Bitcoin & Altcoins: BIGGEST Week of 2026

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1:04lot of people are expecting today to be absolute D day on the S&P because of the AI fear mongering that's been happening for the last week the starting to set into the hearts and minds. Johnny doesn't care though that's the fun part Johnny does not care and I actually have some great altcoin alpha to be sharing with you later on in the show when we get into the altcoin section welcome one welcome all to the show see a lot of people with their opinions because we have a big week ahead of us. TJ we got a lot going on this week. Clare Deact massive because this is the week we've been waiting for for months. I mean we called this out a long time ago we got yeah Clare Deact Fed day on the same day you've got Bank of Japan you've got Bank of England everybody looking at hiking rates. Oil doing fun things AI controversy everywhere. So yeah big big week economically I think you've also got me you got manufacturing numbers coming out. You know just a lot a lot of data coming out

2:04and but this is this is the week you know where it looks like this is the the week I was calling for a while ago that was saying like this would give the bear's hope that they're going to get their lower prices if you could get a Clare Deact not passing and a rate hike on the same day that could give you some bullish narrative. Truth is Mike still quiet in the mind all right I'll bump him up a little bit. I was messing with this big coin did I think this is this weekend or is September 11th look what it did I mean it created its own tower is crash yeah on a five minute candle how's a big middle finger to all of us right there too it's just like all right hey you think you know what's going to happen no you don't no you don't can move fast that's what I was going to say just to make it all the more fun Bitcoin trading in a pretty tight range that's not given much clear signal one way or the other you know people expecting it to be bearish like you said open enough strong today I don't know we'll see we'll see the analysis from last week I

3:07feel very strong about in is essentially comparing the Bollinger bands on Bitcoin and kind of where we're at right now I think that I need to turn this on just to rehash because these are really clear signals like this is a very clear W pattern that's developed with a Bollinger band two ovals compression in the center entry point at the top exit at the bottom and then now we're exiting out the top on this Bollinger band I think we're smack dab from our current situation this is a very similar setup to this right here I actually think that we're a little bit further in the process that I thought you know where we're coming out of the top end of this oval pattern right here it leaves room for that flush out down to the center point of where we developed and really when I'm looking at Bitcoin this week's going to be a little bit volatile and so when I'm I have to be reasonable like we had a really good move things are looking generally pretty bullish right now but this is the thing that I'm

4:09watching is a retest down into the maybe 72 basically between 68 to 72 coming back down and testing this volume node would make sense it actually would line up with that previous movement that we did when we were kind of expanding out of these same Bollinger band pattern so this is something I'm watching on Bitcoin very closely we already are seeing very very strong consensus that a Federal Reserve rate hike is coming and TJ agrees with me I don't want to speak for you but it seems like you agree with me on this clarity act BS because there's some good highlights about the devil in the details about this clarity act. All right about it being not great even if it did pass yeah yeah I'm fine with it not passing at this point they keep giving they keep giving more and more back to the banks and you know they keep you oh it's about ethics and this on the other it's not it's about banks protect yeah there you go that's yeah the

5:12John Deaton said it best right there the banking industry has captured our leaders and so I think people have gotten you know the industry itself has gotten so focused and you know determined to get this over the finish line for their own reasons that they're I think they're giving up way too much ground when it comes to DeFi and putting in check your what's your gain at ball on your mic by the way let me check I'm because I've got you 50 50 I don't know what to do I got you boost I've got to boost it all the way up on my settings so I can't I can cook it up I'll just you know I can cook it up I got room to cook up here just or push up your slider maybe push it up you know I have mine at like 80% up so this is the thing that has been driving me crazy about this clarity act though and I knew that this is there treasury circuit breaker authority to stop payment stablecoin deposit flight from community banks right so this is where this is

6:12where I've been aggravated with a clarity act for this whole time not only because they were cutting in kind of digging into our ability to expand DeFi but then also this where you can basically do capital controls with stablecoins and to me you know crypto has always been about freedom right crypto has always been about like holding in you know controlling loan assets being able to move freely yeah because I found crypto just because I was such a loudmouth during flu season and you know the ability to spend was being tested so I don't know man like seeing this I actually think it's kind of good now Trump is trying to make the clarity act move forward he came out and agreed to the clarity act ethic restrictions covering himself elected officials judges and state attorneys given the enforcement authority removing the final obstacle for the Tuesday Senate vote this vote for cloture if they're willing to discuss this among everything else that's coming up

7:13this year is happening tomorrow the odds are spiking momentarily but still very very low we spent like all last week in the 10% likelihood and now we're coming up to about a 29% chance of this thing moves forward yeah I for me I don't think it's going to go through and I don't want it to go through yet because I think the parameters that it is right now are bad I think that's I agree I mean they're basically saying yeah we'll let it we'll let we'll give some clarity for DeFi but if it affects our business too much we can shut it you know we can kind of put the kabosh on it and slow it down because I mean that's pretty crazy to say we'll let it happen unless too many deposits leave our banks then we have the ability to slow that you know I saw you know DCA and pray he said for him it's not about freedom it's about the velocity money well they're literally putting a choke point on that velocity money a a shut off valve whenever they want because and they're saying if it moves too fast we'll we can stop it you know we can control it and it's

