A Numbers Game | October 2, 2026 | Hour 3

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1:01So on those idiots who believe in analytics, this is a numbers game with Yolanda Alexander on Vison. It is our number three of a numbers game at Vison. These sports betting network, Vison.com, Game Plus, iHeard Radio, YouTube TV, series XM Channel 189, Gill Alexander. Thank you all for hanging with us today. Kelly's behind the glass because Fesik is in his year. Momentarily before we get to Steve, for those Camario Taylor fans out there who are like, how could you say Keelan Russell might be the better quarterback this week? Just a comparison of their stats right now. 71% to 69% completion rate. 1129 passing yards to 1192, 9.6 yards per dropback to 9.1 yards per dropback, 0.37 EPA to 0.32, 11 touchdowns to four turnovers, 15 touchdowns to five turnovers. I mean, it's just the stats are so identical. But like I said, Camario Taylor, he's got, he's got Bama. That's obviously going to be his first real big time national stage. Hey, look, it's the Camario Taylor coming out party.

2:04But then it's also at LSU, Oklahoma, and at Texas after a buy. So we will get to see the full Camario Taylor experience here. Seven to one currently in the Heisman market. And now it's time for Fesik Fridays. Whether it's at the sports book or anywhere else in the casino, he's always helping us find an edge. It's time for Fesik Fridays. Starry, the only back to back winner of the Hilton Super Contest, Steve Fesik. Follow him at your own parallel, Fesik sports. Good morning, sir. So I was listening to the show before and you were talking about drifters. That's right. And so it's so rare that I have a recollection of something that's literary. So I remember Steinbeck 1937 of Mice and Men, California Agricultural Valley, true drifters, Lenny and George going from town to town, trying to eke out a modest living as migrant farm workers. Wow. Okay, that's great. But when you grew up in the 1930s, was it? What's something like that? Did your dad ever tell you to turn off the light in the car?

3:05Did you ever try to turn on the internal light in the car? He screamed at you. Well, the danger is you forget us on and then your battery will die. Was that it was that the way that's the danger? Right. So there's that was never that was never the reason given to me. Oh, okay, but that was your pet peeve that that's actually a good reason. By the way, I was the agricultural valley. I was in Bakersfield a few times this past summer and at the hard rock, Tazone, Casino and it's literally there's nothing there. And yet you can't get a seat on the weekend at any of the slot machines or video poker machines. It is packed and I have no idea where these people are coming from. It's like at the top of the grapevine off of interstate five. Crazy. Wow. It's amazing to me. Just Casinos in general. Have you ever been to the cell? What's the what's the deadest time of a week? Wednesday, midday, Tuesday night, 9 p.m. You would go to the South. Or 9 a.m. Go to the South. When it's packed and it's not by accident, you know,

4:08and all these fancy, fancy guys that have their degrees in gaming, you know, on the strip and their place is empty, you know, shoot a cannon. Don't hit nothing. Why don't they go to the South point and realize, you know, you give people dollar 50 hot dogs. You you give them bowing, barbershop, movies, free parking, good black jack odds, good video poker and it packs the place and they refuse to copy the winning model. It's a makes no sense. All right. We got a lot to get to. Question is in what order shall we get to them? Let's start with the thing I like the least. I like 95% of stuff you say. Sometimes you go a little overboard with your confidence. I'm maybe I'll knock it down from 95%. Let's say 85% of you're right about that. Yeah. I visualize wins. You know, like a little overconfident about stuff. Visualization is good for winning. But the one pet peeve I have and we got into this a few weeks ago is you when you go off on a nobody should have lost on this game thing. What would you like to bring it up? Oh yeah. They north everybody won on North Texas. Right.

5:08Because so think about this. So North Texas is the underdog and like literally every day, it takes a half a point more towards North Texas. So North Texas goes plus two plus one half plus one that's big. The minus one minus two and a half and then right before post, they go up to three. Tulsa's catching three. So if you bet that game, you didn't go one oh and one. You went two and oh, you won. Of course, following the move. If you were dialed in and were only if you were only bedding college football and that's all you were doing and you were just watching the screen 24 seven, you bet on North Texas when they're the dog and you bet also on Tulsa plus three. And then the cash both tickets. You got lucky. Well, you're right. If you're dialed in, you are correct. It's just that most people aren't dialed in. So when they hear after the fact, oh, I should have wanted it, no matter what, it just to come, it lands funny with them. And that's the point as far as being dialed in. This is like my pet peeve with the sports advisory business. And I was funny. I was arguing I like big Al a lot.

