EPL Matchday 3 Predictions, Odds, Bets: Ipswich-Liverpool, Forest-Spurs, Hull-Villa, Everton-ManU

0:00Hello everybody, this is Mike Francesca. Come be a part of the live broadcast of the Mike Francesca podcast September 3rd back at Bar A, Bar Anticipation in beautiful Lake Cuomo, New Jersey. So down to the Jersey show we go. The mission is free the day of the show. So of course, you're nothing to show up, but you can also secure a VIP ticket, which gets you food, drink, and you know, meet and greet and photos and everything else. You can get the VIP ticket ahead of time at the Bar A website, which is bar A dot com. We also will be giving away VIP tickets. The Mike Francesca newsletter subscribers will have a chance to win VIP tickets. Anyone can have a chance to win. If you aren't a subscriber, go to Mike Francesca podcast.com and sign up for the newsletter right now. That's Mike Francesca podcast.com. Lots of fun things planned, guests, entertainment, prizes, all coming up. Join us Thursday, a sip, 10 but third down in Lake Cuomo at the fame bar A, where I will be returning for a show, a live show, for the first time in a while.

1:00You're listening to Betting Weekly Live on the Bet Rivers Network. Welcome along to Betting Weekly Live. You're with Dan Roboccal, alongside me as you can see, Lewis Jones. This is the Premier League show, all 10 matches covered across match day three. But we also have a daily double for you. We have got some Thursday games. It's a small slate, but we will get it to it at the end of the show. Lewis, how are you? Mad transfer day, really. He's got a bit of a throwback. Really got to ask you about that first and foremost. I mean, this is a betting show. So from the prism of betting, I mean, do these transfers make a big splash in how we approach the next few matches or not? How are you? Yeah, good thanks, Dan. Great to be here. First, my first Premier League show on a Thursday. And this is obviously my area, isn't it, Premier League? I'm really... This is where my punting happens. And I'm across it for my job for Sky. So this is excited to be in. I hope you can find some good angles. Yeah, Deadline Day was busy, wasn't it?

2:01It was absolutely extraordinary, really. You've got to try and, I think, when you're looking at trying to analyse where a team has improved or potentially regressed, you just got to keep the noise to a minimum, I think. I think this whole situation we've ever to do had an absolutely appalling Deadline Day. Their squad still... Their first team is still OK. The squad is quite thin, but their first 11 is still OK. And I think this is the thing that we're going to be talking about during the game later. I think that might have filtered into the markets. The fact they've been a bit of a laughing stock over the past few days. But they've started the season well. I mean, they've done a lot right. It's just the squad that is going to hurt them down the line. But for a one-off game, I think there will be absolutely... They'll be absolutely fine in this game. So you just got to try and analyse where the noise is relevant, I think, and there's quite a lot of it, especially on Deadline Day, where it can become a little bit overhyped at times. Yeah, I completely agree with that. I mean, you can't ignore it, but it's borderline for me. You see market moves off the back of it,

3:02and I don't really agree with it. Welcome in one and all. Leslie's with us talking about Hearts, Double Chance, Byron. Says he's got his ass kicked yesterday. Non-too pleased, don't worry. We'll get it back today. Simon's with us as well. Barrett, as well, best bet for me over in the Arsenal Chelsea game or get to that one, too, shortly. Rick is with us as well. Morning, I'll stay out of the championship yesterday. Might have been true, but made money on the Women's Champions League. Good afternoon, so Villefan, ZT is with us, Tristan, as well, William Jenner, Real Branding, King, North Vancouver, Calc, as well, cast on the Velle's Bocca game. Foyad Gwendezi is with us as well, and Stephen Q7s also. Should be Colson, Carlson, and the Edmund Radarby. Yeah, we might have a brief look at that. Time-dependent Gent to win, says Kaggle. We will get to the games today, right at the end of the show, but this is the Premier League edition coming out on a Thursday. Some decent winners from Betrivers customers over the course of the last 24 hours.

4:04A 5K play on Uden Azi on the Moneyline in the Cop of the Tire was a winner. Bernie Middles were both in the score. Yes, a 4K play, which was a winner, as well. Celtic minus two on the Asian handicap against Aberdeen, also. Oh, no, that was a 3K play. Two copper Italian matches live. If you've got a betrivers account or app, you can watch them to lose leal, which we'll talk about later. That is also screened live as well. Also got Copenhagen against North Shellend and the Superliga in Denmark. Two Swiss Super League matches usually goals in Switzerland, isn't there? We've got Gremio International, Copa de Brazil. Also domestic games in Greece, Israel, Lithuania, and Poland don't forget US Open, Nigel Sean, all of the gang crushing it when it comes to the action. Flushing meadows. It's match day three of the Premier League with Dan Rubberkin, Lewis Jones, 10 out of 20 home wins. So far, Lewis holds success over Manchester United doing a bit of the heavy lifting for the PNL there. Two other profitable trends through two weekends of action,

5:06both of them to score no and betting the favour. It's minor green on those two. Any hot takes from your good self after two rounds of matches? Well, I think we're going to get onto this later in the show, but I do think that we might have a situation here where Brentford might be Arsenal's biggest challenger or four Christmas. So this is that you wanted a hot take and we got to go outland this year, aren't we? So I've got a feeling that maybe in this before Christmas, if Brentford continue to play like they've started the season in terms of their performance level, they might be Arsenal's biggest challenger at Christmas. There we go. Starting to rock. That's the hot take. Well, I scribbled down the title odds, but didn't include Brentford. So I am sorry. They ask seven favourites now, Dan, I think. They ask seven of them at the Nassen Villa and they're, yeah, shorter than maybe not spurs. I'm not sure, but they are a barbastavilla in the market. Exactly. So if you look at their outright prices as well, top four, top six, top five, there has been a lot of support over the past.

