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UFC Paris Main Card Preview (One More Time) | MMA Gambling Podcast (Ep.1165)

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After a solo prelim card, Gumby is going to do it again. The main card is Paris is filled with bangers and there's still no Jeff Fox. But the show will go on and it will with Salahdine Parnasse facing Dan Hooker in a main event tilt. Gumby gives you the lowdown and he gives out his winners - plus "Locks, Dogs, and Props". Listen in and tag along!

Time Stamps:

0:00 - Intro
3:11 - Losene Kieta vs Muhammad Naimov
6:23 - Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor Peek
10:01 - Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko
16:02 - Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev
19:45 - Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola
22:31 - Salahdine Parnasse vs Dan Hooker

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UFC Paris Main Card Preview (One More Time) | MMA Gambling Podcast (Ep.1165)

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Sports Gambling Podcast NetworkUFC Paris Main Card Preview (One More Time) | MMA Gambling Podcast (Ep.1165). Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

The 1165th edition of the end of the They Candling Podcasts on the Sports Candling Podcast Network is brought to you by the SGPN app. Get all of our Fixin' Podcasts for free, win the SGPN app. Hi, I'm Eddie Ode to Generinos and welcome back to the MMA gambling podcast. I am your host, Daniel Gumby-Freland and if you're watching here on YouTube, one last time, we're not gonna do it to you again. I'm all alone. Jeff Fox, still off on vacation. He's gallant think about and the great white North. So we'll of course be doing this on our own one more time here. But look, we've got a great UFC Paris card for you. The prelims were fun. I heavily suggest you go back and watch that one. Before I get too deep, I just keep neglecting to do the honoree of the beginning of the

podcast that Jeff usually does. Let's dedicate this episode to, let's see, we got new flosy over on on your YouTube comments saying that we missed Jeff. We do miss Jeff and it won't be much longer, but Jeff will be back soon. So we got a great show lined up for you guys. We're gonna give you guys the six picks for the six main card fights. I'm also gonna hit you with the locks, dogs, props that we usually do at the end in a hungry man super, or super pin hungry man, John Parley. So we're gonna get to that towards the end of the episode. And you don't hate, look, I said this on the prelim episodes. I'm gonna say it again here. I'm loving what they're doing on this fight card here. They're not just highlighting the locals and putting them in fights that are winnable, which is kind of what the UFC's done for a long time. We saw it a little bit in the Slovakian card. We used to see it all the time in Brazil, just like winnable fights for the locals. They got fun back and forth matchups. They got two French fighters in the Komein event, which is fun. They're making them duke it out, go ahead to head.

I kind of love the matchmaking of this card. So I won't rush too much more about it. Instead, I'll just get you into the good stuff, which is the six fight card we're gonna see here. Of course, the prelim's starting at noon, which means we're probably gonna get the main card right around four o'clock based on the amount of prelims we got. And so like, you know, you're gonna be in and out of here before dinner time, which you gotta appreciate. Now, speaking of things that we appreciate, we appreciate the SGPN's free roll football contest in its back. I think every single game against the spread for a chance to win up to $4,000. You can enter today at sports gambling podcast.com slash free roll. And also a friendly reminder that the SGPN is giving back. We're continuing to help the ongoing efforts to rebuild Colombia, and you can help out too by going to sports gambling podcast.com slash relief. All right. So as I said, six card main fight headline by Dan Hooker versus the recently signed on the Dean of Parnace.

Very, very exciting made event. Of course, we're not gonna get to that first. Instead, we're gonna kick things off here in the featherweight division. We got the Black Panther Losenna Kita versus Hillman, Mohamed Nymoff. Kita, we gotta be the negative free 50 favorite plus 260 is the return on Mohamed Nymoff. So we'll start with the underdog first. He's four years older than Kita. He's got two inches of height, but he actually has two inches less of reach. 13 and four on his pro career, six wins by knockout, two by submission. He has been knocked out once and submitted once as well. Kita on the other hand, like I said, four years younger. He's gonna have that two inch reach advantage. He's 16 and two in his pro career. Of course, he took a loss in his UFC debut. Very close fight though. So he is coming off that loss, but he has one 10 of those 16 bouts by knockout. He has been knocked out once before in his career, but it is worth mentioning that was an injury situation. So he's never really fully been knocked out or finished in any way, shape or form.