6:10And he was like, oh, we're looking for a guy that can handicap seven sports. And here's the list all the sports. And it's like, and he's like, that's what people want. They want to have someone who does all the sports. Maybe if you, if you're an action junkie, you won't win. No, you will not win. And if you have a guy that's the thing about that that's doing baseball, it's the equinox going on right now. So we got the baseball. We got the hockey starting up college basketball NBA or our hard on its heels. But we still have college football and a fell. We got tennis. If someone's doing all of darts, if they're doing all these sports at once, how much time are they able to devote to each team one minute? No chance. It's so true. No chance. There's three. There's 130 college teams one minute on Ohio State times 136. There's two and a half hours with totally inadequate amount of time on college football. You want when these and what's happening. And it's really it's total scumbag thing. There's throwing so many sports against the wall. They're like, I'm up 24 units on women's ping pong, you know,

7:14just by chance. And then they advertise that. It's nonsense. I'll use an example. I have no affiliation with them. Kyle Hunter. I love him. He's a college football specialist Brad Powers college football specialist. By those guys, all they're doing is college football. They're not smarter than everyone else. Well, they might be smarter. But they're probably not, but they're just they're focused. They are dialed in. That's how to win sports betting. Now, be honest with me, Stevie, tough question. And in your pick selling career, was there ever a time where you overextended yourself with too many sports? Of course. Absolutely. But to be fair, I was the great aggregator. So I would have people that would would would would basically be I would outsource certain sports to other people. And then I would just serve as as the moderator where it's like, well, I don't like the looks of this one or this one. You know, Stevie likes the word aggregator. Some of us might use a different word, but he likes the word aggregator. College football, you have a trio of plays for us. Yeah, let's talk about that. So I've got like, I've been working with Dan the stat man.

8:15I aggregate with him. He's the greatest college football handicap you've never heard of. And I work with him on and off for like 40 years. And he runs his models. By the way, shocker. They're very similar to the Dr. Bob models. So back when Dr. Bob was interesting. So Dr. Bob was like a little bit too forthcoming on his write-ups and how he would do it. And Dan basically reversed engineered. And he would like literally be, I would say, oh, well, Bob's going to be on these five plays. And not all of course, Bob has tweaked his model of millions. Hundreds. Yeah. And so maybe only three of the five will bob be up. But there's no chance Bob will be opposite. Dan because of the way they do. But Bob's model is more advanced. But these are three of the plays he lands. So Georgia Southern Game 145 minus two. The Louisiana Lafayette, the market is not embracing this. We can't understand it. Game 194 minus six. And it's always fraught with danger. Going to the islands and playing the road team.

9:15But we believe the wrong teams favored 213 San Jose State plus three. And you should be able to get that at reduced vague as well. I don't always want to just give out a plus three when lines 2.8. So those are three college plays for you. Full disclosure, Cracket Eye were we're not laughing at you. But we were giggling about you yesterday. Because sometimes you're we know you as an actuary by trade. You're this you know, market fieldy guy. You know, you believe in the markets when it comes to sports betting. You have a very robotic brain. But then every once in a while you show a little glimpse of of Steve Fesick as a child. He loves fireworks. Oh, on the weekend they you go up the laest he club. And they're going off above you. It's glorious. Okay. He can't he never gets tired of fireworks. And then but you had a chance encounter with Phil Helmuth. And we saw this again from you where you just be out. I was like, Oh, there he is. Stevie the child happening again. Oh, I love Phil Helmuth. So the greatest sport poker tournament player in the world.

10:17There is no debate there in terms of tournaments. And I'm looking over. I'm like, Oh, that looks like Phil Helmuth over there. Why? Because it is Phil Helmuth. So I'm like, well, you know, I don't want to like bother Phil. And will you remember me? I met him years and years ago. And so I was walking past. We made eye contact and I could see the wheel spinning. He recognized me. Who is this? Oh, that's right. That's deep. And so I talked to him and like, and you can't get me away from the table. Because Phil, I almost wanted to ask him for an autograph for my son. I saw the video of this. He write it. And Phil said, what's your son's name? Bezik. I mean, it's like, I love Phil Helmuth. So Scott Seidenberg comes over like to rescue Phil. Phil from me. From he's like, he's like, Steve, we're going to be going now. I'm like, okay, Scott, you know, I'm just like, I would have stayed for hours. Is this now your pinned tweet? Yeah, of course. This is never coming down. You're never taking this down. Well, not unless Sydney, Swini, I have a chance and counter.

11:17But he puts it in a park somewhere. Phil knew who he knows who you are though. He knew who you are. Well, yeah, we played, we played like in a blackjack tournament together. And he was at my table. I loved what he was doing. So he had the chip lead. And so he's smart. He's an advantage player. So he's betting the minimum. And he's like, bet it up, bet it up, bet it up. Oh, the or 21 too bad. You know, it's everybody's getting really getting Steve. He's not. Bet it up. And he listens to you on which podcast of the roster one. He did not say, but he, but but I believe he and I guess with Brandon Cantu and Mike, the mouth, Matt, as well, they have their own podcasts. And he was poked there, poked in front of apparently the mouth listens to my podcast. And they, okay, I assume it was the even might, but it might, it might be your podcast right here. It might have been the Megapod might have been the Megapod. Why might have been here on Veecin on a number of 100% could have been any of that stuff. You never know. By the way, I am loving the Megapod so entertaining. You know, I'm worried. Has Aaron Schott's been on? Not yet. I bet because I like like, like, is there a chance any of these, these, these, these like super scientific guys are going to box because of the,

12:22the pressures that can be put on by some of the posts that are good at times can be difficult to communicate with. You know, what Todd's line is about Aaron. He is allergic to comedy. That's what Todd says to Aaron. We love Bobo. Steve might have something to say about Todd on the other side. He's definitely wants to say something about these coaches last night in the Thursday night football game. And we have NFL plays from Stevie as well. Steve Fessick right here on a numbers game at Veecin. He sports betting network. This is a new era of wealth.