6:09Maybe two weeks or so. So price on keep my own. I've not gotten involved yet, but Brentford have started the season very strong and we know European football. They've got the continuity that the other teams have and up there, I think, at the moment. They could get going and maybe post a bit of a hefty points title before Christmas, I think. But that is interesting. Arsenal minus 124 title favourites. Manchester City plus 350. Chelsea are plus 550. Where is the value for Match Day 3? Every single game covered on the show. And we're going to kick off with the Friday night game in the UK 3PM Eastern US. It's Sipswich against Liverpool. Sipswich a plus 460, 418. Now Liverpool minus 205. The tie plus 380. Many betters were always going to pile into the overs with Aurelis Liverpool, both of Liverpool's games have gone over three and a half. A couple of two twos. Both points gained from losing positions. From a Liverpool point of view, for my money,

7:09I'm not going to bet Liverpool at minus $2 away from home at this stage of the season. I probably won't bet them all season long at that sort of price. But they will attract betters. Are they attracting you? What's your thoughts? Sipswich Liverpool, Lewis? Oh, no, not at this price, Dan. No way. This is definitely a swerve of Liverpool at the prices that we've, that we're seeing here. I mean, we just talk about the way they played against Nottingham Forest last weekend. Aurelis still definitely getting his feet under the table in terms of getting his style across. I mean, that performance from Nottingham Forest in terms of expected goals was really, really impressive. I mean, since the start of the 22-23 season at Anfield, so this is 77 games, Forest's total XG of 2.3 was the third highest of any team to have traveled to Anfield in that period. So that's a real big red flag at the moment for Liverpool. And it does, the I test matches up as well. It's definitely a new system they're trying to play, aren't they? Producing a lot of attacking volume, but they'd definitely be in left exposed in transition,

8:09I think, and it's bringing a lot of uncertainty and volatility to their performances. This is why anywhere in the sort of minus 200 in this situation, yes, they're playing a newly promoted team. I think we can leave it alone. Give Liverpool a little bit more time to fix it before we start looking at them as a betting proposition. It's the defence as well, Dan. It's been absolutely horrendous for a while now. They've got one clean sheet in their last 13 matches, and they can see did two or more in seven of those. So I was looking for the market stinking, I think, and I'm going to be really sure here. And back at both teams' score, a really inflated price, but unfortunately not, minus 175 for both teams' score. So the market completely across what Liverpool have offered up in terms of chance, creation. Can we put faith in it, switch on a handicap, plus one? I've got some a little bit uneasy. They've been OK. I watched them against Sunderland in the opening game, very fine margin game, wasn't much in it. Did a lot right, did a lot wrong, and then they just completely and utterly folded.

9:12In the last 30 minutes, old traffic, I think, and you know, 33 shots in that game, which was pretty extraordinary. So still, jury's out a bit for me on Gary O'Neill. Just looking at his record as a manager in the Premier League. 1.77XG per game against. That is from quite a big sample size now that his team's been conceded 15.5 shots per game. And obviously, considered 33 shots last weekend at old traffic as well. So don't want to back Liverpool minus 200. Don't really want to take the both teams' score anything short. The goal line looked high enough to me as well to not to get involved. So on the outright market, it was just a lean really. It switched, plus one on the Asian line around even money. Not really a strong fancy, but I just wanted to try and take Liverpool on somehow. And of course, we're very early in the season still. So we can sort of pick and choose where we play to a certain extent. So yeah, the Asian line for plus one, it switched, was OK, but nothing to get too excited about,

10:12don't think? You have, though, got a player prop that you do like. And this is sort of a two-pronged attack, isn't it? Yes, I'm going to be accused of plagiarism here, because Jack Wright has been all over his angle for very long to switch. So on the same lines as Jack, I did notice this in pre-season for it, switch. And this is Leif Davis, his shot on target price, and also his score or assist price, both of bet rivers, both really inflated. And I'm really looking forward to watching him and hopefully making money out of him over the first 10 games before the market catches up. I was absolutely kicking myself down, not to be on him last weekend at Old Trafford, because I backed him to score or assist, and to have a shot on target in the previous game against Sunderland having watched him in pre-season and show how attack minded he'd been. Completely forgot to sort of look at that angle away at Manu. You know, I did, and he went on and scored an assist. I think it was 9-1. I think you could have got on that. And the shot on target price was probably about plus 500. And I think if you backed him to score first, you're looking about 50-1. You've got there. So a little bit annoyed at myself for not backing at myself.

11:14But yeah, I'm sure Jack has painted the picture of this as well. But this is a system change that is unleashing Davis now from left back into a more advanced role. Dara O'Shea plays on the other side, but he's more of a defensive-minded right back. So he's giving lots of license to Davis to venture forward. He had two shots on target at Old Trafford. And he is a gold threat. I think he's going to come up. We're going to become a really dangerous player for it, which is season. He's got a wonderful left foot. He takes all their set pieces as well. And this is how much I rate him down. I remember backing him to be the top assistor two years ago when it's which were promoted in the preseason markets at 201. He got zero that season. So that was a tough watch. But he's record in the championship for assists as well. I mean, 21 assists in two seasons, averaging about 0.3 per 90. He's got a goal already. An assist is going to come soon. And I'll fit switch, I say. Fancy to score a goal in this game. Good chance he could come down that left hand side where Davis will be up against Fring Pong

12:16who likes to sort of bomb on and leave a bit of space in behind. I think these Leaf Davis prices are still very much on our side in a game where Liverpool are going to be opening transitions. So yeah, really like Leaf Davis in two of those markets to score a assist and also to have a shot on targets. Well, I think they're both bigger than put 550. So 480 for the shot on target. That's still far too big for a player. That's really playing advance at the moment. Yeah, it was a little bit bigger as well. There's lots of you liking that play in chat as well. A friend I think, a friend from Villa fan talking about Brentford, oh, 170 to win the league. Yeah, who else was talking about Brentford as well? Quite a few of you have, oh, yeah. William Jenner took a separate one. Frank Latt was also talking about Brentford here. Mr. Gargoyle. I'm on Brentford preseason top at Christmas, and each way top three, some shroudies amongst us, Villafan yeah, Leaf Davis. We're talking about. Yeah, that is an official play from Lewis in terms of the money. 6961% the money 76% of the tickets on Liverpool. I think Kaggle likes Liverpool to win as well over under market 85% of the money

13:2288% of the tickets on overs as well for that one Let's get to Newcastle Bournemouth which is Saturday morning 730 AM Eastern Newcastle plus 117 Bournemouth plus 210 It's it's an interesting one isn't it this because you know, there was doom and gloom Lewis with new castle and the amount of exits Bruno Tonali Gordon Valtemann has gone. I know he wasn't held in as regard as the other players But there is positivity around yesler seemingly has got the fans on side straight away obviously winning or not losing games as it has been the case already Helps and what do we think though? They are fairly short against Bournemouth. I'll make the prices about right. What's your take? Yeah, I had had had the same sort of feelings really I think it should be a really good game this one actually we got to very front foot Intensity focus managers haven't we this would be quite a fun watch I think Bournemouth just sort of replicating the style of under ERAO that's what they've done by a point in Marco Rosary He's going to be um he's going to go away from home and and press high and play with lots of intensity

