EFL Championship & Coppa Italia Predictions: Milwall-Wrexham, West Brom-Charlton, Udinese-Venezia

0:00You're listening to Betting Weekly Live on the Bet Rivers Network. Welcome to Betting Weekly Live. It is Wednesday 2nd of September, you're with Steve Whiss and Jack Wright. And we're here to cover the best bets on the slate today in the soccer world. Championship mid-week round comes to a close. We've got Scottish Premier League action and Italian Cup as well. Jack, you hit a very, very juicy, daily double winner on Friday. I do believe it was. You're looking to go even bigger today. How was your weekend? How's it going? Hi Steve. Hi everyone. In Jack, great to be here in a mid-week slate. Yeah, I'm good. I'm really good. Yeah, feeling good. It's always nice when you're hitting a few winners. Had a decent Premier League weekend. It was a bit nervy because I was following Nigel after his fantastic start. So when we managed to eat a bit more profit and a few more leans. And I think which vindicates the slight change that was made to the structure of the Premier League show and the extra time show.

1:02So we can move with a bit of team use and get a bit more dig into the detail of being able to pop some prop markets that are bigger prices. But yeah, so it was a good weekend. And yeah, it looked to follow on from a really good live show, a really enjoyable one. So yeah, it's a few, a bit different for us this week. We're a bit of championship. We're talking about. And not often we get to delve into the Scottish Premier League's show, is it? Not too often, no. It's been there's been a lot of winners like you said, Dejak, in terms of the Daily Double on this show. I think only one of the last 12 picks have actually lost on the Daily Double selections. There've been a few pushes in there as well. We don't mind pushes because you're not losing with a push. So in Friday show, by the way, was superb, wasn't it? There was loads of stuff going on there on Friday show. We had superb amounts of views, loads of likes. And if you knew the channel, do consider subscribing. If you knew, welcome on in and keep it in that light button because we've got loads of likes recently, we should really help in the channel out.

2:04It's before we go into the slate today, I've got to mention some massive bets, which the sports book took yesterday. It's in the baseball here. $200,000 play on the red socks. Glad you got it on, Steve. I wish I wish. Over seven runs at minus 116. And it was a winner and it hit in the third innings. So sweat free $200,000 bet on the sports book. One of the biggest players I think I've ever been given on this data sheet loads of other, I mean, three other plays on the baseball over $100,000. Royals, Marlins over nine and a half, Rockies, Orioles over 11, and Angels, Yankees under seven and a half, all of those were losers. So the sports book's got it back. It's got it back from that, but a huge winner. Congrats to that winner, $200,000 play. Always good to see that. We're going to kick things off today with a match which starts in less than an hour. This is Italian Cup, Odinese against Vanessia.

3:07And the lineups should now be out for this game, although I can't quite find them. But the Vaness, Odinese minus 118 favourites, tie it plus $265, and Vanessia plus $310. And I've got to say, Vanessia, a team that disappointed me so far, Jack. I thought they, I liked the business they'd done in the transfer market. I thought they'd come out strong, but they've lost both games. They haven't scored yet. The talk was there was going to be quite a lot of rotation in the team. I still need to see this 11 to see exactly who's been rotated out and in. But from what I heard, Vanessia were going to do, near enough full scale rotation. Maybe not the worst thing after they've had a really bad start to the season, whereas Odinese was expected to make changes. This is a much more serious game for them. Apparently they are, I and up the Italian Cup as a possible way into Europe. If started the season fairly strong, four points on the board. So I think minus 118 on Odinese,

4:08money line looks good. I need to confirm these are lineups before I heavy hit this one, Jack. But two teams that have started the season in contrasting ways doesn't mean it's going to continue in the Cup. But it feels that way here. Yeah, I think on the basic stats, you've hit the nail on the head and set that going up, particularly well, a lot will depend on team use and see we obviously try and get ahead of the pace and work out who's going to be taking these Cup competitions seriously, where there's going to be rotation. What type of rotation is it is going to be key players or whatnot, but based on the start to the season and sometimes it can impact how teams then go about the Cup games. Is it the fact that Benetsi have got off to a poor start? I'm expected. Are they now going to go? We want to try and gain some momentum. We're actually going to go a little bit stronger in the Cup. Or is it a case that we definitely need to win at the weekends? And we'll make sure we wrap our better players in cotton wool. We'll have to wait and see how it goes. But yeah, I think you framed it pretty well there. And I agree with you.

5:08And by the looks of it as things stand as we look at it, ahead of team use, I'll certainly say the home win would be the sound per play. You are, you've really looks into the corner's markets today. Head of today's show, Jack, it must be said. And this is a match where you told me some interesting stats, pregame. So there's a bet that she's leaning towards here. Tell us about it. There is. I've actually gone on Benetsi a most corners, which is plus one 70 just for with a more narrow was at least. And I did look and go, and I'm going to you can play the handicap. They can get a corner start in it. And I thought, you know what? I'm going to go all or bust on it really to be fair. They're either going to win most corners or I'm going to lose the bet. Simple as that. I'm not going to try and be fancy with it. I've just looked at the stats to stats at the start of this season. Sound look strong. And that's what I've based it on as I said, we've got some team used weight into come. That will potentially have an impact on it. But based on how these sides have kind of started the campaign.