So this one's an interesting one to me because obviously we didn't get the best version of Kita in the debut, but when I look at the way that he matches up with Nymoff, I'm having a tough time drawing a path to victory for Nymoff here because like, you know, you look at that fight with with Nathenio Wood for Nymoff, like he probably should have lost that if he wasn't grabbing on to the cage all the time. Nymoff is a guy who seems to rely on shooting a whole bunch of takedowns, but the 30% accuracy doesn't give me a lot of hope in, you know, seeing that he kind of had those holes when he fought wood, you know, not something that makes me feel like he's gonna go in there and takedown Kita all the time too. And especially when you consider the fact, you know, Kita is coming off that split decision with Wood as well, like these two of both fought Nathenio Wood. And when he fought Nathenio Wood, 100% takedown defense, right? Like his grappling held up against somebody who is arguably a better grappler than Nymoff and yes, of course, MMA Math is silly. Don't ever trust him, MMA Math. But when we're talking about Nymoff having struggled with the grappling of Wood and Kita

really didn't at all, you know, you can sort of assume that this fight takes place on the feet. And that's where I think there is a massive difference in the skill levels here, right? Like Lucenicita hits like an absolute truck. We saw it, you know, fight Roddy Paradiser and you know, a lot of really good guys over there in Nathenio Wood. And Nymoff, like, you know, I'm not super impressed by this hand. He does throw that big overhand right. But like I think in terms of just like tactical boxing, we saw Kita could kind of hang with the Nathenio Wood. I think Nymoff's more of like have to make an impression with the big, thud impact kind of guy in terms of his boxing. And is he going to make a bigger impact on Lucenicita? Man, I don't think so. And Kita is, you know, kind of hard to hit. You know, we saw not just in the Wood fight, but in the fights in Octagon. He's a guy who could be really elusive, who could be really tricky to track down. And so for all of those reasons, you know, I think Kita is going to bludgeon him with the hands. Would not be surprised for a finish though. You might want to tune in a little bit later on.

We could be talking about that one. So first pick off the board, Lucenicita, money line. That's where we're going to start this one. And that means we can kick to the second fight. Now we're going to head on over. Actually, we're going to stay in in featherweight for Curtis Campbell versus Trevor P. Curtis Campbell right now, the betting favorite, that not that negative 360. Pretty much the same line as the fight we just talked about. Plus, 290 on the return for Trevor P. who has been out of commission for a little while. So we'll start with the underdog, Trevor P. He's going to be two years older than Curtis Campbell, sporting a nine and three record eight wins by knockout, one win by decision. He of course, have never been finished in his career. In fact, I think you can take a two by four to this guy's head and he's not going out. He is a loser of his last two in four of his last four though. So hard times for peak here. With the big layoff and all the injuries too, you have to imagine that this might be the last nail in the coffin if you can't pull it off. And again, he's going to be fighting Campbell, a guy who is 17 years younger than Trevor

P. Aint one is pro career, five wins by knockout, one win by submission. He did get knocked out by Danny Silva in his last fight. It's going to have that two-inch reach advantage over Trevor P. He is the pink Panther. So this one's interesting for me because on one hand, we kind of got Heithon, Curtis Campbell, straight out the gate. You look great on contender series. Look like a guy who could win fights nasty in the clinch. You could grapple a little bit, mixed it up, made it look tough. And then in his USAD debut, I think that stock kind of dropped a little bit. We have some examples of him maybe running out of gas. We got Danny Silva putting them out. All those things are sort of concerning, especially against Trevor P. A guy who can really turn up the pace and can really turn up the pressure. So I honestly debated Trevor P. Underdog play here, but at the end of the day, I went back to Curtis Campbell. And here's why. When Trevor P. mixes it up in the clinch, I think Curtis Campbell is going to be the more skilled guy there.

