A Numbers Game | September 18, 2026 | Hour 1

0:00Every game day you show up for your team. Now it's your time. We go, we go, we go, we go. Ask your prescriber about Wigovie, some Maglatide Injection 2.4 milligrams, a GLP 1. Call 1-8-3-3-4 Wigovie or visit Wigovie.com to view the Medication Guide and to learn more about Wigovie. Why wait? We go, we go.

2:26We go, we go, we go, we go. I am one of the biggest defenders of him. I feel like I'm thinking, yeah, it's be nicer to Steve, but you can't help it when he just like, alley you sets himself up for it. He just, you know what it is. He just steps in it. He is. He is an actuary by trade. So he has an actuarial brain. And I don't think I even articulated it well. I'll say about myself last week. There are certain things he says that I just, I just feel are so close to the sun that it, that it alienates a broad group of our listeners. So I will try to be more articulate and in my

3:27objection is, Stevie will be here later. He's got tons on his mind. Really almost exclusively about football today. Dr. Bob speaking of football, we'll be joining us. How about Bob's casual roll in on Monday. He gives a whole dissertation on the chiefs and on the Broncos and on the game. And at the end, he's like, yeah, I kind of lean under bang, bang at the end. And then West Reynolds with the rare Friday appearance. College football with West Reynolds, who's going to try to pick up where a Felica will not be. That's right. That's right. He's got college football duty. Thank you. West. Appreciate that. And then something we don't normally do. But I'm going to do here momentarily is we're going to redux our survivor segment from early in the week. We don't usually do the same segment twice in a week. But we kind of botched a couple of those schedules and the whole survivor thing. We have played game of telephone. I do the stuff. Sent it to Kelly. Kelly sends it in and then something happened after. Yeah. All right. I screwed it up. You I don't think you did. It's my it's my job to make sure all that stuff is accurate. So I screwed it up. Kelly Billing. Screwed it up. Mm hmm. I don't

4:32think you did. Anyway, let's start with the game last night because I'll know if you saw this, but the Buffalo Bills, be the Detroit Lions last night. 41 31 in a game that was not nearly that close as that fair. Oh yeah. Yeah. But I mean, that is the final score, but I'm just saying did it feel like it was that close? Let's say the back door was open. Yes. The back door was open. I don't know how to perfectly describe it, but did it all of a sudden feel like a game in the fourth when it became a 10 point game? Yeah. I don't know about a game, but on the spread, it became a game, right? Because there was now those moments where I'm like, how is this a 10 point game? Like how does Detroit have a chance to cover this offense finally woke up? Right? I'm going to go through all the details, but what was it? Three touchdowns in a row? We could do it real quick. Buffalo first first drive 10 plays 85 yards Allen in from one seven, enoughing bills less than six minutes in. Also, like real crap must stop you real quick. Should we have all just known like brand new stadium? I'm Mark stadium christened the house that Josh Allen built him was built for Josh Allen, right?

5:32Like this is all created around him. The intro was like almost over the top last night of like him running out onto the field. We all should have known he was just scoring the first touchdown. Is there anything you love more than Josh Allen? Seriously, anything in your life? You have a dog? He's the most entertaining product on television. So seven years, not the NFL, not sports television. Whatever your favorites, whatever your favorite show is your favorite movie. Josh Allen's more entertaining, man. Seven nothing bills after Detroit three down Buffalo after Allen misses an open Shakir deep. No matter. Eight plays 79 yards. Allen, a Palmer wide open behind the defense. Yeah. From 43 out was 14 and nothing late first quarter. Did you first think Josh? What do you? Where are you throwing the ball? I was like, I wound up and just launched it. I was like, there's no way there's anybody down there. And there's a bill down field. Just a bill down there. Detroit. I guess we could sort of say these these two things ended up being the key to the game because if Detroit was going to win this, they would have had to have just held serve every time. They had

6:33a match serve, right? But they got broken a couple times when in a drive that started out promising with Gibbs runs of 16 to 9. They got it the second and one at the Buffalo 41, but then it ended miserably because golf impossibly. This is the thing with Jared golf impossibly. He didn't feel the rush. It's not a blind side rush. It's like right there. Does he have no peripheral vision? See, this is where I thought you had a great text last night. I thought I had a great text too. I'm like, he just sucks. Sometimes like Jared golf can be great. Sometimes he just sucks. When there's no pressure, he is great. When there is pressure, he becomes very ordinary and I'm being kind. But this was a rush. I don't even think you're a quiet peripheral vision. Right. Yeah. And he gets nailed. But this is the type of game, right? Like first half, very, very, very shaky. That might even be a nice word. And second half, he looked pretty good. Fumbles. Detroit would recover. But that was followed by a snap. He couldn't handle and they had to punt. Yeah. I didn't want to over his head. All right. Buffalo then matriculated. Third and sixth of Detroit. Nine. Allen forces a pass in while rolling to the side. Like it's deflected and picked by a scene. Uh, gets gets picked. But but yes, scene. Pardon me. Holds Coleman first