6:08I think the plus one 70 on Benetsi most corners offers some value. You look at Udenezet and we can look at that. Match up against Kalsky over in in Copra Italia. And they lost at home. They lost the corner count 6 0. So convincingly so there. In Syria this season, Monza on the road was a 3 3 tie on corners. But at home against Como, they lost the corner count 10 1 again another real convincing one here. So across those three games, you looking at four corners 1 and 19 conceders. It was not even close. And any drill into the Vanetsis is all well and good aside that concede plenty or don't win many. We obviously need the other team to come to the party as well and looking at their fixtures. We look in it's a home tie in Copra Italia, but a 10 3 victory on the corner count there. AC Milan on the road, they won that corner count 3 2 and let chair home. They won the corner count 5 3. So they want all three of those with a bit of room to spare and a couple of them as well.

7:11And one which is a bit more of an eye catcher. So for me, I think it plus 1 7 a it's offering a bit of value. And if it goes to the way that you're thinking and suggested and I don't disagree with you that you don't know. Maybe get a goal or two up. Then the next you've got to come out and go for it and that as we will know tends to lead to some decent amounts of corners. Yeah, it seems it's an easy or a bit of a corner killer right now, not obtaining many might change if they fall behind in games. But don't really see that happening here. It needs a money line for me minus 118. Welcome everyone into chat loads of you. It's the sort of day Jack where people are betting in loads of different countries in cups, leagues, whatever. And it's great to see that we can we can cover everything here. But it's that sort of day. Swiss super leagues popular Danish league stuff like that, but some comments that stand out William Jenner. And he said, good to have the meat back in the driver's seat. Appreciate it William very much so and solid sololino says he needs a.

8:18Parlay to put his life savings on he said I think was it sololino someone said that I want a ten or so. To bat his life savings on a day. I'm getting a fact of 10 to one parlay across the board. And I go in the old though says for this and he's a game who didn't he's a double chance and under two and a half goals. That's becoming a really popular about these days Jack like an SGP where you're taking someone double chance and when you either over or under the goal line. And yeah, I've seen a lot more bets like that these days. It's the way it goes. Villa fans in chat. How you doing other high Steve hijack now the window is closed and deal to done. I'm ready for villa to upset some people's pessimistic predictions. Let's see how the villa get on. I would go any everton fans in chat. You might be called up to play forever. Based on that. Really. That's. The last. 18. 18 outfield players in the squad. From what I read so any injuries for it forever to in the inner bit of trouble. I heard Simon holding was indeed doing his warm ups this morning on the hope that David Moise might give him a shout.

9:21Let's see. Strip the car. I need it out on the pitch. Yeah. I think Moise might be needed himself for the bench at the end. I think that's a good idea. Yeah, that's probably a little different story. Premier League show tomorrow, by the way. Do join us tomorrow for a live Premier League show. We're going to go through the whole card. Anyway, back to Odinese, a Vanessa 73% of the money on the over under market is on the under in this game. Just thought I'd. That one out there. That is where the money is. And it could. I could see this one. You like one little to be honest with. But in a safe and that's the you can watch this much live on the bet rivers app or what bet rivers.com. And it kicks off in 50 minutes time. But the matches you can watch today, by the way, Salzburg, Rapid, Vienna and the Austrian Bundesliga. Ahus against Mitchell and in the day. It's super again. Three Swiss super league matches, two Greek cup matches, copper to Brazil. And domestically matches in Bosnia, Bulgaria and Slovenia. So yeah, it's the sort of day there's tons of action going around around the globe. So lots of betting interest. Our main focus is going to be on the English championship and a bit of SPL as well.

10:26Four matches in the championship. And for once we can go into detail with them, Jack, it's right. We've got to treat this this show today. We start with Millwall against Rexham, 245 PM East and time kickoff. Rexham, of course, well known. Big stories around them off the field, let alone on the field in recent years. Yeah, ownership and stuff. And Bishops Club, you know, every year you're seeing people now saying, oh, they're a dark horse to maybe make the playoffs and stuff like that. They are the dog here though, Millwall plus 105 plus 215 on the time Rexham plus 200. Generally not an easy place to ever come and it's as simple as that. Take history of this game, Jack, you've got a lot of potential bets and leans that you like here in the Millwall game. How's it going to go? Yeah, this is like Millwall and Bolivia really the two templates for a tough place to go on though for different reasons.

11:27But yeah, there is a lot of like. I'm quite fortunate in the physician, obviously, been handpicked today with the championship. But on is that my team being nourished, have played at least one of the sides in each of the games that are happening tonight. So I've got a little bit of an intel on at least one side of it. And also we've got some, you know, I've seen some others on the TV, of course. Lots of coverage in the UK on the championship, which I get stuck into. But yeah, I think Millwall plus money at home pretty much regardless of opponent is something of a blind play. I was very strong on them last season, put them forward at 20 to 1 to get promoted and they just fell short. And they've started strongly again. And I did watch them absolutely destroy my side a couple of weeks ago. Three Nils could have been five six or even more. They bullied them and I would expect a similar philosophy tonight. Certainly after getting smashed five one by Southampton haven't taken the lead as a very unmill walleye performance. So expect them to bounce back. I said they have had a real strong start to season other than that Southampton game.