14:27So it should lead to Bournemouth being a very fun watch again And I think Newcastle are going to be good to watch as well this season and you mentioned the mood already seriously upbeat in In Newcastle at the moment with the appointment this new manager is really started Fast as in these got he's got his message across really quickly Too really good results drawing at Liverpool and then um obviously beating beating spurs away last last weekend where I thought he set it set up his team brilliantly against the Serbia I mean he's a very inexperienced coach in the Premier League isn't he? I mean he managed what two games at this level, but I think he gave Deserby a bit of a schooling especially in the way that he went direct over over the Tottenham press and got a Langer and Vista right Right in amongst it at times. So really really impressed with what the Newcastle have done early early on in this um season so um It's just born with a given so much respect by the market aren't they? I mean you know I was sort of trying to make a case for Newcastle that the sort of odds against to win this but they're form away from home I've only lost one of the last 11 games on the road under under your I wrote a lot Your I wrote a last season and they were very unlucky at man city not to get anything as well

15:30Well, they just sort of crumbled in the last five minutes So they're going to be it's going to be a good game It's going to be a really closely fought game I'd have thought these two teams be quite close together at the end of the season in the table Um, so maybe the draw is is the play but it wasn't an official pick for me goal scorer wise Quite lights Anthony Langer. Yeah Plus 400 I think plus 300. I say 100. Yeah plus 300 So again a little bit of money for him over the past sort of a few hours or so and yeah He's looked at different player under this manager He's absolutely flying at the moment. He's a real dangerous player when he's in full flow and confident and They're definitely playing to their strengths like not in a forested actually when he had his really good season under Nuno He's all about pace. He's all about getting in behind and when he gets into these positions He's not always the most reliable But when he's in when he's confident and the smiles on his face He can sort of go on. He's a bit a bit of a streak I think so fact he scored in both of these games already in both new castles games And we get in the price around here say plus 300 285 Thought that stood out actually. So yeah, a Langer was the was the lean

16:30In this one in what should be quite a fun game I think then yeah Most of the money's come for overs Most of the money is coming to castle as well I think Newcastle affair at the prices I must have made Kaggle likes to you castle Bournemouth Newcastle win both teams to score overs Is the play baron likes both teams to score overs in this one Effie as well both teams to score over two and a half goals seems very popular amongst The the chat on the channel at the moment Yeah, and you can add over 0.5 goals in the second half says that Effie That's very much a trend. Effie's been following Nice stat on Marcus to veniates got a goal in three of Bournemouth last four Premier League away game. We've put him up for just things like shots on target and awful lot He is a good player that is for sure is going to get an extended running the team because of one or two injuries to the Bournemouth side Let's get to Brentford again Sunderland show where this is 10 a.m. on Saturday now we've talked already about Brentford and the fact that Lewis and a lot in chat

17:32Like Brentford to do really well. I mean, I think I think they've got outside chances for top six For sure But I do think that they are way too short to beat some of what I mean why a Sunderland You know they were around about Plus 320 to win this game last season. They are what plus four 30 now They've been better little bit when I look this morning will plus five 25. I mean just I think Brentford may well win But on the prices I might want to be with Sunderland here But that's not the way that Mr Lewis Jones is going to play No, I this this two sort of Strong views. I've got cut colliding here I'm very very very sweet on Brentford and very negative on Sunderland Could be more negative towards Sunderl later in the season when European football kicks in and they have to manage their squad Accordingly, but I think actually over the first two games the season Brentford of the team that you've impressed me most out of everyone I know that that sounds quite strange considering they they beat top them and then they only drew at leads That first the that first 60 minutes at leads there. I haven't seen the team do that Ellen Road

18:36Since leads were promoted actually which is Triggered me to start thinking do we have to Upgrade Brentford already has their process improved since last season And I think there's evidence there is and just to put some meat on the bones of that first 60 minutes And this is um data that was sourced from what to through my I'm Sky Sports column that in the foot that's 60 minutes Had 15 shots and 31 touches in the leads box and that is the most a team has produced at Ellen Road Since leads were promoted in the first 60 minutes of the match that so that just puts the the I test back to up I thought they were intense. I thought they were First they won all the jewels. They created a lot of moments They got the ball forward quickly and they hit you from different angles. I mean set pieces pace out wide It's a really it's a really exciting start for Brentford fans I would be getting very very excited if I was a fan about what they could do um This season it's just a bit of a shame the market has noticed it too. I mean They have drifted a bit and they said over one six five and I'm minus one six five and I look this morning

19:36So when he's come for Sunderland which is which is something you have to factor in if you're a sweet on the other side of the fence But I'm okay to back this Brentford team um at home at the moment And this Sunderland team away from home Dan the reason they were there this price and I can I'll totally get way think that they could be A bet around this around this Price just because of the way they when they finished last season your opal-e finished etc But it's these wofu underlying metrics away from home especially And their sort of ability to win fine margin games here and there I think that I haven't seen much that's good that's going to change in terms of their their output in the first two games I just think a bit of regressions coming with them over the course of the season If you just look at their xg difference per 90 away from home Since promotion it's minus 0.8 per game and they've conceded 16.5 shots per game away from home And just to put those numbers into context if you're analyzing west ham and walls last season Sunderland's process when it came from away from home was worse than those two teams who suffered relegation

20:37So that's why I'm on them for relegation this year I know they were short short enough in the market considering what they did last year But sort of round of plus 350 I think I took for relegation that European adventure is going to Massively cattell their season I think at some point so Just wanted to find a way to back Brentford really I mean, minus 150 is getting there on the money line to be honest But I'm going to be a bit greedy here and I'm going to go half-time full-time market It's a market I like to play sometimes when I'm looking to sort of inflate the price and Brentford first half Brentford second half so Brentford to win both halves one Yeah plus 1.48 that's even got bigger when I had it this morning. So Yeah, I'm okay to I'm okay to latch on to that sort of drift Because they've really started fast this season. I mean six goals in their three games in the first half one all three of them at half-time I'm just expecting more a very fast very confident start From Brentford and I think the way to get them on side rather than just taking them on the money line is to include them to win the first half as well because I think they're a better team than Sunderland and I just think in in their current mood and the way that the club is and how excited that the fans are

21:41I think it's a great chance to just keep backing them so yet half-time full-time for me for Brentford Plus 1.48 at the moment there has been money for Sunderland. I will be backing Sunderland for the record Plus one which was minus 112. It's probably a little bit shorter now incidentally money line 91% of the tickets have come for Brentford most of the cash has come for overs as well and Tiago has been first goal scoring. It's your Brentford's last two Premier League games against Sunderland. What have we got here? Brentford at home says a real Brent again. Caco likes taking a straight bet on Brentford yet. I mean there I mean what put the only thing that puts me off is the price. There were minus 1.82 when I look this morning the minus 1.50 now If they get a bit bigger I'll change my opinion. It's the price that you know preempts the bet. It's as simple as that I can totally see that down as well actually because I think they went off out minus 110 for this game last season in the home In the home game so yeah It's a big sort of price difference than what you were taking only a few months ago But I'm okay to to make the case already that Brentford have improved since last season. I mean say is it sangari the mid sorry the guy midfield