7:33and goal after another defensive hold to plays later. Allen and Knox from one out. 21 and nothing bills at this point in the game with 1148 left in the second quarter. Detroit has had had the ball for four minutes and 45 seconds to Buffalo's 1327. It was 16 to one in first downs. It was 209 to 10 in total yards. You know what? I think my only criticism of Josh Allen is last night. This is play number one of about three in this game where it's Josh just just run the ball. I just run the ball. What are you doing? I'm glad you said that there are there are many times with Josh Allen will do a rollout and the deep there is no way it can be defended because the linebacker is like do I go after him? Do I go back? What do I do? Right. You just don't know. And Josh Allen will almost just arbitrarily raise the level of difficulty by deciding to pass the football. Yeah. It's it's like when you're going to the basketball game wide open lane to the rim and it's like you know what I'm going to go for a fancy layup instead of just dunking the ball. Just dunk it. 21 and nothing Detroit finally gets off the Schneid 12 play 70 yards 645 off the cloth off the clock. Goff

8:36to Gibbs from 11 out 21 seven and Buffalo though cook for 25 30 and seven on the drive. Second of three Detroit six knocks. Hold Hutchinson DJ Moore heard on the play. Dunman next play Alan Ticken Cade from 13 out 27 seven bass would miss the extra point wide left. Detroit and this is another one right. They get to third and one at their own 48. A delay and then a sack. So those are two drives early in this game where if they were going to compete they had to capitalize on those short yardage situations and as my dad used to say Jesus Christ that are going their wrong way whenever there's more than one. I love that. When there was two or more consecutive plays that go the wrong direction. 27 10 Buffalo at the half and then it was just sort of like Detroit scored the first time they had the ball. They had it first and the second half 11 play 74 yards. They converted to fourth and five of the Buffalo 40 goff to Laporta for 18 four plays later goff to Saint Brown to make it 27 17 and you're like how was this a 10-boying game and every time it even would even remotely get close that Buffalo 15 plays 75 yards took 822

9:39off the clock. Alan in from two 34 17. Detroit from there you know they got to fourth and three of the Buffalo 12 they committed a delay of game. They still went for it were you surprised they went for it. They're down 17 and it's fourth and I'm like what you guys really go for it they got bailed out by defensive hold anyway but I was like what do you do a Dan Campbell from being honest. Eventually after a PI in the end of that was completely unaccountable past the Laporta by the way goff to Laporta from one out 34 24 and then finally Buffalo punt I mean here the back door was completely open right 34 24 Detroit had the ball from their own 10 and then they chose to have a three it out there. Yeah Buffalo 8 play 61 yards cook in from one 41 24 and then Detroit 7 play 68 yards after converting a 20 yard pass on fourth and 18 to Tisla three plays later goff to Saint Brown from 27 out that's your final 41 31 we have a we have a number of superlative tweets about this game. Oh we sure do. Which if Kelly had his choice he wouldn't be here this morning he would just tweet all these out and have people argue about them. Don't worry I already started doing

10:40that. I already started that on Twitter. Let's go cleave TA first. Let's get the it let's get the lion side out of it before we just roll through like seven Josh Allen ones. Well the lion side is really the biggest one to me. I know you love Josh but this is the biggest cleave TA. This is pathetic. Here are the lion's defensive drives drives since half time of the week one Saints game. Excluding the end of half slash game drives with limited time left. They have given up 71 points in six quarters plus that overtime period last week 71 points in six quarters plus OT that's 10 touchdowns and one field goal on just 14 drives only one non end of half drive has ended to punt every single drive started in the opponent's own territory so there were no cheap short drive touchdowns among them 10 touchdowns and one field goal on 14 drives. Yes. Only one non end of half drive has ended to punt. You know I've been I've been right about a lot of things through week one in the off season the bears the Niners. I could be completely wrong about

11:44these lines. This defense is dreadful. Here's the Josh Allen cable. You're ready for the Josh Allen cable. Yeah let's do it. Let's do it. I know I'm not sure how much you enjoy these ebo knows with two rushing touchdowns tonight Josh Allen passes Corey Dylan is now tied for 18th all time. If he maintains his three year rolling average he will pass Jerome Betis by the end of the season. Reach the top 10 by week nine of next year. Be top five all time by the end of 2028 in terms of rushing touchdown quarterback Josh Allen quarterback Josh Allen 18th all time pass Corey Dylan last night and saying yeah yeah all right next. I'm going through stat lines real quick. Okay 21 last night 248 yards and three touchdowns through the air 14 carries for 69 yards and two touchdowns Josh Allen first player with five plus passing touchdowns and three plus rushing touchdowns through two games of a end of a season in NFL history. How about this one from Buffalo Bills PR tonight is Allen's fourth career game with three plus passing and two plus rushing touchdowns in a game Cordell Stewart slash the only other player to ever tally multiple such games

12:45that NFL history. That's awesome the cordell still up there in those uh there you go cordell and that cordell on me uh bingo card is going more on this game survivor as well it's a numbers game at least sports betting that we're there are moments that define who you are and who you're becoming and when those moments arrive what you drive should rise to meet them the Range Rover Sport commands attention from the very first glance every line every detail engineered for impact inside refinement takes over with sculpted 22 way heated seating with available massage and a 13.1 inch touch screen that puts everything with an easy reach but the Range Rover Sport isn't just about luxury it's about uncompromised performance too delivering a powerful agile drive that feels as confident as it looks and with nearly endless ways to personalize from interior finishes to wheels to unique colors and accessories your Range Rover Sport becomes unmistakably yours for those who

