Dream Podcast - NFL Week 4 THE PICKS !!

0:001, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 1, 2, 3, 1. Hey guys, NFL week four dream preview edition, a little audible this week. Of course, I am the co-host here, Munafman. She found me on Twitter at Sports Nerd 824. RJ not feeling well this week. We pushed the pod a little bit, but the great news is that we do have all of his picks for this week. 5 picks coming off of another winning week for RJ. He went three and two last week, previously 5 and 0. So he's in good stride here. We'll talk about all of his picks on this pod. I'll have my best bet. I have a total in there for you guys as well. And then a player prop for NFL week four. We got Uncle Dave's best bet for you as well. And of course, Sleepy will join me to break everything down and we'll give our candy cap on not only RJ's picks, but of course our picks here as well. So a little different this week.

1:00Hopefully we do get RJ back next week for NFL week five. But yeah, joining me is Sleepy this week as always. So we'll talk a little bit more on the pod this week. I know he's been a little background for the first couple of weeks there. But Sleepy again, pregame.com. He's really the man behind it. And right now on pregame, look, there's a lot of stuff going on. We've got obviously the NFL. We've got college football going on. I don't know college basketball is right around the corner as well. MLB playoffs NHL just started as well. W NBA playoffs happening as well. So there's a I think this is one of the more better weeks when it comes to betting on sports and a good opportunity right now. Sleepy for our listeners to ticket advantage of what's happening on pregame.com. Right now. So what can the ticket advantage of? Yeah, so this week we're going to go ahead. We're going to give you guys two offers and the first offer here is a seven day all access. You can get that from your favorite pregame pro for just $99.

2:02What's that mean? Well, that means that you get every single pick that a pregame pro releases and every sport for the next seven days. And we do have a couple guys that are running hot right now. I'm going off. I know he's running hot. I know we hit another NFL pick there last night. So I think that you're seven and over to last seven days up what we're around 14 units or somewhere around there. I'm hot. I'm going to throw myself in the mix there right now plus 29.45 units in college football and NFL. So if you're looking for someone for football, look at men off. Look at myself normally right now. This is all access. One 19, but dream pod listeners. They're going to go ahead. They're going to get this one for just $99. Dollars. How do you do that? Use code dream seven. That's a dream seven for $20 off seven day all access. And our other offer. It's 30 day all access. If you look for a couple pros there, that are hot Greg shakers hot Spartans hot as well. Normally 30 day all access to $249, but dream pod listeners right now.

3:06They can go and they can get that one for just $199. Dollars use code dream 30 for the 30 day all access. Again, that's $50 off. Use that code dream 30 myself. Menoff shaker Spartan all of us right now are quite hot. Feeling ourselves a little bit there. Menoff heading into NFL week number four. Yeah, like you mentioned, that it's been a pretty good NFL run for me. 14 units over the last what seven picks there. So hopefully that continues into week four here. But without further ado, let's get on to the show. Whatever happens to you. Stay. See. Let's make it all right. Sleepy. Let's get into it here, man. Let's not waste any time. Let's get to RJ's five weight for NFL week four. As I mentioned, he's coming off of a three and two week. Another winning week for him. Hit his best bet here. But his five weight this week, he's going with a total in that Jets. In the Bears game.

4:06Five weight Jets bears over 43 for RJ here as his best bet. Sleepy. Obviously, Caleb Williams is going to be out with the hamstring injury probably for another couple of weeks here. And case key them last week on. I think it was prime time if I'm not mistaken. I mean, he looked like Tom Brady out there for a little bit. And I'm not sure if that's a credit to preparation for him or just Ben Johnson, just putting him in the right situations or a combination of both Sleepy. But Jets bears over 43 here on RJ's five weight. What are your thoughts on this one? Well, my first thought is I like this pick. My second thought is I'm stealing this. And my third thought here is I'm going to end up selling this to my client. So since RJ's not here, I'm stealing this shit off him. But here's why I like the over here. I mean, Geno Smith right now. I mean, he's playing extremely efficient football. He leads the NFL right now.

5:06Believe it or not, in completion percentage, 75.5%. He has 110 pass or rating. I know the touchdowns aren't there. He only has four over three games. But I think the most important thing with Geno Smith right now is he doesn't have any interceptions. And you know, that's probably making him feel pretty good, especially, you know, coming off of last week, carved up Detroit there last week. He looked really good. 31 and 37 had 321 yards, three touchdowns. Again, great completion percentage in that game too. He was like 83% completions. And I think one of the biggest weapons for him is obviously it's Garrett Wilson. But, you know, he's becoming a little bit of a major problem for a lot of the defenses out there. Last week he had 10 catches, 100 plus yards in a touchdown. And that was against Detroit. You know, Chicago, that's another team that they play a similar style to the Detroit defense, a lot of man coverage. And if you know anything about Geno Smith, he likes man coverage. I mean, that's what he really tries to attack.

6:07And I think that, you know, having Wilson, another guy who uses his hard to cover his completion percentage. I think you know, Smith in this game, if he sees a lot of man coverage, it's going to be up there again. And I think the more important thing here, you know, that will support the jets, probably scoring some points and moving the football a little bit of a faster pace. This game is the fact that Breeze Hall is going to be out with sucks because I have them on my, my fantasy team. But if Breeze Hall's not out there, then I think that that just puts more incentive on the New York Jets to go ahead and throw the football. Why not? I mean, Geno Smith's been pretty good. And like you were saying there with Chicago, there's a couple things here with Chicago. So they have like one of the best rushing attacks. If not the best rushing attack in the entire league, their average in like 185 yards per game. I mean, that's excellent. Not everything's going to be put on Keenam here to go ahead and make ends meet. And I think when you have a nice rushing attack, you know, that always helps the quarterback out. But when you have Keenam, a backup quarterback, put in a situation where, you know, that

7:10there's, there's really no rushing attack to speak of. Then that just puts so much pressure on a backup quarterback to go out there and probably just do too many things. And, and that's when you see a lot of mistakes being made. But you got to think Keenam last week felt pretty good. I mean, look what he did there last week. He looked good. The rushing attack looked good. And I think that that makes him comfortable. I think that that makes him pretty confident here. And it's not like the jets of defense is, is really doing anything. I don't, I don't think Keenam's going to, you know, have happy feet or really have any doubt about what he's trying to do. Ben Johnson, he knows his jet system extremely well. He spent years as a defensive coordinator in Detroit's offense. Well, you know, the jets had coach Aaron Glim. He ran the defense there in Detroit. So there's probably not going to be a whole lot that's going to really throw Ben Johnson off in this game. I think that, you know, offensively Chicago should be okay. And I don't see any reason why Ben Johnson isn't aggressive in this game. The jet defense highly questionable right now, 29th and EPA.

