Prop Points | September 25, 2026

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1:00It's on Vison, the SportsBetting Network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hansen. Happy Friday, good afternoon. Welcome to another edition of Prop Points here on Vison. I'm John Hansen of fantasypoints.com. The program is being produced by Mr. Michael Cohen, who I presume isn't a good mood today because he started B. John Robinson and Christian Watson in fantasy last night. We'll talk Falcons Packers, takeaways, a little bit of a frustrating mix bag here on Thursday night football. But we did get a couple of things right. And we just missed the Thursday night special by one yard. So we'll talk about that. Did have a gentleman shout me out on Twitter yesterday who asked me about whether or not he should go

2:01B. John Robinson over 21.5 carries. And I said, you know what? That looks pretty good. And that was a hit at plus 200 should have used that for the Thursday night special. But neither here nor there. I'm ready to rock and roll though for week number three. I'm going to do on Sunday after a pretty rough outing last week. I had everything going on. I had injuries. I had fumbles. I had horrific drops. You name it. So the football gods are. They owe me. So I've got some really good props here for this weekend that I feel very good about our guide. Josh Chivalier will talk. Leans and touchdown props will probably start with a leaner to here in this first segment. Our guide Josh Chivalier of fantasy points at college football will join us as usual in the third segment on a Friday's been doing very well with the props well over 500 and nothing special last week, but he won. I think it was three and two.

3:02And then we'll talk about my props for Sundays action. I think I've got, I think I got like eight or nine of them and that are official props. And I do in fact have a best bet for Sunday. We are all into so far started out eight and no last year somehow somehow we're all into, but this one is a winner. And we even got some good news on the injury report related to the props. So we'll get to that at the end of the show. And well, let's take a look at the results from last night and you know, man, very frustrating with Tucker craft. You know, I didn't expect him to have to throw it that much, but I did like Tucker craft. I mean, the dude got eight targets in the game and he dropped a couple of balls. I understood not even said it that he was probably going to be near the line of scrimmage all night, you know, helping out blocking and things like that. And that seemed to be the case for sure, but come on, man, 26 yards should have caught another ball or two.

4:05Unbelievable. 53 attempts from Jordan love as they're playing from behind and Tucker craft cannot hit, but Matthew gold it. Oh, let's get into him real quick. I didn't want to go there because the schematics of the matchup actually thought Jordan love would would not play well, which was kind of the case. The prop that I had with Jordan love was looking good at the halftime, but I didn't expect to have to be throwing it on every single down, but I've seen enough of Matthew gold. And I kind of like forgot this fact, but I was very high on Matthew golden two years ago, we have a draft preview basically at fantasy points.

5:14You know, I just wasn't feeling it. So I didn't do it, but you know, obviously, Jordan love throwing a 53 times that really, really helped because it was a so, so game for the most part. He padded the stats and guard bodge time, but he did get that early touchdown and man, he has come in through big time. So I do feel good about the preseason analysis. He was my number one play to target. But we also took over on everything we took over. I did a lot of it here, doing over at fantasy points as well. I had a long shot play that he would lead the NFL in touchdown receptions, which is looking good because he's got four already, but I went over on his catch total prop here on the Vs embedding guide and or the futures draft that we did before the season. I went over the yard. I went over everything. And right now we're looking really, really good. I did bring up sky more last week. And of course, he hit, but I can't do it. I'm personally in eligible to play Skymore props because I was very high on him a couple of years ago for the Kansas City Chiefs.

6:20And it just did not happen for Skymore, but he contributes for the Green Bay Packers who have no running game. And they are mess. And also did take in that recent futures draft the under on the Green Bay Packers win total. By the way, they almost lost the jets. They're almost there this close to being 0 and 3. So the vibes are horrific. And based on the news that we got on Josh Jacobs looks like there's a chance we might not see Mr. Jacobs don't quote me on that one there, but it's a struggle bus time for the Green Bay Packers, which yet another factor. There are both well for my Minnesota Vikings love in terms of the win total, the division and all that over on the Falcon side of thing. Yeah. I am trying to find unders and shout out to the grinder top rally, unbelievable. He gets the Kyle pits prop right and he's also really good at determining roles and looking at props.

