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Erick Erickson opens Open Line Friday with the Democratic pivot nobody expected: Lindsay James running ads on girls sports in Iowa's second district, James Talarico backing off in Texas, and Democrats all over the map fleeing open borders and defund the police with forty days left before the midterms. Then a caller on the Lindsay Clancy mistrial sets Erick off, and he makes the case that the lone Haitian American juror who refused to be browbeaten is the hero of the whole story. Plus the real driver behind gas prices at the pump, why Ken Paxton still has a path in Texas while Republicans quietly pull money out of Georgia, and Erick's Sunday debut on ABC's This Week with Donna Brazile and Frank Luntz.
- The Democratic pivot on 80/20 issues: Lindsay James in Iowa, James Talarico in Texas, and the sleight of hand hiding inside "boys should not be in girls sports"
- Why the polling may be wrong again: the "who do you think will win" metric, Sean Trende, and the 2014 Pat Roberts lesson in Kansas
- The Lindsay Clancy mistrial: juror anonymity, the harassment of the lone holdout, and jurors who wanted to send a message about postpartum instead of reaching a verdict
- Diesel, not crude, is driving gas prices: the Strait of Hormuz, Saudi supply, Brent at 103, and the coming hit to groceries and Northeast heating oil
- Ken Paxton versus James Talarico in Texas, Mike Collins versus Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and where the national money is quietly going
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The Erick Erickson Show — S15 EP168: Hour 1 - The Trans Vibe Shift. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
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Learn more at Kia.com or visit your Southern California Kia dealer. This Monday.com ad was created by a team of people and AI agents. Reese, our content agent, wrote the copy based on our best practices, like mentioning Monday.com three times. That was the second. Johnny, our coordination agent, built the timeline, and kept everyone aligned. Olivia, our human creative director, stayed in the loop because agents are great, but they don't always know when a joke lands. She had one note, tell listeners it only takes minutes to build an agent. So minutes, create your own AI agent today on Monday.com. I'm Kiana, and I leveled up my business with Shopify. Once I figured out that Shopify was a thing, I never turned back. I can create a site with my eyes closed. Shopify thinks ahead of us, you know, and it thinks about the customer more than anything. Every day I'm thinking about some other new business, but Shopify is doing it to me because it's so easy to use. It's like I can't stop on my dick did.
Start your free trial at Shopify.com. Every afternoon, there are four things you need to know about. They tend to happen after about three PM Eastern. And before you get home, you might as well learn about them before you're on the evening news. That's my job. I'm Eric Erickson, tune in wherever your podcast are available on YouTube, Spotify, Apple, whatever. You'll get the four things to know in the afternoon. Search Eric Erickson or go to EricEerickson.com forward slash four things to know for the links. Be more informed than your family and friends. Welcome to the Eric Erickson Show podcast, our one. Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, it's an open line Friday. Welcome, it's Eric Erickson here, 8797, 737, 745. If you want to be on the program, very happy to have you. I hope you're ready for your weekend. I am by the way, I have an important programming note that I got to do out of the gate for everybody to know.
If you tune in to this week with George Stephanopoulos on Sunday morning, I will be on the round table. I'm flying to DC tomorrow night. They called and asked if I wanted to come talk about my Nazi piece that I wrote and I was like, absolutely, among other things, it's going to be Donna Brazil, who's a long time friend Frank Lutz and me on the panel. I think it's Stephanopoulos. I don't know that it might be Jonathan Carl, but I think it's supposed to be Stephanopoulos. Well, we'll see nonetheless sometime on Sunday morning on your local ABC affiliate, your host will be making his debut, which is kind of cool actually because when I was a kid, I grew up watching David Brinkley with Cookie Roberts and Sam Donaldson and George Will. I always wanted to be a writer like George Will and it's just going to be awesome to be on the show. I've done meet the press a ton, but I've never actually done this week. So I will make my debut on Sunday morning. I fly up tomorrow night and then come home right after the show because I got to be on my front porch for bourbon in cigars on Sunday night. There's a great football game on now. We must begin with the pivot that the Democratic Party is making.
