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In this hour of Prop Points, John Hansen talks about the top NFL news and storylines. John goes into depth about Thursday Night Football with the Falcons at the Packers and what props and data points he likes. Tom Brolley joins the show and helps talk about NFL Week 3 player props and fantasy insights. John Hansen wraps up the show with the top picks for the Falcons at Packers.
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Prop Points — Prop Points | September 24, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
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$25 minimum and loyalty membership require. $25 minimum and loyalty membership require. This is Prop Points on Veecin, the SportsBetting Network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hansen. Good afternoon and welcome to a Thursday edition of Prop Points here on Veecin. I'm John Hansen of fantasypoints.com. The program per usual is produced by Mr. Michael Cohen and a week three kickoff, Thursday night football, the Falcons at the Packers. We're all over it, not the greatest game. Thank God for fantasy and thank God for gaming activity. It will make the game a lot more interesting for sure. We'll check in on the top injury updates and NFL storylines here at the top as we always do. Then in segment number two, we'll take a look at all the pertinent data points
for the Falcons at the Packers, all the positions of course. And our guide Tom Braley, the grinder from fantasypoints.com will pop on good call on Monday night about Darnell Mooney. I didn't do it because I'm a Darnell Mooney apologist. So I'm always worried about back in people that I've supported who don't do much. So I kind of avoided it, but good call by him. We'll see what he has cooking for week number three. And speaking of that, we will pop out our favorite props. We've already talked about one prop, the Tucker craft prop that we're in on. It's been fed up a couple of yards. So we're probably looking decent in that one. It's trending in the right direction. I've got three more and not a great game to find props. I did the best I could to find the four props that I feel the best about. And that's it. No leans today. We do have a Thursday night special. It's not a great week for the Thursday night special,
but maybe I don't feel as good about it. And that'll mean it hits because we haven't hit one yet. So there's that. Make sure you download the prop points podcast on Apple Spotify wherever you get your pods. We did very well on Thursday night last week. So maybe we'll be Thursday night people this year. So let's get into the story lines here. Obviously Jackson Dart is the biggest story of the week. He is officially ruled out for the year by John Harball. And we'll see about the trade deadline and all the juxtapositions. I don't think the Vikings are going to trade the Jama Carthie to the Giants. Little Harball reunion there. We'll see though. There's certainly a couple of guys out there. I know our guy Adam Schaefter speculating about Gardner Menshu who did play for Matt Nagy for I believe one year speaking of Matt Nagy, his former team, the Bears. They're still in a state of limbo at the quarterback position
with Tyson Badgint still up in the air in the protocol. And of course Caleb Williams case, Keenam. It's actually a really good number three quarterback. So it could be worse for Chicago. Case Keenam is getting ready to start week number three, but we're still relatively early in the week, but probably not a great sign for Badgint. It seems to be more of a rarity when a guy is in the protocol and then he ends up playing the next week. Sam Darnold is on track to return to the lineup, speaking of backup quarterbacks. I did mention this yesterday, Seattle. I mean, they're the world champs. They've done a great job assembling the roster and they did a great job picking up Drew Locke a couple of years ago, putting them in that number two quarterback spot, no pressure. But when we need you, we need you. And he responded very well with Darnold out. Our guy, Shepter as well for ESPN reporting that eight Jay Brown is expected to miss six to eight weeks.
And this is a, oh boy, this is a real buzzkill for the New England Patriots. Of course, training away, Keenam, Booty. I thought Pop Dogmas would have a good game last week. I'm at on Pop Dogmas going forward. Unless we see some serious signs of life, the only receiver and Romeo Dobbs is going to have to step up. And maybe you will. That play last week was a little fluky, by the way. I'm looking at Hunter Henry. I think Hunter Henry is the antidote to their problems. And that's not a great one, by the way, is an aging tight end. But that is Drake May's guy. I think he's going to be the one picking up most of the slack. And the Rams, boy, Devonte Adam sure to pick up some slack last week going off on Monday night football. And they may need him again this week, because Pukinakua is, quote, not making great progress, unquote, from Sean McVeigh. Not the greatest schematic matchup this week, though, for Devonte Adam. So that could be an interesting situation. Our Terrence Ferguson, I believe, was added to the injury report.