8:18just yeah it's very disheartening I think it's irrelevant at this point largely anyway I was saying that before I mean DeFi is moving forward and I'd almost like you said prefer that this doesn't go through let the SEC and CFC do their thing this buys you know some other people some more time a super chat here bless you got it do we expect to rate high good odds on no change I don't think there are good odds on no change I'm pretty sure the odd oh like good like yeah yeah I yeah we expect to right I think he's meaning like it's he can get paid heavy if he bets on no change yeah it's a 20 20% likelihood on no change right now on polymarket so you know 80% likelihood on polymarket that you're going to see a 25 base point rate increase this week and on CME fed tool it's actually coming in at 90.5% so usually when I see this likelihood on CME tool being at 90 or above it basically is set in stone that it's happening that way you know this is I feel like Bitcoin

9:24you know how closely people try to correlate Bitcoin to Federal Reserve rate hike increase or decrease being price action given I'm looking at the Bitcoin price really just with the feeling in my guts that this thing is pulled over as much as we can like a vibe check should we get more bearishness through the week down and this is really where I'm at is a vibe check down to about $72,000 maybe 74 if we're lucky and extra good but a quick liquidity grab down here at the 74 building out essentially what will be looked at as an inverse head and shoulders over the next few weeks is the most likely scenario that I have for Bitcoin we are ranging and doing well in this current spot but I can see a vibe check here to kind of build out that support and then make the move you create the inverse head and shoulders and the measured move like I feel after the next few weeks happens October we're probably going to go mess around with the 80 to 90 thousand dollar range this guy right here I feel that we have the general momentum and the bear market signals that

10:30I like to use are on larger time frames and I love using money flow just to understand you know how much pain has been felt if we felt the amount of pain we need the two week time frame is telling me everything I need to know about Bitcoin where you have honestly each one of these have been a scratch these bear markets they've been you know right here in 2019 2023 essentially 22 and 23 and then our current scenario I think that Bitcoin has pulled over plenty right now if you're waiting for Bitcoin to hit 30 you're just like the you know person that assumes that we're all going to die in the next two years because we have a large language models and data organization systems through AI I understand the long-term fear of AI I totally get it but this is overblown I feel like the market expecting a massive cataclysm today is people living in fear I we saw this

11:32this is going on all weekend Trump has rejected calls for an AI slowdown after CEOs of AI tech titans express safety concerns for the technology poses an existential threat right and I I come to TJ with this because I love fear mongering more than anyone I feel like I'm a big fan of it you know this was even too much for me this weekend seeing how many people were pricing in likelihoods of extinction in the next three years because AI yeah I really doesn't make sense I mean I could it feels very coordinated I'll just say that because it started very quickly and I'm and I'm kind of in this camp Eric for he's almost always with the solid takes like people killed by AI zero people killed by governments millions let's give control AI you know let's give control of AI to the government and call it safety you know like that just it doesn't make any say you know and Trump even came out with a big thing on this like basically saying you know we

12:35already have a bunch of you know power to regulate companies if they're going off the rails he also took shots at anthropics Dario saying that he's done some pretty bad things already they've already had to rain him in but I mean to me this feels much more like a manufactured crisis than anything else and I don't know where you know I believe that's you know anytime they do a massive amount of money printing they need some cover to do that and it feels like this AI race is setting up to be that like we have to win at all costs we have to print money at all costs I mean there's some like if you're look you mentioned the diesel prices there's some you know there's some history there that says when diesel gets to some of these levels and we get this energy crisis some some potentially bad things happen whether it's massive print or massive recession and that's kind of feels like the same point that we've been at for a while and that's what I've been saying a lot of this environment feels like like if a few months ago was late 2019 now we're in early 2020 type

13:40season and that that's great for Bitcoin and crypto if you're exposed to crypto I mean you guys if you were around you remember what happened mid 2020 and into 2021 was a very very strong bull ride and I I think we're setting up for much more of that I think I don't know if I have it over here yeah I oh here it is the diesel stuff yeah I do have it this this is something I was looking at ran group they're they're very strong with a lot of these things diesel spike 2008 recession 2022 worst inflation in 40 you know this was in the middle of a massive money printing season and then we've got it coming up now and so it's like it does feel like you know for a lot of you know reasons we're at a decision point of one of these two things you know liquidity is tight treasuries are spiking these energy is spiking a lot of these things are correlated and the most likely scenario my opinion is inflating our way out of this inflating our

14:41way out of the debt situation you know printing a lot of money to go towards energy and you know kind of pushing these prices down a lot of these things are somewhat controlled obviously what's going on in Iran has really put a strain on the oil flow of things but largely that could be you know these you know we could stop at any time you know just put people forget is like there's so many more in my opinion catalyst to the upside like hey this ends big print you know like I agree with chat you know saying that the fed rate hikes are priced in so I don't think we're going to see a very negative price impact from that now if they were to pause or at some point ever get to cutting obviously we're going to just gigasyn so I still think what I've been saying for I agree with your analysis on the price would not surprise me at all if we see a 72 to 74 range on Bitcoin again I don't think we're going to go lower I've been saying that for a long time but there's many more things pushing us towards the upside at this point than the downside but I do want to give people