8:14That's just, that's not good in Ben Johnson showed last week. And even with Keenam in there that is going to remain aggressive. The Bears didn't simply just try to hide Keenam, you know, behind 40 handoffs in that game. He ended up throwing 34 passes. I like the Bears there last week. Keenam knows this offense. It's not like he, you know, just showed up in week 14 while he was sitting ice cold there on the bench. This is a team that he's been with for the last two years. He had the entire off season, the entire training camp preseason. And like I said, it's, it's not like it's 14 weeks in this season. It was NFL week number three. So he was feeling pretty good. He looked good. I thought the market was just extremely wrong on Keenam there last week that he was just, you know, quote unquote, coming off the couch. When in fact he wasn't and he showed that there last week. So I think the Bears offense will be playing quite well. I think the jets offense will play quite well. You know, Smith likes that man covered over 43. I'm on it. I'm stealing it. I'm selling it. I'm giving it to my client. So R.J. five star is going to be one of my premium picks there this week.

9:17So no surprise for anybody listening to dream pod you know what you're getting from me. Yeah, just a couple of things on the Bears there. They are going to be as of Thursday. I should say Thursday practice. The honors swift did not practice this week. And he may be out for this game. So I think you have to rely a little bit more on case Keenam for this week for the Chicago Bears. Take a look right the the I want to say the jets the first two weeks. I mean, they didn't play against the greatest offenses did. They had the Titans. We know about them. You know, cam wore as a struggling packers. So you know, running game hasn't been. It has been pretty much nonexistent there. So like you mentioned, right, we've been Johnson is going to stay aggressive in this game here with the Bears offense. I think it's a lot of confidence in case. Keenam just coming off of what you mentioned, right, building off of last week. And you know, what he's been able to do for this for this team coming over as a head coach there.

10:17And again, if it is the honors swift or no, the honors swift commonung guys more than, you know, capable of filling in that gap and that backfield there for the Chicago Bears there. So I like this one here as well. I thought that the number was a little bit conservative for this game here. So yeah, I'm on the over 43. I agree with this five weight here for RJ and his best bet for this week. You got to wonder if Swift being out like, yeah, that might hurt the rushing attack a little bit like you're saying like, my none guys are going to be out there and help. But wouldn't that make the Bears stay more aggressive with their pass because you have one of your leading rushers, you know, out of the game. Like I certainly think that it would produce a little bit more passing offense there from Chicago, which that's going to be good for the over. I was looking at the weather report there too. No rain to speak of maybe a little breezy or something like that. So I don't really see anything in this game saying under the only thing that I think maybe the betters would be thinking about. And I'm sure you probably thought about this in RJ as well as if Geno Smith and Case

11:22Keenum turned to Geno Smith and Case Keenum like, like that's the worry. And we haven't seen that so far. So yeah, I'm with the over. I like it. All right, for my best bet this week here, sleepy. I am going to go to that game between the Raiders and the chiefs and I am taking the chiefs minus the four and a half against the Raiders here in this divisional matchup. And I got burned by the Raiders last week. I had the Saints minus three as my best bet. And that was a game that's in should have won, right? They were up 26 to 27 to 16. We get to the fourth quarter and four turnovers by the Saints led to a 35 27 victory for the Las Vegas Raiders. But this is more of me looking at this chiefs team that they look like they're back in, you know, championship slash Super Bowl contending form again. Right week one wasn't the greatest for Patrick Mahomes. Obviously, you know, having some rust coming off of that injury.

12:24Then the injury that he did suffer last season. It took a little bit for him to get his legs back under him. And the last two weeks, they've looked very, very impressive, right? Oh, yes, it was the Colton week two where they did not cover the offense didn't look, or the defense, I should say, didn't look very good. Took a little bit for them to beat the dolphins. But again, they did cover the number going on the road, laying double digits. But now you have this Raiders team, right? But you take a look at who they played over the first couple of weeks here, sleepy. Week one dolphins. Okay, they had one of the lowest win totals coming into the season. Chargers now looking at it after three weeks. I mean, they could be a team that their season is almost already over, right? Oh, and three already, the offense hasn't looked good. They haven't been able to produce points. And that's just been a huge issue for that chargers team. And as I mentioned, the Saints last week, what the four tournaments that they did did have in that fourth quarter.

13:24And you take a look historically that there's been, or I should say that Patrick, my home has had a lot of success against the Raiders offensively in his career. I know we talked about this on the props pod that we did. You know, earlier this week about Patrick, my home success against the Raiders, but I think at some point where I think Kurt Cousins is going to make some mistakes and turn the ball over. And that'll be the difference between them winning games and losing games. And I think that's going to start this week. That past rush read by Chris Jones and George Carloftis for the chiefs is going to be, is going to cause a lot of problems. I think this week for this Raiders team. I think at all fancy, right? Terrence Kelsey, a loose has looked really good. Kenneth Walker, I've talked about a lot. I talked about him last week as a prop that I did give out. Fortunately, I went to that one got to the window as a winner. On the over 17 and a half. He had 18 carries in that game.

14:24But I think this will see a lot more Patrick Mahomes in this game and some pressure off of Kenneth Walker because they've used him a lot thus far this week or sorry, this far, you know, throughout the first three weeks of the season. So they're also going into their bi week are the Kansas chiefs have an early bi week. So they'll be off next week. So, you know, this could be a game where where we look down towards further down the season, sleepy, that a division game where Raiders weren't expected to be here, right? We thought it was going to be a three horse race between the chiefs, the Broncos and the chargers. But where the Raiders have put themselves into this conversation where they're sitting at three and oh, but this is a big game here for the for the chiefs. You're going into their bi week and they coming out of their bi week. They have the chargers on deck there. So this would be an opportunity for them to win both division games in week four and in week six here, sleepy. I like the chiefs here.