12:30And I think Southampton the side that can do that and they will do that. And then they will go over the course of the season a little bit out of the blue. They'll just click and go and smash aside to pieces. And that's what happened. Rexam down in the bottom. Three down in the relegation zone a couple of ties and a defeat there as well. Got beat by Birmingham last Friday at home. And generally speaking, they tend to set up one way at home. And a completely different way when they're on the road. And they're going to put on a bit of a show winner at home to fit in with the narrative that we talked about. FC Hollywood being Rexam with their ownership of course and even the signings that come in. We basically go through that. What have you seen about Rexam? What do you know about Rexam? And we hear the same thing. Or you want to be part of the part of the story. But they're not great on the road. They have struggled and said they've got to have to sluggish start this season. So I think Mill Wall for me. And I think Mill Wall looked to bounce back at home really, really strong and plus money.

13:31That's a that's a lean for me there. And in terms of you've also got some interesting bets here. First half bets first off markets. I love first off markets actually trying to get more into them in the last couple of years. And you are looking into the first half corner market. So the first half agent goal market here. Yeah. Mill Wall is the angle for the corners over two and a half Mill Wall first half corners minus 125. So because through that one. My my thinking behind this is that as I said already that Rexam are a side that kind of feel obliged to go and put on a show and entertain winner at home when away. They'll tend to be a little bit more pragmatic. They look to see a bit deeper and they'll invite teams on a Mill Wall. Are the perfect team for that. They're an aggressive side. They like to get the ball forward quickly. They've got Josh Coburn and say who's a really aggressive throwback sent a forward to like to put himself about they'll get the ball in the air. They'll get crosses into the box and they and they generally win corners.

14:32So I think Mill will especially again after that defeat to Southampton will come out firing come out strong and looked to put a lot of pressure on. And as a result, we as we know both like in the corner market. That is a byproduct. We'll see corners. So you look at the corners so far for Mill Wall this season in three championship games 11 8 and 6. That's an average of 8.3 3 corners 1 per game. And they've had 11 first half corners across that mix as well while Rexam I conceded in six per game. Consider six versus Birmingham three versus what for the nine versus Cardiff. So I think the over two and a half first half corners of Mill Wall here works really well. What is deeply to how the game I expect to pan out and based on the styles of play as well as how I think that both these sides going about the game. You know, you've really that's a tempting bet for some like me who likes corner bets. That is the sort of bet actually you could actually kind of read it wrong but win in one action because you can actually get three corners kind of in succession.

15:37If you know what I mean or at least two in succession. Whereas like you know in the half you might not get that much attack. It's the sort of bet you can just win it by accident sort of thing. But I love the I love the analysis there as well for it Asian total first half then it's set up one for those who want to look at one of betting this market. It's in the Asian total market and you look into Asian first half line of one. Are we going over under? We are going over for me this feels a little bit of a free swing keeping it very brief here for over the six games that these two have played in the championship so far this season. There's been at least one goal in all of them. You look at the Mill Wall started off one one and then the crazy game that they did take the lead in as I said against Southampton. There was three goals in the first half and for XM1 2 and 1 again. So as I said it feels to me like this is a bit of a free swing vibe about it. That say Mill will going to look to come out of the tracks fast look to score early.

16:38Reckselmore looked to hit him on the break and I don't really mind or care who scores this one. But I think they'll be at least one first half goal and strong possibility at a nice price of two or more as well which obviously we need to cash it reminder if there is exactly one then we get a full refund on our stake with that bet. Let's have a player prop for this game and Jack I think you've got a proper or a player prop for all of the championship games today. Which is in the shots on target market and a generous price here on a player for Danny in rate over 0.5 shots on target plus 320 I've got this down. Yeah a player of add on my radar a player I really like plays the right wing back roll right side of the defense Rex and play with the back three which means that they're right and left defense are well pushed up and I've seen him two or three times this season already and the effectively plays as a right wing and right attack midfielder is had a couple of one on ones that I've seen this season already so far.

17:40The only caveat to this is the fact that they've just recited so Cibore as well and there is a chance of rotation in the area but there's also a chance they might see him as a fact that we can actually pushing further for the museum as a actual attacker on that right and side is so comfortable in that position so look for team news on it but ultimately as we know if you go in early get the price at plus 320 and he doesn't start the game then that rivers will void that bet so it's a it's enough into lose really in it so given the games come quick. Thick and fast there is a chance to see if he does start it will probably only play about 65 minutes or so and depending on the game but i'm happy to say that chance at these odds and he's at least one shot and all the championship games three shots on target in his last two championship appearance as well including two against what food and one against West from and one against Birmingham sorry five total shots as well shows you how involved is in those forward areas and I just think that he's a player that is already scored this season. And say certainly can get one shot on target as he has done in his last couple of games so for me at that price i've tracked him and Calendol and I did cash a nice ticket on Calendol to score last Friday and as a result of course that price is now gone so my focus has gone on Danny Emre and hopefully he'll get a start here and we can cash tick on him as well before it's too late.

