at some tight-end props I didn't want to throw in another bear bet And go for Colson leveling that did that last week You want me to say no because of Kyle pits, but I can't I wanted to say yes Actually, and say I want to say no because I'm so annoyed that you brought Kyle pits into the show um But Okay, what what does he have to get for five catches? Four now. Okay over four and a half. Yeah, five I see that and in the preseason

16:42Games that I did see two was connecting with Kyle pit. He was yeah had that one long bomb beautiful bomb Yeah, that's gonna be a stud this year and he's gonna earn. I know like I can't throw out the um penics and cousins thank you. I was like I was trying to get Kirk out there um And cousins because like I know like cousins was really he had a lot. I don't have his receptions that year, but I know that he Got a lot of targets with cousins. Yeah um We didn't have those receptions. I can see it happening. I would say yeah. This one feels kind of safe. Yeah Yeah, I like it Um, we're gonna take a quick pause for a fantasy football question now Just a reminder tomorrow. We do have fantasy football starts it But you can always bring the questions Um, this one is from Ezekiel Ruiz. I hope I use I said it right 1466 Should I trade Rashad white for Tyler Oujir? I don't know if you saw this headline today

17:45But on the unofficial depth chart for the Cardinals Tyler Oujir is listed as a RB1 Jeremiah love RB2 It's an unofficial depth chart though. Yeah, I don't know if I'm buying into that Rashad white I think is gonna have some action. I Don't think he's on the commanders now and I don't think jacquired krasky merit is very good I agree with that. Yeah, I think especially in a ppr league. I think Rashad white's gonna finish with more points than Tyler Oujir I can see that I That is an unofficial depth chart and I do you think that we're going to see love like they spent their third like first round Third pick in the action in the whole draft on him. Mm-hmm. He's gonna get involved. I think so this is a Ernett and it might be more of a 50 50 split in the first couple weeks, but Yeah, I kind of I agree with you. I think I don't think I would give up Rashad white for Oujir Okay, we have an agreement

18:47Nick fortune saying how do you feel about kitties under receiving yards 39 and a half? I don't think cats can catch very well. Kittle Oh, kittles. That's supposed to be kittles. I'm sure it is How do you feel about kittles is Nick betting on furries? Nick betting on furries Well, mr. kittles not for at least under 39 and a half receiving yards against the Rams um I don't know under Is he 100% healthy because if he's not And he's gonna be on a snapkout. I'm taking the under If he is healthy, I think purty is gonna want to target one of his favorite players. Isn't he healthy though Is he is he is he thought he's healthy to start the season good to go to week one I think so all right hold on um, I mean, I need to look at something before I can commit to the oh That's fine. I mean, I know they have Mike Evans. They have struggling the rookie

19:50Who I do think will be involved, but he is a rookie. They have T.O Rick appear saws obviously out um Says he's on track to be good to go Yeah, he's he's on track. He's limited in practice, but he's on tracks It's unclear if he'll face any sort of snap count on Thursday Because of that, I don't mind putting a little on the under Yeah, coming off in a kill East hair Yeah, let's say I'm saying under Yeah, I feel like they might be cautious with them. Yeah, I agree and you should he's got a injury history I know Let's talk about bat number four. Okay, because you agreed that cow pits is the best hide-end. I hate that I had to agree with that And I'm too late. No, I didn't agree what Justin Not the best I know that'll teach you for not listening to me while I'm talking Okay Bet number four Okay, we don't exactly know how they show a toot will perform as the leadback for the Jacksonville Jaguars

20:52But we do know we do know he's we don't know how he's gonna perform and I do know that Travis ETN caught a bunch of passes out of the backfield last year He had 52 targets is a running back. It's the same offense, but toot is the guy now I'm taking him over 11 and a half receiving yards at minus 114 11 and a half he just needs 12 Now I know they have Chris Rodriguez there But yeah, and their head coach like said like uses backs out of the backfield he does but we This is risky for me and the answer the ones I don't go for because we don't know How to and is gonna look in the backfield Or how the backfield might be split or caught you're kind of taking us and assuming that two in's gonna get the majority of the work Of course darn toot 9 but he might not be their past catching back Because they brought in Rodriguez. Yeah, they have him. He's capable of catching passes. This is true

