Noche UFC Prelims Betting Guide (Straight Sluggin') | MMA Gambling Podcast (Ep.1170)

0:00They won 1170th edition of the MMA Canaling Podcast on the Sports Canaling Podcast Network is brought to you by the free roll football contest. $3,000 up for grabs, enter today at sportscanalingpodcast.com slash free roll. Howdy Ho, did you know it was working up to the 1170 of the MMA Canaling Podcasts? And it's for the sportscanaling podcast Network dedicated to all these school children in Canada who went back to school yesterday. Because we have a very big contingent of a school-aged children watching our show. So it's good to you. What's my name again? Oh yeah, the grandmaster of Flying Submissions, Jeff Fox. With me, Daniel Gumbie, Rieland, we got some UFC going down as you can tell by this title here. There's no JUFC season once again. Usually I like to say,

1:01you know, the fight cards are crap and stuff. The main event isn't what no chase in the past has been part of that is because of the year of rugby. You guys pulling out. But I would have to say, the undercard is pretty fantastic on this fight card. Right, Gumbie? Yeah, and in top the bottom, too. You know, like when you're looking at the fights and you, you know, we always say this needs the answer, a question, love the cone of the event. Like Ken Joseph Morales, take that next step and be like a legit contender. Is there anything left in the tank for Moray now? You do, you got a pair of women who wanted made the championship or, you know, a title fight wanted one, the title fight can, can they get back to where they belong? You know, which one belongs up there? And then, like, you know, all the way up and down the card, you know, you got Ignacio Bahamundi, who's fallen to a couple of Eastern block countries and they're going to humanize the Eastern block. Yeah. And like, can you get over that? Yeah, just like fun fighters, you know, almost across the board, everybody's style is like aesthetically pleasing for the most part. And yeah, and then like,

2:03obviously, like I said before, a lot of questions to be answered. Interesting prospects as well. I would say on this fight card as well. Some people make them their debut, some fighters make them their soft more appearance than the cage. So yeah, like, like, like, Gumbie said, top the bottom, pretty solid fight card, despite the main event falling off. We talk more about that tomorrow. Reminder, Gumbie is on a roll here. He's beat me three weeks in a row and four out of the last five gumbies. So boom, there's still coaching. There's still coaching. There's a coaching, there's a coaching, I'm coaching on my turf. He's only 3,100 bucks behind me now this year. So still time, there's still time. You just have to, you know, a thousand a month, you can catch up. No problem. So we will give you the winners. You can decide if you like Gumbie's place or my place, or maybe it'll be the same. So some weeks we do link up. So I'm off the way and see. Reminder, a couple of things first. Important things. The free roll of football condes is back. Pick every game against the spread for a chance to win up to $4,000. And to today sportsgummpogus.com slash free roll. Plus, SGPN gives back. We're continuing to help the young going after

3:06the rebuild economy. Go to sportsgummpogus.com slash relief to help today give some money to a good cause rather than to the bookies. All right, let's dive into this note, Jay card. AKA USC Fight Night Silver versus Delgado. Glendale is also the Phoenix suburbs. This coming Saturday 2 p.m. start time. So note that. Don't I guess you could always watch it after the fact. But if you plan on betting this event live, make sure you notice the 2 p.m. start time. Tester Diamond, arena 13 fights were certain off with as per usual, a women's flyway. But JJ Aldrich, United States, Regina Taren from Mexico. You can be a lot of next competitors, not surprisingly on this card. That's break or down by talking about Aldrich, 15 and 7 with three knockouts. She'll be knocked out once, submitted twice. She also finishes 11 and 6 in the UFC. She's one two straight four of five. So those who think she's washed up, no, still winnified. She's not lost to fights as May 2024. She's fight down a straw weight. She went

4:1011 and the ultimate fighter, three and one in Invicta. I want to say RIP. I don't want to say RIP, but it seems almost the case. 2014 program may debut for Aldrich and Nynchia reach over Taren. She's been outstruck in the UFC by 0.42 stretch per minute plus 252. No respect for the vet. Kill Bill is it Regina or is it Regina? Regina Saskatchewan Regina, I think it is. Taren, eight no four knockouts, two submissions. One known UFC, Rachel Champ used to fight up at 135, two inches tall and Aldrich 12 years younger. She doesn't look at though. Aldrich looks like she's still like 12. Taren, more active landing strikes and better grappling stats. We saw for one fight that she had. She outstruck her opponent in that fight or Nesta Caracate by 0.6 stretch per minute and she's at minus 245. And as I'm a gracious host slash co-host, I'm going to let come be start things off. Yeah, I'm going to go dark out the gate here. Me too. Really? I'm quite surprised that you like to get it's against what I usually usually do. I know. Yeah, to somebody

