Prop Points | September 16, 2026

0:00Every game day you show up for your team. Now it's your time. We go, we go, we go, we go. Ask your prescriber about Wigovie, some Maglatide Injection 2.4 milligrams, a GLP 1. Call 1-8-3-3-4 Wigovie or visit Wigovie.com to view the Medication Guide and to learn more about Wigovie. Why wait? We go, we go. This is Angus Maximus. This partner has one pound of a pound of hot, sushi cooked to honor Angus Speed. It's more expensive than a quarter pounder. The battle of clothes. And for only 599 even regular dudes can afford it. Like that guy. You need that big open. Yeah. The whole Angus Maximus only 599 is whole senior. A bill for a limited time of participating restaurants. Tax not included. Not valid for use within a combo or in combination with any other offer or discount. This is Prop Points on Vison, the Sports

1:03Betty Network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hansen. What's going on? Welcome to a Wednesday edition of Prop Points here on Vison. I'm John Hansen of fantasypoints.com. The program per usual is being produced by Mr. Michael Cohen and a very info packed program here. Middle of the week will catch you up on the injury updates coming down the line here on a Wednesday afternoon. And then we'll take a look at some notable wide receiver corner matchups. Got some good ones here. Some pretty good data. It's only one week in the books here. But we also have fantasy points per rat run given up by the corners from last year plus week one to give us at least a complete picture. Our guy Brett Whitefield of fantasy points data. He is Mr. Film, Mr.

2:04analytics, formally of pro football focus. And now heading up the team over at fantasy points data. So a great football mind. He's got some juicy matchups forthcoming in week two that he'd like to talk about. And we're happy to oblige. Then we'll talk with our other guy from Vison. Nick Bokai joins the show. Of course, the new program winning ugly every Wednesday night right here on Vison. He has a big Buffalo Bills fan. So we'll see what he has cooking in terms of profit for his bills. And then final segment. I'm going to have to talk very quickly because I've got a lot of information in terms of taking a look at the week two game totals and talking about edges on either side. And we've got a lot of great data from over at fantasy points.com. The brand new data suite 2.0. It's got every matchup. And it does all the number crunching like hardcore looking at edges. And not that we're going to go

3:07completely off that because it's basically automated. But what it does for me is it gives me a very good quick glance. And then I know what to then look into further. So we do have some great information forthcoming. Let's take a look at some headlines here very, very quickly. Our guy Adam Schefter reports that the Niners of Place Desson's dribbling on injured reserve. So he's he's knocked out I guess for at least four weeks. Jeremy Fowler of ESPN reports that Michael Penex is quote not yet ready for live game action. Michael Penex started to do an individual work about I guess it's been about three weeks now for. So yeah not quite there. So it looks like Cooper Rush again. Although we'll see about two of Tongue of Elowa. Jeremy Fowler was reporting that Sam Darnel with the Glute will miss week two. And possibly week three charger signed Mark Weiz of Al Des scantling to their practice squad. It's not a great sign for Lad McConkey who is a little bit dinged up. So we'll see

4:09about Lad this weekend. I would love Lad by the way as a trade for guys we covered yesterday. I mean the guy look like JSN out there in terms of his role. I mean a monstrous target shared before he got hurt of just under 50 percent which is completely absurd. And Jeremy Fowler also reporting there are no snap restrictions for Dalton. It can cade this summer as we saw in week one Dalton concaid. I think it was 67 percent route share. He never hit 60 all year last year. It's one of the big reasons why he was so frustrating. But with all that covered let's turn our attention to some notable wide receiver corner matchups here. We always start with the good. And I know Brett Whitefield is sharing a brain on this one. So I had this before Brett supplied his list of players he wanted to talk about but it's only one game. But George Pickens is due. And he's going to see Amique

5:09Robertson who is giving up a very healthy point 4-6 fantasy points per route run going back to last year. And the first game this year we do have Dallas with an implied total of 27.3 points. Robinson I mean it wasn't terrible but he was targeted three times last week and he did give up three receptions. So get ready for George to have a really good game. And also in that same game. Terma Clark he does drive me a little crazy. He is a little volatile. But when he hits he hits big and he tends to crush the cowboys. He always does well against the visional opponents but he'll see a lot of the rod bland for the cowboys. Blan was targeted six times last week. He gave up six and it touched down. Rayshi Rice coming in next a little underwhelming last week. Thank God he scored but the dude only caught two balls and it's very clear to me that and I've said this pretty much for months that and I still