I'm personally really worried about Trevor P.'s time away. He's been out of here for quite some time. When you consider what was going on where he was recovering, you know, he made a couple of Instagram posts about needing different medicines to recover. And he wishes that the commission would allow him. I didn't even really get too deep into what those were, but he wanted some different therapies that you saw there or whatever the testing situation is now would be into. So like clearly, he was in a really bad recovery spot. And hasn't fought in a while. And also, like, I think we can all agree that Trevor P. is a guy who does not rely on technical skill, right? Like he's a guy who throws some like standing hammer fist. And God, do I love the standing hammer fist? I'm not here to knock on him. But like up against a guy who can sort of be gritty and classy at the same time in Curtis Campbell. And a guy, you know, I know we've talked about this on this show, but anytime we got a guy who's 24 years old, 23 years old, things like that. Like the growth we see from fight to fight tends to be a lot bigger than a 31 year old dude who's on a big layoff coming off the ball off.

Right? So I think we're going to see a better version of Curtis Campbell in there. I think we're going to see him mixing up the clinch stuff, fighting from distance, staying out of the fire fight that is a Trevor Peak style fight. I think you're also going to see Trevor's peak just to ruggle early in this fight to find a range because a guy who has been away for as long as he has is always going to have a little bit of trouble finding that range and getting started early. So Curtis Campbell's the play here for me. I wouldn't say I'm rushing to the window on a ticket that looks that big. But maybe if that number comes down a little bit by fight time, I'll be a little bit more enthusiastic. All right, two featherweight fights in the books. You know, look it over at the clock here. I think we got time for one more before I tell you a little bit about some of our sponsors. So let me tell you about some welter weights and that's a denial. Don't check. Go versus Puna. Hellay, Sorviano. Don't check. I'm going to be the big favorite here. He's betting off the negative 250 plus 205 on the return for Puna. He goes by Puna now and missed the story time nickname.

But we'll start with with Puna Soriano 13 and 4 in his pro career. He is riding a four fight win streak all since moving down to welterweight. Seven of those wins by knockout two by submission. He has been knocked out once, submitted once, but obviously not since being down at this weight class. He's going to have a two inch reach advantage over Daniel Donchenko, which is obviously a big piece of this fight. Daniel Donchenko, 15 and two as a pro. He's eight years younger than Puna, Hellay, Sorviano. Ten of those 15 wins are by knockout two by submission. He himself has never been finished in a fight. And he himself is riding a massive win streak. All of his fights in the UFC is not content to say ultimate fighter fights. Guys out of run, right? Because you can probably have even more if we count the ultimate fighter as well. This one's a tricky one for me because it's a levels fight. I think at the end of the day and Daniel Donchenko has been, you know, he's been fighting in the UFC. So I don't think we can sit here and say like he's not a talented guy or he's not a guy

who's got some chops or he's not a guy we should pay attention to. But you know, fighting, you know, Hedge and all those sets of Nando is different than fighting Puna Soriano, right? It's a different kind of fight. And you know, Puna's moved down to 170 pounds. He's looked great doing it. I'm excited for what he looks like and he's done down at this weight class. But I think the question then we have to ask is like, is Puna's wrestling going to work here? You know, Puna looked great on the, you know, he did pick up one knockout since coming down to Walter Wafer. But like this is a guy who brings a little bit more of a grinding style wants to take Donchenko. I can't imagine he wants to stand and trade with Donchenko here. He wants to take Donchenko out of that game, you know, in doing that, we'll probably involve some takedowns. And I don't know, haven't been super enthused in how great the takedowns have looked, you know, they're good, you know, but he doesn't look like he's plowing through a double anytime soon. And especially on Donchenko, who's takedown defense has both held up and we've seen him, even when it doesn't hold up, get back to his feet real quick.

And if this fight is a striker's battle, as I tend to think it will be, this fight will take place largely on the feet. Man, I wouldn't want to be on the opposite side of Donchenko. That's all I'm going to say here. I really do think they hand the Donchenko we're good. I think if you're out there and you're trying to convince yourself of a puna upset here, I don't think you're wildly off base. I will say that I personally think that the Donchenko's hands hold up here, but this is a fight that 10 minutes in or five minutes in even, you might be looking at him being like, what was I thinking ahead of time? And I say that about myself as well. Like I might just be sitting here thinking like, man, why did I get in on Donchenko? And it's one of those things that we just don't know the answer to until he steps up. And that's what makes good matchmaking. We talk about it all the time here on the show. Is that like good matchmaking answers a question? And the question here is, can Donchenko keep his feet against the guy with good wrestling, a guy who's just as physical, if not more physical than him, enforce them to strike with him? And I think we're going to find out here.