15:43the encouragement that you still have some time you know even if we are you know late early 2020 type timeline you know obviously you got a year or two to experience a very bullish price action get yourself positioned so I am extremely bullish like you guys know I'm always here with the hope you get you guys excited for high prices I think it's going to send I think we're going to see the end of the minister turns we're going to have a really really really good pump on Bitcoin and DeFi DeFi and AI still you know I've been on that train for over a year now probably a couple of years that these that's what's going to be the strongest movers it's proving out I don't have see anything that's going to change it yeah here we go waters wet he just bullish that's the way it goes but T. Yeah I got something for you and I didn't even show you or mention this okay well I want all I was let me just finish this all I was really going to say is bullish as I am I admit you may it may not be as hurt I'm not trying to create foam like you probably have some time like there's a probably a I don't know if it's quite a 50% like but there's a reasonable

16:47likelihood we range and make slow steps up you know like you said we get up into that 80 to 90 range and then we might stay there for a while and then we could range between 80 and 100 for a few months and then between 100 and all time highs for a few months so you've got some time to take these steps once we break new all time highs all bets are off but yeah hit me hit me with what you got this is almost two bullish okay well I love there's nothing too bullish for me let's hear right so this is money printing you know the acknowledgement of money printing season oil going negative and real chaos coming to the monetary markets in between these two descending wedges now that what this chart is is the others to Bitcoin chart this is mass gambling mass euphoria on altcoins mapped out basically with candles so we have two massive descending wedges that are highlighted here and this is actually an analysis that I did many many months ago or yeah actually a few months ago on this chart now this is the this includes a theorem a lot of the altcoin sector

17:52now what we have right now is we've broken out of this descending wedge and this is actually very comparable on many different metrics to actually this time zone right here back in the 2019 to 2020 area so look at that this is matching up not only from a I guess it's a macro economic metaphysical type vibe because we see the treasury going crazy we see all of these major monetary pieces breaking in the reason for printing coming up again in this season and it takes a lot of analysis outside of crypto technology the season that we're talking about here this massive need for quantitative easing we be at treasury buybacks federal balance expansion and this actually is matching up really nicely now it really does take some time once you broke out of this descending wedge for us to see true up only season if you measure it out to get to that point took about

18:52450 days yeah over a year yeah right but this is the this is going to freak people out I think this is going to freak people out so since we broke out of this we're already 245 days into this this means that if this just rhymes with history but this would take us until about May of 2027 to see this kind of violence come back to this chart I think this is one of the more bullish charts out and I would argue you know this is again pure speculation but we're been speedrunning the rest of this stuff and history would say when there are big money prints the amount gets bigger and the time between them gets smaller you could you can go back throughout history and see that so you know I would argue you could shave 100 so days off of that and you know we're seeing early 27 being very very variable you said May 27 I could see it being like February March now that's just pure just like pulling it out of my head but well here's our bull market right here look at these

19:54are our our bull market moments right we were in like the heat of the bull market right here that's nothing like we felt nothing there's a reason why all it's didn't have any euphoria blowoff top and this is it visualize this is I mean God it's been since the actual recent high on this chart it's been January 22 till now a thousand seven hundred days are just downhill paint and and that's like this is on total right this is on all coins this is on to this is the others this is everything you know how that that's not Bitcoin others against Bitcoin so that pure spike up this region what what is that like January 21 to May and then it pulls back and then you've got what's that one that would be like the late one of 22 yeah all the way into 22 but the first bike where's that first one up this one yeah the top of that one it goes down and then whipsaus up like that's the straightest line up yeah so this kind of an initial peak here was October 2020

20:58right so this is where we started to see some momentum chain links started running really early and you know this is where the things got really exciting for the all coin sector and the the headiest part about this is that we're finding and building support right in this same pocket and these are pretty much picture perfect comparisons here also I think it was Matthew Highland that had this he highlighted something very interesting on this same chart with the Bollinger bands on the two month time frame the compression there with then this is one of the more exciting charts that I found now on the monthly time frame we have the Bollinger bands will bring it up here and you can see the pinch point of this compression is very very strong this means a massive move is building up so this move actually might come a lot quicker than we're comfortable with but it's been a thousand 700 days since it had its actual recent peak and this thing is set higher highs on each one of its

22:00ebbs and ebbs and flows but this is not in line with the four year cycle because as I said Bitcoin pumped and had a kind of blow off top right here in this region where the others to Bitcoin were just falling and falling so this is where I think things are going to get really exciting because it would play into my kind of early hard to measure altcoin season thesis chaos theory crypto chaos theory that I've been writing on for a little bit just about two months now it's played off so far to a good degree but this is the real chart I think that we need to acknowledge here is the others against Bitcoin are setting up this is one of the more bullish charts out there on the on the monthly time frame you just printed a green dot on the two week time frame you're clearly digging yourself out of the red money flow printing another green dot here we go down to the weekly another green dot fresh with plenty of room for momentum waves to move to the upside this is one of the best charts out there and you know this one along with I don't think that Bitcoin's

23:06going to go down into the right only like Bitcoin is going to do its thing but the altcoin sector has been absolutely beat down or you know an immense amount of time this is where the vibes are so low in crypto and the moment that this at type of action starts coming back to the others chart that's where you're going to see your uber driver trading while he's driving you to the airport maybe he'll get in a crash doesn't matter that's when you know that true FOMO has come back into the season so yeah four-year bear market for all it's Kelly's been highlighting this as well so this is just the underlying and this is where I know it was out of step for me to get into altcoins a little bit early a few months ago I totally get it but just acknowledging how long good technology has stayed beaten down I just had to move back in a little bit early right we're fighting our way out of this bear market right now for Bitcoin but the others and the altcoins are ready to rip