5:13who's 12 years older, who's best user maybe behind him. Well, okay, so you said, right, we're winner of how many in a row in four out of five. She lost her last fight. Let's cause. She lost every. Jamie. Jamie. Jamie. Lynn Horth got hoes pretty darn hard in that one. But like, hoes, a Canadian term. Hose. Yeah, I can go Canadian if I'm supporting your kids. So it's the method of the victory, right? For me, that gives me hope in JG Aldrich here. Is that like JG Aldrich threw with Jamie and Horthand and looked pretty good throwing. And then on top of that, too, I really do like particularly towards the end of the first round, the physicality from J. J Aldrich, like she put Amy Lynn Horth, who has sort of body people up at 35 before in the past. She put up against the cage and held her there and Jamie Lynn Horth didn't really have an answer for it. You know, a couple little needs to the body and maybe she didn't do

6:13too much damage, but really like that control out of her. And then, you know, you completely spin that around and you look at how much trouble Regina Taren had when she was dealing with Ernesto Caracete, who first of all, you know, good kid boxer, but she'd Ernesto be taking you down because she did. That's what it happened. I watched her shoot a double like getting on it and finish it. And if she can do that to to Regina Taren, I kind of think that that JG Aldrich could bring the wrestling game there too and especially the physicality. And like, I didn't see anything out of Regina Taren that like really made me say, man, her striking, you said, and shoulders better than Aldrich. So like, when you add that physicality and, you know, two and a half the one kind of money, man, that's right up my eye. I love J. J Aldrich. Yeah, this is maybe more of a fade on Taren than it is. Me jumping right into the J. J Aldrich camp here on the J. J Aldrich train. So to speak, Taren didn't look that great in her debut. That could be just a young fighter making her debut in the UFC. It could have had jitters.

7:17She wasn't exactly fighting top level competition either in Karakata. I'll respect to Ernesto Karakata, but still, as Gambi said, got body a little bit. Aauroge is a dog in the cage here. And this is a big step up competition for a young fighter. And young fighters tend to stumble. More often than not when they when they fight, especially underfeated fighters. So when they fight a step up competition and a crafty veteran. So this really looks like a prospect lost me. It has the making of that. So we're going to ignore that female fighters are winning what, 87% this year, or let me see, 82%, 41 to 9. But we're going to go against those odds and we're going to take to J. J Aldrich. So it would have to be, it has to be like plus 252. Or I wouldn't be, you know, taking the chance here. But yeah, what we both like, Aauroge. So there you go. All right, let's move up the card. 145 next. Mexico is at Jesse Rohos versus United States, Sean King, friend of the top turtle podcast. Rohos, Tachadido is 8-1, 2-0, got four submissions. He's been

8:20submitted once. He owes us some rounds here. This is a debut in the UFC. He's won three straight, two straight via finish. He's not lost. He's March 2024. Regional champ. He's fed at 135 plus 155. And he's two weaves older brother, right? Even though he's super young. Yeah, even though he's young. King, the king of New Orleans. I get the, I get the pond now, Gummy, King and the King. Because the king or King of New Orleans was drunk or a dog, but I guess he's playing on his name. I get it. Six and a three knockouts. One submission. This is a debut in the UFC. He owes us rounds three straight wins via finish. He used to fight at 155. Three just tell it four inch reach advantage over Rohos minus 156. All right, I'm going on the, I was hoping he'd be a dog here, but I'm going with Sean King here. Explosive power and speed. Like he's so fast in the cage. Very good offensive grappling. I've seen him control on the ground. He didn't get himself tapped out or anything, which is good because Rohos, those Rohos brothers know how to, know how to grapple a bit. And I like obviously his size advantage. He's pretty huge for this lower weight class.