But at the end of the day, his tempting as the underdog was, I'm going to go to Daniel Donchenko. All right, that takes us through three fights, which means we got a little bit of time to take a quick break here. Tell you about a couple of our sponsors. Let me tell you first about Clutch Parles. We are brought to you by Clutch Parles. Clutch Parles has to be covered with data back predictions. Their predictions are updated live during the games, which means you get updated odds through every pitch basket and possession. They also highlight the best sportsbooks to place their highest edge place. And you can compete against others and weekly, monthly and all time profit leaderboards. And most importantly, and I do emphasize most importantly here, Clutch Parles is so easy to use. It's got a simple and clean dashboard. You can see it on the screen here. If you're watching on YouTube, it's so easy to read who's got the edge here, so easy to see what they're thinking. And it's a one stop shop for your research and plus EV opportunities. The one on the circle and right now, they got a bunch of college football action up there and look, if you're looking at spreads and the spreads in the early part of the

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Now, if you want to get started over there on that contest, why don't you start in the M.O.B. They got Kate Anderson. He's starting for Seattle tonight. Tons of strikeout stuff here against the A's. And let's take the higher than on the strikeout stuff because you know, the A's swinging in miss a little bit. Now, if you want to get down with this and you haven't gotten down with underdog before, new customers and select states can now get a 50% deposit matchup up through a thousand bucks and bonus funds when they use underdog promo code SGP and the NFL is right around the corner in the sports gambling podcasts is back with our 32 NFL team previews. And of course, your chance to win $8,000 NFL future with the the All right. Now that we got the heavy lifting out of the way, we of course got three more fights for you as well as the fancy dancing stuff as well.

We're going to head now to the middle weight division where we got Michael Venom page. He's going to be fighting to assault and Ruzal boy have page. He's going to be vetting off as the favorite here. And he's vetting off at negative 160. Ruzal boy have a plus 135 underdog. So we'll start with the underdog first. 37, 9 into in his pro career. 13 knockouts. 21 submissions. He's only gone to decision three times in a victory. He's one three in a row and he has been knocked out once submitted once. Seven decision losses there. So this dude, when he puts you away, comes out on top when he goes to decision, a little bit rougher for him. He has said been years younger than Michael Venom page. He's going to be two inches taller. Michael Venom page 25 and three. He has 13 knockouts and three submissions. He has gone to decision nine times. So he's a little bit more than Ruzal boy have here. One TKO loss in his career. And he is running a three fight win streak.

Despite being a little bit shorter of a fighter, he is got a three inch reach advantage. Look, there's tons of stuff going around in the discord right now about these two fighters. And it's a hard fight to pick. And it's a hard fight to pick, not just skill wise, right? Because obviously Michael Venom page more dangerous striker. We saw it in Bellator, what he did to Douglas Lima. It's saying, no, Douglas Lima did it to him. Sorry, scratch that. Don't talk about that fight. What he did to a lot of the other guys in Bellator though, insane with the knockout power, you know, flying knees, whatever it is he's throwing. Looked it's saying, but when we look at what he's done in the UFC so far, it's kind of lackluster. And I don't mean it's lackluster in that he's not special and he's not good or anything like that. I mean, it's like luster and he doesn't put his foot on the gas anymore. There's a whole bunch of dialogue out there with the UFC about like, is this guy going to get signed back after this? This is the last fight on this contract. He's even said, looking forward to signing back with the UFC. But I think if he has another one of those boring fights that he has, UFC is going to pass.