24:07out of this in my opinion so I'm watching this the Federal Reserve meeting is going to be coming up in two days it's going to be very volatile so rather than Wednesday we're going to have all that chaos hitting the charts I don't know why it took away my graph here but likely going to be a raise do I think it's going to kill altcoins in Bitcoin no no I do not because these things even when we got rate decreases they didn't send giga send Bitcoin or altcoins at all so stop thinking that the Federal Reserve rate is going to just send your bags it's really it's what you say all the time it's expansion of the balance sheet on the Fed it's true that's what I was going to say I mean I think we and as crypto holders sometimes or more are too hyper focused obviously it matters you need to pay attention to what's going on with these things but I don't think it's as critical and you go you can go back and look on a chart of the Bitcoin price overlaid with the fate the with the rate you know the federal funding rate and it's not there's no clear correlation that when it's low the price is going up I mean we go up in both environments the real decision is money

25:12expansion and that's really what you're that's the trade when it comes to Bitcoin is are they massively expanding the money supply you want to be in gold and Bitcoin and that's your long-term play where history is on your side time is on your side you go back and it's been happening for a very very very long time that's why it continues to go well so it's a I think it's a little bit it's is a big week I think because a lot of these things are happening this week but I do believe which we've already said the market has priced in any downside action I don't think it's going to be dramatic even if if we get what's expected no clarity a rate hike you know more fear mongering around AI I expect all that stuff to continue maybe if the bears are lucky like you said we go down to that box you just highlighted and I agree that's a pretty fair pretty fair take to think we can go back down and retest that very healthy in a lot of ways but I mean it's not like the market is overly long or you know like it's pretty close to 50 I think it's a slightly long I haven't I haven't checked it recently but like open

26:19interest I believe is barely long but it's pretty close to 50 50 so what gets you those dramatic moves most time either a real you know God candle up or a flash crash down is almost always leverage getting wiped you know like that big move last time was a big short squeeze so well and this is I mean you just very clear like they go and they knock everybody off the off the hill when we're ranging like this you're basically you know you set your stop you get hit if you're long you set your stop you get hit if you're short this is the monster of Bitcoin shaking us off of the boat here so I think this is important and I don't think a lot of people are realizing that rate hikes to me I think they're necessary to keep the bomb market at bay it's I don't think it really does anything actually impactful but it does show it's just posturing at this point it's what they need to do to show like oh yeah we're taking this here you know like the the Fed needs

27:20to show that they will actually do something and they're not just to put you know a puppet for Trump or for what they're gonna do so I think they do hike derates and print the money and I think that's probably the most likely scenario where they take rates up that hopefully because the other thing you know that's going on today's treasury rates going up again you know the 10 year now going up so you got the two the 10 and the 30 those are the big ones people watch they're all going up but yeah 25 basis points is negligible for all of these things in my opinion so they need that's gonna happen and then you're still gonna see treasury buying and then again watch the balance sheet of the Fed which has started to expand some I haven't looked at it recently it's not dramatic but ultimately that is going to be the money printing is what makes the big difference it's not as much what the Fed funding rate is I mean it matters but it's really the bond rates that you got to keep an eye on and those are you know what is getting out of control and the more that those go up

28:21that's what causes the real liquidity crunch and the real issue with the debt and the interest and all that sort of stuff so really what's what's happening is the US is trying to roll over their debt they're trying to refinance and the rates are too damn high you know so it's just just no different than you if you had a big mortgage that you needed to refinance and you wanted to refinance and pull some equity out but you can't afford it because the rates too high they want to beat that rate down a little bit but since trying as hard as he can market is calling his bluff effectively so he needs wash to back you know like it's kind of counterintuitive but wash raising here is backing up percent it's kind of putting pressure putting the ball back in the bond market or the bond vigilantes is what they like to call them back in their court like hey we're we're taking this step now we're taking that step like are you really going to keep pot you know like calling our bluff and I think that will help I mean either way we'll get some more data out of it I think you know that's what we'll be interested if they raise rates a little bit this week you know

29:21does that cool off on the treasury you know so far or at least lately almost every move they've made it hasn't really made a difference rates are going up and again a lot of this is tied to energy a lot of this is tied to you know what's going on in Iran this is great we were talking about this this morning the Brent Green price where you asked me what happened in 22 it didn't dawn on me but now it totally did you remember when I sent you that video predicting you crane's going to get invaded by Russia that was it in 22 it was the oil spike from the Russian invasion of Ukraine so we had that massive spike the war didn't stop the prices collapsed still um you know just market reacting to a fresh war now we have the new war with Iran and this this chat is undefeated the odds of dying are absolutely a hundred percent enjoy life duh right like we're gonna see the end either way like sitting here just assuming that it's going to be the end all be all all markets are going to crash only what you're seeing is it collapse

