S2025 Ep237: Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Ticks Up as GDP Crashes — Mortgage Rates React

Today’s report delivered a mixed signal that markets don’t like:

📉 Economic growth just fell sharply
📈 Core PCE — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — moved higher

That combination matters.

When growth slows but inflation stays sticky, bond markets reprice fast.
And when the 10-Year Treasury and MBS move… mortgage rates follow.

In this episode, we break down:

• What the GDP print actually means
• Why Core PCE matters more than CPI
• How the 10-Year Treasury reacted
• What happened to mortgage-backed securities (MBS)
• What this means for locking vs. floating

We don’t speculate.
We follow the data.

If you’re buying, refinancing, or just tracking the market — this is the real-time breakdown you need.

🔔 Start Here

📈 RateWatch 2.0 — Get Notified When Rates Hit Your Target
👉 https://TheRateUpdate.com/ratewatch

📞 Free Strategy Call
👉 https://shorturl.at/SCIGL

📝 Apply — One App • One Credit Pull • 30+ Lenders
👉 https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register

🧮 TRU Mortgage Calculator Toolkit (All Pro Tools in One Place)
👉 https://friodan.gumroad.com/l/aejabs

• Home Affordability
• Refinance & Debt Consolidation
• Cost-of-Waiting™
• Break-Even & ROI Calculator

📲 Follow The Rate Update

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio

Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate

TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdate

Facebook: https://facebook.com/therateupdate

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/danfrio

⚖️ Compliance

Dan Frio | NMLS #246527
Equal Housing Lender | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp | NMLS #257781
Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.