22:47Yeah sangari. Yeah sangari has made them and even sort of Fierce are opponent in that midfield area. He wins all the jewels. He's perfect for Brentford He could have just improved them by Enough to make them a bet around this around this mark No, I take that I think for me Brentford, you know, there are a real big bet for me at opening weekend because there's a lot of continuity with their line up Same can be said for Sunderland as well. I bet Sunderland last two weekends first weekend I lost second weekend got one money lacking a bit more and I just think there's not that the prices should should be like they were last season That's my son and take on this one. Leslie Mac making a really good point goalkeeper save Sunder and over two and a half But Robin Roofs was fantastic wasn't he last season? There's no doubt about that one Let's move on Brighton leads for us next year just a lean from Lewis in this one a bright and I I mean they are tempting here Just under even money My issue with them cost the last up front. I'm not quite sure about at all Hinshawar I think it's going to be missing again. There's one or two absentees

23:48But they always surprise you know people talk about possession with Brighton I've done for the last couple of years 77% possession against Villa 1 4 0 70% % possession against Chelsea got got beat So you know, what do you do with that? That you can massage it anywhere you want but you've got a lean for us here Difficult game for me. I thought this one. I'll probably end up betting Brighton Maybe both teams to score no. What's your lean? Yeah, if you are going to bet Brighton I would wait for team news and then press conference news to come really because I think there's a lot of doubts is that mentors Adout you mentioned Hinshawar definitely out I think Matoma's still struggling and I'm not sure if Rooter is going to be back out either I think Matt V for the right back as well might be might be a doubt as well So there's quite a lot of the big chunk of their key players all out here So probably have to wait for for team news where you rate whether Brighton are a bet here But My issue with Brighton is that they always seem to just dominate territory Without really being in control of a game I always just feel like there's always a risk with Brighton And they can get caught at any point especially they've lost Van Hacker now I don't know and it's quite a big player to To replace I think and might just take a bit of time for them to get that balance right and

24:51Leeds is such an awful team We're to to bet against I think because you're always just sort of like nicking draws and and It's making life very very difficult They don't really like having the ball But they're very comfortable at letting opponents Sort of have possession and then they can attack the spaces and then hit you from a set piece So It's going to be they're going to make it an ugly game leads. This is what they do away from home Especially since they switched that to the three at the back style I mean They're very comfortable at being in these sort of situations. I think especially in first half So we're not many goals of being scored in their games I mean five of the last six away games for Leeds have been nil nil at halftime That's what I came down on eventually It's just the the price of nil is sort of plus 200 plus 195 I think it is now but around that for for something that's landed in five or last six um for a team against Brighton as well who are Missing quite a few attack-minded players. I think Daniel far could be going there to try and get that nil nil at halftime Keep things very very tight. So yeah, I didn't mind that the first half angle, but

25:53Um, if you're going to probably back bright and I would just wait until we get some more news regarding Selection issues for them. Yeah, fair that um the half space suggesting that he are still out as well. Yeah, he was Good in in starts. Kustalas says barracks impressed Against Chelsea. Yeah, I don't know what to take about out of that Chelsea game At all every same Leeds suffers at Brighton. They do Brighton as one seven which last eight league home matches against leads to nil Most of the money for Brighton 63% of the money for overs 83% of the tickets for overs as well. If anything, I've lean on this for this one. I must have made Um, let's get to full and versus palace here. This is extremely tricky for me Reason being I can't really back full and plus 130 but palace Are a bit of a mess. I mean, when you're just gone. I mean, Saramata didn't go, but you know What's their head space like this is a leave alone for me? Yeah, I'll be exactly the same. I've got no idea about this game from an outright perspective I mean so much volatility from sort of like a prediction and

26:56Analytical point of view with these two teams at the moment so many big changes over the summer with the two Managers. I mean to replace palace have got to find Um That sort of defensive identity that Oliver Glasner installed into them. There's such a good team In both ends of the pitch and it's going to be really difficult for the the new manager to implement that especially losing Laquire at the back is a huge huge miss for them and then full and fans I think they're all really getting frustrated I think with the the two defeats a lot the loss at Sunderland Really tame actually they really are below us coming with this sort of promise of attack minded Attack minded high-press football and they just offered absolutely nothing and I've got my worry about him actually are below a lasting Last in the season just because I just think that inexperience of managing at this level Against some some of the best managers in the world that in-game stuff I just think he's he's gonna be feel like he's in the Tom like a washing machine at times on the on the touch line trying to work out what Other managers are doing they're very experienced. They're going up against and I think that an experience is probably going to cost full

27:59And this season but it's too early to be making any what sweeping statements about where these two teams ahead in very difficult So no bet for me here Dan. Yeah, uh, Baris has full an easy bet a place a championship level At the moment and real Brendan King agree palis is a mystery wasn't meant Matetta soon his own team yet. It's it's an odd one and bet river stats for you money line 63% of the money on full and 69% of the tickets on palace 52% of the money on unders 78% of the tickets are over So you know confused.com all around here want to leave alone want to have a look at maybe the future form If you are looking for a betting angle what you got to do is you want to check out the top picks news feed In your bet rivers app the bet rivers banter news feed is filled with picks from bet rivers network personalities And more handicappers to give you expert insights tap the topics icon in your bet rivers app to get the latest tips and all of the Banta guys have been flying with very good selections over the course of the last four nights since the Premier League kicked off

29:05Let's continue with some Saturday game shall we we have got Manchester City against Coventry that we can take a look at next Short his price favorite on the slate no real surprise here the Asian line is minus two and a quarter Last I looked and it's one I don't really mind Marrestka usually I'd say more controlled and Than excitement but with the signings that have come in and the fact that you know after a Sloggy start against Bournemouth who a lot better against palis I think they might try and let loose here It's probably one I'm going to set out myself, but I wouldn't bet I won't blame anyone For getting with city this could easily be another sort of full one or something Lewis what you got Yeah, I hate these games from a betting point of view really where we've got a really short price favor I've just got such a terrible record at sort of calling whether they can like cover handicaps or the overunders I just normally stay clear of automatic fade for me in terms of the outright when there is Teen really short unless I've got some information which isn't in the market