13:46expect more from every moment there's a vehicle designed to meet it the Range Rover Sport exclusive offers available now explore further at Range Rover dot com. Real value shows up in reliability you don't have to second guess like a set of Firestone all season tires they're designed to deliver confidence inspiring wet weather traction and acquired a ride no matter the road season after season Firestone all season tires for durability you can count on just like people count on you Firestone always dependable since 1900 . The number is game on visa fees for spending that work. Gate you have to notice football is bad become a visa per subscriber to take it into an access to our updated NFL betting guide our college football betting guide and

14:46the same betting tools professional benders rely on your subscription also includes every best been from Veson's experts in one place plus our expert leaderboard real-time betting splits from draft Kings the circa AI power pro projections and matchup tools proven betting systems power ratings and analysis 24-7 video on the Veson watch app get started for just 999 or say 50% with a Veson Pro annual subscription head to vson.com slash subscribe now that's vsi n.com slash subscribe couple things that I didn't mention one Kelly Bill and kind enough to purchase me unbeknownst to me a McDonald's hash brown hey I didn't a single McDonald's hash brown they forgot one for you. So I'm gonna give regular orders to hash browns. Okay, if you ever come to the studio. I say it back here to McDonald's hash browns. What if I say a reason Florida and then what was the other thing already on our order? Josh Allen about the hash browns. Oh he did he bought all he bought him for was the other. Oh the other thing is I left out that I left out the headline. I was going through what's on the show today. You know what I forgot to mention set. We have dark bets. We do have dark bets. We're just filled Bob it has provided us with dark spets. That's right.

15:49Darks bets. I believe is how you say that. We get tweets meeting the book. That's how good a guy fillers too. He was like, oh, he can't make time for me. Here's the bets. It's like, well, throw him out. Wade Fink asks asks about the cleaf TA Detroit line set. He goes obviously a talent void, but this is a scheme and structural issue, isn't it? It's problem. It's probably all over the place. That's right. I mean, you have, but just going with who's on this roster? You're talking about both starting safeties that were out week one in Kirby Joseph, um, uh, I'm a blank and branch. You got those two guys up there on IR. They're gonna be out for a while. So this is gonna stope me an issue and then they continue to get a corner backs her. Nickelback got hurt last night. Looks like he'll be out for a while. DJ Reed did play. He was questionable. Tenelach from Australia have Herbstreet and a company think Dion Dawkins weight loss of 45 pounds down to a lean 340 makes him lean and mean. What does that make the great Kelly Bidlin weight loss mean? A lean mean betting machine. Love you guys all week.

16:50Thank you, Tenelach from Australia. Yeah. No, you catch that on the broadcast early last night. No, I didn't hear I was in the airport. So like was, oh, yeah, you were all over the place. Like Dion Dawkins, okay, 40. What was it? 45 pounds and he's down to 340. Yeah, it's felt like is that an offseason weight? Like he wasn't playing it that way last year. Was he? 385 pounds? Oh, thanks. I don't think so. No, Emu Doug post number 197. Good morning and happy Friday. Gents, my favorite modern Jew and Gentile pairing. Let's make some money today. Hey, go. What's your favorite of all time? That's his modern era. He's like Mori, Pobach and Coddy Chung. Shrek McFee, FSU legend, Keon Coleman seems to file a remember how to use his hands at MVP Josh Allen. Keep Kelly under control today. I'll try. Josh Allen down and from MVP numbers to what? What is he down to? Plus 350 bills. Uh, wins Super Bowl and, uh, AFC plus 850 to win the Super Bowl checking on conference. Okay. By the way, I don't know about you, but that's a,

17:50if you like, if I, if you had to go bet, Gil right now, either them to win the AFC or to win or for him to win MVP, which would you bet plus 410 for them to win the AFC? I, I do MVP first. It's like not even close, right? I just just remove the regular, or the, the post seasons from the conversation. Too easy for. Too easy. LFC title records. Uh, Felica isn't going to just some prem game. He's going to Liverpool at Bournemouth. Have some respect. Sorry, Arbett. I couldn't remember which one. Jason H 11 O Kelly, Josh or Jamis can only have, you can only love one. He says those are the rules. Wet Willie Cologne, bold take by Kelly, Josh Allen is the most entertaining thing on TV. When Steph Curry exists, you're right. Wet Willie. Yes, our stuff. Brian point shaker. Listening to Kelly talk about Josh Allen is very similar to how Gil talks about EGA. Except one is one six lambs and the other has a one to super. That's the fair clap back. Super clap back. Yep. I can't argue it. Darren Frazier, when I first heard you saying you'd try to be nicer to fessic, my response was why? I absolutely, I absolutely love Steve and his appearances. Great radio's great radio,

18:55like Archie Bunker and E. This sometimes attention amplifies the affection. Let's go. Okay, I'll be me. Okay, ladies and gentlemen, survivor reducks. We don't usually do this twice in a week. We usually save this for Tuesday's, which we did on Tuesday. But again, we messed it up a little bit with a couple team schedules. But here's the deal. We do this every week in survivor. Essentially, what we'll go through is the biggest favorites of the week. We won't do every team, obviously. We'll just go through the biggest favorites of the week, generally speaking five and a half points or more. And we will go through their schedule, right? Their future value, in other words, to try to assess what might be some of the optimal survivor plays in the given week. This happens to be a week, Kelly, where there's eight favorites that are kind of big, right? Five and a half or more thereabouts. Still not love it. Many of these skills. So, but I think I've settled on what my picks are. We'll put them all up on the screen from largest favorite to the lowest, which is the Patriots five and a half, where we did this on Tuesday. And essentially, I put a green check mark between before the ones that I believe I will actually have a survivor entry on or two.