6:09did like rice. I think I think it'll be okay but we're not going to get the spam cheat code PPR thing anymore. We're like you know 12 targets very close to the line of scrimmage because why they're going to run the ball as we saw in week one with Ken Walker that was my feeling all along but he's got a good matchup here against Justin Wally who was targeted six times last week. He gave up six catches for 110 yards 18 yards per target. So we're looking good for Rayshi Rice matchup wise. Amon Ra St Brown for the Detroit Lions playing tomorrow in Buffalo should see a fair bit of D offer offered only gave up two grabs last week but for 55 yards and 11 yards per target with a 0.77 EPA per target given up the league averages 0.24 so a pretty good spot there for Amon Ra also a good schematic matchup for him which we'll get to tomorrow.

7:11Garrett Wilson against Brandon Seas for Green Bay gives up 0.36 fantasy points per round run very promising opener for Garrett Wilson Omar Cooper won't play as well so one fewer past target for Geno Smith. Seas gave up only one grab on two targets last week but it was for 39 yards and a touchdown so his EPA allowed expected points added. EPA allowed per target is 1.08 the league average again 0.24 0.24 and then that's it those are the good ones right there. Georgie Pickens Terry McClure and Rayshi Rice Garrett Wilson. Let's move on to the negative Nelly ones and we start with Mr. DK Metcalf DeKalen Metcalf up against Christian Gonzalez who is pretty stingy over last year and week one only 0.22 fantasy points per round. God's O gave up two catches last week. Oh my God for nine yards

8:15EPA against him is negative 0.76 again the league average is 0.24 next up we've got Nico Collins. He'll see a lot of the eraser as I call him although he didn't erase a mecca of Boko fully I think they play a little bit more zone in that game but DJ Turner when he's up against Nico Collins that's a tough spot for Nico. Turner last week did only give up technically two grabs for 21 on three targets seven yards per target next up we'll go Tett Mcmillan up against AJ Terrell Terrell last week only gave up three grabs for 31 on six targets and that's only 5.17 yards per target he also has a negative EPA allowed at point negative 0.21 league average positive 0.24 next up and by the way T Higgins has a little bit of a problem with Jalen Coker I mean I love Jalen

9:16Coker as a later pick you know I think he was like 10th round 11th round I mean he was outstanding down the stretch last year and I've been calling him by the way the NFC's version of Parker Washington in that like number one guys just too good and number two he commands the ball no doubt about it but let's move on to T Higgins versus Derek Stingley Derek Stingley did not have a great game last week he gave up four for 68 on five targets last week that is a massive 3.6 yards per target average but he is Derek Stingley and he is awesome now Kamala Aceter didn't have a great game last week either I guess Derek Stingley gave up the DJ Moore touchdown I guess they credited him being in coverage but he's Derek Stingley and last year plus week one one of the Stingies dudes out there at point one seven fantasy points per route run and finally now we don't even know

10:18if he's going to play Brian Thomas Jr he'll see a lot of Patrick Sir Tan who gives up point one two fantasy points per route run last week Sir Tan only gave up one grab for six yards on one target so here are some props that I will be seriously considering definitely looking at the over for Mr. George Pickens I really like to play the over on Terry McClaurin but Terry McClaurin and sometimes sometimes it's personal you know when you play a certain player and it doesn't work out there's a psychological effect so I don't know if I'll do it because he's burned me in the past but I'm very inclined also very inclined to to look at Rishi Rice and at least play is over again Justin Wally was targeted six times he gave up six grabs we'll see about him on rods a big number for tomorrow's game probably not going to touch Garrett Wilson I don't totally trust