So he's ailing in some way, shape or form, but he was a glorified wide receiver last week. And if he can play, I would think he'll be the same if Pukinakua cannot go. Demarcus Robinson for the nine, boy, they got a lot of people on the injury report. So let me just scroll through it here and look at the key injuries, Buffalo Bills and the Chargers, no Darwin James, no Khalil Mac, Lad McConkey did practice in full, though. So that's a good sign for him, Dalvin Tomlinson, as well, out of practice. He's a key run stuff or so. When it rains at ports, Chargers are hurting right now. And the Bills are relatively healthy, although, Kean Coleman did not practice and neither did Ed Oliver, the outstanding D tackle Seahawks and commanders for the commanders, no Sam Cosme, their guard. He's one of their best offensive linemen. So that's not good. Javan Kinlaw out of practice. Don't expect to see Chig Akonko,
which does hurt their passing attack. He was going to be probably the third option in the passing game as Seahawks, other than the Sam Darnold update. Jadarian price was in fact limited. So maybe he does return. I know a lot of people are bidding up a manual Wilson this week on the way of a wire. I'm not sure I want to touch that because you got George Hollotti still in the mix. And it looks like Jadarian price is trending toward playing Panthers and the Browns, a couple of injuries for the Panther defense, which could help Dishon Watson play well again. Jalen Phillips out of practice. Also Devin Lloyd, their two top offseason acquisitions on the defensive side of the ball. Darren Waller, who's probably resting and Jalen Coker still dealing with that ankle still limited. I would have played that Coker prop last week for sure, but I'm trying to avoid guys on the injury report. And of course, he did get there. The Browns, Tevin Jenkins up front, one of their guards out of practice. He missed last week the chiefs dolphins.
4 KC Josh Simmons, they're starting left tackle still out of practice. So we'll see about that. Nothing serious. Otherwise Caleb Douglas, the rookie wide receiver for the dolphins out of practice. So we're probably not going to use him looks like, I mean, I don't want to over react, but based on the fact that Malik Willis is not running. No design runs are just one or two. That to me is a sign that maybe they're not putting their best foot forward. The Bengals and Steelers for the Bengals, Andre Yosefich at a practice. I thought he went on IR, but he's not looking good. I do like Jamar Chase in that game. They play a lot of zone. So I think he'll be very active. And that's not the greatest shell or coverage for T Higgins for those Steelers. No Jamal Dean, Jamal Dean, one of their top corners out of practice. Michael Pittman did get a limited work, some limited work in. No jail and rams in Rico Dattles still out of practice. Terrible start for Rico.
Jets Lions for the Jets. Minka Fitzpatrick out of practice. That is kind of big Mason Taylor, but no one's really on the fantasy radar for the Lions. Kirby Joseph and Brian Branch are obviously still out. And that's about it in terms of key injuries. We'll check in on them tomorrow. Texans Colts, Texans are they could go home and three here. They've got Trent Brown out of practice. Jadevi on clowny out of practice. We're not expecting to see Nico Collins at Ingram starting guard is out. Dalton Shultz is probably resting after last week's bananza. So those are all the DNPs there for Houston. That's not good. Charvary's Ward is the only one other than, of course, Alec Pierce for the Indianapolis Colts of note Patriots Jaguars, Dequan Jones, detacled for the Patriots out of practice. Doesn't look like anything serious of note. We'll check in again tomorrow for the Jags are pretty healthy.
No one of note here in terms of DNPs on a Wednesday Titans. Giants tighten both Titan running backs. I don't know if we're ready for Nick Singleton, the rookie, but Tony Pollard and Tajay Spears out of practice. I think that's like Pollard if he can go against the Giants who tread it away, Dexter Lawrence. They're pretty weak on run defense and Brian Burns is out of practice. He's probably not going to play at the ante banks. One of their starting corners did get a limited session in yesterday. So he'll probably be trending toward playing Cardinals Niners. We mentioned Max Melton set to see a decent amount of Mike Evans. Well, that's assuming he plays because he was out of practice. Diomolo starting guard the veteran. He's out of practice. Not great for Jeremiah Love off to a pretty slow start. Niners have everybody on a on a DMP situation here coming out of Wednesday. Nick Bosa Mike Evans, Drake Greenlaw, Christian McCaffrey, Tomarkas Robinson, Trent Williams. Not good. So we'll check in on that tomorrow.