19:59The red X's are, I don't, you know, there are possibilities, but I'm not going to play them for reasons I will state. And then there's the gray sort of side to side. It's like, I don't, I won't hate you for playing it, but I don't know if I will. The green check marks are actually, and it doesn't always work out this way. They're the largest ones. Well, at least in the case of the Niners, 13 and a half point favorites hosting the dolphins. To me, one of the big reasons why the Niners are a play for me, at least in one survivor entry is because if you look at their schedule, really, like what's better than this is November 8th week nine home game against the the Raiders better. I don't know that it is. There's not many more opportunities to use the Niners. So to me, like, it's not two square bear to play them. Yeah, I mean, it's a terrible spot coming back from Australia, but it is. And I've talked and I've talked about that with coming back from a long journey like that that I think it's going to hurt them on the on the backside, but it is the dolphins. It is the dolphins. And I think they will be one of my plays this week on a backside and back door on the show this morning. So for this morning, Bucketeers eight and a half point favorites against Cleveland.

21:00Again, the Bucketeers don't really have that much future value. I put it in some of this is going to be subjective, right? I'm going to include some teams in what I think is future value that you don't agree with. And I'm going to omit some teams that you think should be part of the future value discussion. Right for me, home game Pittsburgh week six. I don't know. I'd rather play this one. All right. Me too. I think at this point, it's at least one for me, Gil, if not multiple entries entries on the bucks. It's I love that because especially with this one, it's all depends on how you feel about the NFC South. Right. Like if you are so confident, exactly right? Right. That the Saints, Falcons or Panthers are so much worse than yeah, maybe there's some more future value, which is why I did not include them because I'm not convinced me either of these teams are better than the other. The two teams, well, do the four teams that, you know, are big favorites, but I I crossed them out for this week. The Ravens are eight and a half point favorites against the Saints. You can play the Ravens at home against the Titans week four. You can play them now. I'm going to use the circus survivor sort of schedule. I know they go A and B when it comes to Thanksgiving,

22:02week and Christmas week, I'm going to go one through 20 here. So this is really the circus survivor week 18 of 20, if you will, home game against Cleveland. So they got a home Tennessee, they got a home Cleveland later. Do the Ravens. I'd rather not play them here. Agreed. Rams. Seven point favorites now against the Giants when we did earlier, seven and a half is this ticked up to seven and a half? There are, there are both sevens and seven and a half south, they're mainly sevens. Okay. So Rams, I'm really not sure what we're getting with the Rams. They do have a road game against the Raiders coming up in late October week seven. And then remember with circus, there's a Thanksgiving and Christmas consideration with the ramifications, right? Is this the easiest pass of the week for the big favorites? Yeah, I never really considered. I think it is too. Just because of the travel, how they look, the future value and then skipping to the bottom, chiefs host the Colts. Chiefs are at Miami next week. They're home against the Jets week nine. They also play Thanksgiving. And then if they really, if you really were alive, let's just say you made it all the way to the final week, 20 of 20 in January.

23:05God, look how late that is. January 18th is still the regular season. Remember Super Bowl is Valentine's Day this year. That's a home game against the Raiders. So I'm not really wanting to play the chiefs. The Patriots were actually a real big consideration for me against the Steelers this week. I actually took the Patriots in the end and millions. But you got a home game against the Raiders week five. You got a home game against the Jets week six. Again, if you got all the way to the end, you have a home game against the Dolphins. I didn't end up taking the Patriots. The two that I'm Kelly that I'm sort of like, if you played them good on you, I'm just not going to. The Chargers in the proverbial must win situation in week two where your gauntlet schedule begins next week and you already lost one of the Cardinals. You have to beat the Raiders. I think a lot of people are going to take the Chargers in survivor despite the Chargers killing people last week. That number's got to be way down though from what it would have been. Oh, I think so. I think I'm spread in three wide this way. My three entries. I'm going three different teams that I do think I'm going to be in on the Chargers. Yeah, I'm thinking about. I don't know if I am. That's why there's

24:06the gray back at you know, horizontal arrows because there is a home game against the Jets. There's an at Miami later. And then the Eagles were the other ones. I mean, I have the Eagles and bats. I have the Eagles in in in in millions. I don't know how the Titans are scoring. But there's so many opportunities to use the Eagles. There's home Carolina, which is you know, maybe you think Carolina is, but you know, not not as good as this one. Home Pittsburgh. There's a Thanksgiving and there's a Christmas with the Eagles as well. So I wouldn't hate you. I wouldn't hate it if you played the Eagles here either to be honest with you. So that's how I break it down and people are going to, you know, obviously everybody has their opinions on the schedule. What represents future value? What doesn't? But that's essentially what we do with survivor every week. And so for me, there will be a Niners. There will be a Buckeneers. Not sure what I'm doing with the third. I think, see, I think I'm splitting them Niners, Bucks, Chargers, my three entries, but I don't know man that Bucks. The Bucks one is definitely my favorite and I might end up, I might end up with a couple on there. Diversification is great. Right. Yeah. Because you're less likely to get knocked out, but you're also more likely to shed. Right. I mean, and if you if you told me I'm sitting here,