19:04Both meetings last season resulted in two nil away wins mill or beat rickson the last meeting back in February nine of the last ten had to have meetings have ended under two and a half goals or though a lot of those meetings you have to go back to the previous century. So say what you want I just a stat that kind of thought I'd throw out there because a few someone was mentioning it under in chat think it was a guy called a says he has a feeling this one might go under. Millwall to possibly crank up the defense after losing five one against Southampton what else have we got in here. Millwall at home are different animals just can be cocky he's right about that one so and Louis mit says jacks are budgie yeah jacks are one of them. Jacks are not a shitty fan I mean great win for you guys at the weekend Jack wasn't it but then back down to worth on a on Tuesday night away at stoke yeah I think we are you know it's a tough another tough place to go that was very mild a mile to Tuesday night in stoke yes miles.

20:08Yeah 75% of the ball but the only stat that matters we all know about and then we came on the wrong side of that one so never mind we move. As always another day right there is the next let's move to the next match then qpr against card if city to unbeaten teams face off here in west London qpr the favorite minus money favorites minus 148 type was to 65 card if plus to 65 as well. Um qpr doing well a good start the season it's the sort of club that's always like mid table isn't it really and never does that much these days but is that a lot of optimism around qpr these days minus 148 would you go there for qpr today or not. I had a little piece a better price than that unfortunately the money has come for qpr and you can kind of understand it and I like them to win I do like them to win again card if I did see admittedly it was in the cup against Norwich and it was heavily rotated but the one thing that certainly had a problem with this season no further own I'm assuming is a whole catalog of injuries and they've all seemingly fallen to the same area of the pitch the central defense they've had say virtually every central defender.

21:24In fact when they played Norwich in the cup they only had one well the most senior central central defender available to them was a 15 year old and he played and you guessed that he got an injury as well we got B picked up an injury so they have brought in and Blic since then and lo and behold he got a knock at the weekend so he's a doubt for this game also. So Ocho should should be there but who they'll play if Blic isn't fit I don't know and I think that's where qpr can really exploit Cardiff this turnaround in games I think the the travel for Cardiff to London lots things going against them obviously got promoted last season as well they're done well so far say to get a foothold in the league they're very attack minded side under Brian Barry Murphy as well but I just think that that could well. Lend itself to how qpr player got some fantastic forward talent is qpr and just looking at the potential line up for them today it's a little bit mouthwatering at this level Elias chair still doing business as well.

22:25Smive as well a player I like out on the right hand side Madison in the middle really really good player loves a shot as well. Barrel Kona up top and they've got potential for a rotation around that as well so I really like those those front areas that have recruited well at the back as well the lights are circin coming in there so there's lots to like about qpr a little bit quietly confident on qpr getting a top eight finished at the start of the season they've started in that manner I think they can potentially look to go a little bit higher than that so a big game for them tonight at home get the job done get the win on the board and keep the pressure on the top. You're going to go and be a bit creative here Jack with a couple of SGPs in the match qpr minus 148 you don't want to go there but combine the win together with a couple of other plays you can really do so talk us through these the couple of SGPs you've got.

23:32Yeah, basically which way do you want to go with it I've gone one which is a little bit safer than another but we're a qpr with an over two and a half goals pays plus one one for and I just think that when you look at their performance this season generally speaking his goals at both ends you could even go with the qpr to win on both teams to score but I like the two and a half because it does cover them getting it done in their own right and keeping a clean sheet two one win against black burn we again three one. We again three one win against Portsmouth as well as impressive it was a one one tie with with Millwall in the lead cup other than that you look in the lead game both their lead games sorry both their wins have come by two one and three one score lines and I like that and when you look at Cardiff a two two tie with chef will tonight at the weekend. I beat two one by Norwich in the cup two two tie with Derby and one one time with Rex and to start things off so but goals at both ends there and they won in the lead cup three to as well their friendlies at the start and going into the season all feature goals at both ends as well so yeah I think that this one looks very goal friendly for a side I think you are much struggle when sides come and really look to keep it tight and to keep it negative.

24:48But when they've got sides that come into attack them I think that's when they're going to be able to go into their into their own and and that one looks like being tonight. And the player prop that you've got for this game links him with the with the QPR win as well it's in the shops on target market and what is his now actually forgotten his name I've got a written down somewhere lost it you have to remind me Paul Paul Smith or smaver that actually don't not sure the correct pronounced answer is certain because it's a why rather than I. But yeah, I play it to go with Smith yeah is go with Smith so I was going to put him forward he was a solid price minus one 10 for a shot on target but this is why we do these shows and we're live so we can actually respond to the market moves and the money's come for him and he's gone to a price I wouldn't really want to put forward in his own right but happy again if you want to go something a bit juicier putting him for a shot on target with a coupier. And that brings the price to plus one 63 so yeah again a player that's just super super consistent when you look at his stats across the last six games in the championship he's had at least one shot on target and all of those and when you consider that for those as come as a substitute appearance that shows you that he doesn't need a lot of time to get the job done.

26:14He had his first start of the season in the league anyway at the weekend and scored in that game got a gold against Blackburn played for 64 minutes had his shot on target scored his goal and got hooked off but he's hit some decent numbers at the back end of last season he had two shots on target away it if switch that's no small feat in 44 minutes of action two shots on target in a home game against Swansea in an hour and incredible five shots on target in the home game against Swansea Darby sorry. In 79 minutes five shots on target and didn't manage to score for any of them but just shows you the sort of numbers that he can put up so for me putting through there and that same game parlay with a qbr win and you get in plus one 16. I just going back to the Udenese a Vanessa match the lineups are out a Denise a minus one 15 now there is a bit more rotation with the Denise a then I would have wanted to be honest jacking if we're being honest seeing these teams it's the battle of the beat teams in effect.