30:25up and I am kicking myself for not getting this stupid ETF the shipping tanker ETF break wave is up a thousand three hundred percent in a year since this war began so um it's just don't buy it now I'm not don't don't buy it now I'll just say that I know but you know this is uh you know I still see the XR people out there you know dollar 40 XRP no one goes a hundred dollar XRP everybody's going to be at the ticket window all coin bros are still there they and these are the kind of people that are going to win not because XRP is going to hit a hundred dollars but because you know they have a belief in an asset that maybe is technically useless but has a giant coin and you know it's going to ride I feel like XRP is going to rise when you compare XRP to a lot of other all coins it's going to do pretty decent and the all coin sector with all this doom and gloom isn't doing too bad I mean we still have slight winners like pancake swaps been up 65% over the last 30 days

31:27file coin with a massive 7.3% move and this is a great take on file coin if you can't handle the 99 percent dumps you don't deserve the 30% POMS man and when it's spoken like a legend this is incredible this is the vibe though right now we're celebrating this chart right yeah file coin some of these are going to die for good but you know I mean we're out of generalized low it gets exciting to start speculating in this season like I know you would you've been watching near but last few weeks near is one of the better looking all coin charts out there I feel like I'm actually yeah I'm building I've got a little bit of near not much but I'm building that position up as we speak or you know last week and still have some more steps hopefully to go this week so yeah near what I'm looking for when it comes to all coins is a is a little bit with somebody who's doing something than nobody else is doing if that makes sense you know obviously

32:28you know you got a theory of insolana is the layer ones but rather than go further down that layer one chain I'm looking for you know Venice was a little bit unique and you know some of these D5 projects and protocols like doesn't have to be the only one doing it but I don't want you're not like for example all of the other layer ones are like oh we're same we're all smart contract platforms but we're a little faster or we're a little cheaper like to me I don't think that's gonna fly anymore you need to have something that isn't easy for them to roll into so for example Ethereum can't just do what Nears doing right like some of these other chains can't just take that technology and put it on their roadmap and roll it in over the next few years if you if you like what they're doing you have to use them you know kind of to the point that Venice VVV is using near intense and Z cash it's very similar using it so as AI and privacy kind of rise up I could see near performing pretty well they've got some novel technology they've got some actual applications

33:31that are successful using their technology and yeah that could be an aggressive one and I don't know if I have it here but I saw somewhere today I don't know where that went but socially when it comes to AI obviously near and tell or very I think Nears far and away number one getting talked about lately as far as mentions on the timeline so I don't know and it fits into my alpha beta method that I use a lot I talk about this in school where I get the top two so I've got towel a position in towel and a position in near I don't need to go too much further down the list that covers me when it comes to AI you know I do have some VVV you guys know that but yeah I think near very strong infer a play for and you know AI now it's still massive speculation massive it's got to prove out but so far I think this this is where I I have a small position in this relative to my whole portfolio obviously I'm still mostly Bitcoin in the theory

34:33but this is one of those ones my any all coin I have the reason I have it is because I think it can get me more Bitcoin right near is one of those ones that I think hey if Bitcoin 2x is near my 10x you know Bitcoin more than 2x is you know near could you know I don't know it gets it can get very bullish once if it hits new all time high it gets into discovery all that sort of stuff so if we see the end of diminished returns which is again what I'm predicting we could see some very very very good prices on some of these near is definitely got my to and for a few of my reasons you can see on the weekly timeframe it's one of the few all coins that's been able to print kind of recent bullish green dots on the weekly now right now I mean I think this this week's going to probably be a little bit shaky I just I just feel like this thing what I'd talk about all the time is just looking for a very basic signal on good allts to have higher lows through multiple cycles if it's a multiple cycle altcoin project I do like seeing higher lows

35:39let's see my alt bags help me earn more Bitcoin and pay off my house exactly I mean and this is altcoin altcoin season that seasonality is important in that understanding we get to go into allts when things look like they're about to get feverish again then you get out of them as you start to lose some of those bigger moving averages on Bitcoin and kind of flush back to the downside it's like a wave that goes up and down but but for near I really really do like the general design of this chart I know it looks you know kind of chaotic why I would like this but it's got a lot more buoyancy than these other altcoins have now Salona's another major alt that I like tracking last week I was looking at the top end of this channel being retested around the 90 92 dollar zone right now that does seem probable for Salona's and that downturn action on this VWOP starting to play out these moving out the not moving averages but the momentum waves are about to crossover and printer red dot as well so I think a little bit of hold up and wait type actions

36:44coming to some of the larger altcoins but that actually is a really really good thing for me because I like I like zones of low buying opportunity to be extended now something has caught my and I've been watching this avalanche drives me nuts avalanche drives me nuts it's been on my mind I know it drives you a little crazy to you know I think you're still in position right like I have some yeah it's again same it's more yeah I've been holding it for a long time I just haven't been willing to call it on that one yet like I did on card on I've been this close many times but right before you I there is this by the way UAE to integrate avalanche block chain into its national digital identity platform so oh wait I'm showing the wrong there you go it's got stuff going for it though like it's you know the UAE is interesting yeah it's a hard place I haven't I haven't you know I have low x at this point it's just kind of like I'm gonna try to forget about it and you know if I can get out of that if I can break out of that range great I'll roll it back

