Prop Points | March 17, 2026

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1:01thank yous, anniversaries, or just because moments. Let Edible arrange the details so you can focus on celebrating the people who matter. Order online at edible.com or visit your local store to learn more. Welcome into a Tuesday edition of prop points here on Vsyn, the sports betting network, Nick Whalen, Jeff Erickson back in the saddle as we have a huge show coming your way over the next hours. Big breaking news in the national football league. Of course, Jeff, we got playing games starting everybody's focused on college basketball in swoops, the NFL with a massive massive trades. We'll talk about the fallout with Jalen Waddle, finding his way to the Denver Broncos. We'll reveal some of our picks for the upcoming Vsyn March betting challenge. That starts up, of course, in earnest on Thursday. We'll reveal each of our top five picks. So 10 total

2:03picks coming your way for Thursday's round one games. We have the great Ben Stevens. Stop by with all of his favorite plays for round one a little bit later. And then we'll round out the show, taking a look at another loaded slate in the NBA eight games coming our way tonight, including a nice little spot for Chet Holmgren in the Oklahoma City Thunder. As always, if you're not able to catch us live, if you just want to relisten, you can find all Vsyn shows, including prop points in podcast for wherever you get your pods. So check us out over on Apple on Spotify. Again, wherever you find your podcast, just search Vsyn, search prop points, and that is where you will find us. Jeff Erickson, let's start with Jalen Waddle. Now a Denver Bronco as the one of the biggest sell-offs I can remember continues for the Miami Dolphins. You know, yes, they made a big splash. They got their quarterback at the future and free agency went out and acquired Malik Willis, but not a lot of weaponry remaining right now in Miami for Malik Willis. So they send out Jalen Waddle as well as a fourth round pick to Denver. They'll get back the Broncos 2026 first. That's

3:06the 30th overall pick in addition to a third and a fourth rounder. So plenty of draft ammunition now for the Miami Dolphins. They have their pick at 11. They have Denver at 30. They have two seconds. They have three thirds as they try to retool this roster. But my goodness, man, I want to be optimistic about Malik Willis hitting the ground running. You know, there's some familiarity down in Miami with Jeff Haffley coming from Green Bay, their new GM coming from Green Bay. But man, you look at what remains in that past catching room for the Dolphins. It is pretty bleak right now. Absolutely. This is a necessarily painful year for the Miami Dolphins there. And, you know, the fact that they decided to eat the two of contract and take the $99.99 and a half million hit, I think it shows. They knew they just put it all on their plate and eat it this year. It's really ugly, but they get it out of the way. They get it out with it's a painful year. And that should have given us an idea that more stuff is coming. And I would be surprised if the trade deadline, there's still sellers of any other remaining veteran players they have is they

4:09kind of retool this roster. Yeah, I feel bad for Malik Willis, but he, I mean, he had to know what he was getting into when he signed that contract. Plus, he got that contract, which he wasn't necessarily going to get elsewhere. And think about that this is the level of contract that Willis got compared to what he might have gotten three years ago. Or, you know, just the equivalent of him because what he personally would have gotten was nothing because he was a third stringer on Tennessee for that matter. And then Green Bay kind of just changed his value. It's a tough thing to step into. I feel bad for Devon Dachan. You know, he was one of our heroes last year. I'm pretty hesitant to spend an early first round pick on Devon H&N right now. I'll tell you that much. I'm hesitant to do anything with this Miami Dolphins team win total currently sitting at four and a half. That is the lowest in the NFL right now at the Draft King Sportsbook. But the the Broncos side of this deal is significantly more interesting, right? This is a a Denver team that I think it's fair to say probably outperformed most expectations last year. We knew they would be a very good team. I don't think a ton of people necessarily said, all right, they're going to end up winning the AFC West. They're

5:13going to end up in the AFC championship game. But to me, this is a move to solidify their status. Like it's still an arms race in the AFC and specifically in that division. Chargers aren't going anywhere. You certainly would expect a better year out of Kansas City. You know, the Raiders by default should be more competitive. And this Denver offense, you know, was able to survive last year. It often wasn't pretty. We didn't see a big year two jump from Bonix. It was still a lot of short passes, not a whole lot down the field. I like the fit on paper for jail and it's a lot to give up. I think for a player of Waddles caliber, a guy who does seem like he's banged up every single week, even if he doesn't miss as much time as it feels. But the ability to install him as a deep threat. And look, even if that's not working, even if Bonix doesn't have it on a given week, be able to use him in that short and intermediate passing game. I mean, he's one of the best catch and run after the catch receivers in the NFL. I think he fits with Bonix in terms of the style of the Broncos offense and just gives them a higher secondary option in that offense. Because last year, it was Portland Sutton, who isn't nice number one receiver, but ultimately one of the lower end