27:14I personally think it would in these a second string looks better than Vanessa second string and they probably get them the job done but listen it's a match where I don't think you can ever really stake that highly on because the players involved are not as regular but yeah even they brought the even change the keeper which wasn't forecasted the backup keeper is in there as well. Right to more championship game. Same path of the price. Do you say was that no we still no still the same. Factor minus one 17 now actually so it's just rock rock solid really steady Eddie at the minute will keep you updated on the if there's any big market moves for net see against Udenese but you're sticking with the championship here daily double come by the way first part of it's going to be in this game West Brom against Charlton I find this a fascinating game because a lot of questions I've got asked in the last few days is do we keep paying Charlton. Charlton have started pretty and leave course I took them the week in the press and mostly is a baby pressed and just keep paying against Preston you're in the money aren't you right now.

28:21Yeah, Hussey 70 for Charlton they've gone to West Hamamwood you say they've started the season really really well West Brom minus 180 here tie plus 250 Charlton plus 370 but I'll chart our Charlton actually that good I think that the question is three wins out of three okay well done result matter but if you look at the sort of underlying metrics and stuff the few out there saying oh they've been a bit lucky but that took all city to promotion in this league last season yeah but I mean I'm not I'm going to have only seen certain parts of their games and we just seem sort of well organized and stuff but maybe again a step up in quality here West Brom no doubt about much better squad and stuff and that's why the minus 180 favorites this actually the minus 180 could look big at the end of the night if West Brom show that true quality I don't think I want to oppose this chart on side right now they're jack it's tough to and as you said like that they've obviously got off to brilliant start but also yes underlying numbers and so on so forth yes we do we do like looking at those and then playing as a result sometimes you can get an edge where you might not see it just with normal stats but as you rightly said how were the the outlier last season on the fact that they were a relegation candidate by way of expected goals against expected goal scored they just and over performed

29:46all of that to get to the playoffs sneaking to play also and obviously have now won two out of two in the Premier League and yet to concede a goal so maybe they'll go and do the same thing again who knows it would be a bigger story than lester but possibly not that but yeah as a child and obviously I've dined out on the fact that one of the first the live show on the Saturday we did I put up child and half time in that one those numbers were showing at that point of time that they were actually massively underperforming they should have been in the game should have been in the game should have been in front in the game and they actually turned it around by keeping on doing what they were doing so Simon Holden thank me yesterday for the fact that the winning that game managed me and they brought himself new cardigan he would he went on to say that most of the people that we watch in the show yesterday we're wishing that had hadn't lost all of a sudden and that they didn't have to season your cardigan but there we go we move west from a recite I I wanted to fade at the start of season I thought that the end of last season was a little bit over over estimated in the fact that they kind of played a certain style that was to get them out of trouble they looked like they were going to get relegated for large parts of the season.

30:56Morrison came in and done a good job but he went very direct he went kind of a 4-4-2 formation and it was like well is he going to get away with playing that for out the course of the next season other fans going to be kind of agreeable to that style while you're winning football matches then normally they are agreeable to pretty much whatever you're doing so started off really well and they've got two really exciting players that are playing for them that have caught my eye again first game in the season Norwich bad west from to a certain extent as far as all the stats all the metrics are concerned and west from from smash and grab raid the contentious handball goal that they scored but they also then got another one through Isaac Price and that you you to me Jane Morgan so we scored that goal you and Isaac Price and Jim Jane Morgan of the two players that have really really caught my eye this season so far early stages of the season Isaac Price was good last season they need to add a fallout with the management and the supporters but he's winning them back this season by scoring goals and assisted and it was a toss up for me between which way I'm going to go with this I do fancy west from to win it I wouldn't

32:04better at that price and chal and aren't a side that normally get dumped so I'd be a bit reluctant to get involved at those kind of prices or even play the mind Asian handicapped so on and so forth but I very much like getting on side with either Isaac Price or Jim Jane Morgan and looking at the prices the names as it all I have to go with Isaac Price is the value looks to be completely in him so you can play a couple of ways two or more shots on target plus 220 is quite nice he's had one four two and one this season two goals couple assists as well and say very much like Jimmy Jane Morgan a shot a sorry a goal or an assist in four of five for him but I said the price is reflect that and I don't think it's a lot between the two and price shall be on penalties as well and plus money he's the guy that I want to go with score assist and I say he's done exceptionally well scored a couple also in the game against Newcastle in the cup to show that he can do it against the better opponents as well scored a couple against west from so yeah he's the player for me that I am going to be a side and with in this game and say plus money to score or assist

33:22and that is going to be the first part of the daily double as well Isaac Price to score or assist plus 125 lots of great comments about this game and some well kind of wacky and interesting comments actually about it as well first one's a good one Louis mid here I can see the appeal of Charlton's odds but I feel like the XG over performance will run out here baggies look great home to Burnley and this debate about you know the XG the metrics of what point does it run out and a lot of the time the regression does have a lot of time the regression does happen it goes out to the mean some teams always keep defying us. You know, some of the last season the Prem I'm thinking whole city and the championship last season but yeah often it does sort of even itself out. Ken Peacock says, Charlton my local team they've been on a run since there's a dead body found in the stadium. There was no about that I didn't even know about that at all. I think it was on like Monday or something like that so nothing nothing connect the club when it's nothing to do with us like they didn't lock someone in or anything like that I think it just happened to be there and this our founding on a Monday morning or something like that when they started work so yeah.