9:24But yeah, it's mostly, he's just so explosively fast. And once he roots, he pounces and quickly finishes his opponents here. So I like to strike. I always take strike over grappler, but I think he's got a little bit of grappling in his back pocket as well. But once again, they explosive power and speed is it. I think it's what's going to do the trick. So give me the King of Noraleans here. Yeah, I agree entirely. I really like Sean King. I've liked him as a prospect for some time. I think my biggest piece here is going to be the size because I think when we broke down Jesse Rosas, who was about to make his debut, I said, you know, the way he comes forward with pace can be really trouble for people. In fact, I was prepared to pick Jesse Rosas over Miles Johns when he did debut. Yeah. And, you know, I still kind of stand by that because he has that pace and that pressure that could sort of bring that. And I didn't think John's would want to go to the ground with him because he is such a good grappler. But here, I think, first of all, Sean King should have the advantage on the striking because he's so much longer. It's hard to turn up the pressure on a guy who is longer like that. And as you mentioned, probably faster too, you know,

10:29so then it comes down to Ken Jesse Rosas fall back on that grappling that he really loves and the Jiu Jitsu that he really loves. And Sean King comes from a wrestling background. I know everybody's talking about his striking and all his knockouts. The dude comes from a wrestling background. I really do think there's a good thing that he just, especially with the distance management he has. It's going to be really hard for Rosas to get on the inside. I think you're going to see King pick him apart. So yeah, I love love Sean King here. I too was surprised. The book on him as well. Because Rosas is like the name and was already signed and he was going to be a contender series and they had to bump him up for it. But like, I mean, I think it's the right call, but it's still kind of like surprising that they got it right. Yeah, one part we need to mention, Rosas Rosas was supposed to fight. How long ago was that? What's just about long ago? Month ago, Paul Del last minute. Was there a weight cut? I don't think we really found out. I think they never really said, but the timing really read like a

11:30botched weight cut on a short go. Yeah, which is not good that he's trimming around and having to try to cut weight again too. So that's another thing that could play into this. Even if he does make weight, it could play into the cardio advantage and disavantage and stuff like that too. So yeah, Sean King. I like what I've seen of him on tape. Looks like a really interesting prospect here. So all right, we're both in on the same two fighters to kick things off. Let's tell you about what edge boost. Oh, yes, we're brought to you by edge a boost. They are back. The Visa debit card built for online gambling. You're going to earn up to 0.5% cash back on eligible gaming spends or spending. I think it should be a zero dollar deposit fees plus instant 24, 7, 365 access to deposits that clear in minutes. No maintenance charges, minimum balance or hidden costs. If you've ever had trouble depositing a withdrawing on an online gambling site, you need the edge boost card. Sign up for edge boost today at edge boost.io and use promo code SGPN to claim your exclusive offer of a $100 deposit match. So if you sign up,

12:33deposit a hundred bucks and let support no SGPN sent you and they'll match the $100. So once again, edge boost.io promo code SGPN for one time $100 deposit match. Given away free money, a clutch parlase, we're brought to you by clutch parlase as well. Clutch parlase has you covered for data with data back predictions. The predictions are updated live during the games, which means you get updated odds to every pitch, basket and possession. And they also highlight the best sports books placed their highest edge place. We have against others a weekly monthly and all time profit leaderboards. Most importantly, clutch parlase is easier to use with a simple and clean dashboard. I use it every day. I've used it to make baseball plays for sports given bogus.com. I hit seven straight and nine of 10s. Obviously, clutch parlase and knows what they're doing as do I, obviously. Gummy's going to give you when you play. He's been checking up clutch parlase too for baseball. I guess there's football on there now too, right? Is that season? Yeah, they got the football and college football on there. So make sure you check both of those out. But we're checking out here on Wednesday, the Kansas City Royal over the diamond backs. I've been actually back in

13:34the diamond backs a lot, but clutch parlase telling me pump the brakes here on Wednesday and get behind the royals. So we're going to do this. That Royal has been hot. So they must know what they're talking about. Best part. You get one month free with promo code SGP. So go to clutch parlase.com. Use our promo code SGP. Oh, yeah. Did you see who showed back up Denise? He's still allowed gummy. He showed up. I know. I know. And before the episode we drop that said we're on the word. He was in jail. I thought it was me. And me spreading false rumors about him. But nope, he came back even before that anytime you screw up, we can count on him to come and correct us. So politely correct. All right, let's go back to Glendale. We've got 155 next. Rafa Garcia. I want to call him Hafa. Maybe he can move to Brazil. We can call him Hafa. So Rafa Garcia, he's from Mexico, wrong Jew from China, a little late for the Shanghai card. They're having him fight. Does he train over in the States? Is that why he's playing in this card and not in the Shanghai card? He trains over there. I think he does train back it, but also I think he