15:25I'm going to lay it here minus four and a half against the Raiders to get the job done. Where are your thoughts on this one? It's a tricky game for me. I think a lot of it comes down to I don't like teams going into early buys. I don't like teams that, you know, have to go all the way across the country and then all the way back across the country. Kansas City just played in Miami. A little warm down there and now they're going out to play Vegas. Like you would think the Raiders are going to try to go ahead and step up. Now I know the strength of schedule for them. It's been it's been kind of weak. So this is certainly a step up in class. But you got to feel like the Raiders really get up for this game. Just the fact that, you know, it's a division game. They're at home. They're undefeated. This really will be a measuring stick, I think, for the Raiders. So do I expect an effort out of the Raiders? I do. I honestly do with Kansas City. I mean, I like that team. I got to be honest with you. I think that they're very, very good. I'm with you with the, you know, my homes probably having a big game here, probably giving

16:26them kind of the walker a little bit of a rest that could give the Raiders, you know, some issues. Can the Raiders offense go ahead and keep up with the Kansas City offense? I'm not sure. But this is a game I'm going to be on the sidelines. It'll be interesting to watch this one. But I'm not going to be on the opposite side of your pick. But I am, I'm watching the Raiders close here. So that's it's kind of where I'm at for this game. It's a pass for me overall though. Yeah. I think there's a big test here for the Raiders. I think we'll see where they're at based off of this game here. But I just really like the form that the chiefs are in right now, especially after first three weeks here. I know they are to win against spray. They didn't cover the number in week two against Indianapolis. Colts there, but the offense is, you know, they're, they're humming. And I just want to see a little bit more on the defensive side from this chiefs team. Right. I think that they can, you know, at least get some pressure on Kirk cousins here. And maybe you can pick them off. And I can, that thinks that that can be the difference between the cover in this game here. All right. Let's get to RJ's four weight here.

17:29Sleepy. He is going with a prime time game Sunday night football. He's got the lions laying the three and a half here against a Carolina panthers. What are your thoughts on the lions minus three and a half against the panthers on Sunday night football for RJ's four weight? I don't mind this one at all. I actually like this pick as well. Obviously, we don't want to go ahead and lay the three and a half here. So maybe the market will go ahead and get down to three fours. I'm not necessarily so sure that that's going to happen. But, you know, Detroit's been pretty good, man. I mean, they've scored 31 points in three straight games. I mean, that's impressive. Their offense has been extremely consistent. So you got to ask yourself, can the panthers score, you know, a ton of points in this game? I'm not necessarily sure that they can. Carolina has some issues right now on both sides of the ball. Their offensive line right now is banged up. Both of their tackles are going to end up being out. One of their guards is, is banged up as well. I think another one was like limited in practice.

18:30So, you know, you get a lot of concerns here for the Carolina offensive line. And if the defense for Detroit gets after Bryce Young, that's just going to create a lot of problems. I just, I just don't know where they get all the points from. And what do we know about Detroit? They're going to score. They got playmakers. You got Gibbs. You got Amon Rossi St. Brown. You got LaPorty. You got James Sibley. I'm like, these dudes are balling. Goffs actually playing quite well too. I was looking at his stats earlier. There's three quarterbacks right now that are a little eye raising for me there. Menoff. One of them is your guy, CJ Stroud. Another one, Geno Smith, who he just talked about. And another one's Jared Goff. Those three quarterbacks all have something in common. Do you know what that might be? No, I do not. None of those guys have thrown an interception yet, which was shocking to me because it had, had I said, you know, take those three quarterbacks. How many interceptions do you think that they'd have already at this point of the season? I guarantee your answer would not be zero.

19:32So I just wanted to go ahead and throw that little tidbit out there. But look, I think Goff is playing well on it. I think that he has all the weapons that go out there and probably put up another, you know, 30 plus point game. If you've been watching Detroit, maybe you had them in, you know, some of your survivor stuff like that. Like, yeah, they're making a little squeamish. I mean, they're kind of playing like the, the cardiac kids are there every week. But I feel like this week, this is a good week for them to go ahead and, you know, just say, hey, let's, let's not play games that are razor close against teams that, that we shouldn't be. You know, let's not find ourselves in another nail bite or type of game here. Let's go ahead. Let's buckle down. I think there are offenses going to do well. Carolina Panthers right now, their, their defense is banged up. Two of their starting corners are going to end up being out. So it's not like you just have, you know, issues on the offense and defense. Here for Carolina. I think this line is what it is because Carolina's been competitive, Detroit's playing these nail bite or games. But would it surprise you if Detroit went out there and won this game, you know, 45 to 17?

20:37I don't, I don't think that that would, uh, would surprise you at all. So I'd be in favor of this one like this pick here again with RJ. I don't know how Carolina gets to 28. I think if they can get to 28, maybe they cover because Detroit's been, you know, consistently putting up 30 plus points, but I just don't see how Carolina gets there. And I don't see how Carolina keeps Detroit 131. So I'm with it. Yeah. I think the only, I, I, I gave out the, uh, the Panthers in week two, um, as my best bed because they were coming off of a loss. And again, there's another two bets coming off of a loss. They're going into this week. Uh, you mentioned right, the injuries there for the both, or I should say, Carolina Panthers will be without, you know, um, both their number one and number two cornerbacks in this game. And they're also going to probably going to maybe be without a number three wide receiver and Xavier Legett this week for the Carolina Panthers. Um, offensive tackle is also a concern here for the Carolina Panthers in, um,

21:42Monroe Freeling. He's dealing with a concussion. He was a limited participant in practice. We'll see if he's able to go in this game here or not. Devin Lloyd is, was a full participant as well. But again, it's more so of the, um, cornerbacks in JC Hornen, Mike Jackson, we're both placed on the, uh, I R, it's not that they're just missing this week. They're going to miss the next four games, uh, for the Carolina Panthers there. So, um, the part that just makes me nervous is that again, the lines just have not been able to stop anybody, uh, through the first three weeks here. And I think I don't want to say a red flag, but they also did give up, you know, you mentioned the geno stats last week about how that offense was able to score 24 points. They gave a 41 to the bills, but who's not doing that these days? And then, you know, the Saints were a two point conversion away from winning that football game. Oh, and three so far, uh, sorry, O two and one on the spread thus far for, um, for the, uh, Detroit lines there. But, you know, when you're missing a lot of guys on the defensive side, especially