11:18Gina Smith just yet might play an under on DK Metcalf because well honestly I'm a DK Metcalf hater although my guy Michael Pittman we did win the prop last week for Pittman but I was a little underwhelmed it looked like patty friar muth may get a lot of the love in the short area of the field that I was looking for for Pittman and yeah I might play an under on T against although that's always tough with Joe burrow we are just getting started here on the program when we return we'll chop it up with Brent Whitefield of fantasy points dot com but first the seasons underway there's still plenty of time and still plenty of ways to win the edge boost average Joe contest it's broken into five week quarter so you don't need to hot start to be in the mix finished first in the weekly standings and edge boost will drop a thousand bucks into your account as long as it's funded with at least a hundred bucks when you're quarter and you'll get airfare for two to Vegas plus the two-night stay at circuit resort and casino in the average Joe champion locks in an automatic qualifier spot the 27th circuit Friday football invitation plus a Vegas trip

12:23and an in studio guest appearance on a vision show free to play you can register anytime during the season if you don't have an edge boost account yet sign up at edge boost dot i o with the promo code visa make sure your account is funded with at least a hundred bucks enter the contest today the visa dot com slash Joe that is visa dot com slash Joe Brent Whitefield fantasy points dot com coming up next here on prop points chevy is called the heartbeat of america for a reason with SUVs made to move with your rhythm the versatile equinox tackles your entire day the spacious traverse fits your crew and your whole weekend and tracks bring style with value you can count on all infused with tech that has your back so your drive always hits the right cord adventure awaits in a new Chevy right now get

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14:32you're watching prop points with the guru himself john Hanson on vason these sports betting network welcome back to this wednesday edition of prop points here on vason hump day hump day stinks but we make it a little bit better with a lot of data and a lot of hashtag analysis and joining us now on the progressive guest line brett whitefield c o o of fantasy points and really the main man behind fantasy points data we do have others involved here but you know i view this as a brett whitefields baby he's on the x machine at b g whitefield you do have some thoughts on some tasty and spicy matchups for week two brett but you are a lion's guy you are michigan based so i got to start here give me one player who you think is going to be moving the needle in the big game with the lions in

15:35buffalo tomorrow night yeah i'll go donkin cade buffalo bills tight end listen this guy you know we were on the fence with him on the fantasy football daily show on if he was a you know a tier one tighter i should say a tight end one type of guy and i think after week one we got all the evidence we needed that this is going to be the concade takeover season 70% route share which is higher than he's ever had in his career and then the most important thing he was on the field for 17 of the bills 20 designed runs and that's the big differentiator for him because they've had a big tell in buffalo where when they want to run he comes off the field and when they want to pass he comes on the field and it's been this really easy kind of game plan specific thing where they can take him away and now that he's healthy in playing a ton of the snaps i think this is a breakout season for him but Detroit the way they play defense their this new look it's like stunt blitz crazy twist loops they're getting after the quarterback which leaves the middle of the field relatively wide

16:36open we saw jawan johnson have a really good game against them in week one and i think jawan left a couple plays on the field actually some contested situations where if he comes out with that football we're looking at even a much better stat line so i think concade he really impressed me week one he played against houston and he was running away from their cornerbacks not just their safety and linebackers their cornerbacks so he he looks awesome to me the yours per out run over his career have always been great so he's a smash in this game to me i feel really good about most of my preseason calls not that one i kind of went laws i fare with it because of everything that we've worried about injury now that the knee is apparently good to go like a snaps the addition of more and maybe more helped unlock concade as well but let's get into George pickins up against washington last week a little bit of a bus kill major bus kill dude only caught three balls for twenty eight but i've already talked about the match up and i love George what are you seeing with George this week yes so he is the i would say the cover two and cover three killer you know

17:43over three yards for our run against those two shells we know historically that's what dan Quinn is going to lean on i think they were a little light on cover three last week but historically dan Quinn is going to get that cover three rate up to like 40 percent the cover two rates going to be high as well into the 20s and so pickins is just annihilated both those coverage types in fact you go back like his last ten games his target share against those two types of coverage is like over 30 percent which i think is that's a really good indicator of what's to come in this game and then you parlay that with the fact that he's going against two small corners and a meek robertson and mike san roestill and pickins just is the exact playstyle that you do not want to for those corners to match up with i think this is a really good schematic match up and individual matchup for pickins where you know he is more of a catchpoint kind of guy he's a good route runner but he's not the most elite separator in the world but he's a catchpoint guy body control going to win on the boundary those smaller corners cannot contend with pickins physicality at the catchpoint i think he's going to have a massive rebound i think dac two we could talk dac a little bit dac