14:40does have a gym. I want to say sin. I could be wrong about that. I think it was on this side. Yeah, yeah. Because I'd be pissed off of the or fighting in my home country. And then instead, I a week later, I had to fly across the world. And yeah, let's break her down. Gifted Garcia has 18 and four two knock of eight submissions. He's been knocked out once. So he's durable. 7-4 on the UFC. He's won three straight and five out of six. He was a regional champ. He's fought down at 145. Made his pro debut in 2014. He's been out of struck in the UFC by 0.14 strikes, printed. He's at plus 170. Little Yama is wrong, wrong Jew. 28 and 6 16 knock of six submissions. He's been knocked out once, 24 times. 4 and 3 in the UFC over two stints. This one's going much better. He's won three straight and seven of eight. TKWM came in his last bout. He's not lost since September, 2024. So like I said, nice little run here. He's won three. He went three and all and wrote to UFC won the championship. That's what got him back into the big show here. I used to miss weight twice at 155. So keep an eye on these scales if you want to bet this fight

15:41on Friday. I haven't mentioned a while, but fighters that miss weight 10 to lose their belts. It kind of counterintuitive. You think, you know, heavier fighter should win, but that's not really the case. 40% of the time the fighter misses weight wins. So you're better, you better to make weight. All right, he used to fight at 135 and 145. This might not even be a make 155 now. Regional champ 2016 pro. I'm made debut. He's Twitch or Starlin Garcia, six years younger. He's more active line in strikes. He's outstruck his points by 0.77 strikes per minute. Is that minus 178? My turn. I'm going to go with Rathakar. See you. I don't trust the grappling defense of Rangu. You notice if you go back on his record, you know, four of his six losses have come by submission. I know his, it's usually just like purely at the takedown defense numbers, right? They're not bad. You know, I think he's in the 70s or 80% in terms of his takedown defense. But really, I kind of think it's an instance of where is that takedown defense coming from?

16:46And it's like stuffing Austin Hubbard. It's like, you know, not throw a shaded Austin Hubbard here, but it's stopping that level of wrestler. And even though I picked up a takedown or two in that fight, too, but it's stuffing those guys who are boosting up his numbers. And then when you really boils down to it, like when he is on the ground, he's kind of a fish out of water. And not for anything. Rathakar, see you. Nice little run in especially good ground. Like he's got a really good wrestling game. He has the ability to come with punches and in moments where you're like, man, he just like found that second wind in that moment and like throws with his whole ass again. And you're like, it's impressive. And for me, I think all of that sticks out against the guy like wrong shoe. I'm not really worried about any durability issues. Like I don't know what wrong shoes path to victory here is other than just like out pointing them on the feet. Because I think that's pretty much what he'd have to do to be Rob Agrar, see?

17:48I hear all that. I am worried about takedowns it, but I am going to go with with the favorite here. Um, striker overgrapher, youth power, um, plus the strikings on his side, but it could look bad if he gets taken out and held down. So, um, I'll take wrong shoe. Gumby had to take a dog because your dogs told you to, right? It linked up her. They were going not they heard Rob. They're going not to take rough. A little, little Mikey Bisping was having a good time up there. Exactly. Yep. Gumby has Michael Bisping in his house. This is true. All right. We are sticking with 155. Drockar close from the States. Tommy Gantt from US as well. So no Mexican fighters here. They don't even know they've even sound Mexican, Mexican sign of names. All right, close. 16, 3 and 1 with 6 knockouts. He's knocked out twice. 10 and 3 in the UFC is from 506, 8 of 10. He did win his last belt. It's back in August of 2025. We've not seen much of this man recently. Now, regional champ 2014 pro on May the Abuse. He's more active when he strikes and Gantt. He's outstruck his points by 0.6 strikes per minute plus 401. Gantt, 12 and 0, 1 no contest,