22:46number one and number two, I think that's where Jared Goffin this offense can really take advantage. Um, I don't hate the pick, but it just makes me nervous that will the lines be getting enough stops on the defensive side, uh, to win this football game with how, you know, bad the defense has been thus far. And also for the Detroit lines, they've all, they're also missing guys on the, you know, uh, in the secondary there as far as their injury report does go as well. So this will be a fun one to watch here on Sunday night football, uh, here's Sleepy, which kind of goes right into my, uh, total pick of the week. And that's the over in this game for a, I'm not going to regurgitate everything, but for everything that we just talked about, right, the entries on both sides, Detroit offense is going to hum led by Jared Goffin, for our C Jamer Gibbs and Amar on St Brown and, uh, Sam Laporta and Jameson Williams and the other side, right, you still have Ted McMillan. Bryce Young has looked really good this off season. Sorry, so, so far this season as well. He's corrected a lot of the mistakes that he's had last season to had Bryce Young, right? Number one was getting rid of the football in time and not taking sacks and then turnovers,

23:48right? He's really minimized that at least through the first three weeks here, uh, of the regular season. And right now you take a look at the first three games for this Detroit line, and see these final scores 31, 30, 31, 41, 31 loss and 31, 24 victory. So they've scored 30 plus points in all four, sorry, all three games as far. And again, the Bryce Young led offense of the Panthers has also looked really good. Thus far this season. So the number right now is sitting at 51 and a half. I do like to over in this game, how it's Sunday night football sleepy. So I just kind of goes hand in hand with RJ's four weight here on that. I don't know if you have any more thoughts on the total for this one here, but I'll be give that out as my official second play for this week. I don't mind the total going over here. I mean, I could honestly see points. I mean, like I said, would it surprise you if Detroit put up 45 in this game? I don't, I don't think it probably would, but I mean, that's going to get you to what almost 90% of the total there. I think Caroline's in after the football. I like their wide receiver in McMillan.

24:51I think he's probably going to go over his player prop. So yeah, I mean, I could see a lot of points here. I misspoke when I said that Detroit was at home. I know this game's in Carolina. So I mean, if this if this game was in Detroit, the sign would be, you know, about seven. So just wanted to go ahead and correct myself. Because I noticed I said the wrong, the wrong thing there. All right. Let's keep it rolling here. Let's get to RJ's three weight. That's going to be the San Francisco 49ers laying the two and a half this week. As they believe are at home here. Sleepy found on mistaken hosting the Denver Broncos in this one here. What are your thoughts on this play? The San Francisco 49ers at home minus two and a half hosting the Denver Broncos as RJ's three weight. The line looks weird because San Fran's been really good. The fact that this is under three, I know Denver won their last game and they looked pretty good, but, you know, they don't really look all that great, you know, prior to prior to last week, but San Fran's been really good.

25:55Like they have probably like one of the most efficient, if not the most efficient offenses in the league, they were at like 7.3 yards per player. Some crazy number like that. Brock party's been really good. Go back and look, I mean, just look at his stats. I'm looking at him right now 789 passing yards and nine touchdowns. Only one interception, complete and 70% of his passes. I mean, that's really good. Hasn't been sacked yet. 49ers, third down offense has been excellent. Number one in the NFL. So the San Fran offense has been really efficient and it's being driven by party. So I don't know if if Denver can go ahead and, you know, keep up with the, you know, the efficiency here of the San Fran, especially being in San Fran, but this line just stinks to me. I mean, it's telling you, not telling you what's begging you to go ahead and take San Francisco here. And look, maybe maybe RJ has the right team. Maybe he does. Maybe San Fran's just better.

26:56Maybe he doesn't believe in Denver. I don't think Denver is in tip top shape. I know that their defense is very good, but you got to have offense on the road. And I know like good defense does do travel, but this one worries me a little bit. I don't know. I don't like this game. I think the line is just it stinks and it's just forcing me to say, I don't want anything to do with it. But I've been on San Fran. I think two out of the last three weeks and they've been good to me. So I just feel like I don't want to jump and take the bait if that's in fact what it is. But I'm going to sit on sidelines with this one and just and hope RJ hits this pick here. Yeah, this one is also making me nervous just based off of the injury report for the San Francisco 49ers. Nick Bosa is already going to be out. He's dealing with a knee and calf injury there. Mike Evans who took a little bit of hit last week in the ribs in the hip area. He's questionable for this game. Linebacker Drake Green law. Also questionable and then Trent Williams or left tackle is also questionable for this game as well.

27:57So some key key injuries there. So for the San Francisco 49ers. I mean, what else is new for this team? Unfortunately, but they all other side right for the Denver Broncos side of things. I think you they have some confidence now after what transpired. Last week against the against arams, right? And that come from behind victory there. They're, you know, two and one straight up this thus far the season. Two and one at yes. I know they've been very good at at home this year. But now this one's on the road against the San Francisco 49ers and can they take advantage of the injuries right now for, you know, for the 49ers side of things. And I think this, I think you're spot on that this line just kind of stinks a little bit. You know, between these two teams here. So hopefully at least for the pod sake that this one gets to the window for for RJ. But I'm going to be on the sideline there with you. But we'll root for the 49ers here laying the two and a half against the Denver Broncos.

29:01Of course, Uncle Dave has his best bet for the week here. He's been on fire. At least the picks that he's been given out here on the dream pod here has another one for this week. Let's take a listen. Yeah, I love and I bet the Kansas City Chiefs team total over 26 and a half points this week. And you know, look, the Raiders are kind of a nice undefeated story for the time being, right? I mean, they faced Malik Willis and his first game with Adolfins. And Willis has run one touchdown pass in three games. They beat the win list charges, right? And I think we could all agree that their offense has been inept. And they had the Saints game handed to them last week. They still gave up though almost 400 yards of offense. And more importantly, and this is great going forward. The Saints were 4 and 4 in the red zone. In fact, the Raiders have allowed touchdowns on 78% of opponents drives inside the red zone. And I think we can all agree that Mahomes presents a bigger problem for the Raiders than did Tyler Shug. I mean, Mahomes has only gotten better each week and you would 100% expect that coming off of that injury.