30:07It's very difficult to do that this sort of level in the Premier League So I'd only stay clear of these sort of situations Just want to a bit of a watching brief in man city isn't it? I think we just need to see how well they function as a team How This rebuild is going to go I think they're just a team just to keep a keep an eye on That made some exciting signings in central midfield. I mean Anderson and Fernandez and who are they they're going to be going to be really strong in there if that will click so Might be a team to to look out for in the Champions League I think or the all the FA Cup down the line obviously I'm backable in the Premier League at the moment with this Even in the outright with the sort of potential with these points Issues deductions and stuff still hanging over their head with the alleged charges so Stain clearly outright, but again, it's going to be a bit of a staple bet for me this I think this season when the price is right any some Brand jerky to to get an assist plus 110 with bet rivers That's definitely going to have a chance I think every week he plays in this sort of in this sort of spot when they're when they're really short to win He's averaging 0.45 assists per 90 since joining man city that's a better ratio than Bruno Fernandez

31:11That just tells you what sort of level he's operating out in terms of his Chance creation and he's just well clear He's top of the shop in terms of that that figure of players that played over a thousand minutes in that time So he is a player that you just have to look at he was absolutely Sinterlain at sell at sell as park as well really looked on top of his game And he he's definitely a player to back at the moment when the price is the right and I just made him Anything above even money really for him to get an assist in a game where man city are expected to score three goals, aren't they? Mm-hmm. You'd have thought that jerky's going to be to the fore throughout this game I mean commentary gonna sit there and hope to Nick someone on the counter attack He's gonna get a lot of the ball. He's gonna be trying to work those little balls through to Harland Yeah, anything above even money. I think for jerky to get over 0.5 assists is definitely a bit at the moment Yeah, been back as well because when Lewis pushed his picks to me earlier today was Yeah, there has been some good good cash Karras says Harland to score He's still better. Well, I think at the minute. I mean it in a game like this will be ridiculously sure What else we got? Man City team total overs ladder says be Vegas triple seven. Don't mind that one. If he likes

32:16Man City team total over two and a half as well. I mean when he when it comes to the overs They're gonna be doing all the heavy lifting You may as well go team total rather than just the the normal overs line barracks lights your stats What else we got villa fan man say to win to nil evens ish if country down on a shantar getting star stole come score against Home to hole that's got to be a play don't mind that one. Yeah, if you can find even somewhere Barnes has probably sure he scored twice last week He's gonna score more this season some menu assist a plus 150 better for me started a bit quick Had a quiet world cup beneath a menu for me money line or the cash for city The overs the traditional overline is three and a half or not the Asian line is three and a half But still 65% of the money and 71% the tickets on over city. This is a good stat as well When each of those 15 Premier League home games against the promoted side they're very short But you know same going parlay's and so on we know which where you're gonna go Let's get to notting on forest against Tottenham Shall we forest? Oh, let's have a look here plus 155

33:21Tottenham plus 185 ties been nibble that plus 225 here Um my model makes spurs favorites for this one not fine much but it does Um, I will be better than I got a friend of mine to lay me plus 225 earlier today I don't you didn't see that worried when I asked him for the pricey lady anyway, but they aren't sure here I wasn't impressed with forest don't get me wrong Um, I don't think spurs were two goals worse than your castle They still are a bit of a basket case, but at home we know how bad they were You know, it's pretty much as they moved into the Tottenham hot spurs stage in this is three at the back versus three at the back Um, I just think on the prices Spurs for me, but I know you're gonna go the other way and you've got a nice player prop to sort of mash it up for a nice Same game parlay for us. Yeah, it must be so stressful being a spurs fan It sounds like your mates heads all over the place land you land you that price so you take it I think you're taking a bit of advantage there on your down and um what's going on? I mean, it's so Just yeah, I I would they're just a An absolutely Really difficult

34:22Um, team to call at the moment. I mean the fan base must be split between thinking do we give the deserving time and how can this be that bad After spending so much money in the summer So they're really difficult team to call at the moment. I'm still quite involved with them having quite a good season under Deserb, but they can have to show some signs of improvement pretty quick to make them anywhere near a betting proposition I mean, I was actually quite sweet on the last week against um new castle and I was again there was improvement there But very disappointed with what they what they showed really didn't really when they failed the goal behind There was no way they were coming back in and that's the problem. There's still being weighed down. I think by this But just a a knack of losing matches and being in the spotlight every week and nothing they just even They've got a lot of new players. I think they're really struggling to deal with the the what's happened to the club over the past two Season so I just think not enough for us to probably further ahead in their rebuild at the moment under glaz And then we finally saw some signs of life for them at livapal more there's definitely their their implementing his style of play now They're they're very good last week

35:22Um very organized without the ball, but then also getting the ball forward to play that sort of front five in a way when they get the windbacks forwards Very difficult to to play against so yeah, I'm okay with them here against buzz I think he's going to get the best out of and doy and and gives white glaz And I'm always that does that with essential sort of forwards I think they're going to score a lot of goals this season those two and doy and um more than gives white weather Forrest are a bet. I mean, I know bet minus one three four not too bad But could you speak that there's a little nagging doubt in my head about spurs that could turn it on at any point If everyone then everything gets going. I mean towards the end of the season. Those seven games They're expected goals against figure was the best in the league under deserving that they I think that was that was needs that was needs must I think wasn't it? Yeah That's not the way he sets up usually Maybe has to go back to that sometimes just to get some results on the ball Yeah, I agree They were very hard to beat actually and they did play under enormous pressure in the running and came through it So that's surprised with they haven't really built on that especially with the signings that have come in But again, this project is going to take time under the zirby. I think he gets it right

36:25How do I get forrest on side? I want to back the double chance with Gibbs White over 0.5 shots on target I think that was just around sort of minus one 12 there we go. Yeah, that's not too bad actually. I don't mind that because He is their main man Gibbs White in this system. He's going to get a lot of the ball under in in glasner in transition He really wants his Attack minding players to to be direct and get shots away and not muck around with the ball He's averaging 1.05 shots on target per 90 gives white since the last start of last season And for what it's worth if you're into your historical sort of trends and things He's had a shot on target in his last four starts against spurs And I think there's a bit of history there actually down isn't there because oh he's struck You can't be linked with him. He was on the verge of signing for him So a little bit of extra motivation in his game might be getting a bit of a Coppano A bit of abuse from the away end so Always like to sort of factor that into a shot on target price because he might be more willing to take a pop from range etc So yeah, the double chance forrest and Morgan gives White shot on target was the way in there But it just would not surprise me if spurs just all of a sudden turn it on at some point because