6:17number ones in the NFL. And then this mix of, okay, it might be Troy Franklin's week. It might be a Pat Bryant week, a Marvin Mims week. They certainly didn't get out of Evan Ingram what they thought. They would get out of Evan Ingram bringing him in as a free agent. So I think this raises the level. Certainly for the Broncos offense. I'm curious to get your thoughts, though, on what you think this does for Bonix fantasy wise. So Bonix is QB 16 or at the NFFC that's 20 drafts since they ended the Super Bowl. Underdog UV and have a bigger sample there. That's got to go up. And this is someone that was being drafted in the top 10 and one quarterbacks last year. He is a mobile quarterback. We saw that even in the playoff game. Now, keep in keep in mind, he's coming off of the major injury caused him to obviously miss the AFC title game and what a big deal that was there for the Broncos and for next, but what does that do for his mobility going into the fall? We'll see about that. That's going to be a big deal. But I suspect you're going to see him creeping back towards the top 10 among fantasy quarterbacks. Jalen Waddle was wide receiver 25. Sutton was wide receiver 27. I think it's going to rise. I think Waddle is going to rise. I think

7:21Sutton's going to fall a little bit here too. I think that's the other thing that ramification of this. This really could unlock Jalen Waddle. So if he's wide receiver 25 with two and then with that with Malik Willis, just think what he could do and this Denver offense, which is presumably going to be a much better offense. Yeah, I think it's certainly a hit for Corlan Sutton who has sustained in some ways on volume on being that clear number one guy in Denver, even if the volume hasn't been as consistent week to week as we would like. I think this has to be a hit for him. With Waddle, I guess it's a it's a better situation, right? But you also now have a more dependable guy next to you in Corlan Sutton, whereas it was always like, yeah, he's the number two behind Tyree Kill. But is Tyree Kill going to be engaged? Is Tyree Kill going to be healthy? Is he going to be out there week to week? Like Corlan Sutton, at least plays NFL games reliably, which you can necessarily say about Tyree Kill. Certainly has to be a bump for me for Bonix. Now, what does this do if you're if you're in an early bestball draft and you've been loading up on Malik Willis,

8:23right? Because you love the rushing potential. You love the opportunity for him in Miami. Again, the dolphins, I don't think they're going to go into next season, Jeff with Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert and Tutu Atwell as your top three wide receivers. I think they address the position pretty heavily in the draft. Maybe they do make a couple margin free agent signings. But does this have you a little bit concerned about Malik Willis hitting the ground running in Miami? It does. It absolutely does. I think they have a better offense line. We'll see what they're going to do in the draft. That is the one thing. They're going to have a load of picks here. And that's going to be nice. But they have so many things to address. I think it's going to be very tricky for them to do that there. I also one other thing I want to throw out. I am really curious to see if the Eagles are going to try to trade AJ Brown after June 1st. What sort of market is that going to be? It will be after this year's draft. So that's one of the things that's a point against you have to wait a year to be able to cash in on those picks that you're going to get. But if this is what Jalen Waddles worth, what's AJ Brown going to be worth?

9:25It's a great question. It's a great question. And there were some reports that maybe the Broncos stepped around AJ Brown, but reportedly, they were focused on Jalen Waddle. And apparently, these discussions dated back to the trade deadline during the 2025 season. One other quick NFL note to pass along, by the way, Hollywood Brown has officially found a new team. He is latched on with the Philadelphia Eagles. Folks, it is Sharp Week here on Vison. And Sharp Week gives you everything you need to bet every round smarter. Excuse me. Vison's March, Maynia betting guide is out now. And inside this year's guide, you'll find profiles of every tournament team. Trends broken down for you for every round of the tournament. Strategies for brackets and futures from all of Vison's top experts, you can download the guide right now for just 1999 or better yet, just become a Vison Pro subscriber. You get the March, Maynia betting guide included, along with all of our daily best bets, real-time betting splits, AI-powered prop tools in 24, seven video over on the Vison watch app. Get your guide now at vison.com slash guide

10:26that's VSIN.com slash guide. Our guy Adam Burke sent that out this morning. Jeff, I don't know if you've had a chance to take a look at it yet, but incredible turnaround time. Everybody getting all their plays in highly, highly encourage you to check that out. One of the best guides. You know, I'm comfortable saying it. The best guide you will find ahead of the tournament. We have the playing games starting up tonight. Jeff, two games tonight, two games tomorrow, UMBC taking on Howard in a 16-16 matchup and then NC State and Texas in an 11 versus an 11. Feels like Texas is landing in the spot every single year now. We come into the season with expectations for this Texas team. They briefly meet those expectations, then they fall off, and then they end up in the playing game. Tough games to evaluate. Both of these line, really closely, UMBC, a one and a half point favorite Texas, a one and a half point favorite over NC State. Yeah, congrats to Texas for getting into a playoff in this academic year, just falling short in the football playoff there notably. But they did get into this one again.

11:30This is their home away from home. That game again, NC State should be a lot of fun. High total is this 158 and a half and most of the bets are being placed on the over in that one game. So we're looking forward to seeing maybe a up and down game compared to the earlier game to 16-16 game where the total is only 141 and a half. UMBC obviously noted for being the first ever 16-C to win a game in the NCAA tournament. So there's a little bit of name recognition with them as well. Yeah, winner of that NC State Texas game takes on 6C BYU on Thursday. So tough spot. I think for for the winner there, you know, heading out west and then, you know, if they do get through, likely facing the 3C Gonzaga in the round of 32. Real quickly, Jeff, we do have the World Baseball Classic final tonight. Nolan McLean going up against Eduardo Rodriguez, Team USA versus Venezuela. USA have hefty favorite on the money line. Minus 285 total coming in at eight and a half. Anything for you as far as how you're betting the WBC final.