UFC is going to be sending him the same way as they send the Daniel Marcos of the world, right? Like they're just going to say, we're not interested. And I don't know what that does to his mental space here. And I don't know where he's riding. And then on the other side, it's not like Roosevelt have his thought the parts, smartest fights in his career either, you know, like shoots a bunch of takedowns sometimes. Doesn't shoot him when he maybe he needs to like, you know, picked up a crazy big knockout winning as you've seen a debut suddenly. This was a knockout artist and just going to throw hands every time he fights. I like, I like this guy. I think he's got so much potential. I love the team he trains out of them down there in Philly. But I just don't know that either of these guys are going to come forward with the right fight. I cue to win this fight. And it's hard for me. It's hard for me to look at this fight and feel really good about it. So at the end of the day, I said, well, not a dark way. If I don't like either of these guys, one of them's 39 years old. And you know, you know, you could say, well, once a striker, once a grappler and gum be always

leans with the grappler, sort of true. Yes, but also just like, doesn't Roosevelt have more promise than Michael Venom Page at this point? Like, page is danced in the cage more than he's fought in the cage recently. And I'd rather have the guy who's walking forward looking like he wants to do damage. And it's not like page is grappling. Defenses always look good. You know, it's 70% takedown defense, but it's kind of hit or miss sometimes. 80% accuracy on the side of Roosevelt boy, if I think if he does bring that grappling game, I think there's a real reason that Michael Venom Page would suffer underneath him. And, you know, it's enough to roll the dice here with the underdog money. All right, that's enough to talk about those two. Let's talk about this co-made event with a couple of Frenchmen in the lightweight division. Of course, I'm talking about Ferrazaim and Axel Sola Ferrazaim. The negative 145 favorite, we can get plus 125 on the return to Axel Sola. So we'll start with Sola first. He's 12, one in one in his professional career. He's got six knockouts, two submissions.

He has never been finished in his career. And he won his last fight, lost the fight before that, won the fight before that. So two and one in his last three, Zayin 18 and five in his professional career, seven knockouts for submissions. He has been submitted three times in his career, which, you know, maybe not the best look there. But he is coming off of the loss. Ferrazaim came up a little short last time. That was, if I'm not mistaken, that was, that was the time big train no one. So another guy who's got big lawn ranger striking like he does. So, you know, maybe no shame in a loss like that. But yeah, he is coming off of the loss, never the less. And he comes into the co-made event here, an inch taller than Axel Sola and with an inch of reach advantage, one year old. You know, I think I've said on a lot of these fights, I went back and forth on him. You know, if you look at some of Axel Sola's fights, you're like, man, this dude is looked really good in select moments. You'll look good with Getz-Pah theme.

And he got moments where he just kind of looks overwhelmed, especially with pace and pressure. You know, look at the Mason Jones fight. I don't know. That didn't look like a good version of Axel Sola to me. And not that, you know, Ferrezayne hasn't shown some chinks in the armor as well. The time no one fight, obviously doesn't vote terribly well for him. But I don't know that Axel Sola is going to be able to deal with that. And in addition to that, I'm sort of interested to see if Ferrezayne comes with that wrestling game. Because, you know, in the past Ferrezayne, when he first came up, it was like kickboxing. Kenny Russell, I don't know. And in fact, I even think I took Matt Fervolo over him in that fight because I was like, I don't think he can wrestle. All of a sudden, he starts coming with this wrestling game and he's got takedowns on people. And it looks like he knows what he's doing on the mat now. Could that be an advantage against Axel Sola? I think it's enough here where I'm like, okay, the striking seems even. He's got that in his back pocket. We've seen Sola wilt under pressure. Ferrezayne can pump that jab out with a little reach, a little height advantage here too.

So I'm going to go with Ferrezayne. I think the reach, the height, a little bit of the pressure. I think he can take enough of what Mason Jones did and replicate it. I think Axel Sola has a harder time doing that with the with the Tom Nolan game plan, if you will. All right, we got one more flight and actually we'll get to that fight before we hit our sponsors one last time because we obviously still have the fancy dance he's tough at the end. So let's get to the main event in the lightweight division. We got Dan the hangman hooker. He's a massive plus 450 underdog. It's fighting Saladin Parneis negative 600 in a main event in his UFC debut. So obviously we'll start with the other dog. We'll start with Dan hooker 24 14 and 24 and 14 is broker. Rear 11 knockout seven submissions. He has been knocked out four times and submitted four times. This guy always has some rounds back to back losses for Dan hooker. But again, again, sort of the tippy top of the division.