37:28Serby's just an elite coach and he's got some amazing players there to work with Yeah, I agree with that and I think it might I will be betting spurs Well, I have already but I'll be better than a bit more serious on an Asian line as well Byron's pulling me up so many you did get insist Last time out sorry, Byron, you're absolutely right Just to circle back to that one. What else we got for this game Um Chippy chips saying deserve to be over under sack before Christmas You surely they can't get rid of another coach how many do they have last season five is it something ridiculous The half space likes dan and doyshot on target around about even money Effie saying forrest team total over one and a half Best best spurs are a Swiss cheese at the moment um top mother pay for the plays they got doesn't everyone at the moment What else do we got here do we start taking bets on next manager to be sacked in if topman lose this one This is the sharks fan. Yeah, it's They've got to stick with him. I think he says but if they get beat again and don't score

38:29Who knows in terms of where the money's going for this one 56% the the money on forest so fairly even split there 89% the tickets on spurs Myself a Nigel talks about spurs generally faded by the the syndicates be interesting to see what happens with market moves between now and kick off and 69% the money 74% the tickets on overs for This one sharks fan saying that video gives why announcing new contract look like a hostage negotiation video He did didn't really marry at marry that kids was there. Yeah, it was a bit of an odd one Let's move on whole versus Asden villa we get to Next hole are Last time I looked was three times only a few hours ago, but sometimes the market seems to be quite lively on a Thursday They've drifted a little bit. They're now minus 113. I mean, hull have been what eight to one to beat united There were And plus 350 to win a coventry they won them both But the the traders the odd to compile this is still throwing shade at whole how many should we not be betting them here

39:33They've won both you know, we're not betting them here Lewis come on get with hot villa off the back of you know A little bit of objure at play against Arsenal surely aren't back yet or are they doesn't matter if asked to villa or back on Or they're playing hole here and we have to be back here. That's what united set. I know I know I know I know and we're gonna get stung again Probably but I've been on this whole taking hole on train for about a year and probably over a year now and and have been burnt a lot of time I've got any money left if you're taking my exactly, but it is just yeah I mean the fact that one they're opening two games and yet to concede is absolutely Well, it's quite hilarious really that's it's only the fourth time in Premier League history of promoted team has won They're opening two Premier League games. So an amazing feat and it's just similar vibes to last season really where they just Bro against the expected data expected goals data so heavily Um, they were the third worst team on expected points in the championship didn't matter got promoted Yeah They make my brain hurt but I'm not learning my lesson Dan because I'm living and dying by the data And if they keep offering these sorts of numbers on hole against a team like aston Villa yeah around even money

40:39much changed aston Villa team minus yes minus 110 yeah, I this is I mean I It's early in the season and I don't want to go overboard But I'm really tempted to really have a good swing aston Villa here on the on the on the money line And also we'll get on to in a minute the Asian handicap line So I think that's I think that might be the way in actually taking the the um the minus one But yeah, for me, it's just I know Villa haven't had any shots on target So far this is sell it sell it sell it sell this back absolutely no panic from me regarding aston Villa because This is uniamary and he's going to get aston Villa going Pretty sharpish I think because September is the time to back uniamary's team in the Premier League His record in a Premier League in September and again, this is data supplied from opter from my Sky Sports account article Play dating 116 lost one in September Uniamary as a Premier League manager So this is his time of the season and I thought they were quite good signs against aston Actually, Dan. I thought they weren't perfect by far, but I thought they looked organized quite composed

41:43They got lots of quality and talent across across the pitch still and There's also there's more to more reasons that I really like this price uniamary never lost the game with Villa against the promoted team 115 drawn six and the last nine Games away from home against a newly promoted team. They've scored 23 goals. So over two per game so Lots and lots of reasons to think this aston Villa price is Too big to say no to against this whole team who surely are going to have a bit of regression at some point I'm going to be even braver than the money line here. I'm going to put them up Aston Villa minus one agent handicap plus one six three I like that start about their average in two goals per game against newly promoted teams away from home And with the push to come back if they win win the game by one. I think that's I think that's the way that's what the historical data showing me Um, I like who I like who I mean that's another statement of the century I think he's the best pound for pound manager in the league. He's record in September is absolutely fantastic and whole They can't keep doing it. They can't keep growing against this data

42:44And it's it's going to come to bite at some point. They're then brilliantly organized But they have such little quality going forward a team is going to find a way to get through them and aston Villa surely They're going to be this team this weekend Yeah, what's the definition of madness Knees pick the other fan we scored most goals outside the box last season when do you sit the bar against Arsenal? At Wendy a 10 to 1 to score from outside the box very nice Ff he likes villa on the money line baron talking about undersharkson say they're going to get more by the tigers The whole honeymoon comes to an end well said says be vague is 777 cago whole city double chance can't trust the current villa I'm with you cago for that one Sharkson's villa fans going to be on live support if if they lose to whole Potentially baron says villa will be bang average until man's ambie gets gets Into the middle mr gargle whole makes me wants to want to understand actually better exceeding your xg Would imply you're more effective than other teams play shooting very effective. That's very true

43:48They are a very effective team. Yeah, they are ruthless, but you know generally regression will happen Sometimes it takes more than a season To happen this is not thing, you know But yeah, be interesting really interesting betting heat of this this one I will end up betting whole half a goal handicap I think Lewis is very much on the other side of that most of the oh here we go money lines Is this a tie potroy money line 74% of the money on all 82% of the tickets on villa And here we go again real discrepancies real sort of oddities about this game 73% of the money on unders 78% of the tickets on over so the smart cash the heavy hitters the loose Jones of this world are on the unders The wreck the mugs Insert your favorite better was hand the capters name are on the office Everton versus Manchester United next up everton big losers On deadline day according to social media, but there's loose point out right at the top of the show

44:52I'm with him. I mean, you know if you're crying over and jai good player as he is Then I'm not quite so sure. I don't think he's a world beat from must have met and they've still got a fairly okay 11 I think here United didn't do anything. I don't think certainly in woods getting players in I'm tempted with everton if this was a goodest in park I would be all over everton at plus 235 or you know, you know, half a goal Whatever, but hill Dickinson they've still not sell this mark this will be a better season for them there I think I am tempted everton. I will not be betting united that type of price Lewis. What do you think? Yeah, it's been a lot of noise. Doesn't there about everton In this this week of deadline day lots of anger from the fan base. Obviously been a bit of a laughing stock But I think that might have actually filtered into the market here Which I think is wrong because Manchester United have been popular I'm not really sure why Manchester United should be this strong in in the market Um because on the pitch. I think Everton. I've got a weaker squad now without doubt But starting 11 I think it's stronger than the market's probably assuming here