I find this very, very notable. Yesterday I played you the clip of Maria Salazar who is the Congresswoman from South Florida, who is vocally saying I disagree with President Trump on immigration. It's a huge issue. Republicans in South Florida are starting to fret that this issue could cost them some safe seats. They're starting to see it in the polling that Hispanic voters who vote Republicans are furious over the immigration issue. And this is Lindsey James now. This is the corollary here. This is the Democratic Party. This is Iowa's second congressional district. She is in a swing district and she is a Democrat who is running in a swing district. Listen to this audio from Lindsey James. I'm Lindsey James, a chaplain and a mom of two teenagers. Dark money groups are lying about me. So I want to tell you what I actually believe. My faith teaches me that all children are made in the image of God. We need to protect kids and we need common sense rules to keep sports fair for boys and for girls.
Parents know what's best for our kids. Washington needs to stay out of it. That's why I approve this message. I'm looking. Now notice that notice the pivoting there. This is an 80 20 issue. 80% of Americans say that boys should not go into girl sports that trans girls should not go into girl sports. And now you have a Democrat who says I'm a chaplain. I'm a mother. People are lying about my issue and I think we need state level rules, not a one size fits all federal rule to do with boys and girls and sports. She doesn't actually say mind you that she is opposed to having boys in girl sports. She is one of those people who believes that a trans girl is a girl, even though most people don't. But she's having to push back on the issue, which is most notable. And in fact, a number of Democrats around the country are beginning to have to push back on this issue. James Tallerico in Texas has now suggested that he doesn't support boys and girls sports. Now the slide of hand the Democrats are engaging you do need to understand the slide of hand is that the Democrats believe that a boy who identifies as a girl is not actually a boy, but a trans girl.
So when they say that they don't believe boys should be a girl sports, what they mean is that I don't believe a boy who doesn't identify as a girl should be a girl sport, but I'm okay with the boy who does identify as a girl being in a girl sport. And the Republicans and the press have not yet really caught them on that contradiction and tried to push them on that contradiction. But it clearly is showing in the internal polling that this issue is having a legitimate impact. And there is a shift happening within the Democratic party as they're trying to pivot to some of these 80 20 issues. The other one, the other good example is immigration. You have Democrats running away from defund the police. You have Democrats running away from an open border. You have Democrats now saying they what commons since immigration reform, which probably does mean amnesty, but they're not actually saying it. You got a lot of Democrats out there who are beginning to run away from some of these controversial issues they've had in a while. That suggests to me that this is actually having an impact.
That the Republican ground game and the Republican polling is actually having an impact. Now I will tell you all of this is kind of tied together that I maybe I am the Jim Kramer politics. You know if Jim Kramer says the market's going to go gangbusters. It means we're on the verge of a crash. And I'm here telling you that I don't think the Republicans are going to wiped out the way so many Republican strategists tell you yesterday and this morning though. I talked to a couple of Republican strategists who say you have no idea how bad it is out there. In fact, I was talking to a Republican politician yesterday who said in his state, if you knock on an independent voters door and identify yourself with a Republican party, the door is getting slammed in your face. And that's that on the ground anecdote. It's not data, but it's coming up more and more around the country. It's kind of a big red flag that there is something happening in the country that is negative towards the GOP. And the polling hasn't quite picked up on it ironically, however, in the Trump years going all the way back to 2016, one of the most impressively consistent polling metrics in America is who do you think is going to win the election?
And the polls show that I'm voting for the Democrat. My neighbor is voting for the Democrat. Who do you think is going to win the election? It's been coming up Republican in Texas. Who do you think is going to win between Tallerico and Paxton? The voters say I'm voting for Tallerico. And then you ask them who do they think is going to win and they say Kint Paxton. Same thing is happening in Ohio. They're not voting for the Vecra Mishwami according to them. But when you ask them who they think is going to win, they say for Vecra Mishwami. And that has been the most consistent polling indicator of who's going to win the election since Donald Trump came on the scene in 2016 is the voters lie to the pollsters about their belief because they believe the pollsters are probably in an operation. They're not being candid with the pollsters because they don't know that the pollsters are really polling them so much as designing to harass them. And so they tell the posters I'm voting for the acceptable candidate this year, which is the Democrat. And then they say, but I think the Republicans going to win and that's who they're really voting for.