21:53What if he's their passing down back yeah But toot and could soak it 12 right out of the gate though. Yeah Oh, yeah, no, I want to see it first. Did you miss when I said darn toot and Justin I just let I'm so used to you making comments that I just like it just Let it roll No, I don't like it. I want to see it happen first. I want to have some stats. This is something I don't have any stats to fall back on and you know me next week this number will be 15 and a half Yeah, because he'll have done so well and I'll like if you want to sprinkle on that fine, but I don't like it all right fair enough Is that you're gonna know it's a no, but you're gonna do it aren't you? Uh, we'll see you see I'm like I know you you're gonna do it two and two so I'm two and two right yeah, you're two and two This isn't looking too good for you. Yeah, you know what Uh, I don't mind being the underdog half and to come for behind and see what you're doing be getting a underdog

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23:5925 dollars over on Cauchy if you use our promo code SGPN that's Cauchy KALS HI promo code SGPN All right, we are back we have serial checking in say Malik Willis anytime touchdown Well, the willis and the dolphins will be lucky if they can move the ball across the 50 guard line So out on them, but Given that he is a he is a quarterback that can move around Um, I don't I don't hate it. I don't hate it. What's the price, but I don't hate it um For my next bet because I'm two for two We're gonna see if I can go three and two three Okay It's an anytime touchdown parlay Par what was that parlay? Yeah, a parlay Chesson Okay, anytime touchdown parlay We just need three players to score touchdown. I like three par three leg parles. Yeah, okay

25:01You like when I show you the third leg Yes Let's go James Cook he's at minus 105 James Cook is a stud for the bills gets a lot of touchdowns I can see the him getting a touchdown. Yeah, Rico Dowell. Well, I think is going to be the Steelers goal in back plus 125 You can see that happening too. Breeze Hall on the jets against the shitty Titans He's plus 100 All of them together. It's plus 778. So over seven and a half to one little under eight one You like the parlay? I kind of like this one. I especially I feel like in week one when teams are still working on you don't always see smooth rhythm. Yeah in the passing game Yeah, that's true. So I kind of like it. I could see you relying on backs to get those touchdowns Especially with these teams Yeah, I'm gonna say yes, Justin. So you got three you at least got 50 percent. I am three and two right now

26:05Shout out to big Joker just found you all and I love guys energy fellow i1 now in Texas go hawks go hawks go hawks Thanks for finding us. I appreciate that um and yeah If since you're new to the show we're giving out my best bets and she's telling me if I can better money on them or not basically We've got start sit tomorrow and normally we'll have a whiskey show before yeah, but we'll bring whiskey next week We'll be back to whiskey which I'm so excited for I am too. I mean it's been I feel like what if our palate is just changed wrong. Oh, I'm I'm sure mine is a little different Uh, cuz I I'm a social drinker and if you're not gonna have a glass of whiskey with me I'm not having whiskey right so you haven't been gonna have whiskey for a couple months with everything you've been going through and Yeah, so What if we are bad at we're not gonna be bad at tasting whiskey. Yeah Um, there's no wrong way to taste it. No Uh, sir. He'll saying the the chowd

27:06What's Presscott door and dart 20 to one um, I I don't know about press got score and a touch uh rushing for a touchdown, but dart. Yeah I think press got good. I think he could but I know he could those are getting some getting to be some old legs Uh All right, what you got bet number six There's the last one. Yeah, I know I can't believe you got me on a parlay. I know I got you on a parlay and on a pit's bet I need to go check myself Um, I know I said that this is gonna be prop bets. Okay, but I was looking at the slate and I like a lot of dogs this week on the money line So I had to do a money line dog or money line parlay with some of those dogs, okay I got the 49er giving me another parlay. Yeah, I'm giving you another parlay. I'm not saying you know third legs It's four legs. It's the four leg one. Okay, 49ers plus 166 to beat the Rams

28:08I mean the 49ers have been out there for a week and a half the Rams got out there today, I think Yeah, or maybe tomorrow even but and then they play on Thursday They're not going to be accustomed to the Australia time uh bears money line minus 164 over the panthers Easy money jets over the Titans. That's plus 106 their dogs to the Titans Yeah, I know you're throwing the jets in this parlay You can bet on the jets. It's against the Titans and the Broncos plus 122 if the Titans surprise you they're not You're doing Broncos and over the chiefs. Yeah, and chief that's a hard game Combine all those it's 18 and a half to one plus 1858 Yeah, what are we thinking? I know that you have like the whole argument with the Rams getting out there so much later than the 49ers Which is really weird. They're going out the day before Yeah, either today or tomorrow. Yeah Which I get oh yeah today's Tuesday. Yeah, it feels like Monday. It's Wednesday in Australia. I think