37:48into Bitcoin but yeah avalanche I mean from for all for all of the magic that's happened to all slightly or some of the top alt something are hitting all time highs in this environment avalanche has not caught any sort of bid it's still hanging around the $7.40 mark I'm happy I've faded it so far now I'm starting to question myself because it is trying to hit the brakes on this bleed we're seeing some continued integrations with the UAE tokenization is still something that is looking decent on avalanche as far as a chain and it's good technology you know maybe I just need to stick with my general plan if I see it go into the four to five dollar range fuel and ties there at this original release point for the time being though avalanche I will warn you that I've seen bigger projects than avalanche die before in crypto so that's why I'm having to be real hesitant because I'm not getting any clear signal on the weekly timeframe on the two week it

38:51looks pretty decent but the upswing is quite muted and that's what's making me concerned just in general flows has been outpaced by a lot of other projects now another one that I want to talk about that I generally feel structurally good about is aerodrome and aerodrome looks more bullish than most of these alt very weak downturns as of the last few months in aerodrome's price it's defending 30 cents like an absolute savage sitting around around 57 cents right now and running up a general trend line of higher lows for the recent time frame I look at aerodrome as a project that's probably going to be held back a little bit over the course of this week if we see that clarity act not move forward and general raising of interest rates it's not like glow up season in general I could stay with my thesis that anything from the 50 cent down to 30 cent region is a good additional buys point for aerodrome but aerodrome is one of the newer projects out there that

39:54I think is going to rise I believe aerodrome is like number 50 or so oh yeah this is black dragon I can't help I can't help but keep my eye on black dragon I know I'm a degenerate what the heck is that is that a mean point it's a meme coin on nearest protocol that you know it's just it's in the background and I'm watching near kind of intend them with the with the black dragon price I believe the founder had some connection to black dragon it's an old school basement play now aerodrome let's see here so it's number 79 and it's market cap compared to the rest of the market very very small this is something conceptually that I could see aerodrome go into five to ten billion dollars with the rate of tokenization being where it's at right now with relative ease I do feel like that now this is where I'm at a huge decision point because I feel like tokenization

40:54is a strong play I feel like bases a strong play and aerodrome still that structural pillar of it so I might have to start getting more heavy handed in my entry points for for aerodrome but the thing that's holding me back is I'm trying to get this under 30 cent entry point you know I started moving into it in the mid 40s and I really want to get this mid mid 30 cent entry point to happen I might not get it though I might not get it I might have to sit here waiting forever for this thing I might just have to move ahead of my time to get it I don't mean the tokenized stock thing is probably going to be very very I mean it already is you know the kind of most prevalent narrative going on in crypto right now aerodrome big beneficiary of that uni on Robinhood so you know but coinbase creating on aerodrome creating one of the most efficient ways to get exposure to this yeah you may not want to wait too long I mean it's it's it may or may not ever see those levels again like if you get this washout on Bitcoin if Bitcoin obviously you know controls the whole market

41:59so if it goes down substantially you might get an opportunity like that on there but I I think the the best opportunity on some of these things is likely behind us when we saw those really low prices on Bitcoin so yeah I'm well positioned in it run it you know using it run in you know locking it running pools all that sort of stuff and yeah starting to you know your fee holder so you earn based on the protocol all that sort of stuff it's one of the ones I have what's the circulating supply on it compared to the total if you scroll down a little bit I'll have right there check that out and it's about one points nine total and it's at just about a billion tokens I'm a lot more sensitive to this than I once was you know I this is one of the few that I have that doesn't you know that only about 50% or even less than 50% is circulating I I saw that as being a major detractor for a lot of all coins even in the last cycle especially in a bear market that's where they get beat now because you got the supply just keep coming out keeps coming out and if there's

43:00not the demand to keep up with it you know it's just you just keep it get beat down that's another reason I like near is 100% circulating so I'm leaning heavier and heavier into now you know hardcap fully circulating is best a lot of the newer projects don't have a hardcap so they will continue to have emissions over time that's something to absolutely keep an eye on but the one this is part of why some of these newer ones like I see people talking about Canton and some of these other ones where a lot of these newer projects they might be strong they might be good but if they have a lot of inflation coming out or emission schedule coming out that's something I'm aware of now that matters less than a bull market when things are up only that's great but I that's I think this is a big part of that total chart you were talking about where it as we get a lot of those 2019 2021 a lot of those you know last era projects that are getting into their fifth and sixth year and they're fully circulating supplies fully out I think some of those can absolutely send once we get into a

44:00bullish environment and that'll be a big part of it so just things to keep in mind airdrome obviously guys know I love it I use it I'm you know it's not a huge position but it's substantial it's probably in my top 10 positions or eight even you know I'm still again Bitcoin Ethereum salana some of those I'm trying to remember I've got definitely more arrow than uni so but inflation matters you know it took an omics matter well what's really keeping me up about this is I pulled a bars chart on that others tried to just mention so if where we are right now is comparable to this why this is where this is actually expected to go and this is what keeps me up at night is because if this does play out arrow drones going over 10 bucks a piece I and that's the maddening part about this is that you know we're at this current zone yeah hundred bucks a piece no 10 bucks a piece oh I say 100 bucks a piece of the incredible yeah 10 bucks so I'll take I'll take five bucks but 10