This has been really consistent. And when you pile into that data, things like around the country, these races are closer than they should be. Maybe the poll is all wrong. I talked to a reporter this morning who is in politics and she was telling me that she's just never seen an election like this that all of her friends are trying to find historic references for elections like this. And the common thing they come back with something I've talked with Mark outprint about on his show is that there are more variables in the air right now after Labor Day in this election than any election of modern history since World War two since World War two. In the lifetime of the reporters covering politics in this country, there are more open variables now than there have been in any election. What's going to happen with the run? What's going to happen with gas prices? What's going to happen with oil prices? What's going to happen with the stock market? What is Donald Trump going to say? What is Donald Trump going to do on social media? What is the reaction from the public going to be? How many more deportations are there going to be? Who is going to get deported? Who has the money? Who's spinning the money? Where's the money being spent? What is the Republican ad say? What is the Democratic ad say? None of the stuff is locked in? It's all up for grabs.
There are some warning signs for the GOP. Of course, there are warning signs for the Republicans. John Kennedy, the Senator from Louisiana said that he has been on the ground now in Iowa and in Kansas and in Ohio and he's going to Alaska and that no Republican Senator should have to be campaigning in those states. Those should be gimmies and the fact that they're not is a warning sign. And you know what I think the ultimate warning sign is for everybody. It's not for the GOP. I think the ultimate warning sign is that Americans are hacked off at Washington, DC. I think Americans are furious with both parties. Joe Biden broke the economy. Donald Trump said you may not like me, but put me in office and I'll fix the economy. Then Donald Trump broke the economy even more. Do you know the single biggest driver now in gas prices at the pump? Do you have any idea? It's not Iran. It will. It's not that Iran is stopping oil from coming out. It's that diesel prices are now so high and the ships are filled with diesel. And the result is that the prices for the gas at the gas pump are going up because of the cost of the shipping and the cost of the truck transportation.
Are weighing on the price of gas at the pump so much people are furious about it. There is just a there are warning signs going off about the economy. Now the Atlanta Fed expects a a sour in economy. They're saying 5% in the third quarter. No one really believes that that's actually going to happen, particularly with interest rates going up. But there are so many variables from the economy from gas prices. All of these things. And so no one really has a real sense of where the selection is trending. And I continue to maintain and again, maybe I'm the Jim Kramer of all this, but I continue to maintain that it's not as bad for the Republicans as a lot of the polling looks. There is a lot of voter angst and I think the biggest thing holding Republican or holding independent voters from going. Democrats is that like the Democrats either. I mean, they're mad at everybody in Washington, DC. When you have Democrats and Iowa in swing districts now having to run ad say, Hey, I don't really support transports. Even though we know they do. We have James Tallerico down there who said that the the the border should have a welcome man. And we should welcome in anyone else. They know I don't really support open borders. I don't support transports that you've got this massive shift happening from these people. And it is a huge and major indicator that no one really knows where the electorate is headed other than the electorate is in a foul mood. And normally the party in the White House takes the brunt of the anger from the foul mood. Normally the voters taken out on the party in charge. But we're only two years
removed from a massive cover up about an incumbent president's health. We're only two years removed from the Democrats being the ones direct the economy. We're only two years removed from the Democrats being the ones who flooded the country with illegal aliens. We're only two years removed from the Democrats, citing with criminal illegal aliens over Americans. We're only a few years removed from Lake and Riley being murdered. We're only a few years removed from the MS 13 and Trinder, Agua gang running all over the United States. And it was the Democrats who did all of that and insisted that it wasn't a problem and insisted that it wasn't real. And people remember those things. People may be fickle in our memories, maybe short, but people remember these things. People remember them and they are aggravated by them. And they don't blame Donald Trump for them, but they do blame Donald Trump for the war in Iran and an unsuccessful war and an open-ended war. They do blame Donald Trump believe it or not for the round up of illegal aliens the way he's done it. Because when you pull the Hispanic voters in Florida, they actually support Indian illegal immigration. They actually support securing the border. They actually support deportations. But