Vikings and Bucks are in Jones out. I would probably avoid that situation. Demon Clayborn and DJ Dallas set to fill in the Bucks. They're relatively healthy. I don't see anything of note there. Roman Bando, the edge rusher out of practice. Ravens Cowboys, Nozee Flowers. So we'll see about tomorrow. No Trey Hendrixin. That could be a rest day and no Ronnie Stanley. That's not great. And for the Cowboys, no Malik Hooker and overshown the edge rusher. There's nothing really of note there. Obviously we're waiting on Brock Bowers and for the Saints. What else do we have here? Nothing of note there. And then Denver and KC. No, not Denver and KC. Denver and LA. Yeah, Terrence Ferguson was limited. That in Colby, Parkinson also, no Jordan, winning him. So they're very thin and receiver if they don't have Pukin, Akua. And then for the Denver Broncos, no Jonah Coleman.
He did tweak and ankle. JK Dobbins was limited as was our Jay Harvey. So Jonah Coleman, pretty good stash and hope, but we're not hoping for anything out of him for week three. So that is a long term situation. When we return, we will take a look at your pertinent data points and all the statistics for Thursday night football, the Atlanta Falcons at the Green Bay Packers. That is next on the Thursday edition of Prop points on Visa. Hey, what's up, guys? It's Hayley Bailey. Okay, I need to tell you about something. I just got YouTube premium. It's got tons of awesome features like offline downloads so I can download my favorite videos before I travel and watch them whenever I don't have Wi-Fi. Because we all know airplane Wi-Fi is the worst. I get to add free, I get back room play, and there's like a ton more in there. You should try it. If you like YouTube, you'll love YouTube premium.
Try it now for two months free at youtube.com slash premium. Try a eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime. That's a mouthful. This is Angus Maximus. This partner has one pound of pound of hot sushi cooked to honor Angus Speed. It's more fish than a quarter pounder. The battle is closed. And for only $5.99 even regular juice can afford it. Like that guy. You get that big ol' burger. Yeah. The whole Angus Maximus only $5.99 is whole senior. A bill for a limited time of participating restaurants. Tax on included. Not valid for use within a combo or in combination with any other offer or discount. Girl watching prop points with the guru himself, John Hanson, on Vison, these sports betting network. Big incentive this week to win the Edge Boost Average Joe Contest last week's leader
didn't have a funded Edge Boost account, so the prize rolled over. Finish first in the weekly standings this week and you'll take home two grand as long as your account is funded with at least a hundred bucks. Enter the contest today at Vison.com. Select the list. It's free to play and you can register anytime during the season. And if you don't have an Edge Boost account yet, you can sign up at edge boost.io with the promo code Vison and make sure your account is funded with at least a hundred bucks. Enter the contest today at Vison.com. Select the list. Enter the contest today at Vison.com slash Joe. That is Vison.com slash Joe. Welcome back to this Thursday edition of prop points on Vison. Time to pop out some stats and data points related to tonight's football game, the Atlanta Falcons at the green Bay Packers.
By the way, injury wise, Atlanta Falcons did put their top corner, AJ Terrell on I R and the green Bay Packers are down two starters on the offensive line, the right tackle. Zach, whose name was changed and I can't really pronounce, enunciate it, but the right tackles out for the green Bay Packers. My bad. I'm going to learn that also Jane Reed is out and Aaron Banks. So banks and formally Zach Tom will call it that I changed his name. There are two stars on the online and they are out. So that said, let's take a look at anything for the Falcons that I missed. Nothing of note other than Terrell. Let's take a look at the propage and the data points and the like Michael Pennix Jr. 206.5 at minus 111.
Not the greatest schematic matchup for him as green Bay deploys the third highest rate of two safeties, two high safeties and Pennix averages just 6.77 YPA against the look since last season. I think it's really, really, really good. I think that's really, really good. We're expecting. My man to be a little rusty. You would think Jordan love 228.5 minus 113. Decent schematic matchup there as they run due Atlanta, the seventh highest rate of cover three. And it's that shell Atlanta gives up the eighth most passing yards and the eighth most passing touchdowns. Of course, Bryce Young ripped them last week for 287 slash three receiving props. We love the receiving props. And you know, this is a little fluid. It was 71.5 for Watson. Looks like it was bet down a yard 70.5 at minus 111.5.
Receptions, by the way, plus money. He's not a not a typical volume guy high volume. So I probably wouldn't touch that. But it is a good schematic matchup. He averages 2.79 yards per route run against cover three, which again, they run 43% of the time. 10 Macmillan got five grabs for 101 in this matchup. And again, AJ Torella is out. So that is pretty good for Christian Watson. I don't love Jordan love tonight. Quite frankly, but Watson is a must art in fantasy at the very least. Drake, London 66.5 at minus 113. It's 5.5 catches at minus 108. Good schematic matchup for him. Green Bay runs the third highest rate of two high safety 67%. Any averages 2.39 yards per route run against a look since the last season. They literally, they got nothing. They got Johan Dotson rookie Zachariah branch and Olamia, the Zacchaeus.