45:55I think I think this is the I think it has moved away from Everton because of what's gone on off the pitch and the fan anger isn't directed towards those on the pitch He's very much an off the field problem and I just think this might be the Perfect fixture for the Manchester United at home. Yeah always Proper siege mentality sort of the classic David Moise fixture where you know The fans are just going to be on board with his pragmatic approach where they sit and they wait and they make a game Horrible then they hit on the counter attack and then Manchester United are the are a very good team when they're allowed to counter attack when they're not allowed to counter attack I think they can be quite stale and Still have problems breaking down a low block So think the market's overreacted to this it result versus it to which as it always does with Manchester United Probably drawing conclusions too early about the the real level of this team I think there's a very tight game until that ridiculous Maguire handball decision Which took the game in their favor and then yeah once the game opened up This is what they like to do But this is going to be completely different this game everton are going to make this very hard They're going to reduce restrict the space and they'll they'll counter when they can and do is rehaul is a player

46:56I really like he's starting the season incredibly well he'll be knocking on the England or I think if he continues to play Like this Tyrick George has looked good greedy. She's back for Everton Hayden Hackney settled in well. I you're that first 11 are all right for Everton And I just thought I mean around a sort of double chance for Everton here I'm not sure what price it is now, but we're looking at sort of yeah minus 140 fair I mean that's it's you really want to Take on this Manchester United move. I mean it might even move more before kickoff But I think it's if it's based on the Everton Situation what's happened on deadline day than that's completely wrong and it might have something to do with that So definitely okay. We're back in Everton double chance I think they got enough to at least get a result against many United yeah, don't mind that At all united a way last season Between minus 120 and plus 120 play six one one drawn for lost one So not to be trusted at these sort of prices. They're only win was it Everton, but you know We'll we'll forget we'll forget the narrative you don't need to mention we'll conveniently forget about that one

47:56Kaggle say neverton against tonight both teams score over overs Troy saying it wasn't the type of about the whole but I get little this is Thursday So this is early money obviously when we get to the weekend There'll be a more Villar be one minus 150 Exactly Well, we've got f.e. says usually one nil two nil affair Unders and or everton plus half a goal minus one 34 For Byron under three. Yeah, don't mind unders talk about those six games for all the six I think we're unders have to triple check that one Most of the tickets on united 73% the money 80% the tickets on Manchester United 90% of the money on unders 81% of the tickets and overs it's nice getting the early money news Because you know you speak to will white either get on early get on late Sometimes by the time that the game comes around there's more wreck money than anything else and overs is always over bet We know that likewise favorites as well. So it's interesting to get some early market movements when it comes to some of the games

48:57Big game of the weekend. Of course is Arsenal versus Chelsea. This is Sunday 11 30 Eastern for 30 local Arsenal are minus 148. They've been bet a little bit Chelsea plus 420 tie Plus 280 here Arsenal were only bigger at home in the Premier League last season once That was against man city when they were around about plus 110 That was a draw, but they were so good at home winning 15 and 19 I don't mind them at that sort of price. I know that we always look for things around evens We looked to get an agent line, you know, you might go minus a quarter here But I think if you just want a money line play this weekend I like Arsenal here at minus 143. I know that Javi Longzo has made Chelsea fun Potentially but defensively even with Emmy Martinez coming in. I'm not quite so sure at all Yes, the three attackers are brilliant But Arsenal are very good from a defensive standpoint. Consus going to make his full debut. I think here I mean, I'll be betting Arsenal this weekend. Luis, what do you think you have gotten official playing this one?

50:01Yeah, I'll be rowing in behind you down. I like them as well here I've done in the markets given them enough respect here And I think they might be jumping on this Chelsea bandwagon a bit too early As you said, they've been quite fun But are they a serious team yet? Not for me. No chance not a not what we've seen over the first first two games. Definitely. I haven't got any balance The way they play and Arsenal at home. You know what they're going to do here They're just going to look to control everything defend with ultra organization Take the moments when they come and they'll be confident of stopping this Chelsea front three Think if you stop the front three. I think Arsenal just win this game. I think I know it's easier said than done But this Arsenal defense are Absolutely elite and they will score in this game Arsenal will score against this Chelsea defense. I'm absolutely positive that's going to happen One clean sheet in the last six in the last 18 Premier League games now for Chelsea across the seasons And that's I don't haven't seen anything to suggest that's going to change under Javier Lonzo at the moment. Yes, the goalkeeper is an upgrade But we need to look at the process as a whole and they're still I mean against Brian Brighton really could have kind of knicks I'm out out of that game and just in that 18 game run where Chelsea have kept one clean sheet

51:04Arsenal have kept 10 So this is the the sort of levels we're talking about here and they're home formed and defensively Just makes me so there's such a reliable outfit. I love that word reliability and betting and I think we can get I think this price is is borderline backable here for Arsenal. I've kept 11 clean sheets the last 14 home games Consider three goals in the last 13 home games So I don't think we need to have a complicated complicate things here It's always a staple bet. I like to go to when I fancy Arsenal at home Arsenal to win under 3.5 goals. It's landed in 10 of their last 14 Premier League home games in this um plus money here Plus 110. I had it this morning. So I mean that's I think that's the way into to to get an Arsenal on side here because This is this they don't get involved with basketball games that they Arsenal. They don't make them open They don't make them crazy. It's going to be very cautious. It's going to be very cagey It's how they win games at home. I think they're just going to shut down this Chelsea attack and then just grind the win out like what they normally do Um This is it I'm tempted as well to go under three Asian goals here if it moves a bit more

52:07It's because I think the wreck money you mentioned earlier I think it's going to come for goals in this game just on what Chelsea's done so far And I would be sort of rowing against that if they're I'm not sure the Asian line at the moment is It's not where I want it. I mean at the age under three Asian is my I'll go back it minus 150 If it got there and I think it might do so I'm going to be keeping an eye on that because I think the chance of four goals in this game The way that Arsenal defend and the way they go about their business is is really really slim Even though Chelsea have got really great attacking players But I think it's the the defensive side of Arsenal outweighs the Chelsea attack here And I think we got to get Arsenal on side Just a reminder of the head to head recently as well For this one Arsenal As you can see last five matches three wins two ties. I mean they won Two one last season Kassero got sent off Kassero's a bit of a dad and he came on and then came off again Last weekend 10 goals to three as well. I mean smart plays from Lewis I mean Arsenal minus one. I looked at as well plus one 20 Arsenal to nil plus 180. There's always that and Because of of the Palmer and Morgan and