12:35Yeah, I might play some strikeout props with both McLean and Eduardo Rodriguez. That's a tease for later on in the show, but yes, we're going to use Rotawire's brand new smart money tool to help me figure out my best bet for tonight. They're involving the WBC. There we have it. We'll talk plenty of tournament with you throughout the show, including our picks or early plays for the Visa and March Madness betting challenge. That's coming up next. You're watching Prop Points here on the sports betting network. So you're listening to this podcast because you want an edge. But what if I told you, you're only halfway there. You've got the mindset. Now it's time to get the tool kit to match. Here's the thing. Pro better spend thousands on data and tools. But what they don't want you to know is that you can get the same edge for a fraction of the cost with Veson Pro. With Veson Pro, you'll get access to expert picks, public betting data, prop projections, powerful tools,

13:37analytics, and more. Just tap the link in the description and see why thousands of bettors are already using Veson Pro to cash more bets. The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by Toyota's time tested legacy of dependability. Step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce Max engine. Tundra puts out impressive power torque and towing performance and the roomy high tech cabin keeps you connected on the go. Or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path agile, tough and relentless with available features like crawl control, portable JBL speaker, a power lift gate, so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving. The Tacoma and Tundra are engineered to endure season after season, mile after mile. So drive one home today, visit toyota.com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to find out more Toyota. Let's go places. Edible Arrangeous Aferless Toy All Year. With same day in next day delivery or local pickup,

14:38Edible makes gifting simple, fresh arrangements, dessert boards and big treats for birthdays, thank yous or just because. Order at edible.com or your local store. McWayla Jeff Erickson back with you. It's prop points here on Vsyn welcoming along everyone streaming along live on serious XM channel 158 as well. Jeff the time has come. We got playing games starting up tonight and tomorrow the real thing coming our way on Thursday. The Vsyn March betting challenge is also underway. You could go sign up right now over at vsyn.com slash contest. Entry is free free and we got a lot on the line here. A ton of entries already coming in over on the site. Give you a quick overview. Basically you're going to earn points on correct picks,

15:42covering the spread or total. So your picket spreads, your picket totals for each round for the round of 64, 20 picks on the spread or the total. You get one point per correct push for the round at 32 or down to 10 picks on a spread or a total sweet 16 five picks. Elite eight four picks, final four three picks in the championship game. Of course two picks. Again, these could be for the spread or the total. It's a free contest. But if you win $2,000 going to the champion, $1,000 for second place, $500 for third. If you win the first half of the betting challenge, $1,500. So that is just the first weekend rounds one and round two. And if you win beyond that, sweet 16 through the end of the contest, $1,000. So plenty of money on the line here for a free contest to Jeff. We want to get things kicked off. You know, start to kind of get your brain thinking about some of these games by handing out five of our best bets each specifically focused on Thursday's round one game. So we'll run through some of our favorite plays. We'll give you 10

16:43more picks on tomorrow's show as well for the Friday Slates. And your first pick, Jeff, you are eyeing up what is the most popular game so far in the Vs in March betting challenge. We have already 480 picks on the spread 145 picks on the total for a 611 matchup between Louisville and South Florida. Yeah, absolutely. Because why not? I originally was going to be on level. But that I thought they'd have a healthy Michael Brown as part of the deal here. And you know, he's been such a big, big part of this, this equation here for the Cardinals. But they're a home team. They do well in home in home games. Brown is still day to day with that back injury. And I don't know if they could get past this South Florida bowl team as one of the hottest teams in the country. Let alone cover the full five and a half. That line was higher earlier. And I'm just kind of going along with the public on this one here. So I kind of hate doing that. Hate being, you know, the opposite of a sharp. It is sharp week after all. But I kind of going to go along with the

17:45crowd on this one here and go with the South Florida bowls. Yeah, I we can't see the actual bets coming in. You could just see the volume right now. I would imagine a lot of that coming in on South Florida to cover the five and a half. I think people even skeptical of this Louisville team setting aside the the Michele Brown injury. And like you said, he is still very much questionable for that round one matchup. You're going to an eight nine game, Jeff, for one of your other plays here. Look at that TCU Ohio State. Yeah, absolutely. And TCU's got a very complicated resume. Some of the best wins in non-conference play in the country, wins over Florida and Wisconsin. If you have a couple of bad losses in New Orleans and Utah, but they finished strong, you know, only lost the KU in the big 12 tournament. No shame in losing the KU in Kansas City. I think the big 12 is on the same plane as the big 10. I know that Ohio State rallied. They went from being like first four out, maybe even second four out to being in, not even being one of the last four in. They played very well down the stretch. And yet