13:23A UBS financial advisor can help you with personalized advice and long term planning to move forward with confidence. Find out what's possible at UBS dot com slash new era UBS financial services zinc member Findra SIPC. A numbers game on Veecin. These sports betting network back on a numbers game live from Circus, resort, casino, downtown Las Vegas, skill, Alex and their Steve Fessick in the house as part of Fessick Fridays. You can follow him on Twitter at Fessick Sports. Were you selling your picks these days, sir? SIC picks dot com. That is the only place that I sell picks. I've got an imposter pretending to be me. By the way, use code A and G as an numbers game. Wow. For a 25% discount, should you go over there? Don't buy picks if you're a big better. You should be betting hundreds of dollars. If not, don't buy picks from anyone. Sure get me involved. Can I give it by the way you call an SIC picks?

14:25You call it sick picks. I call it SIC picks because when people put sick picks, they try to spot SIC case. Oh, I see. And so by saying SIC PIC KS. Hey, can I give Dr. Chow a shout out because I've been hard on Dr. Chow because I thought all his like Achilles stuff with their Rogers was just complete bunk. And I stand by that because I am an Achilles doctor as you know. But his other stuff when we talked about Jackson Dart, Jason Daniels, excuse me, Jackson Dart, Jaden Daniels and Caleb Williams, who all got hurt the same week. He nailed all three of those on the spot. So shout out to Dr. Chow if I'm going to criticize him, I should be. And I've been getting injury reports on you from him. And well, he did. I'm not going to like, you know, go in any depth. But I would take parls plus two in every set in the match. I'm holding on a broken foot. You're I mean, if not, then if not now, Jeff never in terms of beating Gilly. Charlie D USA number one, turn that light off now. Meanwhile, dad leaning over while mom lights his long dart with a rapidly growing match flame.

15:30That's so true. George Cox, don't forget about the Kleenex box in the back. The car could be a deadly projectile in an accident. Oh, I did forget about that. Michael Laifon, Gill on the topic of contaminated Halloween candy, are you aware that often in affluent neighborhoods, Halloween candies presented to trick or treaters by homeowners on a serving tray. So the kids pick the candy they want due to legal advisement. Are you serious? Is that why they do that? Be your old Nelson. When eating watermelon as a young kid, this is a great one with my dad. I remember him telling me, don't swallow any seeds. They'll grow in your belly. I remember that one too. That's great. Nemesis and Forcer more recent myth from the 2000s came back in the last 10 years. Don't flash high beams when cars have lights off. They'll shoot you. Yeah, that is modern day. Roads, roads, nose, numbers, games, new slogan. Where the nonsense stops. It's, I love it. David Newell, tell Kelly the no swimming after eating is because Digestan is a major use of blood flow and the thought was that also heavy use of muscles for swimming would cause cramping.

16:31Yeah, you mentioned that as well. If you're going to swim the channel or something. Fred Leonard's, you mentioned Caitlin and the links being gone. Young hose also gone. Yeah, that's right. By the way, Todd didn't come up with that. The mystics themselves came up with that. By the way, the most fun you ever have on Thanksgiving. Yeah, put out with the camera, put out a tray. You know, please take just one outside your house. Oh, yeah. And then if some kid, you know, tries to take a bunch, you're dressed as Frankenstein monster and the bush is like, you're only supposed to take one. Oh, you mean, Halloween, you mean? Yeah, yeah, you said, I see it. Okay, I misspoke. That's all right. Okay, back to the game last night. Oh boy, I talked about in the recap earlier. Todd Munkin, Mike McCarthy, but especially Munkin, what are we doing? You know, it's just amazing because these guys and our group text, we say all the time, these guys have never seen a football game. That's your life. Their entire life. All right, so like, like if you listen to the Megapod, what was the number one dumbbell of the week? Oh, yeah, every week we have three candidates.

17:32This week it was Dmitriyans. It was Brian Chaudenheimer and the winner was, no, Brian Chaudenheimer was the winner. But the other candidates were Dmitriyans and who was the third? I can't remember. Doesn't matter because with seven seconds left, the Cowboys don't go off the game with two stooped, stupid, stupid play. They won the kick it out of the end zone. And of course, there's not one assistant coach or ball boy that's like, coach, we just kicked to the five yard line and we're good. They won't have time to score. And if I'm the kicker, I just go Rogan, I kick to the 10, and I just lie and say, oh, I miss hit a coach. Sorry. And so Dallas loses the game because they allow Baltimore to start on the 35. And then they don't be very aggressive, you know, on the line, scrimmage to hold up the receivers. They just pull, play way back and allow a long completion. So literally it's a week later. Not even a week. Not even a week. Four days. 10 seconds remaining duplication of the Kansas City Buffalo game. And the Baltimore Dallas game. And what's this Cleveland just duplicates the stupidity?

18:35They kick it out of the end zone with 10 seconds left. And then they let Aaron Rogers just, you know, just survey all his receivers. Unfortunately, he doesn't have any that are 40 yards down field. So they make the same two mistakes. And it's like, I feel like Cassandra, that chick in Troy, where she's running around, you know, there's the Greeks are in the horse. You know, beware and nobody listens to her. And I feel like her. It's like, I tell people this like nonstop. And you do it. Everyone knows this. But somehow no one in the NFL like, like, like, has a one money ball guy that understands this. Monk it with the timeouts and the kicking in the end zone. Then at last play, it's just all. And you could say with McCarthy too, like just get it in field goal range. What are you doing? You got some NFL plays for us though. Yeah, let's talk NFL. You know what? But I have to address, you know, oh, wait, before we go. Yes, you beat me to it. This Felica talk about the rounds up there. He's so good. And he's been great in these contests and everything.