18:46has traditionally been one of these guys that have also killed cover three i put like Jared goff jordan love and dac press got our like the three major cover three killers in the league he's one of them so i think dac also has a big bounce bounce back game but for me man pickins is i think this is going to be a huge game for him i mean i think i want to go in now over 63.5 for George pickins yes move on to terremaclorian by the way that's 51.5 i talked about how he'll see a bit of deron bland who got roasted last week what are you seeing with terremaclorian yeah terry needs a bounce back to i thought on tape terry looked really good it just didn't translate to any fantasy production which is a bummer right but the route running route running looks sudden you know vick fan geos kind of a demon and then he can just take away your best player at will and that's what they did they're rolling coverage to scary terry the whole game they had him bracketed and and krinjan Mitchell those two things combined just made it for a slow day deron bland is like

19:49the biggest boom or bus corner in the league he's going to go he's going to take a lot of risks go for a lot of picks and scary is just too set savvy of a route runner i'm calling him by scary now by the way not terry scary is too savvy of a route runner to to get slowed down by deron bland so i i think this is another bounce back game for him ironically both pickins and terry you know kind of had bad weeks and week one i think they both come back with a with a bang here our guy tom brolly aka the grinder and we're talking about a bright field of fantasy points dot com but tom brolly last week love the don tavian wicks over prop which totally hit i didn't want to steal it so i went with under on davonte smith which actually hit two but what do you like about don tavian wicks this week against tenisee yeah i when i dove into the tape i was i really loved the way that the eagles used him i did not really like the way they used davonte smith and so unless these two things flip i think this might be a consistent trend for me where i like wicks you know at cost

20:51so to speak where i don't like davonte smith that cost so but you just look at the matchup he's going against a lot of detailer and cordel flotten on paper that doesn't look great but where i saw tenisee's defense really struggling week one was these runaway type of routes these same route distribution that don tavian wicks is going to be on talking your shallows your deep overs your digs like that's where wicks is going to live and they got gashed by the new york jets on set routes their pass rush john is horrific and it's like it doesn t even matter how good flot and tailor are in coverage that pass rush is like 23 percent pressure rate their time to pressure was like 2.9 it's worse than it was a year ago and it was really bad a year ago and so i think you know with the eagles offensive line it's it's not amazing with landed digs and going on an hour but they have the good tackles they're going to slow down that pass rush even more i think they're going to have a ton of time to get wicks the ball on these runaway type routes he should have a pretty big game talk about a running back uh chew bahubberd i i was in um i was old word all summer or the end of it with

21:54uh i think it was a hamstring uh and of course johnathan brooks but we're looking good with with chew bahubberd because you know it's like the the entire offseason narrative that was in my head held true to form in week one chew bahubberd is the rb1 on questionely for the panthers what do you see this week against Atlanta yeah you nailed it he's the rb1 until i guess he's not but for now he is that it is a year that is an even number in 2026 and that seems to be the thing for chew bah it's uh he looks good though he looked better in week one than i thought he did at any singular point last season on tape um looks a little bit more explosive in fact he had two explosive plays in this game i think he had won all of last season which is crazy so um i i really like what i saw but also at lanus defense has been just a civ against the run i know they held up decently against pizburg last week it's the small one week sample i'm i'm banking on here last week or sorry last season they were they were number one in the NFL and rushing yards allowed over expectation they have this really

22:55small defensive front and it kind of ran it all back with those guys and they're down they're two starting edge defenders as well so this is like i don't know this is a really nice matchup for Atlanta or sorry for chew bah who you know you feel like after getting blown out by the bear is giving up 59 points and getting ran on they might want to slow this game down a little bit i think they're going to lean on chew bah try to keep keep the pace down like they just got ran through by ben johnson so um i i really like the match up here and i think chew bah looks probably the best he has in 18 months yeah i think it's um yeah it is every other year but it's not just random it's like he tends to get hurt and then that and then the next year he's healthier and that's what the other year the deal is real quick on mike evans up against my ami he looked great last week what do you see here yeah he looks awesome and my my thesis on evans all off season was where he was being drafted in fantasy leagues was crazy compared to the output he can give you and san francisco looks like they're going to be contenders i love Brock party but my ami is just i