they don't support it the way it was done. And that's the problem. Donald Trump and his team, like the Democrats in 2020, they came into power. They had a one percentage point advantage in the popular vote. And they said, we're going to run it like there's a mandate. We're going to run it like there was a red wave. We're going to run it like it was Reagan in 84. And they overstepped both sides have been doing this. They get in there like we got two years to get everything we want done because the the voters are going to turn on us. And what they do is they actually cause it's a self-fulfilling profit. And the voters get mad at them and they do go diametrically in the opposite direction because they come in and they show no humility. And that I think is probably the most frustrating thing for the American public is there. They were beyond the age of a humble politician who comes in and says, you know what? I'm going to move slowly and I'm going to walk the American people with me on my policies. They came in and they said the American people want deportation. Let's round them all up. And you know what happened in the process? True story. You may not know about unless you live down in South Florida. If you're on WFTL down there, my affiliate down there in Palm Beach for a lot of you may know these stories.
Where there have been American citizens who were rounded up and and sent to deportation because they were Hispanic. They were mistakes made by Border Patrol. There were mothers who were legal immigrants to this country who had their green cards who had to go do paperwork. When they showed up, they and their children were rounded up and it was an over correction. And these stories have been all over the local media in South Florida. These stories have been over in parts of Texas where these mistakes were actually made and they were mistakes and the people were released. But they shouldn't have been arrested in the first place and they sped it up so much. It's got people mad. Americans are tired of this swinging back and forth and back and forth. But what causes the swinging back and forth and back and forth is that every political party gets elected and thinks, oh my god, I got a mandate to do what I want as fast as I can do it because the midterms are coming and I got to do it before then. And then they perpetuate a midterm cycle that goes against them and the craziest thing, the craziest thing of all is that here we are almost 40 days out from the midterms and Republicans still have a chance to mitigate the damage because the voters still hate the Democrats more than they hate the president.
And that's actually probably the best message the Republicans have.
Whatever your lifestyle, Kia has an SUV designed to fit your needs. Learn more at Kia.com or visit your Southern California Kia dealer. All right, I want to take your phone calls. You're going to have to wait because I ran along in the last segment. So I will come to you when we come back and that allows me to do two personal notes at the moment that I think are worth it. One is so I did an event last night for children to have a curved land at my golf club. And I got to tell you it was fantastic that the amount of people who came who were so deeply encouraging and we had such a great time doing doing questions and answers. The food was great. We actually never I hit like three golf balls at the end of it. And we just hung out and had probably more drinks than we should have, but it was a ton of fun and raised a lot of money for children's health and the other thing is so that was over and I got back and I got this email and I got to read you the email because it just it made my day to see this guy who wrote his name is Luke.
He says I've been a long time listener. Your last good Friday show was the final push that made me accept Christ as my Lord and Savior. Please don't ever stop doing the good Friday. If you read these emails on looking for some books that may have helped you and your faith, I find it difficult source viable literature based on doctrine available. So I recommended John Stots basic Christianity. Tim Keller is the reason for God. Kevin DeYoung has a great one and is a year in systematic theology, which is easy for people to learn and also the Bible. But that is so encouraging to get emails like that from people because boy, if I got a lot of hate mails, apparently I'm a gay and fat and a deviant and degenerate and those don't actually bother me. I mean, I've been called those for a long time. I'm not actually fat. I've just got thick skin. It's the old. They're calling me old. No, I'm only 50, 51 maybe, maybe 51. I'll take to generate, but just y'all stop calling me old shame on you all. That's offensive. Okay, we got to move on to cozy earth. I sweated last night in my hotel room. And the hotel room was cold. It was great. But in that duvet cover and the sheets just, you know, like I had to kick off the debate was under the sheets of the sheets were also warm.