25:11you know, week three and I've got Pittsburgh and Buck that Bucks clear on one ticket. That's, wow, man, I'm feeling good about that. We should all be shoving on one. We're playing this right. We've got the onions. Yeah. Okay. Coming back. Our guest cavalcade begins on a numbers game right here at Visa. These sports betting network. Numbers game on Vsyn. These sports betting network. Think about the McDonald's Hash軟 Kelly. This is also good for you. I'm told that's right. Yeah. Very healthy. I'm sorry. We're in I believe it or not. There is a way to beat the sportsbooks, but it's not locked survives. It's simple. Find an edge. Bet it. Repeat. Btb analytics gives you access to their model projections. For every NFL college football spread in total. So let's you see the edge and cover probability for every team and updates as the lines move. They send their official bets directly to you, but also have free tools and educational resources on their site. Scan the QR code or go to btb-analytics.com and use code Vsyn for 10% off. That's btb-analytics.com. You're looking at me.

26:14Like you want to say something. I wasn't looking at you. I'm looking at Steve and A. Oh, sorry. Is that a is that a plethora jacket? Oh, yeah. It's a little sheen to it. Yeah. Okay. By the way, they're talking about LSU. Sam Levin. Surprisingly. Oh, upgraded. Upgraded. It's questionable. Oh, boy. I guess. Oh, man. I guess they were all over the lane just messing around. Uh, shout out to you. You bring up the dogse all the time. I thought, uh, I thought ESPN has a great little lane kiffin, like one hour special running here this week. It's basically just the, the resume and history of lane kiffin at this point. I watched it before Thursday night football last night. Yeah. Like I know every stop, right? But when you rewatched it in an hour like documentary style, you're like, Oh, my God. Forget how much this guy is done in college football and in the NFL and how many different places he's been in his career. It's wild. Felica loves the guy by the way. Every time I go to his, that lovely. He is a very interesting guy. Oh, I mean, all by experiences at FAU talking that guy. He is exactly what you get on television.

27:15His dad, one of the great assistant coaches of all time. He was awesome. Roles for society. Kelly loves Josh. Also, love when Gil's dad makes an appearance. Thank you. I love. I love. I love what he makes. Yeah. Love when he makes an appearance also. It's all organic. Never planned. LFC title records. We got our first Keeshawn Johnson shout out. Ready for this. He says shout out to Keeshawn Johnson. It went six and one and John Hansen went four and one on the Veecent Pro pickspages last night. Pays to subscribe. Oh, there you go. There you go. Actually, I think Keeshawn and I, well, we're pretty similar in a lot of ways. Yeah. But I think I read and bills, Bill ladies newsletter this morning that he was two yards away from hitting on Josh Allen's passing yardage for a same game parlay as was I. It's like a 21 to one SGP. I can't tell you to a part. I know basically the same guy, right? Jim Molecki morning gentleman, just wondering if anybody caught the bear naked ladies singing the Canadian national anthem to start the game. Long time listener. Love the show Jimmy from Wisconsin. I did not. I am so glad this got brought up. I kind of even sent out like a little tweet on it last night. I was going to see if I

28:15was going to get any blowback. Bear naked ladies do Canadian national anthem. Right. And then we have some lovely lady do the American national anthem. The bear naked ladies were awful. Awful. Awful. Oh, I didn't see it go that way. Awful. Really? Yeah. I wasn't expecting it. I just like it was it was not good singing. Not good singing. You're saying, yeah, like that guy says, no, yeah. Exactly. The Canadian national anthem I think is a melody is nicer than the star spangled banner. I think I think America the beautiful is nicer than the Canadian national anthem. But I actually I prefer the melody of the Canadian national anthem. It's hard to mess that one up. It's a beautiful song. I agree with everything you just said. It was just like the level of singing. I thought it was better with the the Randall American woman we had out there. Mr. clean kicks for 20. Gill Kell my boys. Once again, smack and parlise. Thanks to you guys and Superman Josh Allen up about 1200 this week. Thanks to you and the V sent team. Way to go, Mr. clean kicks. Mikey drama 21 at the beginning of the mega pod. You guys were talking about how easy it is to kick a field goal. I was thinking you should get someone at the network to accept this. Hope nobody gets

29:18hurt. And then J ride. Gill, a question for Steve. When a FES is going to start a campaign. When his FES is going to start a campaign to get Todd into the sports betting hall of fame, the best live betting person ever. There you go. All right. Well ask him. Hey man. Okay. I'm so glad we got that tweet. I thought I was the only person to notice the national anthem. What should we do here? Should we have you read these? Should we have me read these? I'll do it. God. Yeah, you take this as Phil Bobbitt by popular demand. People wanted darts bets. So we have darts bets. We have darts bets. We'll give the backstory. We got a lot of tweets on this world series of darts is going on and it starts. I believe in about a few hours here. So we wanted to get these in early. And we talked about I said, I bet I said, Drew Dinsick definitely has a dark guy. And Dinsick did say he does have a dark guy, but he didn't want to share it. So Phil Bobbitt hit me up because, hey, I got a darts model. I bet it all the time. All right. Is it these five? These five. Okay. We got five head heads here. Callin rides. I'm going to go with. Yeah, these are all matchups today. All matchups today.