23:59mean it's it's the worst roster in the league evans is going to go against some guy named jason marshal john you know how many guys i watch in pre draft i don't know jason marshal is i'm not gonna lie to you so like that's uh you know judo judo prince on the other side like this is a this is an elite matchup in evans still has that elite ass he was number one in separation score last week among all wide receivers still my main still got it so i just think you're not going to find a better matchup than evans vs the dolphins not going to find a better follow on the x machine then be at bg whitefield brit whitefield of fantasy points calm great stopbrett will talk to you next week sir and on the other side we'll talk with nick becci of winning ugly right here on vson but first the football is back don't head into another football season without vson pro become a vson pro subscriber today instant access to the updated NFL betting guide college football betting guide the same betting tools the pros and betters rely on every best bet from vson experts real-time betting splits from drafting zsirka and powered prop projections proving betting systems power

25:01ratings analysis 24247 video on the vson watch app gets started today for 999 and say 50% of the vson pro annual subscription at evison dot com slash subscribe now that's vson dot com slash subscribe nick becci next year on prop points you're watching prop points with the guru himself john handsome on vson these sports betting network and Wednesday edition of prop points rolls on here i'm john handsome we're going to go right to the aggressive guest line to bring in my friend he is an actor or writer a producer a sports commentator he's a winner he's on the x machine at nick becci for real good afternoon nick how are you let's

26:03ask first and foremost tonight you're going to be on vson with your guy billy guardel hosting the third episode of winning ugly so you got two in the books how is it going i will say this you guys are looking good as cartoons number one let's talk about that it's all you if only i was you we were just talking hairlines and the before we came on and they've done me solid in the hairline look at the choppers are pretty it's i i would love to be that me that's my ideal state that's my spirit animal me but we're doing great we've had a blast obviously we're getting i see legs but it's been fun it's been really fun and and then guess there's a podcast of it on apple too for those who miss our late Wednesday night for a yeah absolutely catch nick and billy guardel you've seen him on television for for decades nick you're a little more behind the scenes of course but you're out there as well you can do it all but let's ask how week one treat treated it did you in fact win

27:08ugly in anything you know when i cut in front of both dogs on the early prime time games and that worked out really nicely i looked very savvy and then i had put out a couple of teasers i got bit on i got bit by broncos on one the other one pushed um and you know the other thing i liked a lot was i actually i liked the under on that bill's Houston game john it was over by halftime so that was you know one of those ones where you come in charging and going this is the one thing i feel strongly about and then you just look you know i did not see that coming no no it was it was truly remarkable for them to attack the other forward pass against the best secondary in football well how about your bills and they're match up tomorrow i see that they're now five and a half point favorites it was four and a half we do also have the highest total on the board it is the grand opening of the new stadium here so what do you think about that bills minus five and a half

28:12you know i like the bills to win um five and a half makes me a little nervous five's are weird numbers for me you know um i am i think i feel more strongly about some player props in this game um you know i do think that they're going to be really amped up the opening of the new stadium i think that this team is very body end of the community i think it's going to be crazy a drenalized game and i think that's going to mean in a drenalized josh allen um yeah and so in terms of this game looking at the props the propage as you call it um i just i'm going to lean into the obvious on this one and i can be very wary about josh allen's props but i think him passing over 253 and him going over 30 rushing yards looks really good to me this is the prime time game first one in the new stadium i think he's going to go full superman josh allen in this game and like you said Brady taking the top off the passing game last week was very encouraging and on top of that