And I wish I had my cozy sheets because they're super soft and they're very lightweight and they keep you cool at night. And I don't like to sweat when I sleep. If you go to cozy earth.com and you use the discount code Eric, you can save up to 20% cozy earth.com you use the code Eric and you can save. And you can get the loungewear and the sleepwear it's made from this coast from bamboo. They get a 10 year warranty. When have you ever bought a sheet that has a 10 year warranty. They have a hundred night sleep trial. So you have nothing to lose. You go to cozy earth.com and the discount code is Eric. They really are great. And I wish I had him last night. I also wake up because I was in a very nice hotel and the neighbors were kind of loud at two o'clock this morning. But also I was hot under the covers. They were very hot next door apparently. It was just it was an awkward moment in the hotel. But then I wished I had my cozy sheet so I could go back to sleep after I put headphones on cozy earth.com. The discount code is Eric, ERI CK sleep well at night.
It's fall in Jeep country and during the driving to fall sales event get a great deal on four by fours that refuse to be contained like Jeep Wrangler. Confidence built into every drive with the most awarded SUV ever Jeep Grand Cherokee and freedom that can't be denied with the open air freedom and Jeep gladiator. After 85 years, it's no surprise that Jeep became America's SUV brand get a great deal during the Jeep driving to fall sales event. Jeep is one more awards over its lifetime than any other SUV brand. Even the Jeep Grill register trademarks of FC AUS LLC. I am delighted to have you with me today. It is an open line Friday. The phone number is 877 9737425. Time is running out to come to the not safe for radio show. If you want tickets, you can text show to 33777 and you can get your tickets. It's going to be at the gas out theater. It's going to be October 10th here in Atlanta. It is going to be starting at 7 p.m. It's going to be a fun time. I will hang out with the crowd. We will take pictures after security doesn't like me say that they did make me move my hotel because I said I was stayed at the hotel on site, which is a fabulous hotel.
If you want to stay overnight, if you wanted to escape from the kids, I'm telling you it's a great hotel and it is a great venue. But now security found out I said that on radio. They're like, well, you can't stay there now, buddy. That's fine. That's fine. I'm still going to hang out with people afterwards because several friends are coming who I know are coming. And they asked me to hang out. It's going to be a ton of fun. It's not kid friendly. It's not mother proof. Boy do I have some stories to share with you. And people asked me to tell some of the political ones. I've tried not to make these political. But I got some political stories to share with you to I'll discuss one of the first times I ever talked to the president of the United States. 877-9737-425 is the phone number. Let us go to the phones. Mario, you are going to be up first on the Eric Erickson show. Welcome. Hi Eric. Good afternoon. And thank you for taking my call. Eric, my question is this. I and a lot of my friends are very concerned about that juror that created the mistriangle. And our concern, their question to you is we thought there was anonymity to protect the jurors. Now this poor juror who made a fan has to flee his own neighborhood.
He has now an attorney and he's being persecuted by the left. Do we not have protection as a juror? You are supposed to in fact it is against the law to identify jurors of a trial to set them up for harassment. And I of course in Massachusetts, they're not probably going to prosecute the person who did it because she's an opinion columnist for a newspaper. And she's going to claim freedom of speech. I don't think freedom of speech trumps the safety of the jurors. And I think this guy is open to to suing for harassment. And the other thing is it's the other jurors they wanted to shame him too. It's a huge problem because you're supposed to be protected as a juror. You're absolutely supposed to be protected as a juror. It is deeply, deeply, deeply offensive to me that this man was arrested. By the way, for all of you who are really anti immigration. Consider the punchline here because you know we've we've we've had these weird moments now where you got all the people who are like, oh, we got too many we got too many immigrants in the country. We need to have a Christian white nation. We all these weird people on the right who are really into racism like the people on the left.