30:01So how is Mahomes spared against the Raiders? Well, he's 13 and 2 with 36 touchdown passes and he's thrown for over 4,400 yards, which would equate to a 5,000 yard season. And I thought about this and I had the Raiders perhaps been win list. You know, maybe Kansas City might take them a little less seriously. I mean, the Raiders are 3 and 0, but the combined record of those 3 opponents, 1 and 8, 2 of those opponents have combined to score 80 points in 6 games. You know, what the Chiefs won't do is sleepwalk like they did in South Florida last week. What they will do is score more than 26 points. Kansas City team total over 26 and a half. Well, that gives me a little bit of confidence, Sleepy, on my best bet for the pod. I have the Chiefs minus 4 and a half. He has a team total over for the Chiefs. And this one officially sitting at 26 and a half. And a lot of things that he did mention in the pick there, right? That he has a lot of confidence in the offense and what they've been able to do for the Chiefs.

31:02There, you know, the Raiders. Yeah, like I mentioned, right? Undefeated and defeated on the spread, but it's exactly what he mentioned about the quarterbacks that they face. Friday was Malik Willis. It was, you know, Justin Herbert in that offense. And then, you know, last week to the Saints, it was a game that they should have lost. If it wasn't for the turnovers, as I mentioned, that they had and that for the quarter in particular. And a lot of it is what we talked about on our best bet on the props pot as well, right? And what he mentions about my homes, that he's having a really good season thus far. But he's been really, really good in his career against the against the Raiders in his career as well. So that gives me a lot of confidence here that at least he expects points from the Chiefs side of things. So if he they get to, you know, 30 plus points and they're able to hold the Raiders to around, you know, 21 points and they get the cover here. Are you guiding thoughts on the Chiefs team total over 26 and after this week?

32:05Not really. What I do know and you know this is that. I like to troll you guys. So this is a perfect opportunity because I have your number. I have Uncle Dave's number just to go and get in troll you guys together. It's not that I'm on the other side. I'm just saying. Just give me something to do on the weekend. Look forward to the positive. You guys a little bit. All right. Before we get to our J's two weight and one weight sleepy. Why don't you let it rip and run for your best bet? All right. So I'm going to go with tight and Tyler Warren. I'm going to go down and play him over his yardage. Current number right now in this one. 46 and a half. I will play this one probably up to 55. Colts passing attack. It starts with Josh Downs. It starts with Tyler Warren. They're the two biggest targets on this team right now. Warren's targets. They've gone up each and every game. Five in the first seven in the second and 10 in his last game. Last week eight receptions for just 55 yards. And I actually think what's to flak in this total a little bit.

33:08Warren has catches this year but the yardage just simply. It's just not there. But I fully expect it to be there this week. It seems to me and I know that you watched Daniel Jones there quite a bit there last week. They're not because he played your Houston Texans. Jones actually looks comfortable. And he was attacking this Texan's defense right in the middle of the field. And the commanders. This is a team that they just they cannot guard the tide end. I mean currently right now they're the second worst team in the league. Guard in the tide end. This is a really concentrated attack here for the cult. It's basically Taylor, Downs and Warren. And if the commanders can't stop the tide end. And the cults aren't really looking to go outside of those three guys. Then you have to assume that they're going to use the tide end here. I think Warren gets his yarders there. I think he gets his catches. I don't know if he's going to have eight catches this week. But I could see him having five six seven eight catches somewhere in that area. But going over the 46 and a half he's due to go and to rip something big off here.

34:10And this commander's defense against the tight ends just absolutely brutal. So I'm going to go ahead. I'm going to give you guys that like I said right now 46 and a half. That's the number. But I would play this up to 55. That's kind of where I think the market should be. So it's over for me Tyler Warren. I'm going to give you guys that is my best bet. Prop for the week. Yeah, commanders defense against the tide end position thus far. Or has been okay. Why is she asking that? I don't say that. They've actually been pretty bad against the Eagles in week one. They gave up 77 total yards. That was all to Dallas Goddard week two against the command. Sorry against the Cowboys. Jake Ferguson went off for four for 43. And then just last week between Eric Sobert and AJ Barner of the Seattle Seahawks. Commanders gave up a total of 82 receiving yards to those two guys. And we know at least for the cold side of things that at the tide end position. It's really Tyler Warren and pretty much no one after or behind them.

35:14I know they've lost Alec Pierce. I know Josh Downs leads that team right now in targets for the Indianapolis colds. But I think Tyler Warren should have a big game here across the pond early. So I'll see this one. We're waking up to a winner with Sleepy's best bet on Tyler Warren's receiving yards ago over against the Washington Commanders and that game in London. All right. Let's keep it going here. Let's get to RJ's two weight and one weight here Sleepy's got two team totals here. Two star or two weight green Bay Packers team total under 21 and a half. They have the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week. Do the green Bay Packers. No, I know you're the resident Packers fan here Sleepy. But I'll just quickly mention that it's pretty much having to be on the shoulders of Jordan Love, right? Because the running game has been pretty much nonexistent for this Packers team

36:14without Josh Jacobs there. You know, he's dealing with the off the field stuff right now. And it just seems like that, you know, if you're watching some of these games with the green Bay Packers that the timing or the either the route running just hasn't been there because there's just been passes that have gone five or 10 yards either over the heads of some of these receivers or to the left or the right of them. You know, if it's been on like on a post route or if it's been on a corner route or where the case might have been. But this Tampa Bay Buccaneers team, even though they're 0 and 3, their strength has been in the running game. So a lot of this is going to have to come down on Jordan Love's shoulders here, where again, as we've mentioned, they've really struggled offensively, right? We saw them score what 20 equals at 22 points in week one against the Minnesota Vikings, a score 20 against the Jets. And last week, they're only a score 14. Excuse me, I guess I learned a foul can see her. So without a complimentary running game here for the green Bay Packers,