18:47I like TCU and I not only do I like them at plus two and a half, I almost I kind of like them outright as well. Arkansas, one of the hottest teams of the country coming into the NCAA tournament. They open up as a 15 and a half point favorite against Hawaii in the four five matchup. Hard not to back this Arkansas team right now. Everybody's jumping all over Darius Acuff. He's flying up NBA draft boards. So what's pushing you toward Arkansas to handle business against this Hawaii team? So I really wanted to be like the guy that's fading Arkansas after they went through that big run in the conference tournament. Sometimes these conference tournament champs kind of fizzle out because they invested so much. And I really wanted to believe in Hawaii too. But I just think the game is rigged against Hawaii and this one here a little bit there too. They they they are fast place team pace team. And yet they're running into a team that does this even better in Arkansas. Arkansas, you know, they never score under 80. They're the team that feels really good about this. Rumor has it that you and I are in lockstep on another game,

19:50aspect of this Arkansas Hawaii game. But I don't trust Hawaii's resume anytime they try to step up in class. They got knocked back down. Only had a couple of chances to do so. And that's one of the hidden things that's about dealing with mid majors right now is trying to get games against these power conferences. It's really hard for them to be able to do that. This is not the same level a team as like UCSD was coming out of the big West last year. I think Arkansas wins big. You're looking at Gonzaga. Jeff and I will tell you this is not a popular play. Most people so far in the March betting contest staying away from these 116, 215, 314 type of games. The Zags, a 20 and a half point favorite against Kennesaw State. Yeah, and the Zags are just a team that takes care of business all the time against these type of teams. You rarely see them have an overlook game where they're kind of like, oh, well, they're looking ahead to the next big game. Now, they usually take care of business like that. They usually win big in these sort of situations. They've had some blowout wins against on conference

20:51foes to Maryland. They won by 39 points. They beat Kentucky by 25 points during the run-up to conference play. They beat UCLA handily. I don't think there's going to be a slip up here. This is no disrespect at all to Kennesaw State, a very fast paced team. But I think again, this plays into Gonzaga's hands. I think Gonzaga covers the 20 and a half here. You're fifth and final pick, Jeff. You are going to the game that I will be sweating out, that I will be watching most closely on Thursday, Wisconsin and Highpoint. Yeah, I saw you as situously avoided any action in this game at all, Nick. And so I'll be the hero that talks about this game a little bit, but yeah, thank you. I do think I'm not really touched in the spread on this one. I'm talking about the over in this one here. Two very good scoring teams. This is not your bow, Ryan Badgers, for sure. This is a team that will play at a higher pace. They a lot of high scoring games from Wisconsin. I think

21:52this is the over 164 and a half. It's a high total. Everything's baked in. We know this, but I think they get there regardless. Folks, are you still using your buddy's gut instinct as a betting strategy? Come on, you deserve better. Rotawire gives you the real tools, the pros use. We're talking rankings, projections, breaking news updates, data that never sleeps. Whether you're setting fantasy lineups, making picks or placing bets, rotawires award-winning insights, give you a real edge. Get started today over at rotawire.com. Use the promo code Vsyn BSIN. That'll get you 15% off any rotawire product, including the very nice smart money tool that we just launched on the site helping you out with some March Madness plays. All right, Jeff, let's turn the tables here. Time for me to hand out my picks. And I will start with Troy and Nebraska. Now we have Troy is a 13 and a half point dog. Big contrast in styles here. Nebraska wants to go up and down. Troy wants to slow things down. I think Troy could successfully do that. I think they have the size to match Nebraska up front. This Huskers team

22:52outside the top 160 nationally and rebounding. I think that could be a bit of an issue. And one trend to keep an eye on here. Four seeds in these lower total games. We're talking 142 or less in round one are just five and 17 ats since 2013. Total in this game is 138 and a half. So that fits. You look at this Troy team. They're a big time hit or miss offense. You know, they shoot a ton of threes. They don't often make a ton of threes on average, but still find a way to to be a solid overall offense. I think they're the type of team that if they get hot, could could make this very uncomfortable from a straight up perspective for Nebraska. But really what it comes down to is that I just don't trust the current form of the Nebraska corner Huskers fun story early in the season. They get off to this crazy hot start. Feel like they might have peaked a little bit too early outside the top 100 Jeff in offensive rating since late January. Yeah, yeah, you know, it's you can almost draw like a through line from like they they had that loss to Purdue. Their player slips in at the very end. There's kind of controversial as far as that goes and since then they just haven't been the same sort of team.

23:55Alabama's been in the news. You want to kind of move off of that. What do you what do you like in this Hofstra Alabama game? Yeah, I look, I'm just going to grab 13 with Hofstra here and it's worth noting that the line is still sitting at 13 in the contest. It's dropped closer to 11 11 and a half as far as consensus updated odds. Certainly looks as though Aden Holloway is not going to be available for Alabama. I think that's a big hit. I think that's a big adjustment to have to make on short notice. I'm not saying Alabama all of a sudden is just a team that you have to outright fade and they're going to lose this game because of that. There's still a talent advantage for Alabama. But I think that's just a really big hit, a really big story off the court now that you have to deal with heading into this game. And they know it's just one in four HTS in round one games as a head coach. Indeed. So yeah, weird storylines for Alabama all along. I'll see you along. Okay, quickly. VCU North Carolina, not thrilled with Carolina this year without Caleb Wilson. You like VCU in this game at plus two and a half. I'm a big Caleb Wilson guy. I think he's going to be a great NBA player.