It's just DEI for white people now that that these these white nationalists people want. Who was the savior of the jury was not the white men on the Lindsey Clancy jury because there were white men on the jury. This guy was a Haitian American, a Catholic Haitian American was the lone juror to say she's guilty and he refused to be in. And we know now from some of the good white women who were on the jury that they did everything they could to brow beat this. Black man into his place and he did not know his place and he crossed his arms and said she's guilty. And by the way, you should know she actually admitted to killing her kids with exercise band. She admitted it. She strangled all three of her toddlers with exercise bands because she couldn't bear to put her hands around their neck. So she used exercise bands. She was guilty. Now you can argue that under Massachusetts law and this is a fair point and I have explained this on radio that under Massachusetts law, you can find someone not guilty by reason of insanity. And that doesn't let them off. It gets them forcibly committed against their will.
But several of those women on the jury, one hundred we found not guilty, not not guilty by reason of insanity, but not guilty. One of them did an interview and they said that they wanted to begin a conversation about postpartum and women. And they thought that by finding her not guilty, they could, here's the problem lady. Your job as a juror is not to send the message. It's not to do political advocacy. It's not to let a murderer out of jail so that we can have a conversation. Your job is to determine whether the person is guilty or innocent of the charges, not to do some sort of political statement and that this seems like this black guy from Haiti. Was the only one who understood that the job of the jury was not just in the message, but to weigh guilt or innocence of a crime of three dead babies. Good for this guy. I would rather more of this man, a man of Haitian descent than the white dudes on the jury who decided that Lindsey Clancy needed to be found not guilty.
And for all the people who were out there saying, oh, we got we we've over corrected on immigration. You have a guy like this. You should you should handle the guy like this is hero. We need more people like this willing to defy the left willing to defy the the psychopaths on that jury. Have you ever seen the interviews with some of these women? They were deeply neurotic progressive women who like literally they didn't want to find her not guilty by reason of insanity. They just wanted to find her not guilty. So think it's a message about postpartum depression. This woman murdered her three children and that was not a dispute. All these conspiracy theory people like no, no mother would do that. It must have been her husband. It was never in dispute that she's the one who did it. It was never in dispute. Now was she crazy when she did it? Maybe she tried to cut her throat. When that didn't work. She threw herself out a two story window and she's now permanently paralyzed. Maybe she was crazy, but you could have still found her guilty and said she was crazy. But they didn't want to do that. And this guy refused to go along with the mob. You need people in this country to stand up against the mob. And we have too many people in the country who are followers, not leaders. This guy was a leader. We need more people liking.
The harassment he got was unjust. 877 97377 425 David. You're going to be up next. Welcome David. How are you? I'm alright. Listen, I just have a quick question. But I know that these are processes for a by now. Unfortunately, I'm in the touring business. We actually are considering having to take a pay cut because of these processes. So I right now let my question to you is, while we having to wait, according to President Trump, how we having to wait to after the midterms for them to be able to do anything about the rising of the process. And is there anything that Brian Kim has governor can do to help keep the process there? Great question. All around. So let me do the easy one first with Brian Kim is no not really. Because the gas prices are priced kind of on a global market scale. There's not a whole lot he could do. The state could waive the taxes on gas right now and on diesel. The problem with them doing that though is everything all the prices are so high. The state is then going to have revenue problems elsewhere because the state uses gas too.
I mean the police cars and the helicopters the everything they have. So if Georgia does another tax break on gases, which maybe they consider doing. But if they do because the prices are so high right now, it's going to cause revenue hurdles for the state. And so then you're going to see other taxes go up. So you get rid of the gas tax and have to raise the income tax something like that would be come a problem when you get into this fiscal situation. Can the president do anything the president is trying as best he can to get the straight of hormones open and there's evidence in fact that the straight of hormones is open now better than it has been. That oil is flowing at about a 90% rate but Saudi Arabia still telling Europe they're going to have to wait. They're going to have to wait. The biggest driver of gas prices I'm as I mentioned earlier now. The biggest driver of gas prices at this point is not the supply of gas. It's the price of diesel because the the tankers coming out of the Middle East are filled with diesel. The tractor trailers taking the gas to the gas stations are filled with diesel.