18:516 knockouts, 5 submissions. 1 no on the UFC, 1 no offense, he's won 8 straight, 6 straight, the finish. Mont-Rigel champ chips on his. Man, so correct. Good, emerged sports, getting the points to come. Slash store. Remember football, I check out. We'll get you 25% off, which is by my mouth a very generous giveaway for us. Very Gantt used to fight at 171.85, 01 in pro wrestling. I'm not sure if it's RAF, but that's type of wrestling. He was in all American wrestling. He was in RA after pro now. Was he okay? He was in all American wrestler in college. Two inches, charlotte and close, six inch reach. Five years younger, better grappling stats. He's outstruck his points by 2.07 strikes per minute minus 400. I like Drakkar close, but I can't pick him here. He's just been far too inactive over the past few years. He's got a very nice record. 1631 is a sneaky good rocket, but he just hasn't been active enough. He's facing a bad matchup here, a guy who's going to be outgrapal him, way bigger than him, way younger than him, and has been super active recently. He started fighting like two years ago. He's had 13 fights

19:55in two years. Gantt has. So, pretty active fighter here. Give me Gantt. He needs one of DCs, guys, too, if I'm not mistaken. That would make sense. I'm at Drakkar close fan, too. I think that one was one of the top three that he's got the wrestling to keep it on the feet. He's surprisingly good with the hands and stuff like that. I don't know that he's got the wrestling to keep it on the feet. He certainly does have a really advantage in this fight. You mentioned the time off. This time, if I'm not mistaken, this one was for the birth of his child. Another one. He's very close. I think they just had another baby. Not that that should be a handicap, you can use against people, but also like his. It's been questioned about what training will fight at that time. He's got a professional fighter for a wife. I'm sure she understands the schedule. We both have kids. I don't envy him going through a fight camp or being in a fight

21:01camp shortly thereafter. It's certainly not one with a dude who's athletic as Tommy Gantt. This really feels like the UFC knows they have something in a fun American wrestler like Tommy Gantt. Who could he match up really well with to run up the rankings as fast as possible? And it kind of feels like Dracarcle, so it was the right answer. Dude, who's got seven inches less of reach and probably can't wrestle him? Yeah, that's a good match for Gantt. So I'm going to I like how you say was. It was not stab kits. It's a past. It's in the past. It's less not than it was when it first happened. There's always fun. Now, regardless of the age, even when they're grown up. All right, we got non-masking fighter for sure here. Tunisia. Have we ever spoken of a Tunisian fighter? Well, we've spoken of him before. Yusri, Belgari, he's fighting Jordan Stantos from the Netherlands. Is that what he was saying? Listen, he's from the Netherlands and trains in Connecticut. Oh, okay. Let me see. Topology always has like multiple countries, which is fun.

22:03All right. He is the flag, which I haven't, oh, you remember seeing this fight for Tunisia. He was born in Holland. He's fighting out of Connecticut. Where is the Tunisia park on? He's playing ancestry, I would guess. I guess so. I know he fought for level. Stant was like a big representation of the Dutch kickboxing scene in the Netherlands. He trained to Connecticut with Glover in the Netherlands. Yeah, interesting. Interesting. I know someone who knows Denise. Denise, let us know. Let's tell you about Shakur, Stantos. 11 and 3. Three knockouts, four submissions. He's been submitted once. Durable. One, two in the UFC. He's taken his fight on short notice. Lost him in loss over his last three, six and two over his last eight. He got subbed in his last bounce, subbed on the bad end and L. One little cadenna series, regional champ. He's fought at 172 or five and heavyweight. 2015 pro MMA, a debut. He's five years younger than Belgari. We're active lighting strikes and better grappling stats. Then his baby face assassin opponent. He's been up. He has a strike boy. Can't talk. Plus point two nine is his strike differential,

23:10so barely in the positive, but it is a positive. Another positive is his number at the books plus 600. All right, baby face assassin is Belgari. We also have an assassin baby coming up. Tomorrow's episode. So he is 10 and three. This assassin with eight knockouts. He's never been finished. Durable. Two in only UFC. One and one cadenna series. Do you remember who he beat and who he lost to? Oh, see that beat for didn't he not beat Lucas Fernando? Now we got to school now. I'm going to wait for you. Not you. Uh, he, no, he beat. Oh, no, I was sucky. Oh, I don't remember. Tiger. I was sucky. Then he lost to the short kickboxer, dude. I'm a kid. Why can't I remember who's that? He lost number two. No, not short kickboxing guy. Marko's Tulio Silva cost. Oh, no, that's not what I thought. Marko Tulio. Yeah, there you go. See, it's all a blur now for gum. He's finally, age is finally catching up. All right, so one one cadenna series. He's one five straight seven of eight three straight wins via TKO. He's not lost