And we'll get into the numbers of Dotson and Zacchaeus because they are poultry. Next up is Matthew golden, very impressive showing thus far for the Green Bay Packers. We've got wow, it was 52.5 a couple of hours ago. I see now it's been bet up to 55.5. I do get that note to rail helps. It isn't a solid schematic matchup for love, but not for golden. This could, you know, he could still get the 55 56 yards. Obviously, because I don't know if they're going to be running the ball, but against the cover three, which they run 43% of the time. Very low number here 1.15 yards per route run Atlanta does allow the ninth most receptions per game to outside receivers and Jalen cocker did get eight grabs for 66 in this matchup, though. That's not a high yard per catch average. So I don't know if golden is going to get there. I would have to go over if I was going to make a play on it, but I'm not FYI.
Tucker craft. We're already in on this from yesterday show. We were in at 43 and a half. I would still do it. In fact, I just posted it at fantasy points.com this morning at 45.5. So I'm still I'm still okay with it because it's a pretty good situation. Now they are down those starters on the offensive line. So that could be a little bit of a problem for Tucker craft, but it is a very good schematic matchup here against the cover three. The average is 2.45 yards per right run against the coverage since last season. They also it's also good against the single high looks that they run quite a bit. I've got that number right here in front of me over here. Maybe I do. Maybe I don't know. I guess I know I lost that piece of paper, but any who we covered that yesterday. It is a good schematic matchup overall for Tucker craft. And you know, by the way, the Falcons also give up the 11th most receiving yards per game thus far in the eighth most receptions of Ted ends Darren Waller. I got him last week for three for 33 and a couple of touchdowns. Bejon Robinson. Green Bay gives up the 10th most receiving yards per game to run it back. So that's where you get him as breeze hall learned last week. He only had 16 carries for 29 yards, but despite not doing anything in the passing attack at a week one.
We saw last week had five for 63 against Green Bay. So I do think bejon's going to be active in the passing game. Kyle pits. I saw the Mables the tight ends coach or the officer coordinator talking about him saying, yeah, we like tight ends and all that. I'm like, OK, I don't know if you like Kyle pits. And I don't think I like him in this game. Not a good schematic matchup with the two high safeties only 1.66 yards per right run against that in Green Bay has been stingy giving up the 13th fewest catches. And yards to tight ends thus far. Johan Dotson 19.5 not going there. He's only got three catches for 30 yards on eight targets on the season. Sky more will fill in for Jaden Reed. I'm tempted to go with this overnight and half, but Sky more is probably the biggest failure I've ever had in my career. I've been here for about 30 years ago, so I don't want to I want to push the envelope there is a key as we mentioned 9.5 I mean, it should be easy. But he only has four targets and two catches for eight yards. So we're not going to go there. John Smith. I hope he doesn't ruin my Tucker craft play. That number is only 8.5 yards. Pretty ridiculous. I know he's a tight end to, but man, he is John Smith.