37:16especially getting that hook at under 21 and a half here Sleepy, I like this one here as a two-weight for Packers team total under 21 and a half. Yeah, I have a couple thoughts here. So I'm in support of this pick and I'm not in support of this pick. So let's talk about the Packers. I mean, this is my team here. They're not playing all that great. I don't think there are offenses anything special. I honestly think that, you know, that they can go under this total. Here's the reason why bigger May feels not going to be on the field. And I think that the Tampa defense, it's actually been half decent that they're going to really have to step up here. They're O and three. This is going to be their their final home game here in this three-game stretch. The defense has to know, hey, we got to make up for Baker. And it's not like Green Bay's offense has been great. So I could see Tampa really stepping up here, slowing down Green Bay. Here's my my concern. Tampa's O and three. They lose this game. If they start out, you know, down 10, 3 or 14 or whatever,

38:17you know, going in the half time, then I would really look at Green Bay probably in the second half because there's a chance that Tampa Bay just really, really deflates, you know, coming out of the locker room if they're down by two scores, you know, start second guessing. So I was like, hey, you know, we're O and three. We've lost every game. Our quarterbacks, you know, has broken some and he's going to be out for, you know, a little bit of time. So you just worry. You worry about the mindset of Tampa Bay bucking ears here. And maybe Green Bay can go and get over this total. I think this is one for me that I would, I would want to watch the entire first quarter kind of feel it out. If Tampa looks like they're in a little bit of a groove. Tampa has a little bit of a lead. Then I think RJ probably caches this pick, but if Tampa's down and, you know, just looking a little bit down on themselves, because I think that there are reasons that they should be down on themselves. Then I would probably look at Green Bay in the second half and then I think, you know, that that probably puts RJ's pick here. Team total under 21 and a half and a little bit of jeopardy.

39:19So that's just kind of the way that I'm thinking about it. I hope my packers win, but I mean, they're just, they're not playing all that well. And you got to think Tampa Bay that they at least give a last ditch, Hail Mary effort here to go ahead and try to win a game. Because being O and three and against the teams that, I mean, the teams that they played, the bangles, the browns, the Vikings, there were certainly opportunities to be better than all of those teams, not like those teams are juggernauts. They all have their issues too. So they just, you got to worry where the Tampa mindset's at right now. So that's my concern right now with with RJ's pick. Yeah, and also for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they will be without Baker Mayfield for about two to three weeks. You're I think Jaylin Daniels. Yeah, Jaylin Daniels, not Jaylin Daniels, but Jaylin Daniels is going to be getting the start here for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers under center. All right, one wait. And the final pick here for RJ that is going to be,

40:21he's on the Seattle Seahawks team total under 25 and a half coming off of that game against the Washington commanders last week. They will be taken on the chargers at home this week here sleepy. But RJ liking the team total under for the Seattle Seahawks in this one. They did get Sam Darnell back last week after having the glute injury after week one there against the patriots there. Currently the Seattle Seahawks are laying seven points at home with a total of 42 and a half in this one. But what are your thoughts on the Seahawks team total under 25 and a half hosting the L.A. Chargers? Yeah, I don't mind this one at all. When you look at Seattle, like you have to ask yourself, is this team being overvalued? The fact that they won the Super Bowl last year and the Super Bowl team, they generally go ahead and they get a lot of love and respect. I always automatically think maybe they're overvalued.

41:23Maybe they're on a Super Bowl hangover because the offense and the defense, I mean, it looks kind of disjointed right now. I know there are some things that kind of factor into that. The fact that Kenneth Walker is not there. They have a new running back in Giderian price there. He got banged up there last week. Darnell gets hurt right in the beginning of the season and he ends up having to sit out. So it feels to me like it's kind of a disjointed offense right now. And I would feel okay playing maybe Seattle over the total. Had they been going up against a bad defense, a bad team coming in with next to no motivation, but you're playing the chargers. And the chargers are O and three and they're starting to really feel the heat. So you got to think defensively that the chargers are going to go ahead and step up here. And like I said, if Seattle was running on all cylinders, I would say okay, maybe this total could go over. But I don't think Seattle's offense right now is all that great. And their defense played like crap there last week, to be honest with you.

42:26I mean, they just did. They didn't look right. So you got to think a good defensive effort from them. Maybe this is just a slow game where everybody's calculated, trying not to make mistakes. And if that's the case, Seattle probably doesn't get above 23, 24 points. So the total sitting here at 25 and a half, it's making you think maybe we should think Seattle really bounces back here because the chargers are rolling three. I would just say just be careful. That's kind of how I feel right now. And Seattle's a team that they're just so disjointed. I don't want to even put any money on them or against them because this is a team that's consistently screwed me over the years because I'm a green Bay Packer fan. This is one team that I just absolutely could not stand. So constantly root against them. And when I do go ahead and bet against them, it seems like, you know, I end up getting my ass kicked. So I'm going to be on the sidelines. I want to see what Seattle looks like. You know, another week here at home against, you know, a good quality football team. Maybe they can get the ballroom, but yeah, I don't know.

43:28I just I don't I don't feel it right now with them. Yeah, I'm right there with you. I did have them as my survivor pick last week and that went up in flames for the Seattle sea hawks. It's just they don't have a running game now, right? I mean, there was a lot of hope for durian price. They're rookie coming out of Notre Dame to come in and kind of feel that gap that Kenneth Walker left after, you know, being signed by the Kansas State Chiefs there. But they just haven't had complimentary football in last season. The success for the Seahawks offensive. He was really, you know, having a having a consistent running game and having your passing game build off of that running game. But that just hasn't transpired thus far this season for the Seattle sea hawks. So I will say this. And this is what this absolutely pissed me off there last week about Seattle is that price end up funbling the football. It was like early in the game. It might have been maybe middle of the first quarter or somewhere around there.