24:58I think that's a huge loss for North Carolina. You're basically taking out 20 and 10 from that lineup. So give me the two and a half with VCU. Big discrepancy here in three point shooting. VCU shoots it at almost 37% from three as a team. They've a very low turnover rate UNC one of the worst teams in the nation at forcing turnover. So I think that plays right into VCU's hands. I mean, they won 16 of their last 17 coming into this game. I think you can make a case that the wrong team is favored in this one and that two more picks that I'll hand out here. Jeff Hawaii Arkansas, give me the over 159 and a half there. We'll take Vanderbilt to cover the 11 going up against McNeese in round one. More college groups saw it coming your way on the other side. Great Ben Stevens from live that Saturday joins us next. You're watching Prop Points. You're watching Prop Points on VCU, the sports betting network. We'll see you in the next one.

25:59Take away a little Jeff Eric sit back with you at Prop Points here on VCU and the sports betting network continuing our coverage of the NCAA tournament, which of course starts up tonight with a pair of play in games. To help us break those down, get some early plays for the weekend. We got our friend Ben Stevens co-host of live bet Saturday on VCU. You can find him on Twitter at Ben Scott Stevens. He joins us on the progressive guest line. Ben, great to have you back. If you enjoyed watching you throughout the college basketball season here on the network and looking forward to getting some plays from you as we start to look ahead to the tournament and let's start with one of the play and matchups tonight. I know you you don't have much for for NC State Texas. So we will set that one aside and go to the game. Everybody will be watching the 16 on 16 Howard at UMBC. This one closely lined and I know this is a potential money line play for you on UMBC. So what do you like? Nick the very first game of the 2026 men's NCAA tournament

27:00UMBC and Howard just as it should be. Let's shout out Kenny Blake need a head coach for Howard in what he has done. Three NCAA tournament trips to the previous four years. More in the last four seasons for Howard than in the previous half century as a division one men's college basketball program. But the dogs are dancing once again. This is UMBC's first bid to the NCAA tournament since they were a 16 seed in 2018 and we all know what happened. Then the first ever upset of a one seed taking down Virginia. I really like this retriever's team under Jim Ferry who is a very established and successful head coach. Nick I think in these games when their season is on the line a chance for NCAA tournament glory to get a tournament win to win a crap ton of money for their school and their league as well based on unit share in the big dance as well. You really look at these tightly contested games and you see it there. It is a money line pick them. It is a point and a half in terms of the spread. If you want to take the point and a half with Howard you are paying forward in terms of that big. And when you look at these two teams pretty similarly matched in what they

28:05can do Howard a little bit more efficient offensively UMBC relies a little bit more on a stagnant defense on the other side of the floor. It comes down to a possession here and there and what Howard does not do a great job of is taking care of the basketball bottom 20 in all of college basketball in terms of turnover rate UMBC top 30 in terms of turnover rate on the offensive side of the floor. If you are holding on to the basketball you are securely holding on to the rock. I think it gives you an extra possession or two and that could be the difference. I like the retrievers to advance as the 16 seed in the East region or excuse me not in the East region I believe in the West region if I'm not mistaken regardless UMBC as a 16 seed advancing with yet another tournament victory here in 2026. Ben let's pivot to Wednesday one of the predominant narratives over the last month has been what do you do with Miami of Ohio if they lose a game they lost a game they lost a UMass they're in the tournament though they are playing a playing game against SMU where they are

29:06a six and a half point underdog what do you like about this game against SMU who do you like? Yeah when you look at this game Jeff a lot of public money on Miami who has become that public darling but there's also a lot of short money in terms of the betting handle when you look at the circus sports book right now in terms of those betting splits more than 80% of that betting handle on the Red Hawks for their first four playing game tomorrow in Dayton of course they're only about 45 minutes to an hour away from UD arena that's where Millett Hall is in Oxford Ohio there should be a large contingent of Miami fans making this a comfortable setting SMU is a really good team offensively they should have the services of BJ Edwards one of their best shot makers and play makers back tomorrow night alongside Boopie Miller I don't necessarily think Jeff this is the bad matchup for the Red Hawks SMU is not great defensively Miami is one of the most efficient offense is both from beyond the arc and finding those effective field goals I think Miami keeps this within the number my heart tells me Miami wins this game outright to prove all of the haters and naysayers wrong

30:11and advances to the round of 64 I don't necessarily know if I believe that as much as I want to but I do think it's a good matchup stylistically for Travis steel and his Hawks to keep this game close because the offense will be paramount tomorrow. Talk with Ben Stevens you can catch him here on the network live that Saturday each and every week he's joining us on the progressive guest line Ben you were among several recent experts to contribute some plays to the fantastic march mania betting guide which is out now you can get that at bson.com slash guide a couple of totals that you're eyeing up for opening weekend pen and illinois that one coming in at 149 and a half and then south florida Louisville at 165 and a half both over spots for you. Yeah love both of those overs let's start with a reunion of old big 10 buddies that would be friend of calf free against Brad underwood and the illinois fighting align I we saw it in the Ivy League championship game TJ power dropping a 44 piece on Yale and a pen team that likes to play fast Nick as a fan of big