29:18you look at what uh Detroit surrendered to Taylor Schuck in his 12th start in the NFL and he's over 400 yards so i think josh his numbers i'm very bullish on josh this week well we do have for your bills at home and apply a total of 29 and a half which is pretty massive and we are showing edges for buffalo in the intermediate and deep passing attack so that boats well for Dalton concade however i can't believe this you're going in on a Dawson nox prop and and you know great guy by the way 12 and a half receiving yards and how does 116 i don't know if i ever told you this story but i interviewed Dawson nox at his combine and for whatever reason i guess he played with dk and like a j brown he didn't score touchdown in college and i'm like wow i made fun of him i made fun of him about i was like come on man you can't even score one yes i said you had the same number touchdowns as i did and he was so cool and so awesome so i do love

30:22that guy spoiler alert i love concade tomorrow but you like nox over 12 and a half what are you there i like concade too don't get me wrong and i really like dj more you know but the the only reason i'm not going hard there is that they went off so hard last week i almost feel like i want to zig when they zag and like you said that intermediate game and and Dawson nox his he's in 12 and a half receiving yards he can get that with one catch and i just with the way concade blew up last week as a bill's fan and follower this feels like one of those weeks where they're gonna they're gonna deal nox in to kind of counter act what everyone's expecting to be a hardcore concade kind of game i'm looking at one nice first down plus reception and we go over he's not gonna crush this number but i think he'll go over i thought i entertained the same fun with keon kulman those guys were kind of shut out last week i think one of

31:22those gonna get go over their number but who can put their faith in keon kulman that's a fool's errand so yeah Dawson nox is my sort of left out of left field pick for this one and the other one i like in this game a lot is james and williams go over 60 yards because you know the bills defense was you know interesting in week one i'm actually encouraged by the pass rush which was one of the big question marks coming in i actually think they're strong up the middle with that which will be trouble for um destroyed but uh our number two corner is the mystery of our defense it is frequently what kills us in the playoffs and you know i really believe in benford and i but i also think look we got maxwell herston who's essentially a rookie still because of how little played and they've got this kid davis and igg binozen who is getting snaps as a rookie he got like 12% of the snaps game one against heuston so that tells me that they're not locked in over there

32:28and william i know that james and williams is one of those frustrating fantasy players um he tends to underperform when everybody's expecting a lot from him but i think number two i'd receive refer destroyed definitely should look clear 60 yards this week well get ready to be happy because over at fantasy points and fantasy points day we're projecting uh heirston to shadow jamo so as long as jamo is running routs up against someone who's not named christian benford i would feel very good about that well our guy nick becci on the line with us here and make sure you catch nick with billi guardell hosting the third episode of winning augley right here on vcne from ten to eleven pm eastern standard time now before we let you go i don't want to throw a monkey wrench at your curveball but let me ask you about james cook real quick because i actually yeah advocated i'm okay trading them i know it's only one game i'm not overreacting or maybe i am but hear me out i think the bills

33:32are going to be more of a pass happy team this year i think they showed that last year and seven pass happy games last year cook average is 15.7 fantasy points per game compared to 19.5 in his other game so i think it'll be a little bit more touchdown dependent and he thoughts on my analysis there on james cook i think you might be on to something there john because you know the theory was that mcdermott was the one who kept a foot on the brakes in terms of running being a bend on brake defense let's run the ball first kind of that was his directive and that Brady had to play within that especially after he inherited oc from you know and and i think the premise was the jobs yours if you do it my way now he's unbridled and weak one against he used in yeah cook was underused compared to last year which was a monster season i don't think you're crazy you know because i was looking at the numbers in terms of the Detroit they didn't give up a ton of rushing yards week one because i was looking at cook thinking this is the bounce back week

34:36for cook but i can't say that with great confidence you might have a point if you can get some good loot for early season james cook trade i wouldn't say no to that yeah i mean certainly i mean i'm talking trade them for like j aset or or something big yeah i mean like maybe you throw in cook and like a fourth receiver somebody decent that someone can plug in and say yeah ship that off the j aset and by the way cook and j aset and they were only separated by like 1.5 points or spots in terms of the the draft board and adp real quick one more again not not a curve ball but a mongra in the slot that's going to be a tough cover for you guys yeah i don't think that's a bad place to put some action you know he's so he's so dominant and uh yeah our defensive backfield is also a work in progress we got a new defensive coordinator that's supposed to be his area especially it may Houston look pretty healthy and that's not one of those path and game juggler not offenses so um yeah look if this is going to be the shootout that the total seems to predict the