30:19A series of darts. Callin rides over. It better be Motomu Sakai. I think you nailed it. Thank you. Minus 230 on Callin rides. His model fair prices minus 311. So value on the minus 230. If you want to lay that price, Nathan Aspenal over Raymond Smith, he could be making these names up for all. I know minus 290 at Caesars. His model fair prices minus 442. Those are two huge favorites. I checked the book. So so these are real. Okay. Or at least the book is the book is recognizing them as real. Isn't there an Aspenal and UFC also? Yeah. Tom Ray guys. Tom Aspenal. All right. And now here's some dogs for you though. He hooked you up on the dogs Damon Hata over James Wade plus 140. You can find these at Caesars by the way. Model fair price plus one 18. So value on the plus 140 on Damon Hata HETA. Girl in price over Brody Kling minus 275. Another big favor. But he's got this one at minus 632. Good God. Wow. And then the big dog on the board. Danny Noppert over Luke Littler. Who don't want to try this one? The goat. This is the Luke Littler. The 19 year old. It looks like he's 38 draft Kings and the score has a five to one for those who have access. His model

31:23fair prices plus 371. So a big dog, but shouldn't be that big of a dog. So five to one on Danny Noppert. Rides Aspenal Heta Price and Noppert in head to heads. I don't know if I'd bet Noppert Luke that Luke Littler guy don't he doesn't lose man. Yeah. Can I just you would Damon Hata at plus 140? No. Yeah. I'm gonna bet. I'm gonna bet all these actually. Baseball. Small thank you Bob it for sending these in baseball. We got we got was it one two three. We got 10 days left of Major League Baseball Regulations. 10 days left. Most teams have nine games left. Raise have 10 games left because they have to double head her next week against the Yankees. First of all September wins. Can we just let's just update that real quick. Red socks and red socks and blue days are three wins back. They got eight wins. They're not even on the board. Raise pod raise Dodgers 11 and 4 11 and 4 11 and five Yankees and Brewers both have 10 wins Yankees and 10 and 4 Brewers and 10 and 5 and then Pirates Tigers Guardians all with nine wins. My season long win totals were two of them. There was the Guardians under in the Rangers over.

32:27It does not look good. Especially after the Rangers gacked that lead against the Red Sox yesterday which again might have helped our September but at that point I was just rooting for the Rangers to get another win. So we get to our season win total over. Baseball season win totals pre-flop were always the surest thing in the world and then the Guardians defied us last year with a ridiculous over not as ridiculous this year but as you look at the standings right now in Major League Baseball we have an absolute just battle in both the AL Central and the AL West. The rest of it division wise is Katie Bar the door although against the Yankees I guess the Yankees still have something to say about that but the race have a five game lead over the Yankees. I mean we're getting to the point where that four game said even if the Yankees were to sweep them it might not end up mattering. Of course, raised don't want to have to endure that and find out if it matters in the end but the White Sox and Guardians dead heat tie 78 and 75 atop the AL Central remember the White Sox

33:30excuse me is it's the Guardians who have oh man I'm already forgot from our thing yesterday. White Sox White Sox. White Sox. White Sox. White Sox. White Sox. White Sox have the tie breaker that's right. White Sox have the tie breaker so the Guardians technically in the number three wild car position but again 78 and 75. They've each got nine games left in the season and then in the West the Astros with a one game lead over the Rangers remember this is the division even we still could have two divisions technically that have 500 losing records winning the division. This one the Astros are 77 and 76 you're it on went yard yesterday. Rangers are 76 and 77 one game back. Astros. Those minus 330 to win the division. Yeah those teams not only fighting for the division but also fighting for the final wild car position remember that the Guardians currently inhabit. Is that not feel like a little aggressive pricing Astros over Rangers? Yes absolutely. Absolutely. It's one game. Absolutely it does. I know we're running out of days here that affects these things but it is again if the if the playoffs work to begin now right the buys in the American

34:32league would be the Tampa Bay rays and the Chicago White Sox at this moment right and then the also the three six would be the Yankees even though the Yankees have the second best record in the American league but they'd be a wild card the Yankees would be the third what the the first wild card number three seed they would take on the they would take on the no pardon me I keep getting this wrong. White Sox Guardians Yankees Red Sox Yankees White Sox Guardians right? I'm going to get there right yeah no Andrew confirms wait why would that be because the White Sox right now are the number two division leader. Now you guys right what I'm okay we're having conversations off arrow we shouldn't have the the the the braze would be the number one seed because they have the best record the number two seed would be the next best division winner which would be at the moment the White Sox. Yeah I know you're correct yeah you're right right so the so we the Yankees right it would be the Yankees hosting the Guardians at this excuse me the Yankees hosting the red Sox