31:1610 basketball you know what frame of calf we does in terms of his offensive schemes they get up and down the floor they don't rely on the three necessarily but they shoot it at a top 20 clip in the country better than 38% from beyond the arc I think that pace and a couple of threes from a bucket getter like TJ power does enough for pen to contribute to this total with illinois being one of if not the most efficient offense we have ever seen in the Kenpom era of college basketball basically in the last three decades so because of all that I go over 149 and a half now at 150 you know hook I don't mind it adding the additional point quickly here on south Florida and Louisville the cards want to take the three nearly 54% of their shot I looked at three point rate really when I am establishing things both stylistically match up wise and of course what it means for those overrunners Louisville and Pat Kelsey want to shoot the three at one of the highest rates in all of the country if they can be proficient from deep that just means a ton of points when you look at the total and I love this south Florida team I would not be surprised USF opened as a six and a

32:17half point dog it is now a five and a half point spread in favor of Louisville ifstout Florida stays within that number or maybe even wins this game outright because of the length and athleticism of which Brian Hodson and his team play with he is a disciple of Nate Oates that means he plays fast in south Florida also likes to shoot the three ball 16 fastest team in the country that is USF so yes Nick I do like the over there as well open at 163 to hook grab it as soon as I saw that bracket be revealed on Sunday night a couple of additional points why not root for similar offense overall I've just noticed that like the committee has paired similar style teams in a couple different matchups you mentioned USF Louisville but also like Arkansas Hawaii Hawaii likes to play fast but they ran into a team that plays even just as fast and is more efficient in doing so in Arkansas so tough break for Hawaii I really want to buy into Hawaii but I'm having a hard time with that with the beginning of them I kind of like Arkansas at 15 and a half what say you yeah it's a really interesting matchup Jeff because you're not wrong Hawaii does play with a

33:19pretty fast tempo but as we saw in that big west tournament title game against UC Irvine both the rainbow warriors and those anteaters relying a little bit more on their defensive efficiency you will hear it obviously in this matchup against Arkansas and John Calapary the no switch defense that Aronga not has done with the bows for a very long time they do not switch on triple handoffs they do not switch on high-screen pick and rolls they stay on you efficiently can that slow down a razorbacks offense that is the six-month efficient offense in the country if you have not watched areas eight cuff junior the outstanding freshman point guard for the hogs play this year he might be the best freshman in the country and of course that is saying something especially this year in 2025 26 he is marvelous he is magical he is the first SEC freshman to average 22 points in at least six times per game since pistol-peat-maravage way back in the early 1970s I think he's a top five pick in the NBA draft later in June I like Arkansas to win this game it will be reliant on that Hawaii defensive they can stay within this time all right Ben I was just talking earlier in the show

34:23that I'm fading North Carolina I think the Caleb Wilson absence really really matters maybe even more so than some of the numbers would imply sounds like you're in agreement you're looking at VCU here how much danger is North Carolina in of a straight-up upset in the 6-11 I think a very very dangerous spot for North Carolina Nick you mentioned the absence of Caleb Wilson is not playing the last eight games for the heels in their last 10 according to CBB analytics their efficiency net rating is negative point eight most of the best teams in the country are plus 25 or plus 30 in terms of the net rating so the last 10 for you and see negative point eight not necessarily tournament quality now they still have a lot of talent Seth Trimble and Revesar there is a lot to like about this target squad but for me there's a lot to love when it comes to Phil Martelli junior and his VCU Rams they are so balanced and efficient on either side of the basketball floor I think they present some challenges for North Carolina in this matchup I like VCU

35:24outright I like the Rams plus two and a half I really believe in this VCU squad that I think is deserving of at least a round of 32 appearance if not a second weekend trip and it does go with what's saying when you look for those upsets the lower seeds over the higher seeds 11's over sixes since 2010 the last 15 NCAA tournaments have a winning record outright 32 and 31 straight up the 11 over the six all right bad about 20 seconds left here we'll take you out on this four posterity who is winning the 2026 NC double a tournament it is becoming quite the trendy pick my friends but I like Arizona to cut down the nets in Indianapolis on Monday April 6th as your national champion I think their defensive intensity is incredible they don't rely on the three so they're a little bit spoiler proof if you will I like Tommy loading the cats to get it done for the first time since 90 seconds there we have it bed Stevens lock it in the wild cats you can catch Ben every Saturday live that Saturday here on these sports betting network find him over on Twitter

36:28at Ben Scott Stevens we come back we'll finish out the show break it down all of our favorite picks to props in the NBA tonight you watch a prop points here on Visa the Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by Toyota's time tested legacy of dependability step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce max engine Tundra puts out impressive power torque and towing performance and the roomy high tech cabin keeps you connected on the go or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path agile tough and relentless with available features like crawl control portable JBL speaker a power lift gate so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving the Tacoma and Tundra are engineered to endure season after season mile after mile so drive one home today visit toyota.com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to