35:43biggest number um i don't think that you're wrong putting any money on the alpha offensive weapons in this game catch Nick Bokai and Billy Gardell hosting their third episode of winning ugly right here on vson tonight from 10 to 11 eastern great stuff Nick enjoy your show tomorrow and going forward good luck to your bills and we'll catch up to you uh real soon thank you john appreciate it there he is Nick Bokai when we return we'll take a look at all the totals for week two and what they mean here are prop points Chevy is called the heartbeat of america for a reason with SUVs made to move with your rhythm the versatile equinox tackles your entire day the spacious traverse fits your crew and your weekend and tracks bring style with value you can count on all infused with tech that has your back

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37:51buy your car online on auto trader really you you're watching prop points with the guru himself john Hanson on vason these sports betting network final segment time here on this Wednesday edition of prop points right here on vason I'm john Hanson stay tuned though end of the segment I've got a best bet for Thursday night football and one of my goals is to pluck out plays that are so appealing that even if they don't hit it's like oh wait until but we'll get to that at the end of this segment but now let's take a look at the week game totals and what they mean and as I mentioned at the top of the show you know fantasy points data taken over the industry no question about it we've got a page a matchup page that

38:59does an insane amount of number crunching to give us an idea of where the edges are you know in the trenches and the passing game regardless and it does show all the spread stuff so it's automated but it gives me a really good first glance and when I see something I'm like okay now let me go in and dig further and look into it completely but that's neither here nor there I do have some thoughts on these edges from the tool over at fantasy points we'll start with tomorrow's games the highest game in the board and we go in order of point totals by the way 53.5 the implied total for the bills 29.5 but it's also solid for Detroit we are showing edges for Buffalo as I mentioned previously in the intermediate and deep passing game commanders at cowboys 50.5 Dallas minus four by the way applied total for Dallas is really good 27.3 not horrible for DC at

40:0023.3 not a lot of edges in this one we actually saw one Washington in a clean pocket there the 11th best against Dallas without pressure they're 31st worst so that that could be or second worst that could be or yes second worst that could be a good good thing for terrible claret next up Vikings at bears total of 48.5 Chicago minus five the implied total for Chicago's pretty juicy 26.8 a lot of a lot of edges here Minnesota's man gap run offense number 24 up against Chicago gap run defense number one so when you add that to Minnesota pass protection number 10 against Chicago pass rush number 30 we might see the Vikings throw it around a little bit here with Carson Wentz Chicago motion offense number one through one week Minnesota motion defense number 29 big play

41:02offense by Chicago number seven through week one Minnesota defending big plays number 29 Giants Rams total of 48.5 L.A. minus seven we've got an implied total for the Rams it's 27.5 although the edges here a lot of it were the Giants Giants 12 personal offense number one of the league always were one game against L.A. defense is 31st Giants zone run offense number one in the league against L.A. zone run defense number 26 that is cam scataboo time Giants and 11 personnel offense number two through one week L.A. defense number 26 so this could hit the over it's in L.A. though wish it was in New York for the Giants Colts at chief Sunday night football 20 or 47.5 is a total KC minus six and a half we do have a pretty nice implied total for the KC chiefs of 26.5 but when I look at the edges here Indies passing offense number 30 versus KC's past defense number two

42:11a lot of a lot of running in this game KC's rushing offense number two against Indies run defense number 28 KC pass protection number 28 versus Indie pass rush number two so again a lot of running in this game with Ken Walker and Jonathan Taylor Bengals at Texans total of 46.5 Yuston minus two and a half kind of lame implied totals for both teams Yuston leading the way there 24.5 Yustons man gap run offense number four again Cincinnati's gap run defense number 27 I think that's the biggest one for me so I know they had a dexter Lawrence and they're improved but we could get more Dave Montgomery goodness in that one Saints Ravens total of 46.5 Ravens minus eight and a half the implied total for Baltimore's is good 27 points though we do have some edges here for