Catch the ball for Green Bay Chris Brooks and March on Lloyd seven and a half. Five and a half. Oh, no, no, yeah. This is receiving Atlanta gives up the ninth fewest fantasy points per game to run it backs and Chuba Hubbard only got two catches for 11 last week. Real quick, some rushing props, B. John at 77.5. I think I like the rushing attempt prop here, spoiler alert, 18.5 Green Bay, tough against the run as Breeze Hall learned in week actually last week, 16 carries for 29. As I mentioned, the three packer backs Caleb Johnson is interesting because this has been bet up the 38.5 37.5 this morning. I do know that Matt LaFlora was talking them up and he did look pretty good last week, but I can't go there because Atlanta gives up the fourth fewest adjusted yards before contact and the sixth fewest rushing yards per game to run him backs to
Chuba Hubbard. It was all right, 12 for 53 rushing in this match up last week, not going to mess with the quarterback rushing props, Jordan love eight and a half. He only runs when it's absolutely necessary. And the same could be said, most likely for Mr. Michael Pennix at four and a half. We'll talk to our guy Tom Braille on the other side, the grinder, see what he has cooking for this week. Yeah, I'm tempted to go in on a couple of these low end props. Maybe the grinder has a low end proper to, but yeah, I learned my lesson with Devon Singletary last week. I'm going to when I try to get cute on these really, really low props with very low yardish totals, the grinder though, Tom Braille on the other side, but first most people think sports betting is about picking winners ungambled is built on a different idea, match betting and arbitrage. It's a tool that teaches you how to use sports book bonuses and promotional offers to capture value, whether or not your side covers and ungambled backs it up. If you don't turn a profit on your bank role in eight weeks, they will refund your membership to learn more. Start with the free guide at ungambled.com slash Vison, that is ungambled.com slash Vison, use the promo code Vison for a 10% break on the
price bet sharp and look square. You will always bet sharp when you follow our guy Tom Braille aka the grinder. He joins us on the other side of this Thursday edition of Prop Points right here on Vison. You're watching Prop Points with the guru himself, John Hanson on Vison, these sports betting network. It would not be a game day Thursday night football show without Tom Braille aka the grinder. Welcome back to this Thursday edition of Prop Points. We go directly to the progressive Post-March. We're going to have a big party on Friday night football show at 1.5 on 4. Tom Reiter owner co-owner and betting maven over at fantasypoints.com on the ex machine at Tom Braille. Great call Tom on Darnel Mooney last week. You know, I'm a mooney guy. I couldn't touch it, even though. That was a good one. How you feeling?
good. That was a nice hit on Monday. I also had the Jackson Dart props. So hopefully all these sportsbooks are kind of offering that injury protection right now. So hopefully people were able to get their money back for that. But yeah, it was easy. No sweat on the Darnel Mooney. But I have a couple of props that it's going to, I'm going to force you to sweat all night long probably or unless these get busted early in the game. I got a couple sweaty type bets for us to look at tonight. Yeah, if it wasn't for Marvin Harrison, I think people might be talking a little bit more about Kyle Pits. It's only two games. But man, it is. It is underwhelming and it's not a good schematic matchup. You're going under three and a half receptions with Drake London's boy, his bra, Michael Penex back in the line up there. What else to see with Pits? Yeah, it's a very slow start for him this season. As you said, he has one catch just like Marvin
Harrison. Only for 15 yards. So an extremely slow start. And Kyle Pits kind of, you know, he was very good with Kyle Kirk cousins at the end of last year. But has never been completely on the same page with Michael Penex. Just a career 16%. 15.6% target share. Averaging about 3.8 receptions per game. But obviously those numbers, so we're looking at three and a half receptions tonight. But that 3.8 receptions per game can obviously get skewed with, you know, a six or seven catch performance. So, so it's been all rights, but not great. It should be better numbers with Michael Penex. He does have an eye for Drake London usually. So he's got a lot of targets to him. Maybe they try to get him going. That is the one thing that does worry me about this bet. We did have Tommy Reese earlier this week, the offensive coordinator. He was asked about Kyle Pits and, you know,
it's typical, you know, he's not going to say, no, we don't need to throw it to him. You know, he said that we need to get him involved. And what you'd expect from an offensive coordinator to, when he was asked about Kyle Pits. So, yeah, well, we got a plus price on this under three and a half plus 106. It has been bet up at some of the books, but it's still like in that minus 105 range. I still think it's, it's bettable there. It gets much higher than that. I would probably stay away. But just expected maybe a potentially ugly game here tonight. Paul, John Paul's my co-host on the the series. Excessional, but just thinking it might be a little bit of an ugly game. And I think people are assuming Michael Penex is going to step right back into the lineup. And this offense is going to be fixed. And this guy is, it seemed like he was ready, but it was a little bit tentative to get out there and play. It's been a couple of weeks and finally, he feels ready to play. But it's been a long layoff off of this ACL injury.
Doesn't have a lot of work didn't get to any work in the preseason. Just some practices. So I don't know if he's going to hit the ground running here tonight. Could be a little bit of an ugly game. So I'll look at Kyle Pits to disappoint a little bit. If anybody goes off, it probably will be Drake London in this passing game. It probably be John Robinson as well. Yeah, I'm trying to envision it. Like I could, I could see him catching three. And I could see that being like, whoa, whoa, we caught three. You know, I mean, I don't know if I could envision him catching four. We're talking with Tom Braille aka the grinder from fantasypoints.com. Kick and tail on the bets for the subscribers over there on the betting package. And you can use the promo code grinder and save 70% off your first month to check it out here. Well, you mentioned serious XM. You're on the morning show a couple days a week with Paul Kelly. I go on there every Thursday and Friday last Thursday.