44:28Again, it was kind of a sloppy field, you know, it was it was his damp and and and dreary. But then the head coach or Seattle he sits price out for the entire first quarter. And then the entire second quarter was like, well, now you're counting on Hullani and whoever else to go out there and carry the load. So it felt like that was really where Seattle started to fall apart or just, you know, not having offense that really had any rhythm. But once price came back, that was when Seattle scored their most points. So who knows? I mean, I blame the coach there last week, you know, for you losing your survivor pick that. I don't blame you for picking a bad pick. But I think the coach didn't do them any favors by really kind of, you know, a team that was already disjointed a little bit on offense that really needed to find their footing. He absolutely just took their footing away by taking price out of the game. I know he was banged up, but he was perfectly fine because when he came back in, you know, in the third quarter there, he looked good. He looked fresh. He looked like he was ready to run and that was when Seattle really, you know, made their,

45:31made their push to, you know, try to win that game. They were unfortunately they come up short for you. But I don't know. I did it just I had a salty feeling in my mouth seeing that that could sit out for, you know, basically two quarters when they needed them. I would be shocked if Chargers won this game. Um, I would. Okay. I'd be surprised in the only reason I say that is because the Seattle defense there last week didn't look good. And I know that defense is good. So I would expect them to really step up here and give, uh, give a lot of issues here to Chargers. That's just the way that I feel right now going into the game. And like I said, if Seattle can go ahead and kind of get the offense moving and grooving here, even if RJ hits this pick and they get 2324 point, I just don't know how the Chargers score because it's not like they're doing anything great on offense right now. Yeah. So yeah, that's right. Yeah, offensively they just have really struggled to have the, uh, Chargers, uh, to say the least. Uh, all right. Uh, so maybe I'll wrap it up with here. My player prop here and get your thoughts on this one.

46:33Of course, I'm going to go with Jeremiah Love on his rushing yards to go over in this game against a giant. So numbers currently sitting at 66 and a half currently over on draft kings. Um, I think the encouraging sign for me is the number of carries that he did get last week. 21 carries a season high. I know he was coming into the season with a, at the ankle injury. Maybe that's improved a week to week for Jeremiah Love. He did have 21 carries last week for 90 yards, but you take a look at the, the running backs that I've gone up against a giant show the last two weeks here. Uh, let's go back to week two. Rams, current Williams 12 for 85, 7.0, 8 yards per carry. Blake Corum in the same game. Also 12 carries. He had 79 yards, 6.5, 8 yards per carry. Then just last week, Tony Pollard had 17 carries for 74 yards on 4.35 yards per carry. So, um, I think week to week, you know, Jeremiah Love's ankle may be feeling better. But he's also getting more and more reps under his belt as well. I think this game will be closer than, you know, people think. I know just based off of what the spread is right now, uh, in this game here, uh,

47:37between the Cardinals and the, uh, giants. Right now the Cardinals length two and a half on the road against a giant. Here, total of the 44 and a half. So, um, I like Jeremiah Love this week. I think that this could be a, another performance. And again, the key here will be that if he's able to get 15 plus carries in this game here, I think that he can get up and over this number of 66 and a half. So that'll be my player prop, uh, for the dream pod here. Jeremiah Love over 66 and a half here. I like this one. This game's pissing me off though, um, for a couple, a couple of reasons. I'm just being honest with you. So let me talk about your pick with Love. It's only a matter of time before this guy erupts. Like you were saying, you know, a little bit of an ankle issue there in the beginning of the, uh, of the season, but he looked pretty good there last week. What's one of the issues the giants are going to have stopping him? The one of their best linebackers and burns, um, is going to end up being out for this game. So I think that that really helps your pick there. But here's why I'm aggravated with this game. I really want to take the cardinals as my survivor picked this week.

48:39And the simple fact like, hey, they're, they're only laying two and a half points here. But do you really think the giants could go out there and score points with James Winston under center? I just don't see it. I could see James Winston providing more points for the cardinals than he can for, for the giants. So the simple fact that, uh, you know, this line's, you know, two and a half, I see some ones. And look, there's some sharp guys out there that I respect that think that the giants are the right side in this game. But I think a lot of that's just coming down to the simple fact that if you start the preseason and you look at both of these teams, the giants were, quote-unquote supposed to be the better of these two teams. The cardinals in the, in the futures market and in the, you know, season wins and all that stuff like that game of the years type of stuff. Like this team was an underdog in a lot of games. They weren't supposed to win that many, uh, take games this year. But I believe I talked with you there and went off that we actually were kind of high on the

49:40cardinals when everybody kind of seemed like they were low. I mean, they have some pieces. They have a quarterback that doesn't make a lot of mistakes. Can the giants guard their tight end? I don't know. Can they stop love? I don't know. But I hate hearing the, uh, the negative talk about the cardinals when I really want to take them there this week. So I'll give you guys a side to pick. I'm going to play the cardinals here on the podcast, but I am worried. I am worried. I will say that, but man, I hope to take them into a New York. I hope they kick their ass because I'm actually a believer in the cardinals that they're much better than a lot of people thinking in what the market thinks. I think that this team could go in New York and potentially put up, uh, you know, close to 30 points. I mean, look, they put up 30 against Sam Fran. Yeah. I mean, Sam Fran, some slouch of a defense. So I know it's back to back road trips here. Maybe, you know, the cross country thing kind of, you know, wears them out a little bit. I don't know. I mean, I just feel like the cardinals still have a lot

50:42of life left in the season and a lot of belief. And when you have James Winston on the other side, you got to feel good about your chances. So I think the cardinals come in here confident. I think that their offense is actually starting to click a little bit. You got, uh, McBride and he's looking good and loves healthy and presets doing his thing and they're mixing in some of the other guys. So I don't know. I just, I don't get it. I think a lot of us just preseason, uh, you know, people who are down on the cardinals. I don't believe it. I think they should be favored by more. Um, and it's just that this game's pissing me off and I really want to use the cardinals as my survivor pick. Yeah, I think this, this is probably one game that everybody's probably going to be staying away from. I mean, the warrant in the cardinals should be favor on the road here, minus two and a half maybe, but, um, I think I just think based off of the match up here, I think it's a good spot for Jeremiah. I love to, to really, um, have a big game here, for the Cardinals backfield there. So how do you feel about the giants just going out there and picking a PCORDA back in McCarthy? I mean, if Winston was going to help this team, at least

51:44win a couple games, maybe they leave them in there, but is JJ McCartney really going to help you win more than James Winston? I don't see that happening. So, you know, what are the giants telling us? They're telling us that we're in deep shit. Yeah. I don't think there's a lot of faith right now in James Winston. I mean, yeah, all the who raw stuff that he says and does is all great for, you know, entertainment, but I think when it comes down to winning football games, it's actually not great for entertainment. It's starting to get annoying. Like, it was cool, like the first or second time we saw him, it was like, oh, you know, James has turned over a new leaf and he's, you know, a man of God, but it's like, where's all this coming from? But for God's sake, I love that we care for him. James Winston, do they turn it over to JJ McCartney's in week five? I mean, could it get any worse? Like, at some point, you have to, you have to consider the fact that we're making decisions that are costing us games and maybe the JJ McCartney's going to cost more games, but at some point, you at least got to, you got to try to pivot. So, I mean, they're already pivoting. They brought in McCartney. So,