7:22So he went under on Chris Brooks and the rushing prop, you know, with my luck, you know, Chris Brooks gets one carry or rips off like a 14 harder, but you don't even get a damn carry. So shout out again to the grinder, not just me here on prop points. We do have a support system in place and they're doing better than I am this year. That's for sure. But we do get that B. John Robinson call right. I mean, my goodness, easy win there. And I'm going to lean into these a little bit more because I've done very well on these carry total props trying to anticipate the flow of the game. I did think and I did say yesterday I thought it would be close game. I thought it would be lower scoring, but I did feel like B. John Robinson is going to get some serious volume and my man did 29 carries for 194 and two touchdowns. You know, it's a little tricky when you don't know about Michael Pennick. So I wanted to go all in on on B. John like for everything, but we do get that correct. And we also get correct very much so the Drake London over 5.5 receptions. Of course, I said yesterday I wasn't sure about the yardage. Well, I maybe I should have been 194.

8:33Unbelievable, but this is why we lean on schematics because the coverage is that Drake London was set to see were really, really good. And it was so good that he completely bogarded the football with his boy Michael Pennicks. We had mentioned earlier in the week on Tuesday when we do players to trade and trade for I think I mentioned it the week before as well. But I've been doing that trade article for 15 years. And Drake London was the most obvious by low I've ever seen in those 15 years and so far so good that chemistry with Michael Pennicks is real. So you're looking good going forward with Drake London because Michael Pennicks look very good 18 to 25 for 256 and a tuddy. He does throw a pick. I should have done with the Jordan love. I was between the interception and the yardage. Should have won with the interception. Of course, that was a garbage time interception that came late in the game because love is a little cautious with the football and he protects that rock not much else going on here. So let's take a look at the injuries.

9:40Oh, and again, the third tonight special, which I should have won with the B John over 21 carries had I known, you know, had I had a feel for Michael Pennicks. I mean, the first time we saw Michael Pennicks since late last year. So I couldn't go over what I should have done would have done. You know, if this game were if this was Pennicks's second start and maybe he shows well in the first start, then I would have had the confidence I would have been all in on Drake London. So I opted for the Christian Watson 35 or longer for the longest reception and oh, yeah, he caught a ball for 34. So we missed that by one yard. So we are due to get some love from the football gods. Quick note here Nick Boza pulled his calf during yesterday's practice. He is now expected to miss a couple of weeks. And again, this bodes very well for the prop that we have as the best bet. Jayden Daniels will not be placed on IR, Pukinakua has not practiced due to the groin injury. He may not play as we know, Sam Donald practicing in full on Thursday, Devante Smith out of practice on Thursday with a hamstring injury. That is worrisome.

10:52Jalen Cook, I love Jalen Cook, or last week, I didn't do it because he's on the injury report long again this week, but he did practice on Friday with the ankle spoiler alert. I'm not in because I'm trying to avoid any injury problems whatsoever speaking of injuries. I was going to go all in on Tony Pollard, but I didn't know his rushing prop. I think it's 45.5. It's very good number. I didn't know if he'd be a full go in today's practice, which it just came down that he was. So that should be a really good spot for him against the Giants Caleb Douglas, the rookie wide receiver for the dolphins won't play in week number three. And then there are concerns per rich, Samini of ESPN with at at an a Mitchell AD Mitchell's finger. Injury. So that is a concern because we do like AD Mitchell this week. We'll talk about it on the other side. But first, fanatic sports and casinos, the only sports book that rewards every bet earn up to 10% fan cash back on your bets, win or lose, then turn that fan cash into more bets, profit boost official

11:52team merch tickets trading cards collectibles and more head to fanatics.com to get started must be 21 or older gambling problem call 1 800 gambler or call 1 800 my reset in Maryland 80327 5050 or gambling help line M a dot org for Massachusetts 877 8 hope and why or text hope and why to New York 888 or 789 777 7 or CCP G dot org for Connecticut more than a game dot NC gov dot gov for North Carolina. fan cash is subject to fanatics sports book fan cash terms available online. It's also subject to the notice of financial incentives users can opt out of the loyalty program at any time based on US sports book analysis from July 2026. Leans and touchdown props coming at you next.