I was all in on adult and concai. This Thursday. I'm all in on Tucker craft. So did you at least consider Tucker craft with his number? I did. I got in at 43.5. Really promising numbers last week. I actually had an under on his receiving yards, which I did win. But it was one of those where you kind of look back at it at the end of the end of the week. And I was, yeah, I got it right for the wrong reasons. I was kind of ease him into a bigger workload. But last week he was out there for every snap. So I mean, this was, you know, we heard earlier in the preseason and in the summer that they're going to bring them along slowly. They don't want to rush them back. But he was out there a ton last week. So the targets didn't just didn't come his way. The only problem right now is this offensive line is a little banged up. And then he was closer to like a 67% route share.
So he was helping out a little bit in protection. But hopefully they, you know, now that they've had a full week here to practice without the right tackle. I'm not even going to try to pronounce Zach Tom's new name there. But hopefully with a couple of days they have a better plan. I think Chris Brooks is their past protector. He can also help out. And maybe he will get Tucker craft out into the pattern a little bit more this week. So I do think he could have a nice bounce back performance. And if you look at it, I mean, Jaden reads out. That's why I kind of like this passing game a lot in for fantasy this this past summer. I thought it was going to be a lot more condensed between Christian Watson and Tucker craft at the very top. Now it's going to be even more condensed with Jaden read out of the picture. So I think it's going to be a three man show in that path. The entire offense right now they don't have a running game. So I do think it's going to kind of funnel through craft golden and and and Watson right now.
So yeah, I do like a bounce back performance from craft that's have another tight end explosion on Thursday night football. Yeah, let's do it. You mentioned Chris Brooks. You're taking the under 16.5 on the rushing yards at minus 114 on Fandall. And I have to assume Caleb Johnson has a lot to do with that. So I think that's why the Jordan's law was talking about loving and what he did on those outside zone runs last week. It did look pretty good. Yeah, it's going to be probably a lot of Caleb Johnson and a lot of marsh on Lloyd in the early down situations. That's what we've seen so far. Even even dating back to last year, Chris Brooks was more of a past protector. The Jordan loves personal past past protector and I think that's going to be his role tonight. I think that's going to be a lot of opportunities for him in the run game. Of course, you know, this is such a low total that if he does get like a holding call or if they get a sack or something and it's a surrender play. That could that could always hurt this under right now, but I just don't see him getting a lot of opportunities on first and second down.
And clear running situations. I think they're going to lean into Caleb Johnson into marsh on Lloyd. Hopefully both of those guys fumbled last week. Marshall and Lloyd lost his fumble did get benched a little bit, but I do think that they'll be back at the top of the depth chart this week. So hopefully those guys hold on to the ball. Matt LaFlor feels no need to get Chris Brooks in there in early down situations, but. And I just also think that they're going to kind of struggle to run the ball a little bit in this matchup Atlanta. Yeah, that's one thing that they have done really well so far. They're kind of weaker in the secondary right now. They just lost AJ Terrell to an injury, but against the run they're giving up the fourth fewest adjusted yards before contact from our fantasy points data. In the sixth fewest rushing yards per game to the position right now. So they've been good against the run. Green Bay can't run. Can't run the ball with their even when they were healthy and now they have two offensive line injuries coming into this game. So I just don't see them having a whole lot of success on the ground.
So I'm looking at Chris Brooks under 16 and a half. I know this one has been bet down. You know, I do think there is like a 15 and a half still out there. So I would consider it there, but it gets much lower than 14 and a half is probably the lowest I would go on this. You like Jameer Gibbs over 83.5 rushing yards minus 110 on draft Kings. That's a bone that you're throwing to the viewers, but also talk about. Add and I Mitchell over 45.5 at minus 114. He does seem to click already with Gina Smith. Yeah, this is a great matchup forum when we picked on this line secondary on the show last week with Keon Coleman. No sweat there at all. 80 Mitchell is playing well. He really is. He's really coming into his own in his third season. He's really started to emerge as a viable target next to Garrett Wilson through the first two weeks of the season. So 76% route share 23% target share. Everything's kind of lining up here. Good against cover three, which is what Detroit has been running the first two weeks of the season.