34:28Stuart Johnson this one made me laugh charts and I like an elephant up a tree God knows how I got up there to be down. He's going to go and get it down that's the question. It's not easy for absolutely brilliant. We're now here Elijah's in he wants to banker surprise there. Ken's going Charlton plus one and half Asian handicap for a parlay and this one and the Swiss games are attracting people's attention because of the goal potential. Now is an interesting breakdown for the money for this match 88% of the money 90% of the tickets are on child enough let's take. Charlton is where the money and the tickets are after the start of the season 97% of the money on the over as well in this match for West from against Charlton Athletic to 245 PM Eastern time kick up with that one. Yes because the final game we're going to talk about is a 3 PM Eastern time kick off Burnley middle sprig.

35:29This one stood out to me as as a great over potential but here I really like the goals line of over 2.75 but Burnley the favorites plus 155 tie up plus 230 burr at the favorites plus one 28 is that right. Burnley middle's with a favorites here for this one yeah now Burnley you have just witnessed them in action at Kara road and they won out of the game by what 15 minutes was it. And defensive defensively all over the place I mean both teams all their matches so far this season have gone over to enough goals. Yeah so it's my sound a bit of a square play but I was thinking over 2.75 goals here at minus 1.50 just looks like an obvious sort of free hit back because I mean both scoring goals both are conceding goals especially Burnley. Yeah and I really not like what I'm seeing from them defensively so far this season Jack you have got a pick in the in a props market and also a lead towards middle sprig on the money line you like the visitors.

36:35Yeah I do I can't get away from how bad Burnley have looked they've also just sold their best striker yes they've brought in a couple of players on on deadline day. And I thought in one of your former players haven't they. As a winger Ram Ramzani yes yes interesting player who was like 12 months ago or every 16 months ago he was kind of taking a Mickey out Burnley on his socials and now is that Burnley. Well always be aware of the socials there was be where but I think just a very briefly cap it so it's a typical championship slate and you go I like middle sparrer you know I like you be on I like West from. I like Millwall I like that the game that the teams I like to win their games tonight but I can guarantee you you know in the championship as I do there will be a surprise at least one surprise somewhere along the line in those games as to where there is yeah that's a tricky. One so that's why especially because the these teams will play to the weekend they go again quickly now.

37:40The home signs were playing away the way signs were playing at home so there's been a lot of travel a lot of stuff going on there's been a transfer window in the middle of it all as well so it's been a frenzied I think the sides are playing every three days for the next three or four weeks it's a tough time. So I've kind of looked to where I've gone put my strongest plays of 10 real away for the money line but I agree with you I think goals in this one burn these defending at a weekend was absolutely horrific said I was just sold the inflemmin to Ipswich in the Premier League for about 25 million dollars he was their main striker the main goal scorer they had Joshua on scored against Norwich at the weekend he then got set off so he's going to be missing for this one. And said defensively they just looked all over the place set pieces they couldn't defend them Kyle Walker's been playing as a central defender and he looks like he's got a combination of zero levels of interest to be there or he's just forgotten how to play the game. There's a moment when they they conceded and the ball just bounced to it bounce off his knee when he went to control it rolled forward from him and he just looked at it and went oh what am I doing here and by that time it's in the back of the net and he then looked to see we could blame and there wasn't really anyone he could do that.

38:53So he's looking terrible at the moment and as a whole they're looking really terrible under a new manager who's come in i'm going to ride the fade really until he can prove he can turn it round i don't know when it's going to be and this is a really really tough test against middle spourer with a free scoring striker in their side. A striker that everyone talks up at the start of season you know work with a guy who's an Oxford fan and he big team up big style he was their last season will anchor is the player and he's just hit the ground running a big money signing from Tottenham. Could rise to again a similar fee to the Fleming fee so about 25 million dollars or more but what you need when you've got a price tag like that is you want to hit the ground running and he has done six goals in five appearances to start the season two goals against West Brom and see middle spourer a side a design and built under Hueiberg of course to go and attack sides relentlessly if they go one two three no up they'll still want to go and attack and they'll still want to go and score goals.

40:02You know they're scored three in each they'll last two games and Bernice defensive record at this moment in time is horrendous they're down in 23rd in the table having just got relegated from the Premier League we talk about as well getting out of habits and getting used to losing and they've got used to losing in the championship now as well. This isn't the Bernley of the Vincent Company era a couple of seasons ago certainly not the Scott Parker side that just didn't can see goals that had James trapping net and so on. This is a side that's in transition and they look it and they look all over the place as well West Brom put Tehran apart as someone mentioned a few weeks ago middles but have got the momentum and they have got the attack and talent to absolutely go and put burn is the sword here totally agree with you on goals. But I'm going a wheel Lancashire to score or assist a plus 105. Yeah looks generous that on a player in really really good form a wheel Lancashire to score or assist one of the few times I can get behind anything Lancashire related. For those who know where I live will get that joke but yeah go back to Bernley here listen.