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13:52This is Angus Maximus this partner has one part of a pound of hot juicy cooked to water and just be it's more face to the quarter pounder the battle of clothes and for only 5.99 even regular juice can afford it like that guy. You can get that big open. Yeah. He holds Angus Maximus only 5.99 is cold senior available for a limited time of participating restaurants tax on included not valid for use within a combo or in combination with any other offer discount. I'm going to add them up to the record but you know I like popping out some leans here and also making official plays and we are trying to embrace the

15:00unders as best we can we're doing relatively well on the unders this year even though we lost that Jordan love under last week or last night actually we went in the week before and I'm also trying to lean into a little bit more of you know just trying to get into deeper a little deeper into the weeds and looking at the big picture anticipated flow of the game obviously looking at matchups and I do like it because last week I went over on Jared gobs and we hit that easily and we're going to go under on Jared gobs completions this weekend under 23.5 completions minus 109 on draft Kings I did I did want to check in on that the total in the game because you do worry a little bit because the jets defense is not good so but then again how confident are we in Gino Smith and the jets so the total is 47.5 which actually isn't that high considering how poor the

16:07jets or the how poor the lion secondary has been but I here's why I like it because very quietly it's only two games but the jets have actually allowed the 5th lowest completion percentage in football through two games they're right behind Seattle in every notable metric relating to the passing attack they're only given up a 57.4% completion rate the second lowest YPA at 4.6 which is terrible and the second fewest yards they've only given up 285 total yards we took the under last week on Jordan love and that did hit a spoiler alert I like Jameer Gibbs I think it's going to be a Gibbs game and oh by the way it's not an optimal matchup for Jameo Williams they're playing a lot of cover two and the number one objective with cover two is to have those split safeties protecting the deep area of the field and preventing big plays so probably not

17:08going to see a big play to Jameo in the game so it'll be thinking dunk to a monro and LaPorta and a lot and Gibbs all day Gibbs all day baby now very frustrating last week we lost that Derek Henry prop I'm like you got to be kidding me my man got 5 carries in the second half we were well on track and then they just didn't give them the ball so Declan Doyle my man learned a lesson last week that is not going to happen again and this is a good spot so we're going to go over 88.5 rushing yards for Derek Henry at minus 113 the Cowboys allow the ninth most yards before contact six most rushing yards per game ninth highest YPC to run him backs and Dallas so far and it's also a good schematic matchup they have given up 60% success rate 5.11 yards per carry on zone concept runs 65% of Henry's runs are on those types of runs he has a whopping 73% success rate on those runs so far along with 5.92 yards per carry so I do believe that we'll get a correction here because I do believe the Ravens are going to win in Declan Doyle again you gave you dude you gave Derek Henry 5 carries last week

18:28and you lost so I'm sure you learned your lesson let's go to another under and I know Pukinakua is trending toward not playing but I still am going to go under on Devonte Adams we went over last week because it was a good schematic matchup with the two high safety's not a good schematic matchup this week against Denver they play more single high and they also run the six highest rate of man coverage and Devonte is at a pretty low 1.70 yards per run against man and most importantly we are projecting shadow coverage from stud Pat Sir Tam so I do hope that Pukinakua goes for this prop but even if he doesn't go I don't know this is a big number 75%. I know and it's probably inflated because Adams went off last week with the very favorable schematic in individual matchup and it's complete opposite this week so we'll take the under and then we will in fact take the over on Pat Fryer me I mean I love the under on DK Mecca for DK Mecca is not doing crap this week on the outside against that defense they're really good in terms of pressure they're really good covering the outside thanks to DJ Turner aka

19:42the eraser so we will pivot on over to patty fry or move over 36.5 since 2025 the Bengals have allowed a 31.6% target share to opposing tight ends that is 19% more than any other defense in that span they're also an underneath funnel they allow the second most receiving yards on throws traveling 10 yards or fewer from the line of scrimmage but the second fewest on the deep ball which is really good. I don't like DK obviously they give up the most receiving yards per game 100 and the most receptions per game 8.5 to tight ends Dalton Schultz roasted them last week 12 grabs for 140 on 14 targets in a negative game script and they're very comparable players Dalton Schultz and patty fry or move and speaking of patty fry or move I also love the anytime touch down prop over at deep ball.