19:36But he mentioned playoffs. playoffs for the Browns. The Browns. The man is giggling for God's sakes. Bold prediction. Yeah. The Browns will not be favored in any game. The rest of the year. Yeah. All right. So yeah, they're three in one. They are not going to be favored. The rest of the other, they're no good. They, they're point differential. We talk about this all the time. How the point differential is more important than the record. I mean, they're way negative for the year. They won three close games and they got smashed in one. And I can tell you right now, all these other teams, they're looking at their schedule right now. It's like Pittsburgh's like, wow, we'll be Cleveland. We're hosting them. That's the, the bingo square for them. So yeah, it's pumped the brakes on Watson and Cleveland being a good team. I'll say this. That conception in Boston. That's, um, make, reminds me the 1975 world series with David Concepts, they don't beat the Boston Red Sox and, and, and the like, but they're really good rookies. Yeah.

20:37Real good. Minnesota, New Orleans. This is, um, excuse me. Not, not Minnesota, New Orleans. You wrote this wrong. There's, oh, there's a week ahead. Pardon me. You have a look ahead play for week five. Minnesota. I have two. So Minnesota, uh, New Orleans is going set up under 45 and a half. Go. We are betting Minnesota, New Orleans. That was very fast under 45 and a half. Minnesota is a dead nut under team. If you look at yards per play, last, last in the NFL are the Minnesota Vikings. Yeah. They only gained 4.3 yards per play, but they got a lights out defense. The only concern is they might get a defensive touchdown. But that's just too high. And another look ahead play. This, I got a motor city parlay for you, Gil, because you know what? I know I'm the fun police. You just came on this show about to do a parlay. I am. It marked this day down. All right. And it's not just Jeff Parles or parlay's. Uh, it's an actual parlay because it's correlated motor city parlay week four. Detroit Carolina over 51.

21:39Detroit is a dead nut over team. Offense is good. Defenses. Lousy. And then what's this week five? They're playing Arizona. Another dead nut over team. So we're going to parlay the Detroit week four over to the Detroit week five over 52 and a half. And now here's the beauty. Should we win the week four over on Detroit, then we'll probably see an even higher total week five on the Lions game. So let's go over weeks four and five. Make sure they don't let the book cheat you. You need to be getting, um, uh, plus two 60 on your parlay. So don't let these guys say it's correlated and pop and pop it into an SGP and screw you and you only get like plus two 28. So you got to get 13 to five on it. And what's with the Monday night game? You like the Falcon's plus the points. I do. You know, I, I just punched in all my yards per play on my team. So I've got my power ratings and we'll get to those. And the, and the perception is that it all would land up, you know, finally got their, their quarterback back, but they've been dreadful. They're actually plus point four on yards per play for the year.

22:39Even with Panax only having played one game, it's just all these turnovers have killed them. Speaking of Dr. Bob, can we give Dr. Bob a shout out? Is the first guy to talk about yards per play before anybody else did 100% of just said that was Dr. Bob's fiend starting point first power ratings and his models. And you know, it's interesting. It's like ERA. Now everybody poo poo's it. They're like, oh, success rate and, and, and, and, and they have 20 other stats that they deemed to be more important. But you know, yards per play is still a pretty good, you know, stat to just basic stat to analyze how good has a team really been. It's very rare. And by the way, there's only six good teams. There's six good teams that their their yards per play differential are all above one. All right. Buffalo, the the Super Bowl winner will be one of these six teams. Buffalo, Seattle, Rams, Baltimore, San Fran, Kansas City. Now Todd, of course, is saying, well, that's obvious. Steve, to everybody, but it is amazing how you've you've fought a cliff after those six.

23:39If you want to consider Bengals, Jaguars, Denver, Dallas, Philly, all those teams are crap. I mean, they're not even in the in the same neighborhood. This is yards per play net differential. Yes. Okay. And the six give us the six teams again. Buffalo, Seattle, and these are my power ratings in order. Buffalo number one, Seattle, Rams, Baltimore, 49ers, Kansas City Chiefs. There's I think most people are nodding. Most people like it. One of those teams is going to win the Super Bowl. Okay. Wow. Lock it in. All right. But did you explain why you, by the way, all of Steve's picks, if you don't get a mere college or pro, again, subscribers, Vsyn.com slash picks. We will put them up there. It's part of our Vsyn pro intro offer. Son of now for as little as $9.99 daily best bets, including those from Steve Fessick, exclusive betting splits, AI powered prop tools and matchup analysis, access to all betting guides, Vsyn.com slash subscribe. More from Steve all the other side, more of his power ratings. Want to get more of an explanation on that St. Falcon's play and more Steve Fessick on a numbers game right here at Vsyn.