24:15since I think that cadenna series five, which was August of 2023. Regional champ. He's fight up at 205 27 and seven kickbox in the champion there. Six inch of tolerance Santos four inch reach a advantage better striking stats. He's outstruck his UFC and cadenna series points, but almost four strikes a minute plus three point nine three, which is very hefty number minus five sixty seven. Another hefty number. Yeah, you got to go Beligore here, right? Like I, uh, Santos is just like the worst kind of drinker. Just trying to fight somebody like Beligore. I like he's quite down on your mouthpiece. March forward, uh, swing from your toes, hope a home run hits and like, look, it's work for him in the past, but like the path to victory for beating Beligore has got to be forcing him to grapple, pushing him up against the cage, making this a nasty fight, right? Like, if you want to beat him, you need to be like Joe Piper, or you know, you need to be somebody like that. And like actually Beligore's take down defenses improved vastly in his last couple of fights, too. Like we've seen him, you know, uh, deal with some of was it was it? Man, sir, up to Maliki.

25:20Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. And like, you know, if he's stuffing the takedowns there and then beat him up on the feet, like, man, like it's, it's getting to the point where this dude is going to be an actual problem here, but he's especially going to be a problem for a dude who can only throw the home run punch because like, he's way too long, fight way too well in a kickboxing stance to get caught by a dude who's just like slugged. Uh, so yeah, I think Beligore here, I think he probably wears down the tent and then gets a KO wait. Straight slugging. Yeah, I'm in on him as well, obviously here, especially on a short notice. So, um, maybe a drastic way cut, gonna be easier on Occam also. Yeah, Buggery and I already checked the knockout props still in the negative as well. So not worth it. Candidately in the knockout. Yeah. Maybe first round knockout, if you want to get fancy, but I haven't really dived into a dog into that and checked if that makes sense at all, um, with the, with the past or not. But yeah, we both agree. Babyface assassin is

26:23going to win the fight. Um, I wouldn't plan on you play the money one if you want. Do whatever you want with your money. Who might I say? Um, I would. Uh, I don't know. I'll go ahead and say, let's tell you about that. You should do it some of the use some of your money for this. Uh, who wants to be a millionaire of this football season, download a dog and jump in to keep your million. Here's how it works. Start with a million dollars. Head your bets across 20 player production questions by splitting your cash on higher or lower. Keep whatever lands on the winning side, but if you had zero, you are out. Make it through all 20 rounds and you walk away with whatever's left in the bonus funds. Trading involves risk, including total loss on positions, content is promotional and not a recommendation to trade promotion issued by affiliate terms apply. Can I just keep the 100 million dollars they gave you up and start? I'll just keep that. I'll cash out. Um, all right, Gumby's gonna give you a play, which could help you win a million dollars, maybe. Yeah. Well, yeah, well, so we'll stick with the football because, uh, you know, hey, football opens up today here on Wednesday. We'll be, uh, we're gonna take Dex and Smith and Duke, uh, higher than half a touch. I think he finds the end zone here against the Patriots. I think, uh, the projections are low on him

27:27right now because he didn't do a ton in the Super Bowl, but that's back when the Seahawks had some running backs to use and, uh, you know, we're, we're a head pretty early in that game. So they're not gonna be ahead as early in this one. Got a little bit less in terms of weapons. Uh, I think they lean on JSN and he finds the end zone. I didn't realize there was a Wednesday game. There's no Thursday game. That's right. No, Wednesday and Thursday. Wow. Wednesday. Yeah. There it is every day, every day they're taking over NFL. All right, new customers in select states can now get up to 50% of odds of match up to $1,000 in bonus funds. Only if you go to Unut dog fantasy and use our promo code to sign up MMA SGPM. We're also brought to by Kalshi and Kalshi. You can trade spreads, money lines, totals, futures and much more. Kalshi is great prices for college and profile. You can trade almost anything on Kalshi in the rebel in a ton of states. Terms and conditions do apply. Um, go check out the futures there. Check out our sites for scumapogues.com. We'll give you some suggestions on futures and you head over to Kalshi, trade 25 bucks. You can get $25 on Kalshi. If you use our promo code SGPM. So Kalshi is Kalshi,