41:08I'm a hot zitch they just sign him Jack and he didn't surprise me to hear that he had a shocking debut like this guy wherever he goes I followed him right from his malmo days actually and he was actually good back good back then you ended up with boarder and he's been several club chef United final I think last season but we're all going to be a little bit more. I'm not convinced by him anymore he doesn't have much of a backbone he seems to give up in certain situations yeah I mean I might even have to come out the side he was that bad against Norwich but I mean they just signed him so. I don't want to be necessarily giving it but they just seem like a team that come down this happens with some teams that come down it can take a while to sort of get where you want to be even happen with leads under Daniel Farrell took us about a good two months I think to get to the levels that we kind of wanted to be Nikki Hayens come in look he is kind of highly rated isn't he yeah well it could brooch so maybe you've got to give this guy but a time to turn it around but the moment it's been really really difficult for Bernley and you know I could see for a winning this they just seem in a far better phase.

42:13In terms of everything like that and that's why middle is for have the money 96% the money's on middle is for 97% the tickets on on for sometimes it's as simple as that follow the money follow the form and you're going to get it right so yeah middle is for you lean on the money line and then we'll launch it score or assist but this for me it's my best bet of the day is the over is over 2.75 Asian goals at minus one 15 I think we're going to get probably both teams scoring you know this could be even like a three one sort of win for for middle is. Yeah wouldn't surprise me definitely and I was tempted with Lancashire just a score he tends to score more than a CC I think it's 11 goals and one assist last season but plus money still to get both I like having I said this on another show I like having that extra in your pocket just for a little layoff or a little flick or something like that that if he's in the right place at the right time that you get the you get the assist as well but I'll take a plus money goal score against this side.

43:13It was shipping goals are fun. Bearer of a banter if you are looking for a betting angle check out the top picks news feed in your bet rivers app the better is banter news feed is filled with picks from better rivers network person artists and more handicappers to give you expert insights to have a top picks icon in your better is up to get the latest tips. We've got a bit of a bonus here Scottish Premier League not often we we dull into the SPL on this show but there's a couple of worth three much is actually we're going to highlight through this quickly but Celtic Aberdeen here Celtic I mean they're going to win this league comfortably on it this season it clearly better than anyone else this time around they are about nearly minus 500 I think to beat Aberdeen here minus 480 now so a plus 525 for the tie and Aberdeen and early 10 to 1. I'm not expecting Celtic to get the job done in this instance as a player proper court my eye guys really started hot for them Camillo Durand former carer I play this will score here minus 106 and this guy scores Galazzo's doesn't he scores from distance he's getting any good positions just a player with started hot that I think I could get behind here is is was one of the better looking props of the day you're into the corner market again Jack.

44:33I am loving this corners the best you've got the minute and I said to you are looking at Aberdeen Conace. Yeah I said to you a couple of weeks ago that you've got me back dust and off some old stat books and some methods that I was using and I've honed them a little bit for the new season and they've started very well so I'm going to take a lean on this one because I kind of struggle to get anything on side that I liked in the game I went down the corner I looked at the players as well I think the round was one we put forward one of the last times we were on the show as well and it came off. I think Tierney is doubtful for this one he got injured the weekend didn't he so I think they want to try and get him fit for the weekend same goes for Casper Ho as well so others will be able to step up which suits the Durand shout I like that a lot so yeah for me is Aberdeen to win three more than three and a half corner so four more corners plus 102 and it's just kind of come to me the fact that I'm looking through the stats that Celtic have been dominating these games. Obviously winning in domestically but they have been conceding some some corners in the process only three games obviously a small sample size but when you look at it and they played Dundee at home and won the corner count nine four but obviously Dundee would have cashed this line over three and a half corners there.

45:49Cumanic they won five corners against Celtic and Falcock just missed the line but obviously one of the one of the worst size in the league they still manage three corners at Celtic Park so I think that gives hope for Aberdeen and although they've not been brilliant as far as winning corner battles are concerned in fact they haven't won yet this season when you look at who they've played and the corners have taken it gives us hope that this is a nice little line at plus money hearts on the first game of the season. At home they took four corners in that one considered six Dundee away they took four corners in that one as well considered five and the one that appeals to me ranges we know we've got a little bit of a link between Celtic and ranges to kind of look for that as a form line guide. Well ranges are not an oven a great start to the season but ranges at the weekend there was a six six tie on the corner count so they easily hit this line so they've consistently done at the start of the season. So I'm going to take the fact that they can cause a little bit of pressure on Celtic and have at least four corners.

46:56Talking of ranges they are in action against Falcock and ranges shockingly out of Europe I mean I don't even need to like research about the season I kind of because normally normally I'm kind of clued up reasonably well with Celtic and Rangers because they're in Europe until March often for ranges I can just sort of. Rip up their script that this season I don't need to look into them too much for that minus 180 to beat Falcock away from home. Falcock plus 400 tie up plus 3 10 I once went on a stag do to watch a Falcock match any believe a few years ago when they were in the third tier of Scottish soccer they're now back in the SPL yeah and I've got nothing here but you're in the corners again. Corners Jack at the minute or ten and a half corn line here for the over you like to be a few flag kicks. Yeah I this is one of my first bets of the week actually when the line opened up it was nine and a half corners and I took that at minus 120.