24:46A number is game on Vsyn. Vs Sports betting network. Fanatics, sports and casinos. The only sports book that rewards every bet earn up to 10% fan cash back on your bets, winner lose. Then turn that fan cash into more bets, profit boosts, official team merch, tickets, trading cards, collectibles and more. It's vanatics.com to get started. Must be 21 or over gambling problem. Call 1-800-Gamler or call 1-800-Myreset-Marley. 800-327-5050 or gambling-helpline-ma.org for Massachusetts. 877-8 hope-New York or text HOPNY in New York. Tribal 877-897-7 or CCPG.org for Connecticut. More than a game.nc.gov for North Carolina. Fancash subject fanatics, sports book fan cash terms available online. It's also subject to the notice of financial incentives users can opt out, up the loyalty program at any time based on leading U.S. sportsbook analysis from July 2026 paid endorsement. Skill Outlegs enter. Steve Fessick is here. Tweets at Beatty the Book. This is from Jack. Jack 147-705-548.

25:47Artie Lang had the best line about the eating swimming rule. Said he'd never swam as a kid because it was never longer than 30 minutes since he had eaten. That's awesome. Illars Palace pardon me. If the WNBA needs best of five, should the NFL playoffs get the best of three? No, because it's a completely different sport, completely different animal. No, just like I think the baseball playoffs is great. How it is now. Best of three, best of five, best of seven. But in basketball, you can't do that. This is from Mike Fiest, the third, the danger of the dome light on as the driver can't see out of the rearview mirror. Also, High Plains Drifter, very underrated beastie boys track. Well, that's true about the rearview. Primetime Leon Sanders, Yo Fonsey was not a Drifter just a small town hood gang member. He turned into a beloved daredevil jumping garbage cans on a cycle and sharks on water skis. Then Joni met Chachi and everything fell apart. Very true. Jason McKity loved the show, but I won't let my 12-year-old listen to this one

26:49because I think I'd lose my mind if he tapped his head after I told him to do his chores. Mythbusters, Gillin Kelly. And then finally Tronsky. Hey, Gillin Fesick, I have something to say about Todd Wischneff. Although I'm a loyal discord member and enjoy his college basketball bets, I was caught reacting out loud to the Megapod while jogging and caught some stairs at the lake as I screamed Todd, shut the blake up. What's it? Well, it's interesting because we have our group chat where we have the bear and will hill. He's looking a little chunky lately. I don't know if we should say anything about that. And Todd, you and I, but Todd, he had tied to some great things. I think they really show that I'm on top of things. All right. He's like, here comes Stevie talking about how great the South Point is every time he comes on. And it's no secret I love for Cassino's in Vegas, circa. Caesars win South Point. Now, the South Point has barred me from playing sports. So this shows truly what an unbiased person I am.

27:50They threw me out. They don't want me to play. And I believe I've been wrong. Now, the other side would tell a different story, mind you. But, um, and by the way, my wife put a little note. She's like, you know, I'm sure if you apologize to Dennis Taylor, he'd give you your job back at the South Point. And I told her half Dennis Taylor. I don't need that. So, uh, little fast times. I'm just a physics chiming in. Yeah. This is a little fast times of Ridgeman. But Todd shows how unbiased I am. But I do want to say this about Todd. Todd is, I'm a mercenary and I like making money betting sports. And Todd is really, really good at making money betting. So I have nothing but great things to say. Wow. I wrote great work. High road. Um, one one thing back to the Saints Falcons game. You talked about the Falcons and your yards per play there. Where do the Saints rank for you? So the Saints are eight of clubs. Joe Q average. They, they gain 5.2. They give up 5.3. So they are basically an average team in yards per play.

28:53It doesn't mean they're an average team. I have a below average. But Atlanta is above average. And that's with the, um, the two games with the, um, the horrible quarterback. So it would be a logical conclusions that the Saints are better. And there's, and plus threes are popping up. So don't take, don't be a dummy and take plus two and a half. Be cool. Make sure you get plus three. You'll get it on the land. Don't be all uncool. Be cool. Uh, you said off-air that you had, you uncovered some strange things with your power rankings. Do we already talk about that? Um, you know, the Vikings really stand out is dead. Deadlast. Like deadlast. 4.3 yards per play. Deadlast on offense. Yeah. But they give up 4.8. So they're, they're actually a minus 0.5 yards per play. And people are talking, you know, about how they're a contender. And it's like, boy, I'm going to use the Vikings and survivor. But I'm not happy about this. And the Miami's not as bad as I thought they gain five yards per play. They give up 6.1 minus 1.1. Last, last in the league.

29:54Arizona Cardinals. They gained 4.5 yards per play. They give up 6.5. So net they are the worst. So worse. And so now, you know, this Arizona team's laying 2.5 at the giants. It's up to Arizona minus 2.5. And this lands me on a bet. The New York Giants, they're 2.1. They're seeing, are they going to make the playoffs? There's season of win number 7.5. 7.5. They're not going to be favored against anybody the rest of the year. Either. It is ludicrous. You know, you look at all those injuries, including the neighbors. It's not just, you know, dart. The Giants are in turmoil and that's reflected. Basically, the sportsbook is telling you, look, dummy. The Giants are a terrible team. They're home to Arizona. And they're catching 2.5 points. This is like one of the worst teams in the NFL. And their season win number is still 7.5. They're not going to win 6 games. Play under 7.5. Go. Lay minus 1.70. You're laying some juice there. Yeah, but if you can get an alternative, just play under 6.5. And you'll get plus money. The Giants are not winning 7 games.