20:42DK as we get into my favorite touchdown props I've got five of them they're all plus 300 so I'm thinking let's just hit two and we're good we are profitable this year I believe it's like plus 250 on the touchdown props so I love that plus 340 for Pat Fryer Muth hopefully Darnell Wright doesn't get involved in the end zone now I am a little worried about Rich Samini's report about AD Mitchell's finger I mean it's a finger I mean like we you know we got a lot of things to do with the game and I'm going to do it. We got nine other ones right. We can probably haul in some passes here I do like it's a really good schematic match up I know our guy the grinder Tom Braille really likes it lions give up the most receptions to outside receivers they're also a deep funnel it's a really good match up you know in that regard because AD Mitchell leads the NFL in air yards and they also use cover three and he averages a very strong they use cover three four.

21:4246% of the time he averages a very strong 2.22 yards per route run is clicking really well with Geno Smith so that's why I pop that one in there Isaiah likely plus three 20 we actually hit the under on Monday night which was a shock because my man got 10 targets he is way up there in first read target share 32.7% of the dropbacks Isaiah likely is the first read a lot of that was Jamo Williams last week I think I'm not going to be targeting him 10 times but I do think that's going to continue with Malik neighbors possibly playing a decoy role and he has crushed 13 plus fantasy sports for game in 12 games without Mark Andrews next up we're going to go with an anytime touchdown for Michael Wilson plus 3 20 sure's heck isn't going to be more of a Harrison is it and then this is a little counter intuitive because Kyler Murray has not been great against the blitz and obviously Todd bowls and the bucks they're going to blitz a lot they blitz I believe dating back to last year at a top three level but I do believe is this more of a gut feeling but I do believe that Kyler Murray is going to run around a little bit and you know Aaron Jones practice on Thursday so it looks like he's trending toward play that they don't have a very good running game in tight basically on top of the goal they don't score a ton of rushing touchdowns

23:12so a little bit of a gut feel but I do also like the odds here it's plus 3 80 that's pretty ridiculous here so Kyler Murray kind of running all over the place we do have a prop that we're in on that we'll get to in the final segment that I really really like but Kyler Murray running all over the place so blitz happy defense and by the way it's not the greatest match up for you know most of his receivers other than one guy that we're going to get to so I do like this one plus 3 80 and I do believe while Kyler Murray wasn't necessarily a great fit for Kevin O'Connell scheme and we'll see how that goes but I do believe that one of their reasons they were interested in Kyler Murray is to give them another answer on top of the goal because again they have not been great in that regard so that's what I have on tap in terms of four leans and some touchdown props again I do believe if we hit two of these touchdown props in fact I know will be absolutely profitable which is all we want to do we'll talk college football on the other side with Josh Shivalier fantasy points

24:20college but first 25 handicaps are going ahead to head all season long in the second Friday football invitations live every Friday from 7 to 10 PM Eastern each contestant make make seven college and NFL plays a week chasing a piece of 30 thousand dollars in prize money if you want the picks without watching live these in pro subscribers get every pick email straight to their inbox after the show subscribe at vison.com slash subscribe and never miss a play we're halfway done with the program final segment in about 15 minutes I will pop out my props for week three that I feel really good about but I don't feel as good about anything then the best bet that will pop out in about 20 minutes Josh Shivalier of fantasy points college football though he is next here on prop points you