28:31Jai and the promo code SGPM. All right, we have got three fights left on today's episode and then we'll have the premiums wrapped up. All right, um, we have Ignacio Bajamandez from Chile up next. He's fighting to move some solace from Russia as Gambia said. They keep sending them fighters from the same part of the world and seeing if he can finally beat one. So this is at a Walter weight. Tell you about the King of Kung Fu, Solikov 20. I wrote him off. So many fights going here. He is still in UFC 22 and six 15 knockouts, two submissions. He's been knocked out three times spent twice nine and five in UFC. He's won three of four four of eight got T. Kouten's last belt. He used to fight on 185. 2011 program made a view. He's a Moitai champion. He's got multiple gold medals in Sanda on world level and the Olympics also demonstrations for the time. But he got a gold medal there. But a strike in a grappling stats in Bahamandez. He is upstruck as UFC points by 0.41 strikes per minute plus 456 on the betting board. The Hula, the cage or the Jula,

29:34a 17 to 7 11 knockouts, two submissions. He's been a submitted twice. He's a durable six and four on the UFC. He's dropped two straight though. Bahamandez before that he had won three straight. He used to fight a 155. He's missed weight, he missed weight twice there. He's probably out of his proper weight class now. One of the industry's regional champ 2015 program made a view. Four inches taller, five inch region manager of Salikov, 13 years younger. We're at the blending strikes of Salikov. He's upstruck as well. One point nine two strikes per minute minus 456. Bahamandez is disciplined, uh, disciplined me at the very least. I guess this is a get back on track fight, but it's a dangerous one because Salikov can still crack. I'm going to go up Bahamandez. I don't like the lying because like it's a Salikov can very easily catch him. I've written him off. I wrote him off years ago and he's knocked up people since then. I think the size and the length and the youth and the power coming back at Salikov will will be enough for Bahamandez to win the fight here, but like I said, I wouldn't, uh, I'd steer clear clear this line for minus 456. Yeah, I'm also steering clear of Bahamandez,

30:38but not enough to pick Salikov. Uh, as you mentioned, like his path to victory usually is throwing spinning back kick to the liver. I get somebody out in like a whole area of way. Uh, this is also like Bahamandez has never been knocked out. You know what I mean? Like, and now he's going up in way, you're going to give him more water on his brain. You know, like it's like it seems like everything points to Bahamandez winning here, but like to your point, he looks so bad in his last two fights and he really went from looking like a prospect to looking like, what are we doing here? Uh, I think being up in weight class should help that. It might allow him to like turn up the pace on the King of Kung Fu a little bit too, which could really help him. And then I think yeah, the length is probably too much here for for Salikov. So I'm going to go Bahamandez. Uh, but yeah, like I wouldn't, wouldn't go out of my way to Sikham and a daily fantasy lineup or anything like that. Like I'm probably just hoping he wins here and maybe keeping him out of ways.

31:38Yeah, we don't hedge. We don't pass. So we're going to give you the winner. But yeah, it's, I can say, if it's a get right fight, then it's a dangerous one for sure, or the very least. All right, main amount of the prelims. Uh, watch, uh, no, watch, wait, it's fly away. So Tim Elliott, in the United States, Egor Sharri is from Mexico. We'll tell you about Elliott 21-14-1. Three knockers eight submissions. He's been knocked out once submitted six times, 10 and 12 in the UFC over two runs. He's one, two, three, four of six, but he did lose his last bout. He's fight up at 135, four, no, the ultimate fighter and won his season regional champ as well. 2009 pro on May debut. He's outstruck his opponents in the UFC by 0.51 straight to per minute. Better grappling stats in Sherees plus 185 Sherees pure with Chakali pure Mexican. 14 to six one no condes four knockouts nine submissions. He's been submitted twice durable. Four on two with one no condes in the UFC. He's won three straight and four or five. Smeishman came in his last bout. He's not lost at fights since September 2024. Oh,