30:56You see this is where I'm going to channel-todd here. This is what I'm talking about. You're like, you're so confident that to some, you will come across as overconfident. Yeah, that's a great point. Yeah. There is over a 70% chance that the Giants are going to win 6 or fewer games in my opinion. Okay. Yes. In your opinion. See, that was very well done. Yeah. Well, you're right. Now, you're absolutely right. Can you tell us why you love juice reel so much? You know, I really, I met Ricky Gold. He's fantastic. And all the time, like, you show me a document in a winner, right? A guy like, like, like, it's been given out his place. And I'll show you a guy that's given out numbers that like are long gone and don't exist anymore. Like, like, what's this right before the game starts? Oh, yep. I'm on North Texas plus one. You know, they're laying 2.6. They're not plus one. But what I love about juice reel is it tracks and documents people. But you have to actually make a bet. You have to bet. And then boom, it gets put into your account. And they track you on bets that you actually made.

31:59Not bets that you say you actually liked on teams on numbers that don't exist. So like a great way. I always say try to find handicappers and better. No one has ever heard of before that win and use their information. And I think juice reel and I haven't done this full disclosure myself. But I think it's an excellent way. You could just surf around and like look at all the guys that are like the very highest on juice reel and find some really good guys to follow that could help with your handicapping. This has nothing to do with anything you said on air, but off air. You were very concerned about you brought up the famous Kelly calf injury from back in the day. Yes. That come up again. What were we talking about? You know, there's a bit. There's a lot of been fluke injuries going on. GRP with the famous tragic dunk tank accident, you know, with with his leg. When he fell. Why are you smile every time he says he's fine. Okay. He's recovered. Hi, George. Um, I have, I go back and forth with George, but I'm always massively entertained. And he does have some great. You just love the spin of the, the spin of the phrase in a tragic dunk tank.

32:59And it made me, I felt like like they really happened with poor Kelly, because I believe Matt Brown was kicking field goals. He was. He was a part of this. And then would you like to see footage of the actual injury? I, you know, when I saw Rocky and they cut the eye, just say yes. Just no. Yes. Here it is. This is the injury. This is Kelly. Oh, Jesus. Jesus. It's like Rocky and round four to cut me. I can't see nothing. Cut me. Oh, God. That, then, look, look at Kelly. Look at, look at him. You don't look at thing like that anymore. You know, that scene with Rocky with the eye, right? Yeah. That's like, I literally like watch Kelly's like whole leg explode. It's like, I don't know if he's ever going to walk normal. Okay. He's walking fine. Thank goodness. And he's looking great. Kids 100 pounds down from that. Yeah. All right. Anything anything else that you'd like to say to betters before you leave here in the last minute in terms of what you are observing with, uh, with betting in the NFL. What's the big, what's the sort of? What's the mistake you're seeing being made? Is it teasers without any price sensitivity?

33:59What is it? Well, that's weekly. Everyone's like, I like this teaser and God is not going to win. Laying minus 130 or higher on two teams. Six point and fell. Teeze. Not even Hashem. Oh, so. I'm interested. Hashem will beat you. Okay. Yeah. The God, the bad luck. God. I don't really like, I don't want to get in trouble. So I'm, I believe in the visualized winners, you know, you don't really believe in this. Stop saying no, I actually do because they say, like in this whole like, cordonato like, like, like, actuary tea. Steve, it's the physical believes in that burn to ships. Like when he got to the, the new world, right? And it's, it's almost like, we got to make this work. If you visualize success, you don't want to have a fallback. You want to say, I'm absolutely going to, and it causes you to work harder. When you visualize success and the best example is that like, there's, there's guy in the Ivy leagues. There's two, he goes to class late and he sees two problems on the board. And he, he just writes them down and he thinks his homework is like, wow, these are really hard. He stays up half the night and does his homework hands it in. These were famous problems that had never been solved in the history of mathematics.

35:01But because he didn't know that, he just thought it was normal homework. And he solved the quantum physics or whatever it is. And it just goes to show he visualized, oh, I can do it. If he had been told these have never been solved, he never would have, you know, been able to succeed doing that. You gave it a, I gave it a parlay. And then you're talking about visualization. Who are you? It's correlated. You know, like if the Gileg San 101 circumvent limits, look like a dumbbell or play a correlated parlay. And it is indeed correlated. Who's your survivor play this week? We're going to go Minnesota despite my trepidations. I think you're right on that. Thank you, Steve. Steve Fesik, everybody at Fesik Sports. Kelly coming back next. We'll recap all the bets next. We keep control so the job keeps moving. Because when schedules tighten, trade overlap. Control is what keeps chaos from taking over. Pros, no control helps prevent problems before they start. It's about reducing uncertainty, catching small issues before they turn into safety risks. Because when everything's running right, the job moves forward and the crew stays safe.