25:30you're watching prop points with the guru himself john Hanson on vison these sports betting network you welcome back to this Friday edition of prop points here on vison i'm john Hanson of fantasy points dot com and from the aforementioned website Josh Shivalier college football analyst at fantasy points college football he's on x at cf f guys another winning week that's three in a row for you Josh three and two last week i feel it i mean i'm feeling both good and a little bit lucky i mean there we got one of them uh close to an end as i'm friday and i hit it by half a yard uh so it's got both ways for us right we've lost one by half a yard and we won one by half a yard and man he had no catches in no yards at a half time and just went off 10 catches 69 yards it's like a half so thankful that my amy's a good team went blowing them out and made him pass the

26:33ball we had gamescript in our favor yeah i knew that malachotony was going to hit like my rule is if i've heard of you you're good and i've heard of malachotony for sure um i've been trying to watch a little bit more college football you know i've watched maybe three or four games i'm actually a little bit more into it than i i used to be because saturday would be i would have like uh maybe an eight hour window through the entire week where you know i don't have to work so i'm like the last i want to do is getting bottom football but that's either here nor there yeah let's start off your picks for this weekend wake forest at number 16 Louisville tomorrow uh at 12 eastern you like trade Richardson of Louisville over 61.5 receiving yards over on underdog and apparently he's hit this number at three weeks in a row yeah so let's make it for you know he barely crossed his last week 62 receiving yards against s and mu but i mean this passing offense for Louisville they struggled in the first half against old mist in the first game but since then they've been unbelievable um Lincoln

27:37King holds has really settled into that Jeff Brown offense not i like uh what they're doing on that side of the ball true Richardson's the number one guy but this goes back to wake forest you talked about it malachotony hit that prop in the first half yet 101 yards and 10 catches out of the slot and this uh you know this wake forest team has just struggled to stop slot receivers all year i mean you have malachotony per due and week two uh we were more on carlos and it isn't that game but on the other side Assad was seen went off for 65 receiving yards out of the slot they had another slot receiver in that game Xavier Towson they hit 58 so wakes all thing is like we're not going to give up explosive plays so we're going to make it you know dink and dunk down the field well Traders Richardson can think and dunk you can take one of those you know two yard screen passes you can take over 60 yards at any point so i like Isaac Trey because they get volume but also the explosive nature their game just allows them to go over these props quite a bit next up you got

28:40South Carolina at number eight alabama tomorrow at seven p.m. Eastern and over on price ticks a price picks i am not familiar with this gentleman so i might butcher the name lots here brooks of alabama 54.5 and how about the game cocks here uh they they started this season without their defense apparently they they allowed three Mississippi state wide receivers to go over this number last week yeah and look i mean think lots here brooks what's happened in there the reason why you haven't heard of them is because he's been the wide receiver too this year and then last week they kind of did a roll reversal between him and Ryan Coleman Williams when they got in a jam against Florida state when they were down by like two touchdowns and lots of your brooks came to play i mean first week of the season he had like below one yard per out run last week had four yards per out run he had i think like eleven or twelve targets i mean he had a hundred uh maybe hundred and eighteen yards i mean he dusted this number so i think he's like quickly becoming the wide receiver one there with

29:43Ryan Coleman Williams just not having shorthands and so i think we're getting him at a wide receiver two price for alabama but where he's actually becoming the wide receiver one so i really like this again last week Mississippi state went over this number um even all three of those wide receivers did there and i think this week uh south Carolina has always played alabama tough so all that's a 12 and a half point spread they've scored at least 22 points and the last two times they faced them alabama so i think they're going to score points making alabama beat them through the air and lots of your brooks goes over this four fifty four and a half number number 23 Texas A&M at number 10 ls u tomorrow i did watch that ls u game and look like they were going to come back and win it but uh not to be had uh you like mario craver of Texas A&M over 59.5 receiving yards over on prize picks my man's averaging 10 targets of game that's a lot in college right yeah in this last week had 19 against Kentucky when they were down wow look they lost