They were a big man team last week last year, but playing more cover three and his numbers do pop against the cover three. So like 80 Mitchell up over 45 and a half, he's been to 60 yards already twice through the start of the season here. So maybe you can do it again and get to 60 yards for a third time. Yeah, that's a good play. I like that and follow Tom on X at Tom Broley. Once again, that promo code grinder 70% off the bedding package at tenacepoints.com. Great stuff is always Tom. Thanks for your time. We'll talk to you on Monday and when we return my picks for Thursday night football here on Prop Points. Flowing ad bunched on metrics that look great till the CFO sees them, that's bullspin. And marketers are calling it out in dashboard confessions. I remember telling my boss, it'll be good for the brand.
When leads were slow. Yeah, it wasn't. Cut the bullspin. LinkedIn lets you target by company, job title and more. Advertise on LinkedIn. Spend $250 on your first campaign and get a $250 quite at go to LinkedIn.com slash campaign term secretions apply. Check your phone and it still plays baby. Oh, and it is completely ad free. Yes, I said it ad free. Try YouTube premium for two months free at youtube.com slash premium. Trial eligibility varies, terms apply, cancel anytime. You're watching Prop Points with the guru himself, John Hanson on Vison, these sports betting network.
Welcome back to this Thursday edition of Prop Points here on Vison. I'm John Hanson of fantasy points dot com before we get into my props. Just want to say I normally don't play the spreads or totals. But for those who do and they want more information on those head on over to Vison dot com. Check out the betting splits over at Vison dot com slash splits right now. We see a 62% of the handle is on green Bay to cover at minus 4.5 really great information. So if you want to know what the handle is or what the total looks like had to Vison dot com slash splits. I did not find anything of note to pop out here for a lean. I just tried to pull out, you know, we got to throw out at least four for a nationally televised game. And that's exactly what I have. I also do have a Thursday night special.
It's obviously hit or miss a little bit more than usual, if you will, but it could also be a hit like that. So stay tuned for that. But it is time now for my top props. You've heard the analytics. You've heard the stats. Now it's time for what you've really been waiting for the gurus top props. As we discussed on yesterday's show, I am in on Tucker craft. We got in on that at 43.5 at minus one 13 on a DK. But I am still willing to, you know, I'd go. I'm still in at 45.5 over 45.5. So I mean, I'd like to have those two yards back. But I did post this over at fantasy points dot com this morning. I do like a Tucker craft to move the needle tonight. As we've mentioned, no jade and read that should help. We'll see what sky more can give them doing a great job in the return game.
But obviously, and not not a very accomplished receiver. So they could use Tucker craft a little bit more. And by the way, I loved the snap it. She played like 99.8% of the snaps last week. And as we've discussed, it is a good schematic matchup for Tucker craft up against the cover three. He crushes cover three. And oh, by the way, Jordan love as we discussed yesterday with Brett Whitefield. He also crushes cover three. So we're going to go in on that. The Atlanta Falcons have been pretty giving two tight ends thus far. They also play a lot of single high safety looks, which is a good look for Mr. Tucker craft. So I feel I feel good about it. He is one of the most efficient players in the league at the position. Darren Waller got this defense last week, as we've mentioned three for 33 and a couple of tuddies and very limited opportunities.
Like I said, his snap total, he played like 98.3% of the snaps last week. Granted, he might be needed to block just a little bit more. But I do like the matchup overall. It sets up pretty well for Tucker craft. The Falcons again, given up the 11th most receiving yards per game. And the eighth most receptions per game. Two tight ends thus far. Next up, we got a little weird here tonight for these props, but we'll go. This isn't that weird Drake London. Don't know about the yardage, but I do feel good about Drake London tonight. Obviously he's the man for Michael Pennicks. Kyle Pits will see, but it's not going well. And it hasn't gone particularly well with Kyle Pits with Michael Pennicks. And it hasn't gone well with all their secondary receivers. You know, some other teams you're worried about three, four or five other guys like the Patriots, by the way, we're not worried about Olamia Zacchaeus or Johan Dotson or Zachariah Branch.
Maybe one of those guys makes a play, but it's all about Drake London. I'm not going to go over the yardage total because I, I'm not totally convinced that he's going to hit the yardage total. But I am pretty darn convinced that he's going to catch six balls. So let's go over five point five receptions for Mr. Drake London at minus one oh seven on DK. What I'm hoping is we get like two quick completions in the first series. And then it'll be all downhill from there. But I do expect him to be obviously very, very active. And this is a pretty good odd. These odds are pretty good at minus one oh seven. So that's a little surprising. But on the other hand, it's Michael Penex's first start. So I don't think anyone's going to play over six and a half for Drake London. But I do feel good that we'll get to six. I don't know about seven, but I feel good that we'll get two six. Now somewhat counterintuitively because I do like Tucker craft. But that's only 45, 46 yards. We're talking and technically I only need Tucker craft to hit 44 to hit the prop.