32:39one of the contestants here is because who got him? Oh, God, it's your Sherees. Man, you don't remember anything anymore. This is really just one. Is it Josh Vander? Was that early in the UFC that Josh Vander smoked? That sounds like you have seen me, but I, you know, me, uh, that was UFC. I was, uh, he lost two, lost a tire in the UFC as well. Clayton Carpenter. Oh, okay. Yeah, he was the Clayton Carpenter. Long time ago. Yeah, okay. Those were long time ago. Galaxy Fire for our way. All right. 2016 pro and me debuted for Sherees. Fight each region manager of reality yet 10 years younger. We got a lot of new versus old fighters in this car. More active line strikes than Elliott. He has been a stricter on the UFC in the contenders. He's by almost a strike a minute minus 0.95 minus 186. Let's see if Gumby does it or not. You know, I'm gonna, you know, I'm gonna. I'm gonna. I'm gonna. Yeah. I'm. I'm. I like to. I like to. I like to. Uh, and here's why I like to. Melville here. Uh, first of all, you know, and, and I've said this a billion times on this podcast before.

33:41He's funky. Misses enough to mess people up on the right. Like her dangles, uh, sticking his fingers in your clothes. Um, whatever. Like, who did he do that to the, uh, oh, guys, oh, guys stuff. Yeah, yeah, he's, he's got a lot of veteran stuff going on there. And so like, I already liked that on the feet. The other thing I really like about this fight is how willing Edgar Shariz is to go to the man. Um, when somebody shoots a takedown on them, I know his takedown defense numbers are not good. And, and it's not even that he doesn't have good takedown defense. It's just that like sometimes somebody goes to take him down. He's sick. Here comes my guillotine. Sick here comes my triangle. Sick here comes the arm bar. I wanted. And like, then he's beneath you and, and he gets stuck there. And he does have really good jujitsu off of his back. But like, if you're a path of victory here to a win is subbing Tim Elliott off of your back. I really hate that for you. I hate that for you so much. Uh, so like, yeah, I, I will take Tim Elliott by probably controlling the positions by being

34:44really crafty and you look, he, everybody keeps writing this dude off. Every couple of fights and then he, he goes on a nice little run. I think he's going to start a nice little run again here. Yeah, I'll take him out of here as well. If Sherees was a young guy who, who could strike and crack, then obviously it would be a different story. But, but he's not. As Gumbie said, he's a guy who prefers to grapple and that will get you in some trouble with Elliott. Elliott is probably a better striker than him. Uh, definitely, uh, we're definitely a we're in a striker than Sherees. Maybe not more power, but, um, yeah. And if it goes to the mat, there's going to be problems for Sherees. So, uh, sorry, um, Gabrielle, Goofy or Deer, Goofy or Deer is the one where it's going to work. Goofy or Deer, which I think is, which I think is Gabrielle as well. Um, we're not in person. Now whatever. There's no, yeah, Goofy or Deer, that's right. Gabrielle is, is, uh, my Canadian friend. Goofy or Deer is our Mexican friend. It's our Mexican friend. He's going to be really proud about this one in the Terran pick. I know that already. My apologies to Goofy or Deer. Yeah. But hey, we got to call it like we see it. All right, uh, Elliott, we both have a Bahamundas, Belgari, uh, Gant,

35:49Gumby, as Garcia, a wrong Jew, that's doing the one we differed on. Then King and a big dog, Aldrich. All right, you're set for half the card. We'll be in the discord. We go for your Deer and Gabrielle and the whole crew. SportsGamipog is the calm slash discord. You can hit us up in our comments on Spotify or YouTube. You can hit us up on the old Twitter, usgpnmma. Atk, I'm Rilan at Jeff Fox writer at Jeff Fox writer Instagram. Check out my subs stacking and enter my UFC kicking contest for no to USC at money and made that subs up. Com gumby's can tell you about his podcast top turtle now and why you should let's do it this week. Yeah, we got top finalist Melissa Amaya getting ready for her bow at the end of the month against Tina Black. And then we're also talking to Sean who we just talked about on this podcast, right? Yeah, so check out top turtle always regardless of who's on it, uh, except for the rare occasion that I guess hosts. Then you can skip those. Uh, it's been a long time though since that's happened. Um, all right top turtle sportsgamipogs.com is where our writing and everyone's writing and all the giveaways and the podcast and all the good stuff is sportsgamipogs.com slash store,

36:53football, a checkout sportsgamipogs.com slash patreon for bonus content. Is it your turn or my turn? It's my turn. Okay, be my turn. Let her rip. All right, I'm Danie. We're going to be doing it. He's the king of Kung Fu Jeff Fox and we will see you tomorrow.