30:50their yeah they lost their wide receiver three terry bussey and they were pretty much playing bussey horton and mario craver and so when he went down i think a lot of those targets that were spread out just got funneled over there in mario craver and ls u's defense is awesome particularly in coverage i mean they have a 91.9 grade on their defensive coverage but for whatever reason they've struggled against slot receivers trailett yeah believe we did lose some audio there so unfortunately we'll try and reconnect here with josh chevalier of fantasy points of college and football but i can continue to pop out the recommendations here if we're not going to get josh back on the line got to love technology you got to love sports and you got to love technology well fourth on his list is rachon jones of boise state over 58.5 receiving yards over on prize picks as boise state is at

31:51western michigan tomorrow at 3 30 p m eastern and uh thankfully josh supplies some very solid notes here over uh he's hit this over in his first three games uh 10 for 76 five for 61 eight for 95 he's averaging 70 70 yards per game so he is looking at this one on an over situation with a pretty solid game total of over 50.5 the fantasy point projection is 69 yards which is a pretty good edge there of plus 10 yards so there is the fourth selection from josh chevalier who we just lost the connection to or else he would probably be explaining these a lot better than i am uh and then fifth on his list Oklahoma state at west virginia 7 p.m. eastern tomorrow calib hawkins of

32:52Oklahoma state over 80.5 rushing yards that one there is over on underdog now i highlighted the fact that josh calls him an absolute beast we like beasts beasts are good in football uh average uh 17 for 87 yards rushing uh he had 18 for 79 yards rushing against Tulsa he had 23 for 110 rushing yards against Oregon so let's recap it here we got oh by the way game total here of 60 we are projecting 95 rushing yards uh which is pretty comfortable pretty comfortable edge here in cushion of 18.5 yards so to recap he likes tre Richardson over 61.5 receiving yards on underdog lot's ear brooks over 54.5 receiving yards over on price picks mario craver over 59.5

33:54receiving yards on price picks i see he takes overs as i do as well it's it's it's hard to resist the over because you kind of proactively can look at it uh we do believe we do believe we have josh back on the line here so we can offer up maybe some closing thoughts on calib hawkins of Oklahoma state there we are yeah yeah i'm back sorry i think i touched the mic in a way that i shouldn't have but yeah i mean look kiv hawkins the beast he went off last year for uh for north Texas i mean he was unbelievable over the last half of the year and look what's for jenna's just not gonna be able to stop and know it two running backs last week for uva go for basically 150 yards and 25 carries and that's i mean kiv went for 110 against Oregon so i love him there you mentioned ratio on jones that's my favorite bet of this whole slate we western michigan allowing monmith to have two out receivers go for over this prop including one for going for a hundred yards

34:54and then the other game they had 126 yards for jjb cannon that he went off against them the other team they played this year was rice he runs an option offense they run the third highest rate of of run plays in the nation so western michigan's just not very good against the pass and ratio on jones is a is up and coming star in college football he is the definite wider sewer one there uh for boyz state and he will get he will get all those uh look at all the passes in receptions and uh i think he's in a dust this line uh by at least 25 yards okay give josh your valier a follow on x at college football actually cff guys at cff guys real quick uh you mentioned monmith can you name monmith colleges most notable nfl alumni i cannot Rodney Nelson well i'm i'm a jersey guy so i'm cheating miles austin former cowboy wide receiver who once had a three touchdown game in a national

36:00football league that's josh chevalier my official picks coming at you next year on prop points on vc chevy is called the heartbeat of america for a reason with suvs made to move with your rhythm the versatile equinox tackles your entire day the spacious traverse fits your crew and your whole weekend and tracks bring style with value you can count on all infused with tech that has your back so your drive always hits the right cord adventure awaits in a new chevy right now get five hundred dollar bonus cash on select chevy tracks models plus get 2.9% financing on all 2026 tracks models together let's drive at your southern california chevy dealers bonus cash is available on 2026 chevy tracks lt in active