47:57So that's been nibbled out a little bit so I'm happy to go over 10 and a half corners that was where I set my parameters anyway so to get the nine and a half was a bonus to me I'd have played 10 and a half. This plus money plus 110 and I just like look at it again simple factor and I think what I really like about this is that you would expect ranges to go in the price is reflected of that but we've already seen that Falcock went to Celtic and caused some problems and they kept in the game they only lost the game to one which then of course then resulted in in you know Celtic within a few corners and I think ranges might have the same problem going away to Falcock we might see a similar similar theme. Looking only at the Falcock home game so far this season that was against sit mirrored there were 14 corners in that one and there were evenly shared seven seven one of the things I like to do if I'm playing the corner market the match corner market certainly is that both sides can take them and both sides can see them doesn't get better than that seven a piece in that one and when we look at ranges on the road they've had two road games so far this season.

48:57The first one against Dundee United and they won that corner count 10 five 15 corners in total and again at the weekend I've already mentioned it Aberdeen it was a six six tie on the corner counts 12 corners there so both easily clear in that line. Small sample size at this moment in time but if you extrapolate that back over the back end of last season then it all fits into the narrative but I just wanted to focus on this season's numbers and how they fit for us to go over 10 and off corners in full court ranges. Celtic ranges moneyline double pays minus one 13 today and there'll be a lot of people betting on that don't know I don't know if I can trust ranges enough at this point to get involved with that because they just haven't looked at the same thing. Enough to me this season but let's know you're going to play that double on Celtic and ranges moneyline nearly even money on it right one final Espiel game which we're going to discuss this might be the one only time that either team get any.

49:59Any airtime on Bay with the live this year this is done DFC against sent Johnston. Plus one sixty to D sent Johnston plus one fifty five tie plus two twenty five we're not involved we're not bothered about the right to either jack which is a player problem you think is a banging player problem. Is is a better myself again is one of the ones when the lines come out of the start I was all over it and this one really is focused on how good he is at home so is done D player it's joe westerly and I want bother with any of the narrative around the game. But I'm going to focus on him and joe westerly and of course they're two home fixtures so far this season in the league. Dundee to Aberdeen nil he had two shots two on target and scored a goal he also got cardered as well so we love the player that does everything and then Dundee at home to burn you and they lost that one two one two shots one on target and he scored in that one as well. Now we look back over including the back end of last season when he was performing then he's now scored in each of his last three home games he's got an assist in the game prior to that and a goal in the game prior to that so he scored four in four of those five and assisted in the other so the last five home games for him joe westerly in the Scottish Premiership he's either scored or assisted and he's had a shot at least one shot on target in.

51:27And four of those five as well one two one blank and then two so really consistent especially at home and this is a sort of game where you're not going to be expecting them to be be parking the bus because it's a Celtic or ranges or a heart slash season this is going to want to go on and win they've started okay in the season so far. So for me that is my angle of attack here to score assist is plus one sixty and just for a shot on target is minus one twenty five so choose your medicine there but I'll bet both. Joe Wesley to score assist in Dundee against the St. Johnston sounds like a really good player prop there i'm sure you were tempted to put him in the daily double jack I was that's the daily double now to round off the show and it is two player props. That you are combining together it's on the championship so we're let's put this up on the screen now the daily double today is Isaac price. To score assist that's in West from against Chalton and will Lancia score assist and that's in Burnley against middle for a plus three fifty five the getting bigger these daily doubles jack raising the bar mate raising the bar we're been smashed out at a park feeling good feeling confident and this is the championship I can get involved in so yeah.

52:42Plus three fifty five just for the prices were too good on both those players and the yeah there was temptation elsewhere but let's go with the boys. Yeah both either those players Isaac price will like to get score or assist and let's keep this daily double run going jack this really in stuff for the minute Lewis Jones is it for in a row there's been some winners on the tennis live. It's really really hot of the minute on this channel and don't forget all the tennis content as well of course US open back in with the tennis live going to be with us in about 20 minutes time to join the boys for that one we've got a game better match. This is a really big issue of which is after this show all really big stuff here in and pushing me those US open approaching the peak of the tournament but in weekly live PM as well of course 4pm Eastern time with Mike Carver and Doug Kazirian do check those guys out it is an a Z going to kick off as a minus 125 favor by the way Jack in this cup.

53:45I'm going to bet on that so yeah I'm going to bet them not heavy but I think their beat him can get the better of an X is beating but enjoyed that one great breakdowns on the championship may especially really good stuff good look to everyone whatever they are taking today remember a gamble responsibly a baby with you live a ms back tomorrow it's going to be a full breakdown the Premier League card and Nigel week one you will week two and I think Lewis Jones is going to be in the seat tomorrow also a great start a great start with the Premier League picks done's going to be in the chair and he's going to be a breakdown for all 10 Premier League games for around 3 on Friday I'm going to be James Eastern for a live extra time show. So we've got even more you know an extra day to get on those extra time best so thanks everyone who joined live on on demand hit the subscribe button on screen there keep it in the light burn and I will see you soon Jack and I'll take I'll see everyone else on Friday good bye. Thanks for listening to betting weekly live on the bet rivers network.