And diesel is at a record high right now. And so that that price is triggering the problem is that price is now going to trickle in to the cost of groceries. It's going to trickle into just the basic cost of living. It's even going to trickle in as winter comes in the Northeast. A lot of those people have there use heating oil. And the heating oil is made more expensive by the trucking costs to get the heating oil to you. The Dow right now is down over 200 points S and P down 17 NASDAQ down 38. It's 100% related to the gas prices. The Brent crude is at $103 which is actually good. It's come down West Texas crude is at 101 right now. It's come down oil prices aren't changed a whole lot because the Saudi pipeline disruption. It's is a serious problem. And it is a problem that's going to have cascading effects and you as a consumer are going to be the last people to feel it and you're going to feel it longer than everybody else because of it. And that is why the Republicans are genuinely freaked out right now because they know that people are going to feel the price of this stuff the closer we get to the election.
And it's a lagging indicator. And that's a that is a real real real problem for the for the people out there right now who are feeling these things. But you know keep in mind as well with the pulling it out there. I just saw this from my buddy Sean Trinity he highlighted in Kansas in 2020 in Kansas. The Democrat and the polling average for realtor politics was up eight tenths of a point and Pat Roberts actually won it in what races is won it by 10.8 points. And this is again a problem where the polling could be just completely off and Sean Trinity says the way to deal with this is not current poll is wrong nor is it but that was 2014 a good Republican here. It's yes we've seen this movie before and should inform about not over on what we're seeing in the polls that the polling metrics could be wrong. That's what's keeping the Democrats up at night.
By the way I said 2020 that was the 2014 result with Pat Roberts in Kansas where all the polling showed the the Democrat was going to win the race in Kansas and the Republican blew it out of the water. There are real issues with the polling that's why you rely on the polling averages which themselves are not always accurate. But they tend to be more accurate than the individual polls themselves and when you see the trends headed in a direction that's actually even better than the actual polls why because when all the polls. Can detect public opinion shifting in direction you don't know whether it's a 10 point shift five point shift one point ship you just know that the public is headed in a different direction and the polls can get those trends still pretty accurately they just can't get the actual voter like where the voters actually are so pay attention to the trends and the trend right now they're not good for the Republicans but they're also not good for the Democrats because people still don't like the Democrats they genuinely don't like the Democrats right now which is why again I still think that Ken Pax and has a good shot at winning a Texas. I don't like the guy I think he's corrupt. He's an adult or he's corrupt. He's wore his corruption on a sleeve. I know a guy who got swindled by him among others and yet James Tallerico is such a weirdo you're going to have some people hold their nose and go vote for Pat Pax and just to stop the weirdo. Yeah, you'll have some of go vote for Tallerico to stop the corruption.
You'll have some who just sit it out and say a pox on both your houses and they'll just go to Greg Abbott's line on the ballot but you're going to have a lot of people is like I can't stomach a guy like Tallerico in the Senate. Perfect time for a call from Dwayne on this particular issue Dwayne welcome to the show. Yeah, thanks. That's when I was wondering is my brother who's pretty chrinned in in Texas. I was visiting in Texas and he said Abbott's going to carry him over the line on the Republican side. And if that happens, you're talking about the wonderful commercials that Jackson is running on our side. Is there any chance he can lift them over also. So that's a great question Dwayne. You know, there are Republicans who are hopeful that Rick Jackson's campaign is so strong in his ground game. So good that he can lift Mike Collins across the finish line. The my my hesitation on that is because I saw often every poll is so consistently ahead and even the Jackson team internally. They're showing that while he's got a great deal of support that Collins does it from people who are voting for Jackson. There's concerns in Texas.
You're actually more likely to see Greg Abbott and the big difference is and again, we're talking about polls and polls aren't right but look at the polling average and look at the trends. In Texas, you got a two point race and in Georgia in the Senate, you got like a seven and nine point race. And that's a big margin and I can just tell you that talking to Republicans in the state of Georgia, there's not a lot of optimism on my Collins. And in fact, there are there are a lot of people who are thinking that the Republicans naturally are about to gain call their money out of the state for my Collins that they'll still come in for Rick Jackson. And hope that Jackson can carry this across the finish line, but there is not a lot of optimism out there right now in Georgia for my Collins. And there's not a lot of optimism in Washington for my Collins. There's more optimism about kinpax and in Texas than there is for my Collins in Georgia. And in fact, let's just put it this way. If the polls are all wrong by three points, if the polls are all wrong by three points, which they were four years ago, which they were in 2018.