53:12Who's the other one? JAPEDRO ROGERS. You know because they've started so well, you know better as eyes are drawn Drawing towards those those Chelsea stats, but Arsenal control games here, you know I mean Just the way they do and I know it's a little bit different with conser and Ben White But it's still kind of for your it's still got really still doubt it's still to have it rye That's charx fun has pointed out shame Chelsea. Let's say and she has goals going to give David rye run for the golden glove Chelsea will manage to penetrate that Arsenal organized offense says cago I don't think Chelsea's far past should be underestimated even against us at the embers They score at least well that I mean this is the battle isn't it really Lewis If you're betting Arsenal here, you can go on this if you do like Chelsea You're playing Chelsea in both teams to score. Yes, and you're taken literally with those first two games I mean people talked about that possession stat as well. I've been banging on about this for the last couple of years Shea Bieloso didn't play like that at by levy coos and they were a team that had more of the ball when he won And that invincible season in the Bundesliga and won the cup as well a few years ago

54:16So whether he's cutting his cloth accordingly Whether he's just doing it for the first few games I mean, it's going to be interesting to see his approach I think Lewis is now a weekend Yeah, it's it's too early to make any sweeping statements about Chelsea Yes, they've been exciting and I mean Palmer has looked at different player and the link up between rogers and Ciao Pedro is exciting, but this you've not been doing it against his Arsenal out of possession They are the best team in Europe out of possession. They're going to close the spaces They're going to make sure they they have a plan to stop those three They're probably going to push everything wide to the fullbacks that Haven't don't carry the same sort of quality. So I just think Arsenal are going to control this game They're going to take it down the route where they want it to go because this is what they do This is why they're so there's such an elite team Remember this is a team that won the Premier League nearly won the Champions League They know how to navigate top class attacks and Chelsea do have a top class attack But I think the Arsenal defensive process has been a little bit disrespected by the market So this is definitely where I'll be playing on Sunday should be a really informative game now I think because if Chelsea do compete with Arsenal and they do create problems then we have to start taking a bit more seriously

55:18So always it's always a watching brief with these early season games and I am on Chelsea to to finish the best of the rest behind Arsenal so it wouldn't be a bad person if they do turn it on I just think I'm never never comfortable taking on Arsenal in these sorts spots against a team who have still got it to prove Master three picks and analysis in the books Let us know who you're betting in chat and the comments section below when it comes to the Premier League Thursday live games don't despair daily double fans It's coming your way Lewis Jones has been in unbelievable for was it four on the spin? Are you on four on the spin four on the spin yet, but it's a yeah small slate today So I'm already getting the excuses out We've got five from five. Yeah, look there are two games in in the big leagues Sorry SPL just quickly on to lose it against Oh, we've got let's do real sausage that's how to be good first. We've got the prices on and it's the daily double From Lewis. So we'll get straight to this one I think real sausage that are a better minus one 20 what what's the daily double Lewis the daily double is the same game

56:20Parley on long nose lines as well. So she had a double chance and under 2.5 goals Right on even money. So it's just about big enough then we can definitely scrape that through as a daily double Yeah, I want to take on this set of ego team At the moment, maybe putting up relegation numbers over the past sort of 13 games or so across the two seasons XG difference per game is not a minus 0.9 that's relegation form Across quite a big sample size now. I know we're very comfortably dispatched by athletic club over the weekend too. Niel win for them Athletic club won the XG battle by 1.4 shot count 17 eight And I think the selves are not having their sort of focal point in attack in glaciers is it for genetic glaciers Is becoming an issue for them. They're really struggling to score goals trying to find Sort of formula that works chopping and changing don't like that when I'm looking at um Trying to rate a team. So Yeah, that the market at the market likes so she'd add goals because they haven't had a clean sheet in 12 but Both teams of scores is obviously we're going to be very popular

57:22But I just smell there might be a bit of a trend in to here with the no clean sheet for so she'd add with this Seltaviga attack offering very little so I think there could be a clean sheet coming here for for so she'd add and That just makes you want to put the under 2.5 goal line, which is actually near He's about minus one 15 maybe one minus one ten as a single So I thought that was quite big and just adding so she'd add into the mix gets it up to the backable line that we need So yeah, I really wanted to oppose goals just based on celtaviga and how poor they've been now over quite a big sample size Yeah, I like that. I looked at celtaviga Expectee goals total That they've produced over three games 1.4 lowest and then legal by about half a goal They have been shocking completely agree. I'll be betting real sausage dad in this one as well the daily double real sausage that or tie under 2.5 goals Plus 100 got 1 0 2 0 we got 1 1 we got nil we got plenty running for us tonight for Lewis to cash another daily double Most of the money is come on larial 64% of the money is come on under 71% of the tickets on overs

58:24Effie likes the overs over 2.5 so see that big game for celtar he Suggest quick word on to lose against liel anyone who's watching me on the extra time show over the last few years to lose XG under performers And how over the course of the last few years that their XG has been wild and the goals that they have scored You know, it's like brightened on the potter a few years ago I really want to bet them up plus 2.75 against a leel side that have lost Bawardi They've lost a Fernandez Pardo as well hasn't played this season. So I will probably play To lose with a goal start I think for the early French game against leel who have got their champions league game next choose you as well It's one of the reasons that this game has been just switched to a Thursday and as the hour Strikes as a brucey bonus in the Edinburgh Derby Lewis Jones It's got a goal scored a pick Yeah, just quick one run out of time a bit aren't we but um

59:25Yeah, Martin Boyle for hybs plus 240 for he looked to price to consider really I'm not really one for historical heads ahead to head stand put into when you're looking to to sort of build a case But I'm okay with it when there's a derby match So I think you get a real flavor of the sort of the unique situation of the fixture and some players Just I've got that extra motivation and boyle is there's been with hybs for many many years now And he's got five goals in 15 Edinburgh Derby's There's average 0.27 x jipper game in the last six games against hearts scored twice in that run at 4 240 plus 240 for a player of his sort of historical Ability in this game was a bit too big. So just keeping on the on Martin Boyle to score any time Don't mind that don't mind those historical stats in Derby games at all Yeah, the to lose manager Jens Asquoo did brilliantly at mother well good shout from steven qs there As well half space as pelagridium mattress our home records and it's taking over So we're also see that one seven drone five lost two two losses one draw came across Kabadale Ray already qualified for Europe nice stats there keep the stats and the chat coming in that is your lot from myself

1:00:28And lose on the premier league show daily double Larry Al double chance plus under two and a half goals round about even money for that one That's your lot today steves in the chair tomorrow for extra time looking ahead to all of the big games in Europe Good luck with your best today for myself and Luis though. It's goodbye Thanks for listening to bedding weekly live on the bed rivers network