45:05bucks piece is it's I'm not all I have you know 100 and I have six figures cut you know somewhere between 100 and 200 K and arrow but it's not anywhere close to my largest position but and I did see somebody asking about the AI I'm pulling here you go here comes you're asking what our AI system says about arrow yeah it's basically you know the token not which is this is literally what I was just saying the tokenomics is the biggest bigest question mark on it but problem in use case narrative team adoption value capture all of this is in line this is a very strong and this is how we analyze it you can get into these and kind of read you know the why behind each one of these things but you know it's a very strong project you know this is actually pretty well-rounded narrative wise you know this you know there's some risk and it's mostly because of this right here the tokenomics you know saying only 50% is look at this it's almost like this AI is built by me

46:08almost almost but now this this is a very valuable tool that we use in school you get access to this all these different things you know market pulse you can kind of get the breakdown of the day and news we've added you know this is where you get all the the trading signals and calls all of this stuff is what you get is as a bonus for school you have all of it already in school but like you have all these classrooms and courses and comments and calls that we do every single week that we know with the community so it's a lot of great stuff and then all of this is also included in your subscription so we teach you how to do this yourself manually so you know how to analyze a project for use case for narrative for team track record the adoption in the community all of these factors that we analyze every all coin through you get the training on how to do it yourself manually and then what and then you also get an AI tool that can automate a lot of that now again as I always say this doesn't replace your thinking this doesn't replace your judgment it's just a tool to speed things

47:09up don't use it as and all be all we constantly see things come back from AI and I'm not as much on this the score cards pretty dialed but constantly I'm using AI and I'm like that doesn't look right double check that you know why are you saying this and it's like oh yeah actually I miscalculated or I didn't account for this and so a lot of the ones that get 70 in that or 70 or above have been some of the best performers last month too right so that's on my notice because we did the scores and I pulled and I kind of understood which ones were landing above 70 almost every single one of them overperformed like crazy so and I see the dis disbelief that a $10 arrow drum can happen or you know let's talk about sweet going to $10 there's a reason why nobody believes this is possible and it's because of that other chart and when it's done to people's mentality I just gonna reemphasize cardanos probably gonna if this plays out even if cardano can keep the doors open

48:13if you're a crypto project that can just generally keep the lights on you have hundreds of percent of increase slated over the course of the next few years if this does play out maybe even more this is why people don't believe it crypto can do anything in this altcoin sector is because of what the last bull market looked like this was your blow off top for in this you know the real blow off top we haven't seen for six years or four years going on so this is why you have to have more data than just prices and basic analysis and that AI tool that we have in our school it saves me a lot of time in identifying you know the structurally sound projects here in a bear market arrow drone I'm not going to be surprised if this thing is a much much different chart it's one cycle old and really a ten billion dollar market cap on arrow drone would bring you to that ten dollar mark a sixteen x from where it's at right now and this is where we have to acknowledge

49:13the reason for printing is larger than it's ever been arguably for our country like the the banks and their pain is a big driving factor of why we see liquidity expanded and one of my favorites places to go to just understand this is the literal FDIC website where you can see all of those unrealized losses and gains and they laid it out a little differently today did you see this TJ they changed the the X and Y axis on this to make it look not as bad yeah I didn't look at it but it looks way better yeah it does look way better now the reason for printing I just kind of want to talk through this I want to talk to this real quick so this was the great financial crisis right here this tiny little blip right and then we had another one that was just as big happened right before the excuse for covid came out and they were able to print to the moon right they expanded the money supply very very heavily you saw what the all-quince sector looked like when they

50:16did that now our current scenario of how bad the losses on the banking sector are currently are exponentially higher here then they were back in the great financial crisis right and this ended up being years and years of very cheap interest rates on homes probably locked me in I'm not going to sell the house that I got at that interest rates never coming back I've already kind of come to terms with that but the pain and the reason for monetary expansion on the US banking system has never been greater and now when I look at this and it just something to highlight here is the fix was supposedly in they had seen higher lows building out from this main main flush out point where they are about $700 billion underwater the problem is though is that this chart is starting to expand back to the downside that's a major major problem and that's why I think what t.j. says about monetary expansion is going to happen at the same time of federal reserve rate increases

51:19seems very logical and a good lens to look at this world through right now it's not a collapse down it's a collapse up where asset prices are going to explode to the upside you already seeing what commodities oil wheat all the goods that we need are exploding as well now infrastructure digital infrastructure and security are needed as AI expands and this is a cool little juxtaposition that crypto and AR landing on where AI is testing the security bandwidth of our internet and crypto can offer solutions in token gated access and making sure that it can continue to operate right this a very heady conversation but this is why I have to be positioned in both crypto and you know the stock portfolio has been going on it's a stock that I wanted to talk and maybe this is a crazy idea my wife was talking to me about the likelihood of hologram or holographic movies coming out and this AMC chart keeps me up a little bit because it's been basically nothing ever since the

52:25meme run of 2020 right 2021 meme run this thing has been flat and there's only one major movie theater company that I think of when I think of movies but TJ you had a damn good point home theater entertainment is up there yeah so maybe they miss that I don't I don't see I mean obviously you know the market generally is pretty efficient right and this was a little bit of a squeeze and it definitely got some retail on a short squeeze and all that sort of stuff but I don't I don't you know yes they could mean you could see innovations in entertainment here in the near future but I don't see that hitting the AMCs of the world as much as I see it landing at home more and more often people are comfortable in their own home that and if you think we're going to see massive inflation you know who who's going to feel that you know people on Main Street right they're not going to be going out and seeing movie when was when was the last time I'm just we can when was