When they were in 2022, the polls were wrong by about three points with the Democratic advantage. If the polls are wrong by about three points, kinpax and wins in Texas, my Collins still loses in Georgia. And that is why Republicans are starting to pull their money out of Georgia for the Senate race. Hey, it's Kelly Rowland. You may not know this, but I have Exama. So I get how it can steal your time. But why let Exama take over when you can talk to your doctor about Epglyce? Epglyce, lubricism app, LBKZ, a 250-mg per 2-mg leader injection, is a prescription medicine used to treat adults and children 12 years of age and older, who weigh at least 88 pounds or 40 kgs with moderate to severe Exama. Also called a topic dermatitis that is not well controlled with prescription therapies used on the skin, or topicals, or who cannot use topical therapies. Epglyce can be used with or without topical corticosteroids. Don't use if you are allergic to Epglyce. Allergic reactions can occur that can be severe. I problems can occur.
Tell your doctor if you have newer worsening eye problems. You should not receive a live vaccine when treated with Epglyce. Before starting Epglyce, tell your doctor if you have a parasitic infection. Pay partnership with Lily. Respect your time. Ask your doctor about Epglyce and visit Epglyce.com or call 1-800-LilyRX or 1-800-545-5979. Ladies and gentlemen, I need to advise you of a potential scene of violence this weekend. LSU and Lane Kiffin are going to Oxford, Mississippi to play Ole Miss. That is going to be the thing you want to watch. ABC on Saturday night at 7.30pm Eastern time. Holy cow. Remember Kiffin was Ole Miss's coach and left. They got into the playoffs and he packed up and left and went to LSU, leaving them stranded and made their blood boil. Now he's coming back at the head of LSU and I think they got quarterback issues at LSU right now. LSU is ranked number 7 Ole Miss is ranked number 8 and boy does Ole Miss want to win this game.
It's going to be, now by the way, I got to tell you that the greatest tailgate in football, professional or college, is the Ole Miss LSU game. The greatest tailgate hands down bar none, reporters fly from around the world to write stories about the tailgating because the food from Ole Miss and the LSU fans combined is the greatest food in football hands down period. It is going to be a brutal game. I will be watching it on an airplane flying to Washington, DC to be on this week on Sunday morning. Now, if you want to call in, it's openline Friday 877-973-745 this hour of the program brought to you by Van Allen Golf, Van Allen Golf.com. This is where you want to go. Use Eric as your discount code. You get 15% off. My buddy Kevin LaVelle is getting himself a putter from Van Allen Golf. I was showed it off last night at Intel with the show adoners. People want to say let me, you know, it sounds kind of dirty, doesn't it? Let me see your putter. I want to hold your putter.
But it's a golf thing. I got it. Everybody wanted to play with my putter. And I got the bronze in lay. It is so perfectly balanced. I just I love them. All right. When we come back, we have got to shift gears because there is a story in the New York Times that's going to blow your mind, the deep contradictions. It's actually a commentary about the University California system has to bring back the standardized tests and progressives are really upset about bringing back the standard. And they want you to know that the University California system is doing a great job. They're doing a fantastic job and about half of the students can't do basic math when they get there, but they're doing a great job. They say they're doing a great job. Just trust them. They're doing a great job. You know, who's doing a great job is perfectly snug is keeping you perfectly snug at night. It's a mattress topper and it's like an air conditioner for your bed. I wish I had one of my hotel room. It generates cool air up through the mattress topper. You put your fitted sheet on top of it. And it also I and I got to tell you and they they prefer me to mention the cooling feature. I like the heat of you. You hurt your back and you lay with a heated pad and it just doesn't feel natural. There's something just under your back. The perfectly snug match up with the whole thing heats up.
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