Fighting a lot of dudes who are big heavy wrestlers in Sarooki and you have Gamrod in there and you know, obviously a whole bunch of other guys as well. Parneis obviously we don't have the stats for him, but we do have the record. It's 23 and two in his bro career. He hasn't lost since he went all the way up to welterweight in chase of his third division champion when he was over with KSW. Obviously long time KSW multi division champ eight knockout seven submissions. He was knocked out one time in his career. Again, I believe that was Bartoszinski up at welterweight if I am not misremembering. He is eight years younger than Dan hooker. He is giving up two inches of height and two inches of reach here. But of course, you know, Dan hooker obviously a long, lengthy lightweight. So that's no surprise coming into this one. Now I did my due diligence on this one. You know, going back to the Dan hooker fight with Matt Teusz Gamrod. Hooker did a really good job of defending the takedowns, getting back up, wearing Gamrod out. Personally, I think Gamrod probably won that fight on split decision. The decision didn't go his way.

It went to hooker. Sort of a coin flip. I don't think there's a robbery argument there. But like a lot of people are looking at this fight and being like, is Dan hooker just going to get taken down a whole bunch of times? I don't know that part of Ace has like the grappling game that would make me think that that's for sure there. So if you're looking for a path to victory for Dan hooker here, I think it's like, you know, stop the takedowns, keep this fight on the feet, pump your jab out there and score some on the feet. But the problem I have with that is I think he's slower here. I think he's a lot slower than Saladine Parnaise. And I think the five round fight here really benefits Parnaise. Because if you go back to any of the times he fought title fights in KSW, his KSW title fights, he looks sharp in the fourth round. He looks fast in the fourth round. He's still whipping out those hooks, cracking his opponents, he works the body nicely, which is better against the much taller opponent, which hooker, not much taller, but a little bit taller here. I think the bodywork could become a big piece of this, especially as Hooker wears down.

And you can also sort of see in those hooker fights when he's fighting a guy who shoots takedowns. Parnaise likely to do so. He tires. He gets he gets worn out and in the second and third round, the snap on the jab just isn't there. And maybe the takedown defense will hold up, similarly like it did to Gamera. But the bigger question is will he after using all of that energy in the takedowns be able to stay out of the way of the bombs that Parnaise is throwing? I think the resounding answer is no. Maybe Dan Hooker of seven or eight years ago, maybe, that Dan Hooker right now, the Dan Hooker I saw in those last three fights, I don't think so for me. So as much as I'm kind of shocked that this line grew as big as it did, negative 600 for Parnaise, still going to be my play out. I'll take seledine Parnaise here to close it out. All right, so that does it with our picks for each individual fight. Let me run them down for you. I got Parnaise, Zayem, Ruzza Boyam, Don Chinko, Campbell, and last, but not least, I got Keeta.

And before we get to those fancy plays, I do got to tell you about Kalshi. We're brought to you by Kalshi. On Kalshi, you can trade spreads, money lines, totals, futures, and so much more. Kalshi has got great prices for college and pro football. And you can trade almost anything on Kalshi. And plus, they're available in a ton of states, terms and conditions to apply. One thing right now that I love on Kalshi, it's almost a word season for baseball. There are some articles on it over at sportsgamblingpodcast.com. And one of the ones I'm interested in right now is, can Grisail wrangle that NL-Sai young away from Jacob Mizorowski? Mizorowski's put together a couple of ugly starts, sail right on his heels. Might be the time to go trade on Kalshi. And if you want to, you can trade $25 right now on Kalshi and get up to $500 over on Kalshi. You just got to use promo code SGPM. That's Kalshi, K-A-L-S-H-I, promo code SGPM. And we're also brought to you by Circus Sportsbook. Circus Sportsbook is given away at least $30 million in prizes for this year's handicap

in contest. Side of in Nevada and play for many bear. Of course, you're going to need a proxy. So make sure to head on over to footballcontest.com and use promo code SGPM. And you'll get $50 off those proxy fees. And although we've got locks, dogs, and props, or a luck a dog in a prop. Because I'm so low today. So it's just going to be one. Thought about this one for a while. Went back and forth on who I wanted for a lock. Was trying to cherry pick the low 100 lines or the mid 100 lines. You know, that's where I like to chill with my lock at the week. But ultimately, when I looked at all of these lines, there really was only one line that sat there and looked crazy juicy to me. And as big as the line is, it's Mario Pinto. Mario Pinto, negative 275. We talked about him on yesterday's episode. Fighting Ryan Span, I think he's going to outclass him on the feed. I think he can avoid all the grappling here. I think negative 275 at the end of the day, whether you're throwing it into a parlay or you like it straight up, it's going to look like the steal of the week. So my lock of the week, Mario Pinto, and my underdog of the week.