36:02With Hilti, you have the tools, systems, and support to help keep it that way. We're living through one of the greatest shifts of wealth in history. Whether you're building wealth, exiting a business, or preparing to pass on your wealth, the decisions you make today can shape generations. A UBS financial advisor can help you with personalized advice, global capabilities, and long-term planning to help you move forward with confidence. This is a new era of wealth. Find out what's possible at UBS.com slash new era. UBS Financial Services Inc. member Finra SIPC. The number is game on decent. These four is betting network. It is a numbers game live from Circle Resort. Casino downtown Las Vegas, Gill Alexander Kelly, Bidlin, what a time of year division round and major league baseball division series,

37:04the DSs as they say, ALD, LDSs quadruple header tomorrow. And then we have double headers on Saturday and, excuse me, on Sunday and Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday, rotating from NL to AL. Who knows, they could all be over by then? Best of fives by Wednesday. Yankees Dodgers, let's go. Is that your world series matchup? Nope, but I just did those series bets. Oh, okay, no, I did the eggs in the potries. Tony tags on Twitter, my grandma, and of course week four in the national football league, college football as well, what a time to, what a country, what a great country this is. Tony tags on Twitter, my grandma used to tell me, sitting too close to the TV would make me go blind. Now all we do all day is stare at screens. Oh, it's so true. Yeah, that's a good one. My buddy, that one was not brought up before. That's a good one. My buddy's sister used to watch American bandstand and soul train from about six inches away from the TV screen. You know, it's crazy. That was like, that was, that was the thing

38:06then kind of like disappeared for a while and it's totally a thing again now with kids, right? Like the screen time with kids, they get out of the minute. It's just about the proximity to the screen. No, I know. Yeah. Patrick Kelly, Fesick rightfully points out to not pay for picks unless your volume slash magnitudes suits it. Mine does not, but it does fit for Vison Pro. Happily, profitably a pro taking into account. The subscription, thank you to all. There you go. There's a little shout out to Vison Pro subscriptions. Steven Latt is, hey, Gail, I know the show was dated, but maybe give a shout out to Lou Ferigno for playing the part of the green Hulk. We mentioned Lou Ferigno earlier. Yeah, the great Lou Ferigno. Mike Davis, I will take the bet that Fesick just met. He said, I will take the bet that the Giants won't win seven games. Let's do even odds against each other. What's the wager? In unlike Fesick saying that. He's taken Fesick up on a bet. He's suggesting a bet to Fesick. Let's see if Fesick takes them up on it. Well, is he under seven and a half wins? Yeah. And then Corbin, morning guys, can I believe I just heard someone say a tissue box

39:07could be a projectile object in the car accident. I'll raise you one mom and dad. Here comes my laptop oversized yeti water bottle and multiple things. I left in the back of my car. That'll do it. Yeah. Tissue box was a big deal back then. What was that one? Someone said the tissue box in the back of the car could be used as a projectile. We'll cause an accident. And Corbin is just say, yeah, could you imagine? Like that's the worst thing back in the day. What are you like? Like is this is this is this part of leaving the light on? No, it's a trash. It's a trash. It's just a different myth. Oh, yeah. Who is that Corbin? Corbin saying, yeah, the amount of stuff that's in the back of my car that could just it. Yeah. Yeah. What was the, what was the horror movie final destination? If we were a part of final destination, there's like 17 things in my car that would kill me immediately. Here are the bets. I've got four in the national football league Vikings minus nine and a half. Again, some of these were bought down earlier in the week, like the Seahawks at minus six and a half and minus 123. Panthers plus three and a half. That's out there minus one 13 and the Jags that was bought up to plus three minus 122.

40:10Viking Seahawks, Panthers and Jags. I'm rolling with the Vikings in survivor, either one or both of my remaining plays. Speaking one will be on them. And I just heard Steve mentioned that as well. So what are you guessing the percentages on the Minnesota Vikings? Oh, I think it's going to be a two-headed monster. I think it's going to be Vikings followed closely by the Ravens. I think I think it's Vikings number one and it's not that close. Good, but you might be right. I'm interested to see the question. I actually think this is the most interesting week so far on that. Oh, see, I don't, I was going to say I don't think we've had that interesting of a week yet. Yeah. No, I agree. I think that's coming up. There's a week here coming up soon. Maybe it's next week where it's going to be much more splintered. But it's like the, it's the, I don't have, we had a week like this where it's been like, hey, the easy button play. No, we have not. He's on a team that's this battle offensive. Right. Like, hey, take the worst offensive team in football yards for playing. Feel confident. Right. Exactly.

41:10I do have the chargers last withless at 11 to one. I got the Vikings last undefeated at 11 to one. Only five teams remain in both of those categories. Let's go. Let's go. You're looking good, man. You're looking good. You still, I'm still upset I wasn't able to get on that Vikings one. So how does that went? Chiefs have a buy next week, right? The buys start to come into play. And the handicap with both the Vikings and the chargers have to do with buys. Yeah. You got to make a couple of weeks here. We'll see. I'll measure that three bingo squares. All right. NFL week four for me, bills lay in six and a half. Jags money line sprinkle because I got them in a lot of teasers sprinkled with cowboys with the Jags is one cowboys with the Cardinals when they were a dog was one. And then I have a 14 13 point teaser. Dallas Jacksonville Baltimore, Kansas City all in that one dolphins Vikings under 42 and a half. That was been it open. Saint Lane, two and a half with them. Josh Allen MVP plus 250 Gill Alexander on that one as well.