35:37at this moment I don't think that's right Andrew keeps feeding me stuff in there I don't think that's correct it would be the oh that's right the third division winner would take on the guard is that what you are right about this one it would be the third division winner which right at this moment would be the Astros hosting the Guardians and the Yankees would take on the red Sox Yankees Red Sox that's like the only lock series right now right at four or five in the American League man I said right now now I'm going to get from the way we've got that was exhausting I got it geez I think that means we screwed that up the other day though no we didn't we didn't well we screwed up the American League nationally because it is easier Brewers Dodgers going two seeds right now braves would take on the Padres three six right now and then the four five would be the Philly's Cubs series nationally it's much easier to navigate American League changes every day yeah oh boy park our prep next on a numbers game there are moments that define who you are and who you're becoming and when those moments arrive what you drive should rise to meet them the Range Rover Sport commands attention from the very

36:41first glance every line every detail engineered for impact inside refinement takes over with sculpted 22 way heated seating with available massage and a 13.1 inch touch screen that puts everything with an easy reach but the Range Rover Sport isn't just about luxury it's about uncompromised performance too delivering a powerful agile drive that feels as confident as it looks and with nearly endless ways to personalize from interior finishes to wheels to unique colors and accessories your Range Rover Sport becomes unmistakably yours for those who expect more from every moment there's a vehicle designed to meet it the Range Rover Sport exclusive offers available now explore further at Range Rover dot com real value shows up in reliability you don't have to second guess like a set of Firestone all season tires they're designed to deliver confidence inspiring wet weather traction and acquired a ride no matter the road season after season Firestone all

37:46season tires for durability you can count on just like people count on you Firestone always dependable since 1900 Numbers game on V-Syn V-Sports betting network Gill Alexander Kelly Bidland is the numbers game right here V-Syn V-Sports betting network live from Circa Resort Casino down town Laos Vegas in Nevada that's right um three of these three tweets here doctor actor KJ that Rando Kelly we're speaking about who's singing the national anthem last night the American national anthem Oli Kravalo the voice of Molana in the original movie thank you doctor K actor KJ I knew someone would have the answer for me Johnny Ringo says Gill Guardians equals Kelly Steelers yeah kind of feels that way now oh you know what I was kind of feels that way not that I haven't thought that before but literally when you were saying at this past segment I was thinking that same thing too uh prime time Leon Sanders

38:49yo right not sure what's funny or right gills constant use of the crutch right or his declaration that he hates when people use that word as a power move right am I right or right let's go cowboys peas right do I say right a lot no I said it once earlier though and brought attention to it I think he's joking about that oh okay LFC title records FYI I found PCA to get to the 40 40 milestone at roughly minus 190 on prediction markets all right so pico Armstrong is three stolen bases shy of 40 40 we've talked about it many times he would be if he gets three more stolen bases the seventh 40 40 guy in major league baseball history or as Mickey Manly used to say well if I knew that was going to be a thing out at john it million times believe me so that's a deal uh so PCA is three stolen bases shy that uh thanks for the update on that LFC which is it's minus 190 to the yes again nine games two steel three bases how hard could it be um and then the other one we've been tracking of course you're done alvarez for triple crown or the triple crown in the american

39:50league remember crawly stream ski 1967 we went most of our lifetime waiting for another triple crown winner we finally got one in Miguel Cabrera of the Detroit Tigers in 2012 that's the only triple crown winner since your stream ski did it in 67 you're done with with a ding dong last night adding to his uh to his numbers and all that comes associated with the home run he is now tied for batting average so he's t1 on batting average how do we play this many baseball games we have guys tied for batting average at the top incredible these thing called decimals yeah I know um and then he's one home run behind camonero one behind camonero 41 to 40 and he's three rbi behind pitalonzo pitalonzo man all right pitalonzo started very slow yeah look what he's doing so alvarez is that close to a triple crown again nine games left in the season he can still do it he is minus 6,000 win a lmvp and again all the the one thing that I just pushed back on his people say oh he might not be mvp okay but the numbers are he's still first to know bp and slugging

40:53and obviously ops also i mean just how many stats do you have to get you have to have and i know he doesn't okay he's a dh but you can't be that dominant across the board and not win mvp my opinion we'll see i've been wrong before so there's that going on Paul car joins us now courtesy the progressive progressive progressive progressive guest line he is the true media networks is are i believe is this title you can follow on twitter at paul car he's always here to talk prim but first before we get into the premier league paul car as something to say about the game of survivor what would you like to say about survivor paul survivor is dumb and i hate it and i never like playing anyway and it's not just because i have the chargers in week one no done done set like that at all um it's okay i'm sure i'll be hanging out with you on the sideline three and a half weeks Paul yeah i hear you the week one who that's always a tough one um you're also a dolphins fan and where do we stand on that and hate it yeah yeah speaking of dumb and hate it yeah um i mean i had oh i had more hope before

41:57week one that i do now i guess put it that way like if you can't look like you got a shot against the raiders in week one then it's gonna be a long season now we're playing the Niners who are obviously much better the raiders even though they're coming back from australia um yeah not a lot of optimism left that a lot of optimism okay um now you're doing something this week in the premier league that you have i don't believe you've done before yet this year what is it i am not fading whole city one way or the other i've faded them in different ways uh i got one of them we got an under but i think the other i was one in three basically fading whole city so i'm off whole city this week because the playing new castle who's been pretty bad themselves to start the season so you know exactly what's gonna happen now right it was gave a kelly made this joke off air i see it is new castle five nil easily and that is what it's going to happen the one week you don't bet against them they're going to look absolutely terrible for sure go away new castle two and a half or something because yeah it's gonna happen just watch what what's seriously though like how much better are they than you thought