Man, I'm back and forth on this one too. I'm going to take Morgan Shariay. Morgan Shariay, look, I think he's got all of the wrestling he needs to keep this fight on the feed. Big old juicy plus 180 on his line. I think the guy brings a brawl each and every time. And it's probably going to drag Felipe Lima into a deep fight. Lima looked a little bit worse for the wear in those deep fights. So I like Shariay there. And then from a proper week, I mentioned it, Florida at the beginning of the show. I hinted it if you were listening. And that's Los Angeles, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, that and off at plus 100 to score a knockout right now. And look, the bulk of his wins in Octagon, we're by knockout. Guys got dynamite in his hands. We've seen him knockout dudes. If Mama and I'm off comes in here and shoots a whole bunch of takedowns, comes up short on any of them. The more he tires, the more he's exhausted, the more Keita's going to back him down and knock his block off. So I like Keita by knockout. The fact that there's still a plus in front of that number,

kind of shocking to me. So once again, that's Mario Pinto. Negative 275 is the lock. Arnold dogs going to be Morgan Shariay plus a buck 80. And the proper way going to be Los Angeles Keita by knockout plus 100. Now we don't get you out of here without a hungry man, John Superfan Parley. I know a couple of people have been in the discord clamoring, asking for the round robin back, but can only find two that I really loved here. So we're going to give you two. We're going to make it a Parley. And as always, we're going to make it 10 to 1 or better. We're going to start here. Victor Dice on the pre-lims here. We talked about it yesterday. You can go back. You can look at that episode. And we talked about, or sorry, Luis Felipe, yes. Not Victor Dice. Luis Felipe, yes. We talked about this dude just throws hammers. Every single time he walks forward, he throws a hammer, looking to knock your block off. Probably not better than it is. Dylklo, or a Dylklo, but like the guy swings and it might not matter that he's not better.

Right now, you can get his knockout prop, despite being basically an even money favorite to win. And I think that's the only way he wins plus 275 on the knockout prop. I'm going to pair that with another knockout prop. I'm going to pair it with the aforementioned Morgan-Charlie, who I think can get to Felipe Lima, give him his first knockout loss. That one right now, betting off at plus 450, couldn't believe that number because that's another guy who hits like a truck. So, you know, when all is said and done, love that that's the way those two look. And when you pair them two together, you're going to get plus 1962. Great numbers there. Now, that's going to do it for tonight. We hope you guys enjoy these solo episodes of Gumby. Probably won't have it again anytime in the near future. But hey, it is what it is. So, thank you guys so much for joining us. And in the meantime, and in between time, you can check me out over on sportsgamblingpodcast.com, where I got articles coming out each and every day featuring NFL, NCA,

football, MLB, MMA, of course. You can check all of those there. You can also check out Jeff, who wasn't on this episode, but you can check them out at money, MMA.substac.com. He's got tons of great articles going on over there. Tons of stats that he uses in these very episodes and things like that. So, make sure you check them out there. We also got my other podcast, Top Turtle MMA, where I do some interviews this week talking to Zeppin Cheese Knight, who is going to be on Contender Series in a couple of weeks. Plus, Stuck in a Martin Kozak, who is fighting this upcoming week on Contender Series as well. So, make sure you check both of those out. As far as the bosses are concerned, make sure to check out the sports gambling podcast on YouTube. Give it a follow or give it a subscribe. You can also check out the store, store. That sportsgamblingpodcast.com, patreon.com slash sports gambling podcast for some extra goodies. And until next week, or actually until tomorrow, where we're going to get you some kind of contender series stuff that will hopefully have Jeff Fox and Tau.

I'm Daniel Gubby-Vreland and we'll see you then. .

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