37:02terms only 2.9% ap r for 36 months monthly payment is twenty nine oh four for every one thousand new finance example the payment eleven percent must finance with gm financial some customers may not qualify not available with police and some of the offers take your retail delivery by nine thirty twenty six yes is angus maximus this partner has one part of a pound of hot suce cook to honor angus feet it's more expensive to quarter pounder the battle of clothes and for only five ninety nine even regular juice can afford it like that guy you get that big old burger yeah he holds angus maximus only five ninety nine is cold senior available for a limited time participating restaurants tax on included not valid for use within a combo or in combination with any other offer or discount you're watching prop points with the guru himself john hansen on vson these sports betting network welcome back to the final segment of this friday edition of

38:12prop points here on vson i'm john hansen special thanks to josh chevalier sorry about the little technical glitch there that happens now i have already popped out four leans that i feel really good about and five touchdown props and again may may be pull out that eighty michael one it is really good odds and i do love the schematic match up it looks great that's why i put it in there but you know that rich samini report and i've known rich for a while he's very diligent with his reporting on the jets he is reporting that there is some concern about that one so i don't know maybe pull that one off the board i'm already in officially so i'm stuck there and it's one of those deals if i pulled it out he'd probably score if i left it in and he probably wouldn't but that's neither here nor there i've already popped out some leans and some touchdown props we are up to the sweet part of the program time for me to pop out my top props you've heard the analytics you've heard the stats now it's time for what you've really been waiting for the gurus top props

39:16you know you're probably barking up the right tree when the robots agree with you and opt to a i agrees with me projecting over 53.5 receiving yards for mr. Dalton Kincaid at minus one 15 i found that over on a bet mgm opt a i is projecting 55.1 for more of that good stuff head on to vison.com slash nfl props but what is opt a i know uh do they know that Dalton Kincaid is absolutely balling well they probably do but not as much as we humans because we have the gift of sight uh and it's been unbelievable and it's a really good spot for Kincaid the charges have used too high looks at a top three rate in the nfl dating back to 2024 uh and they're at 59% through two games since 2024 and through two games this year sorry Dalton Kincaid gets a 20% boost

40:22to his targets per rat run against a look and how about this only jackson smith and jidba and pukinakua average more yards per rat run than Kincaid against too high looks Kincaid has crushed in his career when he's over 50% route share and he will be just that going forward uh and against cover three and cover four which they use 54% of the time he has a 4.08 yard per rat run number that is second most among all receivers just behind amon ra saint brown and the icing on the cake is the cherry on top is that josh alan sees a 56% increase to his deep throw percentage against cover four which they use 24% of the time and oh by the way wide receivers dj more and keon colman haven't checked today over the last hour because of it on the air but they did not practice dnp's uh to open the week which boads well for mr Dalton Kincaid next up same game i'm trying to pop out as many that are just so blatantly obvious

41:28that the you know it's just a slam dunk james cook and we're gonna we're gonna go over rushing and receiving because i found a really good number here on cesar's at minus 117 but i'd go up to you know 93.5 94.5 it's a good spot they may get tied johnson back finally this week but the chargers they run two high looks at a top three rate dating back to last year they're 59% this year and cook actually sees a 46% boost to his targets per rat run when facing two high looks so that's good because you know because you know tie tie johnson's been out for the first two games james cooks bit a lot more involved in the passing attack now ty johnson may not may not play but even if he does i think it's a good spot the bills are seven point fail i mean i think there's a good play if we're just looking at the russian quite frankly the bills are seven point favorites across eight games that they've won by a touchdown or more dating back to last season let's put it into fantasy uh perspective cook averages 24 fantasy points per game now la has been stingy

42:36against the run which may be why this is a lower number but they're going to be without d'alvin tomlinson it's probably 90% the d'alvin tomlinson is out he has a massive presence in the trenches they signed him to a one year deal just for this role and looks like he's going to miss the game next up i'm a harrowed vennon guy when it comes to props we did win that last week we're going to go over three and a half perceptions at minus one twenty three on dk now carolina gives up the eleventh fears receiving yard second fears receptions games the tight ends but they also face kyle pits on 50% of this sample the first two weeks they face kyle pits last week which is like facing me the panthers use cover three at a top three rate dating back to last year it's a good shell for harrowed fennon in terms of the targets per routrun he sees an 18% boost in the target per routrun against the shell he is second at tight end behind only