53:27last time let me know in the chat when was the last time you went and saw a movie in theaters I mean for me I go every probably every two months and what was so you went with within Alaska because I can't even hardly remember the last time I went to a movie theater I've it's been multiple even more people still go to look there's one of them grid went to resident people I'm like this is a big building in my local town of Rick I see people there all the time kids a kid people do take kids two to four times a month dang see when you got kids 2019 over two years spider man I'm just I just I don't know I just see there you there may be some innovation there's some like the stuff like the spirit there's a place here in Atlanta that's like a mini sphere I can't remember what it's called where you know you get like half of it all right Kelly going once a week dang I just I don't know I think if you're going to get like holograms and stuff like that

54:29you're more likely to get it at home than you are in a theater so but it's a big it's some you know a dole opley I guess what's the other one is regal or those the main two or is that all under AMC at this point but I don't know yeah I'm not again this this to me is very much like finding a beaten down mean could could it pump sure absolutely like you could get a relief rally out of it that you can ride but that's not generally the way I like to invest personally yeah I mean this looks like a dead project that no one is at anymore and then I drive by the building and it's full in my local town so I don't know I'm just thinking about it a little bit like maybe I'll go in there or some play money we're also watching radium you know which it was on its way down to I mean radium's been plump it last week in the last month I guess yeah it's got now it's got a higher low got a higher low built out and the floor around 67 67 cents pumped up to a dollar 30 I

55:34mean I could see a you know if I see this here here's my general plan on radium because I like Solana auxiliaries I think Solana strong and I like buying auxiliaries on Solana about a buck maybe 80 cents seems like just a vibe check at the center point of this w pattern or close to it probably more so like this this volume note here right at the uh because I'm planning on little headwinds in all coins right I'm planning on a little bit of shaky ground some pullbacks bears coming out celebrating that we're going to zero again you know Bitcoin goes to 74 75 I can see something like this though about like 90 cents actually I like this plan a lot all right I got a radium plan here it is here it is right there well and it doesn't quite show it on the all volume mark here but I know that this original resistance point turned to support here tried to add support in the 1010 wash out in there after and has come back up to it's blasted

56:38pass it with velocity but the momentum waves are crossing we got some headwinds likely I could see like 90 cents radium being a little bit of a play because I'm not the point where I'm ready to start buying some auxiliaries on top because I bought all of my regular salana my spot salana a few months ago and I'm not opposed to adding more salana in the 80 to 90 dollar region absolutely not and maybe I'll have to start paying more if it holds up this shelf above a hundred dollars but the auxiliaries to salana make a boatload of money and revenue and these pump harder than salana proper so I'm looking at this just understanding you know what the general thesis I have to drive home this chart the general this is why you feel like such crap and all coins if you state in them is because this has been an end downtrend for years and years and years the underscope of it is setting a higher lows on momentum waves getting green dots all over the place the money flow is

57:41very deep like not many charts have money flows that breach down to negative 36 and so this is why you feel like so much anger when I say all of this hopefulness about all coins is because you've been in pain for years on end and I think this is about to turn around can lighter have a run like hyperlick and I mean arguably it already has right I think I can I absolutely can it's it's doing really lighters are strong you know like again in the alpha beta if you like hype what I like to do in these situations is you have your primary position in hype and your secondary position in lighter and then you let lighter bridge the gap if they you know like yeah look at that I mean like you said arguably it's already on one can it it is doing it so yeah very strong very good revenue projects again it's that defi revenue value capture all it checks all those boxes I'd be early interested to see what our AI tool says about lighter I guarantee it scores very very high so and I saw you guys asking what that is you just it is I don't know if I pinned it but

58:44just go to discover crypto.live that's our website that's how you get to it now you have to to get member login you have to be part of school but yeah that's where it is so yeah well on a final note I watched the movie her this weekend with walking Phoenix is about AI I think that's the real end of humanity is the end of connection between people if you have it super easy to have an AI girlfriend or something that's the end of dating right like that's something that I think about but I don't think AI is going to be the end of the world I do think people are more gun gun shy on all coins because of that other's chart that I've went over a few times on the show today and I'm moving into the next few years very very bravely because I am not going to sit here just waiting for the end of the world I've already prepped out I've already done all that stuff in the real world I'm not going to be you know digging further and further into the ground just expecting the world to come down on me I'm going to move forward into the all coin sector based on the data presented I think that there's a great expansion on the horizon getting in a position now

59:50and I do commend everyone that's got the gumption to stay locked in on even charts like lighter all these other projects because there's a lot of money still to be made in crypto you just have to do it intelligently use the resources available and if you're interested in the resources we've shown you with school check it out it's completely free to try we pour our heart and soul into that to keep people on the right path here tj what a great Monday what a great Monday yeah life is good right we are blessed we're very fortunate to be here having these conversations spread some light out in the world like you said it's not there's plenty of doom and gloom that's the doomers doom and gloom is the easiest way to get clicks and attention but providing a plan forward actually taking action putting you know putting your hat in the ring and getting out there and trying to make a difference that's what it's all about so go spread some light and some positivity and we'll see you guys it's fall in Jeep country and during the driving to fall sales event get a great deal on four by fours that refuse to be contained like Jeep Wrangler confidence built into every drive with the

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