43:11New Orleans but but the big one here is Baltimore's big play offense number three against New Orleans big play defense number 24 also Baltimore's zone run offense number four against New Orleans zone run defense number 24 that is good news for Derek Henry next up dolphins at 49ers a total of 45.5 San Fran minus 13.5 the implied total for San Fran is juicy at 29.5 San Fran 12 personnel offense number two through one week against Miami's defense number 29 so get ready for Kyle Shanahan to do Kyle Shanahan like things Packers at jets pretty lame total of 44.5 Green Bay minus three and a half Green Bay's implied total is 24 but we do have some jet advantages here the jet offense versus single high their number one Green Bay's single high defense is number 29 Green Bay under center

44:12offense number 28 against the jets defense under center number two pressure percentage New York pass protection number five against Green Bay pass rush number 23 I mean don't look now but the jets might be able to stay in this puppy Jaguar's Broncos total of 44.5 Denver minus three we have an implied total of 24 for the Broncos for the Jags it's only 21 but we do have some issues but you know what the data I almost throw away week one for Denver it was really bad but EPA per play Denver's offense last year was last week was 30 second at a 32 and Jacksonville's defense it was number eight Panthers Falcons total of 43.5 Carolina minus two and a half the implied totals are lame EPA per rush Carolina rush offense number 22 against Atlanta run defense number five so it's a little bit of strength on strength right there but Carolina's 12 personnel offense number nine

45:14against Atlanta's defense against 12 is number 28 Raiders Chargers total of 43.5 LA minus six and a half the charger implied total is high it's 25 though we don't see a ton of great advantages here on paper but I still think LA bounces back when you look at the implied totals here uh lost Vegas pass protection number one against the charger pass rush number 26 I don't think that one actually holds up uh nothing of note here although the LA zone run offense number 32 against the Vegas zone defense number six so Marin Hampton may not may not bounce back quite frankly uh Steelers Patriots 41.5 implied total for New England is only 23 that's not great I don't see a lot of advantages on either side so it'll be a boring game Seahawks at Cardinals total of 41.5 Seattle minus four you know again the quarterback is

46:16out implied total for Arizona is only 18.5 so I don't know if we're expecting Arizona to have a really good game here and I don't see any edges Brown's bucks total of 40.5 Tampa minus eight and a half applied total for Tampa is 25 so I think we're going to do pretty well there zone runs for Tampa number six against Cleveland's zone run D number 31 so good news for Bucky Irving uh and then I can't believe this but the Eagles have the lowest total on the board Eagles of Titans 39.5 Philly minus seven uh the implied total for Philly is 23 but they should be able to ground in pound with Seikwan Barkley in that game against the hapless Titans coming up next right after prop points it's money moves with Stormy Bonatoni and Jonathan Von Tobal at two eastern on today's show Kendall Valenzuela breaks down her top props for week two then at four eastern follow the money with Mitch Moss and Pauli Howard of Eastern Primetime starts at seven all right here on the Vs and last

47:19order of business best bet of the day and we're going to pop it out right now it's Dalton Kincaid over 49.5 receiving yards no defense saw more targets to Titans last week than the Lions who saw 14 targets they gave up only 6.21 yards per target but also seven grabs for 80-70 yards and two touchdowns as Jawan Johnson and Noah Fant got him Kincaid had a 69% route share last week that was the highest in his career he never hit 60% last year part of that is health his healthier now after dealing with that nagging PCL injury over the last two weeks Detroit allows the 12th most receiving yards per game to tight end since 2025 and most importantly an unbeaten livable schematic match up for Dalton Kincaid the Lions deployed cover three and cover four at a 53% clip last week Kincaid averaged 4.20 yards per route run against those coverages since 20-25 he

48:22also kills man but 4.20 if you literally cut that in half 2.1 it's still very good so these schematic match up for Dalton Kincaid could not be any better so we'll go over 49.5 that's all I have catch us tomorrow for another edition of prop points right here on Vs and every game day you show up for your team now it's your time ask your prescriber about Wigovie some maglatide injection 2.4 milligrams a GLP one call 1-8334 Wigovie or visit Wigovie.com to view the medication guide and to learn more about Wigovie why wait finding ways to be financially savvy is a smart move and knowing you could be

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