42:12A and G bet for both of us. We will not watch anymore. Josh Allen greatness and not be a part of it. Right. Added NBA bets. Wow. To win totals already played overs on played a four to one on the bulls to win 35. Plus games and took a little bit of the rockets and plus 750 to win the Southwest division gill. You might be thinking yourself who exactly is in the Southwest division again. Well, that is the San Antonio Spurs. Special numbers game investigation reveals that the National Basketball Association regular season begins in 18 days. It's crazy. And I was text I was texting Zach and JVT the other day. It's possible October 20th. The betting off season for the NBA is like six weeks. Oh my God. Like July is when they release all the futures like like literally the past like six weeks is like the only time I've taken off from the NBA all year. It's wild. Don't forget the Emirates NBA cup is right around the corner. Not in Vegas though this year. Not in Vegas.

43:12Well, you're going to take us all to Butler, right? They'll go. We're going to Indiana. Chris Foster will put us up. He'll find housing for us. Yeah. Chris excited about it. All right, baseball bets Dodgers to win game one in the series at minus one 20 Yankees to win game one in the series at plus 175 and Cam Schletler to lead the postseason in strikeouts at plus eight 75. Okay. Oh, yeah, oh Yankees to sweep the rays at six to one also. Oh, that's a gentleman. Yep. Oh, I by the way, baseball as well. Uh, I did bet both the Yankees and the Padres. I got the Yankees at minus one 19. I got the Padres at plus one 48. So two series prices series prices for me on both of those both of those clubs. Um, Jensen, Jensen Lewis was kind enough to hang around after by the books for about a half hour, hang with us. Uh, so he's on the Braves series price versus the Dodgers plus one 90. I, I feel it, man. I don't know about this Dodgers offense. Brewers exact series win three to one over the Padres at plus three 30 and he's got the

44:16Yankees to sweep the rays at six to one. Actually like that one. Yeah. Should we be sprinkling on that? Maybe we should. I got to see what my numbers. Yeah. I mean, if I already bet them the win game one in the series, probably makes a little sense to throw in a little bit of that. Well, that's, that's the whole large handicap, largely the handicap. Yeah. If they can win the Garrett, uh, you know what? I just bet. Here we go. Okay. So better question. You like, you like that bet. It's an evening question. You like that bet better than the bet I made, don't you? That isn't question. What number do you get? I got plus one 75 on them to win game one in the series. You'd rather play six to one on the sweep. Uh, yeah, kind of would. Yeah. I just got plus six, 44 on it. Uh, Chris Vellique of the bear, three in college football. He's on Ohio State minus 14 and a half at Iowa. He's on Miami minus 60 and a half at Clemson and then Purdue plus 10 and a half at the fighting align I have Illinois. Jamari Johnson to win the John Mackey award at plus 850 and how about Oklahoma State to win the big 12 at 15 to one?

45:19Oklahoma State slept on early in the year, especially when they lost that opening game and then bam, take that Oregon. Looking great right now or the Cowboys took down West Virginia at West Virginia this past weekend as well. Uh, and then do we have anybody else on C. Fesick, of course, right? Uh, he's got a trio of college football bets. Now these he aggregated, right? He admitted he aggregated these Georgia Southern minus two Louisiana Lafayette minus six. Lala San Jose State Spartans plus three. Those were in college football, then professional football. Uh, how about this Steve Fesick with his first ever Parley in the history of this show from him Detroit Carolina over 51. Parley with Detroit, Arizona next week over 52 and a half. Parley Steve Fesick no longer the fun police apparently. How dare I ever question the great Steve Fesick. But like, do you feel like I get his point with this? The core, the correlated, right? Like, okay, Detroit Carolina goes way over. How does it affect the total at next week?

46:20How much bigger can you make the Lions Cardinals total though that 52 and a half? Not much, right? Yeah. Good point. Viking Saints next week under 45 and a half from Steve. Look ahead. Thanks for keeping it to totals, by the way, I should say to Steve. Mm hmm. Falcons this. Oh, don't worry. Falcons, oh, thank you. Falcons Monday night plus three from Steve. He's a little oppo you here. Yeah, do we ever get a good breakdown on that? I tried to hit two parts because he was just kind of like yards per play. There you go. Uh, Steve Fesick, then we'll want a season long. Giants under seven and a half. We, we want to emphasize it. So we put Giants under under seven and a half wins. That's how much that's how I'm fat. He was about it. Can I make a quick crew announcement? Shit, please. Before we get out of here. Andrew Maxwell full time employee and full time producer. Of this show as of yesterday, I believe. So congratulations to him. Darnel Glenn director of this show. See in two weeks. Have a good vacation.

47:21If that's where you're going. Chris Foster, Larry Meehr. Great job as always. John Lund. Great job as associate producer. Producer number 11 Drew Maxwell. John Hanson joined by Josh Chivalier from fantasy. Fantasy points dot com next. Enjoy from Vs. I just bought a new auto mobile the same way they did in the 1900s when movies was silent. Wow. Well, I just got this Jeep from Flexcar. All my smack of rules go to paying off the hefty value. This little gas buggy lost the second I chugged out of the dealership to to. OK, well, Flexcar includes maintenance and insurance and I can switch to an F-150 or Mercedes anytime. What are you high on, Giggle Jizz? Buying a car supposed to be the bum deal. You pretend as the bison's berries. I have no idea what you're saying. The first and only month to month, Carlyce. Flexcar, you drive everything. Your name may not be on it, but you know what you built. Because long after the job wraps, what's left is the work. The details done right. The standard you kept. The mark you made. Pros no pride lives in the finished product.

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