43:40george kittle in targets per routrun against a look uh he leads the team against cover three and that is of course despite the serious seriously strong presence of kc concepsion and d'albin and he also averages over two yards per routrun against the shell his eight octets at just 3.78 yards through two games that's fine by me because we're looking to lay up completions basically glorified handoffs to harrowed fennon and the shaw Watson played pretty well last week which doesn't hurt jimmyer gives over eighty seven point five rushing yards chargers run two high looks at a top three rate dating back to twenty twenty four they're at fifty nine percent lat this year james or jimmyer get no i got the jimmyer Gibbs wrong i got my my stuff wrong there but jimmyer Gibbs he there is no bad schematic match for him i took the under on i accidentally placed my james cook tidbits on this one but i'm in on the under on jerry goff i explained why and i i said that

44:43it's going to be a jimmyer Gibbs game basically uh jamo williams and not a good schematic matchup i don't see a lot of big plays against the cover two so they're going to have to dink and dunk and they're going to hand the ball off a ton to jimmyer Gibbs aka are also uh FYI the grinder aka tom braille also in on this prop next up parkour washington we did hit this last week 61.5 it was all about man coverage and all that minus one twelve pictures to run a man coverage 45 percent under the time parkour washington is averaged 2.99 yards per rout run an excellent number against the coverage since 2025 yet a massive 50 percent target rate against man coverage this year 50 percent target share i mean 50 percent is ridiculous 4.69 yards per rout and against man this year he'll often avoid christian gizallas inside where he'll see markis jones who gives up a pretty healthy number in terms of fantasy points per rout run it also helps that trevalloreans does

45:43very well against man coverage the weather won't be that big of an issue i live in the area about an hour away it's going to be down to the sixties which is like freezing compared to where we've been for three months next up i am going to go in on joston japherson over 68.5 we do have a lame total here but he's got a good individual matchup and a good schematic matchup against single high coverage jj averages 3.68 yards per rout run he has a 50 percent team receiving yard share through two weeks and edict has been handed down they are throwing the ball to joston japherson so i think if things start going well for khala Murray this number will be 15 yards higher in like three weeks so i like it and i also like another under cj stroud this a big number 243.5 minus 114 on dk we do have a lame total of 43 the cults run the fifth highest rate of man coverage that's

46:45not good for cj stroud he averages a week six point five nine ypa against man shults is terrible against man niko collins very much in doubt probably out so i do love that under on cj stroud up next on vason is jonathan vantobl and money moves on today's show patrick maher will break down week three in the nfl and john mckeckney will have his best college plays right here on vason but i do need to pop out my best bet because i don't want to run out of time and i love this one michael willson over 44.5 receiving yards at minus 114 on fandall if this does not hit i will be screaming willson but we're going to be good we're going to be screaming in joy because the nine or dc rheem Morris's defense have ranked top nine and cover three rate so far this year they've used it 52% of opposing dropbacks which is the third most willson sees a 22% boost to his targets per

47:50rower against cover three dating back to last season marvin harerson sees a 10% reduction and willson's point two six targets per rower against cover three in games jacobruc sat has started is actually better than tray mcbride and oh by the way in a game with brisette in this matchup last year michael wilson had 15 grabs for 185 so i do think that the nineers are going to smoke and we're going to be playing from behind brisette's going to be spreading the ball around a little bit to mcbride but not the marvin harerson so michael wilson will hit 45 receiving yards in week three good luck with all the plays we'll catch you on monday for another edition of prop points right here on visa every game day you show up for your team now it's your time

48:51ask your prescriber about we govi some maglatide injection 2.4 milligrams a g op one call 183 3 4 we govi or visit we govi.com to view the medication guide and to learn more about we govi why wait to ghost haunt houses because they have unfinished business or because you have unfinished races oh there they are it's further evidence that everything happens for a recess