We did play an under on Jordan love last week. And it looked good and it hit at the half. He only had like 70 yards. So I was feeling good. He made a couple of plays in the second half. You're probably not going to completely shut down Drake London or Jordan love. Man, all kinds of names swimming through the head. You're probably not going to completely shut down Jordan love. But you know with the two starters down his right tackle has left guard the offensive line was shaky to begin with. I do think Christian Watson will make some plays tonight, but it's not the greatest schematic matchup for Matthew golden. They aren't thinned out with no jade and read. So I think I'll I think it'll be a low scoring boring game. Maybe I'll be wrong on this because I can't run the ball. But I I'm just not feeling warm and fuzzy about Mr. Jordan love right now throwing off his back foot all the time. And that's problematic behind an offensive line that looks weaker to me than it has in about 10 years. So we'll go under on Jordan love under 229.5 passing yards minus 115.
That was over at bet MGM and then somewhat correspondingly tough match up for B. John on the ground as we've outlined. However, I do think again, it'll be a relatively close game. It'll be ugly. And I don't think Jordan love is going to be liked out tonight. So I'm going to go in on over 18.5 rushing attempts for Mr. B. John Robinson at minus 116 on DK. And certainly with Michael Pettics back, you certainly don't want to come out slinging it. My man is going to be rusty as a throwing a pass in the game since late last season. So I do think B. John will be fed the rock in this game. That's going to give them their only chance to win the game is to be patient and feed B. John of the ball. Now he does have a little bit of a better match up in terms of the passing attack. But I do think we're looking all right here in a close game to just hit night. It'll be close, but just hit 19 carries for Mr. B. John Robinson. And we will be correct. We did get that James Cook carry total prop right last week. So that's one thing I'm trying to do a little bit is trying to anticipate the flow of the game, trying to anticipate player performances and then take it from there in terms of running back to Tots and Brian Robinson.
Not much of a factor. I don't think he'll be anything close to what Tyler Algier was over the last couple of years for Mr. B. John Robinson. We do have one more item up for bid here. One more item to get to on this Thursday edition of the program. By the way, we'll be back tomorrow with our guy, Josh Shivalier of fantasy points, college football. He's been doing great on the props. So make sure you're tuning for that. And I had such bad luck last week on Sunday. I lost the prop from Terra McLaren dropping a ball from Jaden Reed getting hurt on the second player of the game from Ramondra Stevenson fumbling early and essentially getting benched. I lost the Garrett Wilson prop by a handful of yards. What I'm trying to say is the football gods usually throw me a bone after a tougher Sunday, which last week definitely was don't go anywhere up next. It's money moves with stormy by the Tony and Jonathan Von Tobel on today's show will Brinson joins them in the circus suite to preview week number three. Then at four PM Eastern, it is follow the money with Mitch Moss and Paul Howard followed by
Thursday night bet cast at eight PM with Keeshawn Johnson and Patrick Mahu, Mahar breaking down the Thursday night game live all right here on Vison, the sports betting network. As I mentioned, it's been a tough go on the Monday and Thursday night specials thus far. Sometimes things just don't line up perfectly. Not sure this one lines up well, but I look long and hard. I considered Drake London. I think it's over. I think we had to get to eight or more catches to get to over plus 200. That's my role. The specials have to be at least plus 200. So looking at all the options. I felt the best one and it's like a one play situation was in fact Christian Watson, longest reception, 35 plus yards at plus. 213 on DK. I've been all in on Christian Watson pretty much throughout his career. He was my number one player to draft this summer. I'm not bragging because fingers crossed he can hold up but he looks tremendous.
And that catch and run week one against the Minnesota Vikings was absolutely incredible. So I can see them trying to get him the ball on those underneath crossers where he can do damage as an athlete in terms of run after the catch. And he also is a pretty good air yards guys. So longest reception for Christian Watson, 35 plus yards at plus 213 on DK. Good luck with all the plays. We'll catch up. I'm on Yana for another edition of prop points here on Visa. I remember telling my boss it'll be good for the brand when leads were slow. Yeah, it wasn't. Cut the bullspend linked in lets you target by company job title and more advertise on LinkedIn. Spend $250 on your first campaign and get a $250 credit go to link to dot com slash campaign term sick edition supply.
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