37:29find out more toyota let's go places. Edible arranges effortless toy all year with same day in next day delivery or local pickup edible makes gifting simple fresh arrangements dessert boards and big treats for birthdays thank yous or just because order at edible.com or your local store. you're watching prop points on v said these sports betting network welcome back to prop points huge NBA slate coming up we've got nick waylands picks for tonight's slate but first if you're looking to put your march tournament knowledge to the test of the highest level this one's for you splash sports is offering a one million guaranteed in contest prizes and a high stakes survivor contest that's right survivor for college hoops thousand dollars enter one million on the line it's NFL survivor but for the big dance just make one pick per day

38:30and you cannot use the same team twice which adds a strategic element outlast everyone else and you're in for a share of a million dollars and right now new players using promo code vison mm-26 get a 50% deposit match up to $100 a free quick picks entry up to $20 on them plus 100% quick payouts payouts payout boost on an entry up to $20 entries close on March 19th don't wait head to splashboards.com slash vison and use code vison mm-26 must be 21 or older available in select states only big big NBA slate tonight start off with heat hornets big game for position in the east what do you like in this one yeah i'd say i'd say a much more robust slate tonight than the what we were dealing with last night where you had a lot of tanking on tanking games or these big numbers across the board but this is a big one for divisional purposes for playoff seating purposes in the eastern conference heater just a half game back right now of Orlando for

39:35what would be the five seat as well as the top spot in the southeast so as somebody Jeff with a heat plus two 45 to win the southeast ticket in pocket uh this is one that i'll be watching very closely hornets meanwhile are back to the ten seed in the east that is by virtue of the hawks just winning every game for the last three weeks uh so their hopes of kind of emerging from that play in zone started to dwindle as we get to the final four weeks here you know one thing i think to to keep an eye on with the charlotte hornets if you're thinking about buying in on this team to to make it out of the play in to potentially you know make some noise in the postseason which i know the east feels a little bit weaker you know at the top relative to the west i just don't know if i see that with charlotte part of the reason for that is you know they've they've got to a point and this is great by hornets standards because they've been you know the team that everybody beats up on for the last 15 years they're at the point where they're beating the bad teams they're beating the teams in the middle but they're they're struggling against some of the better teams in the mba you know the the losses against teams like Detroit in Houston and Cleveland Miami the suns the spurs over the last couple of weeks are starting to stack up now you know when you

40:37look at this spot uh against Miami tonight game is in charlotte of course hornets are a five and a half point favorite two thirty four and a half is our total one thing i always look at with the hornets is fading a opponent rebound crops again charlotte you know the part of the reason the hornets have been on this run over the last couple of months is not only lamella ball and bread and miller staying healthy they're shooting the lights out from three they've consistently been a top three rebound team in the mba really since the calendar flipped to to twenty twenty six so this is one where you know i think you you look at some of those guys for the mba heats uh who by the way will be without bam at a bio and without Andrew Wiggins tonight and you kind of look downstream a bit and say okay you know i may haquez his rebound's prop is down to four and a half tonight it's juiced if you like the over at minus one forty eight i would consider the under four and a half there at plus money collie aware you know a guy who should see increased usage tonight i think a lot of people are going to want to bet his props i look at the under eleven and a half boards for him as well at minus one ten yeah caught me shaking my head there when you're talking bam at a bio i've got him in

41:41my playoff game in my my homely in b a fantasy league you know great team in the regular season but i'm down key players for the playoffs there so i might be like best record and then out in one round okay it's all about me so we'll move on though but we got another game out of the uh the south east here uh the Orlando magic going hosting a big game against the thunder they got crushed by the thunder the first time but that's when sga got hurt what do you like in this game yeah so this is this is more of a prop spot for me yeah i would lean okay see uh even on the road it is the second night of a back to back for the Orlando magic and worth noting that in the first batch up between these two teams back in February a dominant win for the thunder one twenty eight to ninety two and that was the game that sga actually left early uh when he got hurt and ended up missing a stretch after that uh but i'm looking at chat home game over eight and a half boards tonight minus one fifteen at draft kings he's gone over this number now in seven of his last eight games he had sixteen and ten in just twenty seven minutes in that last batch up your land oh

42:42spend kind of a middle of the road rebounding team for much of the year but tough tough spot for the Orlando magic who have come up small you know it gets some of these big time opponents this season still no jail of Williams of course for okay see but they're back on track without him a little bit of a lower total in this game as well at two twenty two and a half so i do think we see the rebound opportunities and like ultimately i think Orlando keeps this game close enough that we're not looking at another thirty plus point margin to the point where you worry about chat home grids minutes tonight so reasonable price reasonable number at eight and a half on home grin will go over there pistons wizards you've got another a couple of player props in this one yeah this is one where we have the pistons as a nineteen and a half point favorite on the road in washington tonight if you look at the wizards injury report just uh just a bloodbath no Alex are no trade young who is you know briefly been in and out of the lineup for them over the last few games yeah either they're even without some of these step pieces guys like leaky black kishan george balakula ball you've been playing big minutes for them uh so should be a spot you know where