52:49clearly, they don't believe in, they don't believe in James. And if you've been watching what he's doing, I mean, is it anything short of terrible? The Cardinals are better than terrible. So, I'm taking the Cardinals. That's where I'm at. Yeah, Cardinals week four at home for the Giants. And then they travel to the commanders next week in a division game. And then they have the Saints. And then they have trips to Houston and then to Philadelphia. Yeah, for their next, what, five games here. All right. So, for RJs picks this week, five weight best beds, best bed, Jets bears over 43, four weight lions, minus three and a half, three weight San Francisco, 49ers, minus two and a half, two star or two weighed Green Bay Packers team total under 21 and a half and one weight Seattle team total under 25 and a half. And then for my picks, best bed, chiefs minus four and a half, the over in the lions in the Panthers game, 51 and a half,

53:56and then player prop for the week, Jeremiah Love over 66 and a half, rushing yards against the New York Giants here at Sleepy. What do you got? All right. So, let me just throw this one out there. I would say this is probably a pick that I would make. And I would actually take the Rams, lean the three and a half points here against the Eagles. Eagles are in trouble. They have a lot of offensive issues right now. God hurts out. Looks like Smith's going to be be out as well. One thing I know about Jalen Hertz, and I talked about to see, you know, with you there last week that when Dallas Scotters and not on the field, Hertz just struggles. And now he's not going to have potentially his number one wide receiver. What the hell are they going to do? Just give it to Saquon over and over and over again. Hertz, is he going to just run the football over and over and over again? I would, I would look at the under in that game. I don't know if, if Philly's going to be able to put up enough points. But look, if the Rams, if they can get in a cool way back, he just completely changes the dynamic of that

54:57offense. I mean, they just become considerably better. I know that, you know, Garrett's still not there. But I feel like, hey, maybe they're begging you to take Philly here with the plus three and a half and look Philly's tough at home. But this is just not a team you want to invest money in right now, not until they're healthy. I know this team. I watch this team each and every week, every snap of this debt to team place. So this is just not a Philly team you want to invest your money in. And I think just a simple fact that, hey, the Rams are one and two people might be looking down on them. But you really haven't gotten the best version of the Rams yet. And I think if Naku is out there, it will probably be the best version of the Rams. I mean, they could, they could really run through Philly Delphi here. So it'd be the Rams for me. I'd laid the three and a half. It's not a number you want to lay, but I actually think this number probably closes Rams minus four. But it wouldn't surprise me if the Rams won this one double digits. And then there's all sorts of panic in Philly Delphi. It will not surprise me. I mean, that's kind of what I'm envisioning. It's kind of what I'm feeling.

56:02So I'll give you guys that one as a one star. I'll take the Rams. I'll lay the three and a half. Yeah, Eagles are going to be without Devonte Smith this week. He's dealing with a hamstring injury. So a little bit of a blow there to the wide receiving group there. So you'll be relying on guys like, you know, rookie Malachi lemon and and on Tavy and Wicks that they did pick up. Dallas God are there. Of course, you so I've seen one Barclay in the backfield there. But you know, it felt like Devonte Smith was really starting to fight the stride after a slow start to the season in week one there. But they, yeah, they will be without. Let me interrupt you with this too real quick. And this is only because I know this Philly offense really well. Last week and I'm not pounding my chest, but I, you know, I want to give out the best information. Hopefully people win when Dallas God is not on the field that really screws up Jalen Hertz. And last week I went ahead. I gave out Jalen Hertz's rushing guards. I gave it over. I would really consider probably doing that again here this week because without God or without Smith, he's just not going to know what

57:02the hell to do. If you want to see a bad quarterback this week, at least, you know, throwing the football trying to go ahead and get another right place. Watch Jalen Hertz as we go. I'm telling you, it's going to be ugly. Maybe Philly team total under Hertz rushing yards over passing yards under passing TDs under. I really think that you could probably find some parles, you know, maybe to throw together with a lot of, you know, Hertz's, you know, passing stuff under and maybe, you know, rushing stuff over. So I would really look into that. But yeah, just cautioning everybody, because I know this team, it's Smith's not out there and God is not out there. Like this, this offense is going to look god awful. The other Rams have to do is stack the box, stop, sake one. They're in third and long and Hertz is not going to have any clue what to do and where to go. Like is he just going to throw it over and over to Wix over again? I mean, Kyle Limon right now. Really good football player in college, but he's, he's shown that he's like the number three

58:02option in the passing attack. It's all short stuff. Like where are they going to get the yards down the field? If, if Wix is locked up, I just, I don't know. I just, like I can go through a thousand scenarios right now of why I would not touch Philly. So yeah, so I just want to throw that out there. Maybe look at some Hertz under stuff. And I feel pretty good about the way that I'm feeling about this game right now. Team total right now for Eagles sitting at 19 and a half for this game. A full game total right now is at a belief 42 and a half. If I'm not yet 40, yeah, 42 and a half right now currently over on draft Kings. All right. I think that's going to do it here. Sleepy, do we miss anything else? We need a mention to the listeners here. Yeah, myself, you and Uncle Dave, we're going to go ahead with the weekend preview. So, we'll go through the majority of the games. We just really wanted to go ahead and give you guys RJ picks a couple of the best bets that we had and Uncle Dave's stuff there. Our unfortunately,

59:06RJ had a migraine there last night and he was already to rock and roll. And then he was like, how do you guys feel about maybe just doing the pod and going ahead and just recap my picks and saying if you like them or not. So, we stepped into the plate. Hopefully you guys enjoyed the podcast. Hopefully, you know, we convinced you guys on some of the stuff to go ahead and take there this week. But yeah, RJ will be back there next week and hopefully we all have a good winning week. And so do you guys. Yep, looking forward to it next week at FL week five and we'll talk to you guys then.