43:02and why are they that much better i mean the underlying numbers aren't a ton better i mean they're expected gold differences like minus two and a half or so bottom five or six in the league uh i think that a defense is just held up a little bit more i mean there's some walk there just running well because but their attack really hasn't done much of anything so it's probably just that they're finishing better than expected they've got five goals on about three and a half expect the goals uh so yeah they've just been a little lucky on both ends and then a little bit better and that you know adds up they've stolen points they're in what is a fourth place right now i think yeah fourth place with eight points and wasn't sure they were gonna get to like 20 25 so there's still the second favorite to be relegated but uh they're off to a good start you bank those points early and you can ride that to the end of the season sometimes favorite to get relegated is uh commentary cities like minus two 70 or something like that wow the new would promote a team don't have a point yet and then it's whole city still okay um let's get you your three pack of boys how do we do last week in the prim how do we do we win one and two last week we got arsenal win to nil and did not get the other two

44:05okay we have one today we have one tomorrow we have one sunday one game a day one match a day what is today yeah let's start this weekend with some goals shall we uh brinford Chelsea over three and a half plus 125 this is this afternoon at least central time uh Chelsea's been an over team all season 19 goals in four games three of their games vett 4 plus goals the other one have three and that was against arsenal so that's yeah that's like five against normal team total uh both these teams Chelsea Brentford are top seven and expected goals per game total over three each one of the big reasons is a shot volume third and fourth and total shots for game this season Chelsea's midfield is their weak spot and that's where brinford's been really good this year's and gare transfer coming in has been really good there Chelsea has firepower up top but that midfield is just questionable so i think this will be an open game as most Chelsea's have been this season uh if you want just kind of a sign of how open this is both teams to score is minus two 50 or so i'm not saying play that but that's how open this game is expected to be so over three and half plus 125 over three and a half goals today um as we flash up the premier league futures by the

45:10way we should point this out as well as interrupting the uh the flow here for a pause plays i'm just curious if you have anything here that's noteworthy is it arsenal or man city and everybody else is that really how it breaks down for you i think so i mean yeah Chelsea if you want to get saucy outside shot but yeah i mean arson and cedera tied on points already at the top 12 points each through four games they both won them all uh if you like city i mean i kind of do already have them in pocket from before the season uh but that's the way i would go i don't think there's a lot of value in minus 144 or whatever it is for arsenal they're the better team but not not that much an injury here or there could kind of ruin that season what about the uh to finish top four column is there a yeah what about Liverpool there Paul are they like if they really fall it off that much i mean they have not been impressive i'm at a pretty listless snail mill draw with film i'm they're in eight there are only two points out of fourth and fourth is third and fourth are leads in whole city so it's not like they're falling off a map from are they going to make it perspective so minus 125 i would want probably plus money that to play Liverpool top four okay and definitely not

46:15there's still think there's still think they're not as good as man united and i don't think the gap between them and like brighten is all that big all right back to the three pack once again today Brentford Chelsea over three and a half goals at plus 125 tomorrow tottenham takes on astan villa how are you playing that we're going under here under two and a half even money uh tottenham and villa played eight total games this season they have combined a score one more goal than you and kelly and i have scored this season not good not good now the underlying numbers aren't that bad but they're still 19th and 20th last and next to last in the league and expected this season villa is dead last in shots tottenham is dead last in shot quality i mean i think both these teams will get better over the course of the season there's a lot of turnover a lot of holes to fill injuries that are people are still recovering from but they're not there yet and even though the defenses on both sides aren't great i'm happy to take even money on under two and a half this is definitely one of those look if these teams combine to score three goals after combining for one

47:16all season i will tip my hat and take the l but i'm taking under two and a half here okay uh so we have one over one under let's break the tie on sunday with leads in crystal palace we're taking another over here this is over two and a half minus one thirty five palis has been disappointing the season they're down in 16th place leads it i mentioned there and third been a pleasant surprise palis is struggles really start on defense i have american christwitchers in the back it's not why they're struggling but he's not off to a great start they've given up eleven goals most in the league through four games a lot multiple goals and all four games given up a ton of shots second most of any team uh we'd take a lot of shots fifth most uh we're sorry they've given up shot a lot of shots as well the fifth most so no no neither one of these teams has really been great offensively they have both been fairly patient if you want to be optimistic and have good shot quality so over two and a half i'll take the juicy number minus one thirty five okay uh once again three pack brunford Chelsea over three and a half goals today plus one twenty five tomorrow tautanamos villa under two and a half goals at even money and then sunday leads crystal palace over two and a

48:20half goals at minus one thirty five you're a three pack of premier league pick from paul car thank you paul and uh good luck with the dolphins well sunday not too much luck don't have them win because a lot of people are going to have the nineers in sir great teams cover that's go great that's right great teams covered thank you paul appreciate it i will come back our whip around every NFL game week number two in the national football league beyond the bills and lines of course that's next on a numbers game right here at visa in these sports betting network real value shows up in reliability you don't have to second guess like a set of firestone all season tires they're designed to deliver confidence inspiring wet weather traction and acquired a ride no matter the road season after season firestone all season tires for durability you can count on just like people count on you firestone always dependable since 1900

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