43:46where the pistons can get kind of seek and destroy a couple props i would look for here on the Detroit side and this is one where we need this to not turn into a comical blowout in the first half we'll see if the wizards can accomplish that but nose is a steward tonight for Detroit so we should see a lot of jalen duren i like the over thirty two and a half points plus boards we we played something similar for for duren last week i think the number was like twenty nine and a half and he went over like two minutes into the third quarter could be another one of those instances against a terrible defensive team the worst rebounding team in the mba and again this is one where we need this game to remain somewhat respectable into the second half but would take a look at a kade cunningham triple double at close to ten to one already as a triple double against the wizards earlier this season wizards have lost twelve in a row next game pacer's nicks pacer's have lost thirteen in a row um and uh but in this one jalen brunson boot from questionable to doubtful could be a lot of different ramifications for this game a lot of like we're waiting to see what happens uh for a lot of the players pacer's entire team is on the injury report

44:49so as we talk right now Jeff it is one fifty one PM eastern time we have eight indiana pacer's who are not only on the injury report but are questionable for tonight and the pacer's have reached the point where you just don't know what to expect sometimes they'll play everybody sometimes they'll play nobody all the sudden zoo botch is is back in the rotation so i think you have to wait to fire on side or total here but one thing that we do know for sure is that it looks like jalen brunson is not going to be out there for the nicks he was moved questionable to doubtful earlier today guys almost never play in the mba when they're listed as doubtful so i think this is a spot where we could start to analyze okay if we expect jalen brunson to not be out there tonight what does that mean for the new york nicks i think it means it's a carland three town spot Jeff i'm looking at the over thirty two and a half points plus boards he is really the only player on the nicks who sees a tangible bump in terms of his numbers in terms of his usage without jalen brunson on the floor brunson runs everything for the nicks guys like oj and anobi and mccall bridges you know they're a little bit more dependent on jalen brunson to get their

45:49production whereas that's not really the case for carland three towns so he sees about a seven percentage point jump in usage without jalen brunson the other factor we have here is that Mitchell Robinson was also added to the injury report for the nicks he's questionable could still play tonight but if Robinson's not out there i think this becomes a huge spot for cat yeah absolutely let's squeeze in one more game before we get to our best bets calves bucks bucks kind of out of it again now yeah i think the bucks are pretty much officially out of it not mathematically at this point but you know a couple losses to the hawks the team that they were really chasing in the eastern conference to try to get into that play in zone over the last couple of weeks have have really set them back this is not a game Jeff that i feel overly strongly about caps are ten and a half point favorites in Milwaukee still know jaren alan for cleveland which is kind of duped their offense over the last couple of weeks but we don't expect the honest to play for the box you know this is just a team that when he's off the court has gotten crushed over the last couple of weeks without him those games haven't even been closed so i think this is probably a

46:49bounce back spot for the cavalier it took a really ugly home loss to Dallas on sunday yeah absolutely it's time for our best bets but first you can stay tuned after the show we got after prop points we got money movies with stormy bonnetovian Jonathan and bontobl here at two eastern uh and berk is going to share his best bets for the tournament with that show uh nick you're going to stick in the NBA for your best bets yeah i'll just i'll you know kind of re-epicize two of the plays we talked about here that we want to officially get on the ledgers so we'll lock it shed homegrown over eight and a half boards we'll lock in that cat over 32 and a half points plus rebounds uh and Jeff uh i'm told that you are going to the wbc final tonight for your best bet yeah heading on over there i'm going to go under three and a half strikeouts for adwardo or regas the starter for venezuela got over this number in his last outing against uh the minikin did get crushed in that one there it's kind of against the trends but you only struck out 20 per six back uh 20.6 percent of the batters you face last season i have a good feeling that he's just

47:50not going to get that strikeout number tonight i think it's going to be a fun game looking forward to that game but i'm going to bet against rod regas okay there we have it team you say again now minus two eighty on the money line over at trafking so a little bit of movement there over the last hour total up to nine and that is slightly juiced toward the under very much looking forward to talking about all the fallout from that wbc final on the show tomorrow that's going to wrap the Tuesday edition of prop points here on the sports betting network keep it locked the rest of the day money moves stormy and jbt come your way next follow the money be some prime time loaded slate everybody talk to college groups this week i'd be sin we'll be back with you at one p.m. eastern tomorrow the toyota tundra and to koma are built to keep going blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by toyota's time tested legacy of dependability step into a tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available i force max engine tundra puts out

48:54impressive power torque and towing performance and the roomy high tech cabin keeps you connected on the go or take a look at to koma made for drivers who push past the path agile tough and relentless with available features like crawl control portable jbl speaker a power lift gate so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving the to koma and tundra are engineered to endure season after season mile after mile so drive one home today visit toyota dot com or stop by your local toyota dealer to find out more toyota let's go places edible arranges effortless toy all year with same day and next day delivery or local pickup edible makes gifting simple fresh arrangements desert forts and big treats for birthdays thank yous or just because order at edible dot com or your local store