29:13I guess Didn't even think of that one Yeah, okay, I just that is short turnaround time I know when we were talking about When you had this in a parlay last week That I didn't like it, but we didn't I didn't know that they were gonna go out like that close to the game That's really hard to travel the jet lag on that like I don't know anyway um I know the Broncos Over like that could they could the Broncos are a solid solid team I just think that one makes me nervous and I don't like that we're betting on the just you're throwing the jets in there You're throwing two the tight two shitty teams What what if the Titans beat them they won Zero faith in camard Lots of faith in genosmith breeze hall Garrett Wilson They are they have a more talented offense. Yeah Which is weird. I mean how many teams could you stack up next to the jets and say the jets have a more talented offense?

30:18Maybe two um No, I just think something's gonna go wrong with this one you have two games there. I can I you talked me into The 49ers beating the Rams. I okay. I'm on board with that. Yeah, you're on board with the bears beat the fans Yeah, I'm not gonna go against our bears and I totally think we're gonna have a awesome like one. Yeah um Does it help that our new listener big joker likes the Broncos over the chiefs their left tackles probably not playing for the chiefs I I like it. I want the Broncos to when I like the Broncos like no longer like it. I'm not the chiefs got I was on that bandwagon for a little bit and I have jumped off. I said what are you? I don't know. I just don't know. I just feel like that could be close. I also The jets titan's one. I feel like that's like flip the coin a

31:20Little bit and the coin is gonna land on the jets. It's a little risky for me This is one of your parlays where like you could talk me into this But one leg isn't gonna hit and the one leg that's not gonna hit is gonna be the jets or titans or it's gonna be the Broncos chiefs I'll create this grief. So you're not you're not approving this one because it just feels I have this gut feeling that something Is not gonna go right in there You have a feeling that something was which is what came like good galing you go with your gut Yeah, my gut is saying no So you got 50-50 which is pretty good because I I always knew bringing your bets. I come ready to say no Yeah, you just want to tell me no like yeah, I just save our money. Yeah, just just no Yeah, just so we because they did it so last week. Yeah Next week, you have a lot of bets to recap I do to see what hits and yeah, obviously we're tracking all these four and two last week

32:21Now two of them are futures. So we won't track those well. Yeah, well we'll track them Right, we won't have anything to give unless colston love one scores eight touchdowns in that first game Holy shit Serial saying the long dong pickle tickler you're gonna tongue-tie me with these sir Is Caleb Malik Willis and Jackson dart 60 to one I can get on board with that one Anytime touchdowns for Caleb Williams and Jackson dart. I really like Malik Willis. I think he's a dog poop, but But 60 to one that's hard to argue Little sprinkle little sprinkle big joker jets are crazy, but I'm a sicko. So I like it in tailing. Hey, there you go He liked my bet much better than you did obviously. That's okay That's okay. I you know me. I play it more safe. Yeah, that's fair And I just feel I have a feeling just there's something on those last two legs. One of them isn't gonna Fair enough fair enough. I have a feeling you're wrong. Okay. Um, that's okay

33:25We'll be back tomorrow night like said fantasy football starts I'm excited. We haven't done like anyone who's been listening last year. We didn't do any starts it Didn't stop people from coming to us to start But I'm glad we're bringing that little segment back and um next next week really we'll get the new flow because Like I said, we're not doing my ski this week, but yeah, right. I don't know if you can hear but it is pouring It is which is good because I didn't order the garden today and My lufa my lufa is looks a little sad, but I was like it's supposed to rain it's supposed to rain I don't want to kill myself out here. I've already been out here for over an hour and It's really loud. Yeah Iowa heat So yeah The garden we do and with that note, that's our pick six picks I went three and three not bad So seven and five over the last two weeks. I'll take that. I'll take that Uh, and yeah, we'll be back. Yeah, see you guys tomorrow good luck in your bets. Gamel responsibly all that stuff

34:30You know that uh, but most importantly have fun everybody be well and have a good one Cheers, man. Cheers Oh